River Flood Warning 13, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

301 
WGUS82 KGSP 060059
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
859 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...

  BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS AFFECTING CLEVELAND COUNTY.
 
.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE. REMEMBER...RIVER STAGE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECASTED RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST 
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...NIGHTIME MAKES IT
DIFFICULT TO RECOGNIZE FLOODED AREAS.

THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB 
PAGE AT HTTP://NEWWEB.ERH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP

&&

NCC045-070059-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.130506T0449Z-130507T0234Z/
/BSPN7.1.ER.130506T0449Z.130506T0600Z.130506T1434Z.NO/
859 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 830 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.4. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. HOMES BETWEEN ABES MOUNTAIN 
  ROAD AND THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. SAND DREDGING EQUIPMENT ON 
  BANKS OF RIVER WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 8177 3525 8177 3518 8157 3514 8162 3518 8164

$$

861 
WGUS42 KGSP 060502
FLWGSP

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
102 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG 
HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN SOUTH 
CAROLINA...

  BROAD RIVER NEAR BLACKSBURG AFFECTING CHEROKEE AND YORK COUNTIES

AND IN NORTH CAROLINA...
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
  BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS AFFECTING CLEVELAND COUNTY...

.EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO CONTINUE TO
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
 REMEMBER...RIVER STAGE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECASTED RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST 
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...NIGHTIME MAKES IT
DIFFICULT TO RECOGNIZE FLOODED AREAS.

THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB 
PAGE AT HTTP://NEWWEB.ERH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP

&&

SCC021-091-070502-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0016.130506T0502Z-130507T1703Z/
/BBGS1.1.ER.130506T0418Z.130506T1200Z.130507T0503Z.NO/
102 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.

$$

NCC045-070502-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130507T1245Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.130506T0241Z.130506T1200Z.130507T0045Z.NO/
102 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS.
* AT 12:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.9 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE CLIFFSIDE AREA 
  WILL OVERFLOW THE BANKS AND START TO FLOOD SOME ROADS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 8177 3525 8177 3518 8157 3514 8162 3518 8164

836 
WGUS82 KGSP 061436
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1036 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CAROLINA...


  SOUTH FORK CATAWBA RIVER IN NC AT LOWELL AFFECTING GASTON COUNTY.
  BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG AFFECTING CHEROKEE AND YORK 
  COUNTIES.
  BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS AFFECTING CLEVELAND COUNTY.


.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN RIVERS REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

SCC021-091-071436-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130507T1815Z/
/BBGS1.1.ER.130506T0414Z.130506T1800Z.130507T0615Z.NO/
1036 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AT APPROXIMATELY 19.7 FEET AND IS EXPECTED TO
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 8164 3514 8156 3502 8141 3500 8156 

$$

NCC045-071436-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130507T1518Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.130506T0241Z.130506T1015Z.130507T0318Z.NO/
1036 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS.
* UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...THE RIVER UPSTREAM OF THE CLIFFSIDE AREA 
  WILL OVERFLOW THE BANKS AND START TO FLOOD SOME ROADS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 8177 3525 8177 3518 8157 3514 8162 3518 8164

$$

NCC071-071436-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0018.130506T1425Z-130508T1800Z/
/LOWN7.1.ER.130506T1150Z.130507T0000Z.130508T0600Z.NO/
1036 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK CATAWBA RIVER IN NC AT LOWELL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED. FLOODING AT 
  THIS LEVEL WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED ON JANUARY
  26, 2010. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 3537 8126 3537 8108 3518 8102 3518 8110

$$

924 
WGUS82 KGSP 061907
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
307 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA...


  BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG AFFECTING CHEROKEE AND YORK 
  COUNTIES.
  BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS AFFECTING CLEVELAND COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

SCC021-091-071624-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130507T1624Z/
/BBGS1.1.ER.130506T0414Z.130506T1615Z.130507T0424Z.NO/
307 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 8164 3514 8156 3502 8141 3500 8156 

$$

NCC045-071340-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130507T1340Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.130506T0241Z.130506T1015Z.130507T0140Z.NO/
307 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WATER WILL REACH THE 
  STEPS OF MOBILE HOMES NEAR THE GAGE SITE. LOCAL CAMPGROUNDS NEAR 
  THE RIVER WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED. FLOODING AT THIS LEVEL WILL BE 
  SIMILAR TO FLOODING THAT OCCURRED ON JULY 8, 2005.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 8177 3525 8177 3518 8157 3514 8162 3518 8164

$$

JPT

794 
WGUS82 KGSP 070108
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
908 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...


  SOUTH FORK CATAWBA RIVER IN NC AT LOWELL AFFECTING GASTON COUNTY.
  BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG AFFECTING CHEROKEE AND YORK 
  COUNTIES.
  BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS AFFECTING CLEVELAND COUNTY.


.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER  REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

SCC021-091-080000-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130508T0000Z/
/BBGS1.1.ER.130506T0414Z.130506T1615Z.130507T1200Z.NO/
908 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN SC NEAR BLACKSBURG.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.1 FEET...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED. FLOODING AT 
  THIS LEVEL WILL BE SIMILAR TO FLOODING THAT OCCURRED ON JANUARY 25,
  2010. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 8164 3514 8156 3502 8141 3500 8156 

$$

NCC045-080000-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130508T0000Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.130506T0241Z.130506T1015Z.130507T1200Z.NO/
908 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WATER WILL REACH THE 
  STEPS OF MOBILE HOMES NEAR THE GAGE SITE. LOCAL CAMPGROUNDS NEAR 
  THE RIVER WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED. FLOODING AT THIS LEVEL WILL BE 
  SIMILAR TO FLOODING THAT OCCURRED ON JULY 8, 2005.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 8177 3525 8177 3518 8157 3514 8162 3518 8164

$$

NCC071-071458-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130507T1458Z/
/LOWN7.1.ER.130506T1150Z.130506T1830Z.130507T0258Z.NO/
908 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK CATAWBA RIVER IN NC AT LOWELL.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE RIVER WILL OVERFLOW ITS BANKS AND BEGIN
  TO FLOOD THE PARK. RIVERSIDE DRIVE NEAR 5TH AND 6TH STREETS IN 
  CRAMERTON.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3537 8126 3537 8108 3518 8102 3518 8110

$$

333 
WGUS82 KGSP 071415
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...


  BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS AFFECTING CLEVELAND COUNTY.
 
.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN HAS WORKED ITS WAY FURTHER 
DOWNSTREAM THUS...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL SLOWLY.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC045-071445-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130508T0000Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.130506T0241Z.130506T1015Z.130507T1111Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BROAD RIVER IN NC AT BOILING SPRINGS.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7:11 AM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.6 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 8177 3525 8177 3518 8157 3514 8162 3518 8164

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
549 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHEAST ALLOWING INCREASING
ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH. A FRONT AND ITS
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PRODUCING UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL FILL IN BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY BRINGING
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 540 PM...LATEST IR AND W/V IMAGES INDICATED THAT THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE HAS LIFTED GENERALLY NORTH OF THE CWA. LATEST RADAR
INDICATED A WIDE BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...ALONG AND NE OF
I-26. SW OF I-26...COVERAGE REMAINS SCT...BUT A NEW BAND DEVELOPING
ACROSS EXTREME NE GA. I WILL UPDATE TO POPS TO REFLECT THE LATEST
RADAR RETURNS. LATE TONIGHT...A BAND CURRENTLY OVER THE GA/AL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO LIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NC MTNS AND
FOOTHILLS. WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED...NO CHANGES WILL BE
MADE TO THE FLOOD WATCH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STEADY
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
BAND OF HEAVIER SHRA HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD TO THE ERN UPSTATE...NC
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...AND THE NRN MTNS. THAT SAID...THERE IS
STILL A BAND OF MODERATE PRECIP FROM THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY SOUTH
ACROSS GREENVILLE AND SPARTANBURG SOUTH TO LAURENS. SHOWERS ARE
STILL ONGOING ACROSS THE WESTERN CWFA...BUT PRECIP RATES ARE LIGHT.
EXPECT THESE FEATURES TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THRU THE AFTERNOON
THEN BEGIN TO PIVOT NORTHWARD AS SPOKES OF ENERGY ROTATE AROUND THE
SLOWLY APPROACHING UPPER LOW. SHRA SHUD REDEVELOP ACROSS THE WRN
CWFA TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES. THEREFORE...ONLY HAVE A
BRIEF PERIOD OF LIKELY POP WITH CAT POP FILLING BACK IN BEHIND THE
LARGE BAND. SHRA THEN TAPER OFF IN EARNEST ACROSS THE WRN CWFA AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS A DRY SLOT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. FLOODING IS STILL A
CONCERN AS THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX
CONVERGENCE WITH THE BAND. THIS INCREASES AGAIN ACROSS THE WEST THIS
EVENING AHEAD OF THE BAND OF SHRA DEVELOPING WITH THE APPROACHING
UPPER LOW. THEN THE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TRANSLATES TO THE NRN
PORTIONS OF THE CWFA AFTER MIDNIGHT. GIVEN THE ONGOING FLOODING AND
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL LEAVE THE FLOOD
WATCHES IN PLACE. IF THE SITUATION TRANSPIRES AS EXPECTED...THEN AT
LEAST PORTIONS OF THE WATCH OVER THE WRN CWFA WILL EXPIRE AS
EXPECTED OR CANCELED EARLY. MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS INSTABILITY
INCREASING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE COOLER MID LEVEL AIR
MOVES IN AND STRONG SLY FLOW INCREASES LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. HAVE
INCLUDED TSRA MENTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO INDICATE THIS.

UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE AREA MONDAY WITH
ADDITIONAL SPOKES OF ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE LOW. AT THE SFC...A
DRY SLOT WORKS INTO THE WRN CWFA DURING THE MORNING AS THE BAND OF
SHRA ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE SLIDES
INTO THE NRN CWFA DURING THE MORNING THEN NORTH OF THE AREA DURING
THE AFTERNOON. THE NRN SECTION OF THE FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES MOST OF
THIS AREA THRU THE DAY. LATER SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO ADJUST THE AREAL
COVERAGE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN BAND TO
START THE DAY. INSTABILITY TRANSLATES NORTH WITH THIS SYSTEM AS
WELL. IT ALSO INCREASES ACROSS THE MTNS WITH COOLER MID LEVEL AIR
MOVING IN. HAVE INCLUDED TSRA MENTION OVER THESE AREAS. RAISED HIGHS
A LITTLE...BUT NOT AS HIGH AS THE CONSENSUS MOS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM EST SUNDAY...THE SHORT TERM FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
TUESDAY WITH THE LONG LIVED CLOSED UPPER LOW CENTERED JUST TO OUR
WEST AND THE POLAR JET DISPLACED WELL TO THE NORTH. OVER THE NEXT 24
TO 48 HOURS...THE LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT OVER THE FCST AREA AND THEN
BEGIN TO GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD LATE
WED.

ON TUES...THE SFC LOW WILL BE NEARLY STALLED OUT OVER THE REGION BUT
ALSO SLOWLY FILLING. MOST OF THE CWFA WILL REMAIN UNDER PERSISTENT
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WITH CONTINUED FAVORABLE ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND
UPPER LVL DIVERGENCE ESPECIALLY OVER OUR NORTHEASTERN ZONES. THE
SPEED AT WHICH THE UPPER LOW ACTUALLY TRANSLATES EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST
WILL LARGELY DETERMINE HOW MUCH ADDITIONAL QPF THE SOUTHERN AND SW
ZONES RECEIVE DURING THE PERIOD. ON WED...THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AS IT GRADUALLY SLIDES NE AND TOWARDS THE
COAST. MODEL SOUNDINGS MAINTAIN QUITE A BIT OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
OVER MOST OF THE FCST AREA ON WED WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS TOWARDS
THE NORTH...HOWEVER PRECIP CHANCES AND OVERALL QPF WILL DIMINISH AS
MOST OF THE STRONGER MID AND UPPER LVL FORCING ALSO MOVES NORTHWARD.
THRU THE DAY ON WED...I LOWER POPS FROM SW TO NE AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES WITH MOST OF THE CWFA ONLY CARRYING ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
POP BY 00Z THURS. AMOUNTS SHOULD ALSO TAPER OFF WITH THE NE ZONES
GETTING UP TO MAYBE A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH ON WED. SOME
THUNDER/LIGHTING IS ALSO POSSIBLE TUES AND TO A LESSER EXTENT
WED...WITH SFC BASED CAPE LIKELY TO EXCEED 500 J/KG DURING THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE FCST AREA. BASED ON THE
LATEST MODEL SOUNDINGS...THE CAPE DISTRIBUTION DOES NOT APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS...BUT SOME LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL ON TUES AND WARM TO NEAR
CLIMATOLOGY ON WED.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT 200 PM EST SUNDAY...THE EAST COAST UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY
AWAY FORM OUR AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...WHILE AND UPPER RIDGE ADVANCES
FROM THE MS RIVER VALLEY TO THE EAST COAST. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
AMPLIFY FROM HUDSON BAY TO THE OH AN TN VALLEYS NEXT WEEKEND. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY...BETWEEN THE
DEPARTING SURFACE LOW AND A FRONT IN THE PLAINS. THE AIR MASS OVER
THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE SOMEWHAT MOIST...WITH INSTABILITY INCREASING
AS TEMPERATURES WARM WITH HEIGHT RISES ALOFT. MOIST GULF INFLOW
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL REACH OUR AREA LATER ON
FRIDAY...SUPPORTING A BETTER CHANCE OF CONVECTION INTO SATURDAY.
FRONTAL PASSAGE IS SLATED FOR SUNDAY...WITH ANOTHER FRONT ON ITS
HEELS IN THE OH RIVER VALLEY. POPS WILL RAMP UP AS MOISTURE
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE FRONT..PEAKING WITH FRONTAL PASSAGES ON
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO AROUND NORMAL AS HEIGHTS RISE
ALOFT...FALLING SLIGHTLY ON SUNDAY WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
INCREASING.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT...BAND OF HEAVIER SHRA IN THE LARGER SHRA BAND IS SLOWLY
SLIDING EAST TOWARD THE AIRFIELD. THIS WILL MEAN CONTINUED IFR CIGS
WITH TEMPO IFR VSBY IN THE HEAVIER SHRA. THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING AS THE BAND ONLY SLOWLY PIVOTS NORTHWARD. EXPECT VLIFR CIGS
BY DAYBREAK AS PRECIP BEGINS TO TAPER OFF. EXPECT CIGS TO GO MVFR BY
NOON MON AS THE SHOWERS MOVE NORTH AND DRY SLOT MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST. WINDS SHUD REMAIN NE INTO THE EVENING WHEN THE GO ENE. WINDS
TURN SE NEAR MIDNIGHT THEN SLY BY DAYBREAK. SLY WINDS CONTINUE THRU
MON MORN. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TSRA TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
HOWEVER...CHC TOO LOW TO INCLUDE ATTM.

ELSEWHERE...SIMILAR TO KCLT THAT THE SC SITES WILL SEE THE
IMPROVEMENT SOONER. KHKY/KAVL WILL SEE DETERIORATION SLIGHTLY AND
IMPROVEMENT SLIGHTLY LATER.

OUTLOOK...THE WEATHER WILL BE UNSETTLED THRU MID WEEK AS A SLOW
MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AFFECTS THE SOUTHEAST. RESTRICTIONS WILL
BECOME MORE SPOTTY FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON ONWARD.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            21-03Z        03-09Z        09-15Z        15-21Z
KCLT       HIGH  90%     HIGH  83%     MED   78%     HIGH  86%
KGSP       HIGH  93%     HIGH  91%     MED   66%     MED   70%
KAVL       HIGH  98%     HIGH  98%     MED   75%     MED   70%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  82%     HIGH  90%
KGMU       HIGH  96%     HIGH  94%     MED   66%     MED   70%
KAND       HIGH  84%     HIGH  83%     MED   62%     MED   68%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-
     029.
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR NCZ033-035-049-050-056-
     068-069-501>508.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NCZ048-051>053-058-059-
     062>065-509-510.
SC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR SCZ001>007-010-011.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...NED/RWH
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

NCZ033-035-049-050-056-068-069-501>508-061945-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-509-510-
SCZ001>007-010-011-061945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ036-037-057-070>072-082-SCZ008-009-012>014-019-061945-
IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CHEROKEE-
YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY SLIDE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
AND MONDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. UP TO 2 INCHES OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS
BEFORE THE RAIN DECREASES IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE MONDAY.
IF HEAVY RAIN PERSISTS AT ANY LOCATION...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN
AREAS...FLOODING COULD OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY WHICH COULD ENHANCE RAINFALL
INTENSITY AND RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IF THIS
OCCURS IN AN URBAN AREA. CONTINUE TO LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
501 PM EDT SUN MAY 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLOOD            ROSMAN                  35.14N 82.82W
05/05/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS HAD REPORTS OF HANNAH FORD RD AND ISLAND
            FORD RD FLOODED AS A RESULT OF HIGH WATER ON THE FRENCH
            BROAD RIVER.

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
506 PM EDT SUN MAY 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     FLOOD            2 S BREVARD             35.21N 82.73W
05/05/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS HAD REPORTS OF FLOODING ON BARCLAY RD IN
            BREVARD FROM HIGH WATER ON THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER SOUTH
            OF ROSMAN.

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 PM EDT SUN MAY 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     FLOOD            1 SW LITTLE RIVER       35.23N 82.64W
05/05/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS HAD REPORTS OF FLOODING ON CASCADE LAKE RD
            AT MERRILL LANE JUST SW OF LITTLE RIVER.

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
521 PM EDT SUN MAY 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLOOD            2 N LITTLE RIVER        35.27N 82.63W
05/05/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS REPORTED FLOODING ON CRAB CREEK RD WHERE IT
            CROSSES THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER JUST SE OF PENROSE, NC.

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
529 PM EDT SUN MAY 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     FLOOD            3 N MARION              35.73N 82.01W
05/05/2013                   MCDOWELL           NC   PUBLIC

            CATAWBA RIVER IS OUT OF ITS BANKS NEAR HANKINS RD.

&&

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
556 PM EDT SUN MAY 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     FLOOD            5 NW COLLETTSVILLE      35.98N 81.73W
05/05/2013                   CALDWELL           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            EDGEMONT RD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM WILSON CREEK.

&&

KRENTZ