Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 14, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

November 27, 20137 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Nov 27, 2013, 2:42 PM EST for 7 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 27, 2013, 2:42 PM EST (19:42 UTC)
Expired
Nov 28, 2013, 12:00 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Henderson County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-11-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-11-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -21 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
761 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
98 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

151 
WWUS72 KGSP 271942
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
242 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVER THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY
AND PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE...

.A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
MAINTAIN BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE FRENCH
BROAD VALLEY AND ALONG AND JUST OF THE BLUE RIDGE FROM POLK UP TO
CALDWELL COUNTIES. WINDS IN THIS AREA COULD STILL GUST AS HIGH AS
45 TO 50 MPH.

NCZ053-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-280500-
/O.CAN.KGSP.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131127T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0014.131127T1942Z-131128T0500Z/
BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE
242 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.
THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS...THE 
  CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH 
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...THE WINDS WILL STAY UP THROUGH LATE EVENING THEN
  DIMINISH TOWARD MIDNIGHT. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOIL AND STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES THIS EVENING. IN
  ADDITION...THE OPERATION OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGH TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-NCZ059-062>064-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ001-002-272045-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-131127T2300Z/
RABUN-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
242 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY.

WHILE IT WILL BE WINDY THIS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

MCAVOY
1 follow-up statement
958 
WWUS72 KGSP 280340
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1040 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVER THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY
AND PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO RAPIDLY DIMINISH AROUND
MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.
UNTIL THEN...NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE A FEW GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING.

NCZ053-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-280500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-131128T0500Z/
BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE
1040 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS...THE 
  CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH 
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...THE WINDS WILL STAY UP THROUGH LATE EVENING THEN 
  DIMINISH TOWARD MIDNIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOIL AND STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES LATE THIS
  EVENING. IN ADDITION...THE OPERATION OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
  WILL BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGH TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 27, 12:51 PM EST, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 12:51 PM EST, 1 hour 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1251 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE ATLANTIC COAST TODAY...COLDER
AIR WILL WRAP AROUND BEHIND THE LOW RESULTING IN MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS BEFORE ALL PRECIPITATION ENDS TONIGHT.  DRY CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FROM THE WEST AND BECOME REINFORCED OVER
THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ON MONDAY...A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1120 AM EST...THE DEFORMATION ZONE AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS
WEAKENING AS SHOWN BY THE RAPIDLY WARMING CLOUD TOPS ON THE IR
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE INCREASING DISORGANIZATION OF THE
ASSOCIATED BAND OF PCPN EVIDENT ON REGIONAL RADARS. AREAS OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE SNOW WILL STILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA
FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...THOUGH ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ISOLATED AND
QUITE LIGHT. REFLECTIVITIES ARE PICKING UP ALONG THE TN LINE. CLOUD
TOP TEMPS HAVE COOLED TO AROUND -18 DEG C ALONG THE TN LINE WHICH
SHOULD SUPPORT ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WARNING ALONG THE TN LINE STILL
LOOKS GOOD AND I/LL LET THAT RUN. I/LL ALSO KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY ACROSS THE REST OF THE NC MOUNTAINS...BUT IT WILL JUST BE
FOR BLACK ICE AT THIS POINT.

AS OF 840 AM EST...UPDATED THE GRIDS TO REFLECT SLIGHTLY HIGHER
SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WHERE A
NARROW SNOW BAND MAY DROP A QUICK HALF INCH TO INCH OF SNOW. EVEN
PARTS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS SHOULD SEE A LITTLE
ACCUMULATION CLOSE TO THE NORTH CAROLINA LINE. WINDS ARE PICKING UP
ACROSS THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. THE 0.5 DEG BASE VELOCITY PRODUCT
FROM THE KGSP-WSR88D IS SHOW 50-60 KT WINDS ACROSS THE UPPER FRENCH
BROAD VALLEY AND NORTHERN GREENVILLE COUNTY. BASED ON THE OUTPUT
FROM OUR WORKSTATION WRF...STRONG WINDS SHOULD BE DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BLUE RIDGE FROM POLK COUNTY NORTHWARD TO CALDWELL COUNTY AT THIS
TIME AS WELL. POWER OUTAGES IN HENDERSON COUNTY HAVE SPIKED UP TO
2000. WE HAVEN/T HAD MANY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION
YET ALONG THE NC LINE. HOWEVER...AS NW FLOW INCREASES AND H8 TEMPS
FALL...WE SHOULD START TO SEE OROGRAPHICALLY DRIVEN SNOWFALL
INCREASE ALONG THE STATE LINE.

AS OF 645 AM...FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED PRECIP/DEFORMATION ZONE
CONTINUES TO NARROW...AS POTENT SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO PHASE INTO THE NORTHERN STREAM. CONCENTRATED AREA OF
HIGH RADAR REFLECTIVITY (OF WHICH MELTING/BRIGHT-BANDING IS AT LEAST
PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE)...CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL GA
ATTM...MORE OR LESS ON A TRAJECTORY TO PASS SOUTH OF OUR CWA.
NEVERTHELESS...BANDS OF PRECIP COULD PRODUCE HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO A TENTH/MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL OF AN INCH AS THEY MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE SYNOPTIC COMPONENT OF THIS
EVENT IS WINDING DOWN OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND WILL TRANSITION TO A
PURELY NW FLOW EVENT BY LATE MORNING. OUTSIDE THE MTNS...AS THE
LOWER LEVELS CONTINUE TO COOL...A PERIOD OF -SN WILL BE
POSSIBLE...IF NOT LIKELY ALONG THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIP SHIELD.
STILL CANNOT RULE OUT A LOCALIZED DUSTING...OR PERHAPS EVEN
MEASURABLE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

AS OF 345 AM...THE BEST FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL
DEFORMATION ZONE IS OCCURRING ACROSS EAST-CTRL AL/WEST-CTRL
GEORGIA...WHERE MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIP IS OCCURRING ATTM. AS THE
SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE CONTINUES ITS PHASING WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM...THE SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATE WEAKENING OF THIS FORCING
WITH ATTENDANT WEAKENING OF THE PRECIP BANDS AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST
TOWARD THE CAROLINAS. NEVERTHELESS...WESTERN AREAS SHOULD SEE
SEVERAL MORE HOURS OF BANDED PRECIP. STRONG COLD ADVECTION IS
UNDERWAY ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN...AND SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL QUICKLY
THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. IT STILL APPEARS THAT MOST AREAS ACROSS THE
NC MTNS WILL SEE SOME MEASURABLE SNOW...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
OCCURRING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN NEAR THE TENN BORDER. HOWEVER...
MESOSCALE PRECIP BANDS COULD DUMP A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW IN JUST
ABOUT ANY AREA OVER A VERY SHORT PERIOD...SO CONFIDENCE IN THIS
MORNING/S ACCUMS IS NOT ESPECIALLY HIGH. WINTER WX PRODUCTS WILL BE
ACCEPTED AS IS FOR THE TIME BEING. AREAS EAST OF THE MTNS ARE NOT
OUT OF THE WOODS FOR SEEING A PERIOD OF MEASURABLE SNOW THIS
MORNING...BUT AGAIN IT/S VERY DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN WHERE...IF
ANYWHERE MEASURABLE SNOW WILL FALL. REGARDLESS...IN LIGHT OF THE
WEAKENING DEFORMATION ZONE...THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE PIEDMONT/
FHILLS SHOULD SEE A FEW FLAKES AT BEST.

WITH THE TROUGH AXIS SWINGING EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON...MOISTURE DEPTHS WILL PLUMMET ACROSS THE NC MTNS...BUT
WITH STRONG NW WINDS CONTINUING...NW FLOW SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE TENN BORDER. DESPITE THE SHALLOW
MOISTURE...VERY COLD TEMPS IN THE MOIST LAYER WILL COMBINE WITH
STRONG NW FLOW TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMS IN THE USUAL NW
FLOW AREAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

IT STILL APPEARS THAT WINDS WILL NOT QUITE REACH HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NC MTNS. HOWEVER...THE SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS WILL RENDER TREES BEING SUSCEPTIBLE TO FALLING EVEN
IN MARGINAL ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS. WIND PRODUCTS WILL BE
CONTINUED AS IS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST COVERS THE
PERIOD FROM 0Z THURS THROUGH 12Z SAT. THIS EVENING...STRONG AND
GUSTY NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MTNS...WITH A SERIES OF GAP
WINDS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT. THE NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NUM TO SCT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE BORDER COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT LLVL MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY DISSOLVE...ENDING
ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW. USING A BLEND OF MOS...LOW TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RANGE FROM THE TEENS ACROSS THE RIDGES TO THE LOW 20S
ELSEWHERE. HIGH ELEVATIONS SHOULD SEE WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE LOW
SINGLE DIGITS TO AROUND ZERO DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS.

THANKSGIVING...WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE REGION. BY
THE AFTERNOON...THE CENTER OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WITH NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WITHIN THE MID LEVELS.
THE ARRIVAL OF THE HIGH SHOULD RESULT IN BACKING WINDS FROM THE
WEST...SPEEDS BECOMING LIGHT. MOS AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT THE SKY WILL RANGE FROM SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. COLD
LLVL THICKNESSES WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY...LIMITING HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO THE LOWER TO MID 40S. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE TN BORDER SNOWPACK
WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 30S.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...A DRY BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
SHOULD SLIDE ACROSS THE MID APPALACHIANS AND BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY. THE CWA WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...RESULTING IN
RETURN FLOW AT H85. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE
PERIOD. IN FACT...HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY SHOULD RANGE AROUND 10
DEGREES WARMER THAN VALUES OBSERVED ON THANKSGIVING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 240 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE BEGINS 12Z SATURDAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND AND RIDGING DOWN THE
EAST COAST.  PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAD A FETCH OF LOW LEVEL WIND
COMING OFF THE ATLANTIC WITH A SE TO NW DIRECTION TOWARD OUR MTNS
WHICH WOULD CREATE AN UPSLOPE EFFECT. MORE RECENT RUNS ARE NOT AS
CERTAIN WITH THIS MOIST FETCH AND IS NOW MORE VARIABLE. THE FLOW
AROUND THE BASE OF THE HIGH DOES BECOME MORE DIFFUSE AND THE GFS IS
MUCH DRIER IN THE LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY PART OF THE
FORECAST.  THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN HAVE VARIOUS BATCHES OF PRECIP
SOMEWHERE AROUND OUR AREA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
POINT...DID NOT WANT TO TAKE SLIGHT POPS COMPLETELY OUT FOR SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ON MONDAY...THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL
BRING MOST OF THE PRECIP FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO SC ON MONDAY.
THE GFS HAS A MORE WELL DEFINED LOW AND AREA OF PRECIP COMPARED TO
THE OTHER MODELS. DRYING OUT ON TUESDAY.  TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH AND
WARMING TO JUST ABOUT A CATEGORY BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY WITH SOME
UPPER RIDGING CROSSING THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT...BY 18 UTC THE RAIN/SNOW MIX SHOULD BE JUST ABOUT OVER AT
THE AIRFIELD. DRIER AIR AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WITH CAUSE THE CLOUDS TO
RAPIDLY LIFT WITH CIGS SCATTERING OUT BETWEEN 19-20 UTC. WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THE REST OF THE AFTN...GUSTING UP TO 24 KTS
AT TIMES. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

AT KAVL...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AT THE AIRFIELD.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE LATER THIS EVENING AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS
ACROSS THE REGION.

ELSEWHERE...DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND A COLD
FRONT HAS CAUSED CIGS TO SCATTER OUT AND LIFT INTO THE VFR RANGE AT
MOST SITES. SCT CLOUDS UP AROUND 4000 FEET WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH SKIES BECOMING CLEAR THIS EVENING. AS MIXING DEEPENS
THIS AFTN...WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 25 KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST. WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            17-23Z        23-05Z        05-11Z        11-17Z
KCLT       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   63%     LOW   56%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ059-062>064-
     502-504-506-508-510.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ033-
     048>052-058.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ053-065-
     501-503-505-507-509.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ053-
     059-062>065-501-503-505.
SC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SCZ001-002.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SCZ003.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...JDL/MCAVOY
SHORT TERM...NED
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...MCAVOY
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 27, 11:44 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

NCZ033-048>052-058-281645-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ053-065-501-503-505-281645-
BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ059-062>064-281645-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

NCZ507-509-SCZ003-281645-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-SCZ001-002-281645-
RABUN-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ502-504-506-508-510-281645-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-
281645-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1144 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

07

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 27, 11:37 AM EST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1137 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG HENDERSONVILLE          35.32N  82.46W
11/27/2013                   HENDERSON          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            2 TREES DOWN

&&

JAT
Local storm report, Nov 27, 11:38 AM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1138 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MOUNTAIN HOME           35.37N  82.50W
11/27/2013                   HENDERSON          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN

&&

JAT
Local storm report, Nov 27, 11:39 AM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1139 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ETOWAH                  35.32N  82.60W
11/27/2013                   HENDERSON          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN

&&

JAT
Local storm report, Nov 27, 11:48 AM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1148 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW TRYON             35.20N  82.26W
11/27/2013                   POLK               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN

&&

JAT
Local storm report, Nov 27, 2:35 PM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
235 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     SNOW             BULADEAN                36.11N  82.19W
11/27/2013  E3.0 INCH        MITCHELL           NC   PUBLIC

&&

JAT
Local storm report, Nov 27, 2:38 PM EST, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
238 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     SNOW             2 NW NEWLAND            36.11N  81.95W
11/27/2013  E3.5 INCH        AVERY              NC   PUBLIC

&&

JAT

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2013Wind Advisories in South Carolina, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.