Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

March 5, 2013Elbert County, Hart County, Georgia; Abbeville County, Anderson County, South Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 5, 2013, 6:07 PM EST for Elbert County, Hart County, Georgia; Abbeville County, Anderson County, South Carolina. It was in force for 53 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2013, 6:07 PM EST (23:07 UTC)
Expired
Mar 5, 2013, 7:00 PM EST
In force
53 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Elbert County, GA, Hart County, GA, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 5, 6:08 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG2 S Bowman, GAREPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE ALONG STANLEY MAXWELL ROAD NEAR INTERSECTION OF REHOBOTH ROAD. AT LEAST 15 TREES DOWN AND BARN DEMOLISHED. TREES ALSO DOWN ON DEEP CREEK ROAD.
Mar 5, 6:30 PM ESTTSTM WND DMGIva, SCBROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND WIND DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2013-03-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2013-03-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 364 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
364 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

737 
WUUS52 KGSP 052307
SVRGSP
GAC105-147-SCC001-007-060000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0013.130305T2307Z-130306T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ELBERT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN HART COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  ABBEVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 700 PM EST

* AT 601 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  COMER...OR 7 MILES EAST OF DANIELSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 60
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ELBERTON.
  RUCKERSVILLE.
  LOWNDESVILLE AND LAKE RUSSELL.
  SECESSION LAKE.
  ANTREVILLE.
  ABBEVILLE.
  DUE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. THE WIND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
LITTLE OR NO LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3403 8295 3417 8311 3423 8308 3446 8229
      3441 8225 3434 8233 3428 8231 3425 8227
      3420 8224 3411 8227 3406 8233 3405 8242
      3407 8249 3407 8253 3402 8258
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 259DEG 52KT 3414 8299

$$

07
3 follow-up statements
774 
WWUS52 KGSP 052334
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
634 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

GAC147-052343-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130306T0000Z/
HART GA-
634 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HART COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3403 8278 3432 8279 3445 8228 3441 8225
      3434 8233 3428 8231 3425 8227 3420 8224
      3411 8227 3406 8233 3405 8242 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3402 8258
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 259DEG 52KT 3409 8268

$$

GAC105-SCC001-007-060000-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130306T0000Z/
ELBERT GA-ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-
634 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE AND EASTERN ELBERT COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EST...

AT 631 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE
RUSSELL...OR 8 MILES EAST OF ELBERTON...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  CALHOUN FALLS.
  ABBEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LAKE RUSSELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. BOATERS 
SHOULD SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.

&&

LAT...LON 3403 8278 3432 8279 3445 8228 3441 8225
      3434 8233 3428 8231 3425 8227 3420 8224
      3411 8227 3406 8233 3405 8242 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3402 8258
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 259DEG 52KT 3409 8268

$$

07
912 
WWUS52 KGSP 052346
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
646 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

GAC105-052356-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130306T0000Z/
ELBERT GA-
646 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ELBERT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3436 8260 3445 8229 3441 8225 3434 8233
      3428 8231 3425 8227 3420 8224 3411 8227
      3406 8233 3405 8242 3407 8248 3407 8253
      3402 8259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 259DEG 52KT 3417 8247

$$

SCC001-007-060000-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130306T0000Z/
ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-
646 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
ANDERSON AND ABBEVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EST...

AT 645 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
WEST OF ABBEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF ABBEVILLE
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ANDERSON COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 3436 8260 3445 8229 3441 8225 3434 8233
      3428 8231 3425 8227 3420 8224 3411 8227
      3406 8233 3405 8242 3407 8248 3407 8253
      3402 8259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 259DEG 52KT 3417 8247

$$

07
694 
WWUS52 KGSP 052355
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
655 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

SCC001-007-060005-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130306T0000Z/
ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-
655 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ANDERSON AND
ABBEVILLE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM EST...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED ACROSS THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3436 8260 3445 8229 3441 8225 3434 8233
      3428 8231 3425 8227 3420 8224 3411 8227
      3406 8233 3405 8242 3407 8248 3407 8253
      3402 8259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 259DEG 52KT 3419 8231

$$

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 5, 2:42 PM EST, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 2:42 PM EST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
242 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN IN
ITS WAKE AND LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 225 PM EST...A COMPLICATED WX PATTERN IS ON STORE OVER THE
PERIOD. THE FIRST ITEM OF CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TO SVR STORMS ACROSS THE SRN ZONES THIS EVENING. MODEL SOUNDING
CONTINUE TO SHOW A DESTABILIZED ATMOS BY 00Z ACROSS NE GA AND INTO
THE UPSTATE...SHIFTING EAST PAST THE I77 COORIDOOR BY MIDNIGHT. THIS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A 50+ KT LLVL JET AND A GOOD AMOUNT OF SHEAR.
WITH THE CLOUDS CLEARING OVER THE WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON...A
DECENT AMOUNT SBCAPE WILL LIKELY BE REALIZED AS THE SFC FRONT NEARS
THE AREA. SO...WILL ANTICIPATE SOME STRONGER CONVECTION MOVING INTO
NE GA AROUND 22Z OR SO....A FEW OF THESE COULD FORM ORGANIZED LINES
OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE CELLS PRODUCING STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST.

THE NEXT CONCERN WILL BE THE WINTER STORM SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NC
MTNS. THE UPPER LOW AND SFC FEATURE WILL MAXIMIZE DEEP LAYERED LIFT
BTW 00Z-06Z TONIGHT. WITH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE UPSTREAM THIS
TIMEFRAME SHOULD SEE THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES AFT 03Z WHEN H85
TEMPS DROP TO -6C AND QUICKLY CHANGE RAIN TO SNOWFALL. H85
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP TO AROUND -10C THROUGH 12Z AND THIS
WILL INCREASE SF RATIOS. LLVL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE BEING
W/LY...BUT ENOUGH MECH LIFT WILL REMAIN AFTER THE UPPER DYNAMICS
SHIFT EAST TO MAINTAIN A CONTINUED UPSLOPE SN EVENT DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. TERRAIN FLOW SHIFTS DISTINCTLY NW/LY AROUND 15Z AND THIS
WILL AIDE IN CONTINUED SNOWFALL. SO...THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION 24 HR WARNING LEVEL SNOW OVER THE WRN MOST
MTNS.

THE NEXT THREAT WILL BE THE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. CROSS SECTIONS AND
SOUNDINGS INDICATE A VERY STRONG LLJ TRAVERSING THE AREA TONIGHT AND
AND GOOD CAA DOWNWARD MOMENTUM MIXING DURING THE DAY WED. HIGH WIND
MENTION IS ALREADY INCLUDED WSW/S...AND A NPW FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF THE NRN FOOTHILLS IS IN PLACE THROUGH TOMORROW...AND HAVE ADDED A
NEW NPW FOR ADVISORY LEVEL WIND ACROSS ALL OTHER ZONES BEGINNING
TOMORROW MORNING AROUND DAY BREAK AND CONTINUING TILL MIDNIGHT.

MIN TEMPS WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING MTNS...AND NEAR FREEZING
ELSEWHERE. THE BETTER NON/MTN MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE ACROSS THE
NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT TONIGHT AND THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
ENABLE A MIX OF SN/RA AFT MIDNIGHT THROUGH DAYBREAK. MAX TEMPS WED
WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN A CAA NW/LY REGIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 1 PM TUESDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THE SHORT
RANGE PERIOD AS A CUTOFF UPPER LOW OFF THE EAST COAST IS BLOCKED
FROM ESCAPE TO THE EAST. ANOTHER UPPER LOW/SHORT WAVE WILL BE
ASSIMILATED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT THIS WILL MOVE PAST WELL
TO OUR NORTHEAST. THUS...FOR THE MOST PART...WE WILL REMAIN UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PRODUCTION OF SNOW ALONG THE TN BORDER WILL
CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE MOVES DOWN FROM THE NW...BUT
THIS SHOULD WANE ON THURSDAY MORNING AS THE MOISTURE PULLS OUT.
PRECIP CHANCES START OUT LIKELY ON THE TN BORDER WEDNESDAY EVE AND
THEN TAPER OFF FROM THERE...ENDING BY MIDDAY ON THURSDAY. IT STILL
LOOKS LIKE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER INCH OR TWO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...SO THE WARNING CONTINUATION THROUGH SUNRISE THURSDAY LOOKS
TO BE RIGHT ON TRACK. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT EAST
OF THE BLUE RIDGE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH HIGHS THURSDAY ABOUT FIVE DEGREES WARMER THAN
WEDNESDAY...THEN ANOTHER CATEGORY OR SO WARMER AGAIN ON FRIDAY. LOW
TEMPS WILL ALSO SHOW A MODERATING TREND...ALTHO NOT AS PRONOUNCED.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EST TUESDAY...THE LATEST MODELS AGREE THAT NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT FRI NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO
UPPER RIDGING SAT WITH CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH BUILDING IN FROM THE
NORTH. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS PROGGED TO CROSS THE FORECAST AREA
SUN WITH THE CENTER OF CANADIAN HIGH SHIFTING OFFSHORE. THE RESULT
WILL BE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLY WARM DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES FRI THROUGH SUN.

H5 HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE OVER THE AREA SUN NIGHT AS THE
RIDGE AXIS MOVES OFFSHORE AND A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL CONUS. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
REVEAL DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS WITH REGARD TO THE TRACK/TIMING OF THIS
TROUGH MON THROUGH TUESDAY. THE SLOWER ECMWF SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED
H5 LOW OVER TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION MON WILL TRACK EASTWARD TOWARD
THE REGION REACHING OUR WESTERN ZONES BY 12Z WED WHILE THE GFS LIFTS
THE LOW INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY 00Z TUE WITH POSITIVELY
TILTED TROUGH AXIS AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CROSSING THE REGION
AROUND 12Z TUE. I USED GFS/ECMWF BLEND WHICH IS FAVORED BY THE HPC
MON/TUE WITH THE FROPA OCCURRING OVER THE REGION LATE MON INTO EARLY
TUE. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...POPS HAVE BEEN CAPPED AT 30/40 PERCENT
DURING THIS PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODELS SHOW STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
OVER THE AREA...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED DURING THE FROPA
AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE LACK OF INSTABILITY. TEMPS WILL STAY NEAR
NORMAL RANGE THROUGH DAY 7.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...UNEXPECTED CLEARING SKIES ARE MAKING HEADWAY TOWARD THE
TERMINAL AND THIS WILL BE METWATCHED FOR A PROBABLE AMD TO VFR OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE HRS. POPS HAVE BEEN ADJ DOWN AS WELL WITH -SHRA OR
DEEPER CONVECTION NOT ANTICIPATED TILL 20Z. THE TIMING OF THIS IS
ALSO SUSPECT AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. A STRONG LLVL JET WILL
CROSS THE TERMINAL AFT 00Z AND THERE COULD BE SOME WS ISSUES NOT
ASSOCIATED WITH TSTMS OR TALL CONVECTION. AFTER FROPA ARD 03Z...SFC
GUSTS WILL PICK UP AND REMAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. VFR
CIGS RETURN POST FROPA.

AT KAVL...MVFR CIGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD AS COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. FROPA IS AFT 00Z...BUT MOIST FLOW UP
THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY WILL ENABLE LOW CIGS. A RETURN TO VFR IS
EXPECT AFT 11Z WITH LLVL UPSTREAM MOISTURE WANING. MODERATE SFC WIND
GUSTS WILL DEVELOP AFT FROPA AS WELL AND REMAIN THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...A LARGE AREA OF DRYING HAS DEVELOPED IN THE WARM SECTOR
AND EXPECT KAND TO REMAIN VFR TILL PERIODS OF CONVECTION APPROACHE
AFT 20Z. KGSP AND KGMU REMAIN RIGHT ON THE BORDER OF THE SCT
CLOUDS...BUT WILL KEEP MVFR FOR NOW BASED ON VIS SAT LOOP. A 3 HR
TEMPO THUNDER WAS INCLUDED AT KAND BEGINNING AT 00Z WITH SBCAPE
VALUES APPROACHING 400 J/KG BY THAT TIME. FROPA WILL OCCUR AND CIGS
SHOULD RETURN TO VFR AT ALL SITES AFT 04Z. WINDS WILL RESPOND TO A
STRONG P/GRAD BEHIND THE FRONT AND DOWNWARD MIXING AND ENABLE
MODERATE GUSTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...WINDY NW FLOW CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WED INTO WED NIGHT
AS STRONG LOW PRES PULLS AWAY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. LINGERING
RESTRICTIONS AND NEARBY SHSN WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KAVL THROUGH
WED. STRONG DRY RIDGING WILL THEN DEVELOP THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-19Z
KCLT       HIGH  87%     HIGH  86%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  82%     HIGH  98%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  86%     MED   66%     MED   78%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  94%     HIGH  83%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH  80%     HIGH  97%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  88%     HIGH  94%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR NCZ501-503-505.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-063>065-068>072-082-502-504-
     506>510.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NCZ033-048>052-058-059.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NCZ053-062.
SC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...SBK
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...JOH
AVIATION...SBK
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 3:49 PM EST, 2 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062100-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO SNOW...THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EARLY PART
OF THE EVENING. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT... BUT WIND GUSTS COULD ALSO BE STRONG IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER CELLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ053-062-062100-
BUNCOMBE-MACON-
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO SNOW...THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EARLY PART
OF THE EVENING. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT... BUT WIND GUSTS COULD ALSO BE STRONG IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER CELLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ501-503-505-062100-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ063>065-507-509-062100-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ009-014-062100-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-YORK-CHESTER-
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN PIEDMONT AND
FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. IF THE STORMS ORGANIZE
INTO A SQUALL LINE...THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE AREA WITH THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85...INCLUDING THE CHARLOTTE METROPOLITAN AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>008-010>013-019-062100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-GREENWOOD-
349 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. IF THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER AS A SQUALL
LINE...THERE IS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADO. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 EARLY THIS EVENING WHERE THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY BECOME A BIT MORE UNSTABLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

MOORE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 5, 6:03 PM EST, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
603 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

GAZ028-029-SCZ010-011-052345-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-ELBERT-HART-
603 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ABBEVILLE...ELBERT...SOUTHERN
ANDERSON AND SOUTHERN HART COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EST...

AT 557 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DANIELSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  BOWMAN...
  NUBERG...
  RUCKERSVILLE...
  LAKE RUSSELL...
  LOWNDESVILLE...
  ANTREVILLE...

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

LAKE RUSSELL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS. MOVE TO
SHORE IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3403 8295 3417 8311 3422 8308 3424 8310
      3446 8229 3442 8226 3440 8225 3434 8233
      3428 8231 3422 8225 3416 8224 3411 8227
      3406 8233 3407 8253 3401 8259

07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 3:58 AM ESTWind AdvisoryGSPElbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens39 hr
Mar 5, 4:02 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGSPRabun54 hr
Mar 5, 6:03 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPElbert42 min
Mar 5, 6:43 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.