Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

236 
WWUS82 KGSP 211405
RFWGSP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1005 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL BRING LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND
GUSTY WINDS TO NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. FUELS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY
DRYING AND CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE RAPID
SPREAD OF FIRES.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-220100-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0001.130321T1600Z-130322T0100Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1005 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

* TIMING...UNTIL 9 PM EDT...WITH THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS MID
  TO LATE AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 16 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...DRY
  VEGETATION...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE RISK FOR THE RAPID
  SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

GERAPETRITIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
401 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL AFFECT OUR WEATHER INTO FRIDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES THIS WEEKEND...THEN HIGH
PRESSURE RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER IN ACROSS THE WRN CAROLINAS AND NE GA
BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT. CURRENTLY IT/S 12 DEGREES ATOP BEECH
MTN. TEMPERATURES OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO
COOL...AND MOST AREAS WILL FALL TO BELOW FREEZING BY SUNRISE. NO
CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE ORIENTATION OR TIMING OF THE CURRENT
FREEZE WARNING. OTHERWISE IT WILL BE SUNNY AND CHILLY OVER THE
REGION TODAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OVER THE NC MTNS. MAX TEMPS WILL
RUN 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL OVER THE MTNS AND 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. THE AIRMASS IS ALSO
EXCEPTIONALLY DRY. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER PART OF THE DISCUSSION FOR
THE CONCERNS THE DRY AIR IS CAUSING.

FOR TONIGHT FREEZING TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONCE AGAIN AFFECT MUCH OF
THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. HOWEVER...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AS AN
APPROACHING SHORT WAVE INDUCES A BAND OF MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS
ACROSS NRN AND CENTRAL GA. THE MODELS EVEN GENERATE SOME PCPN NOT
TOO FAR SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...ALL THE MODELS AGREE
THAT ANY PCPN...WHICH WOULD BE SNOW...WILL STAY OUT OF THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT. THE THICKENING CLOUDS COULD KEEP TEMPS FROM REACHING
FREEZING...THOUGH THERE WILL BE A RAPID COOL OFF BEFORE THE CLOUDS
THICKEN LATE THIS EVENING. IN ORDER TO AVOID CONFUSION WITH THE
FREEZE WATCH THAT/S IN EFFECT THIS MORNING...I WON/T UPGRADE THE
FREEZE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR TONIGHT. THIS GIVES THE DAY SHIFT A
LITTLE MORE TIME TO SCRUTINIZE LATER MODEL RUNS TO DETERMINE IF A
SMALL PART OF NE GA AND/OR THE WRN UPSTATE SHOULD BE LEFT OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM THURSDAY...THERE IS STILL ABOVE AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY IN
THE FCST IN THE SHORT TERM. THIS IS MAINLY THANKS TO TIMING ISSUES
WITH A SHORTWAVE TROF THAT IS PROGGED TO EJECT OUT OF THE
FOUR-CORNERS REGION ON SATURDAY...AND TRACK ACRS THE MIDWEST TO THE
OHIO VLY SUNDAY. THIS ENERGY WILL DEVELOP A MILLER-B CYCLONE FOR THE
EAST COAST...WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXPECTED TO CROSS THE CWFA ON
SUNDAY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE HAS CONVERGED SOMEWHAT ON THE TIMING.
THE 00Z NAM IS THE OUTLIER...AND WAS GENERALLY THROWN OUT. WITH THAT
SAID...THE 00Z GFS MOS GUIDANCE SEEMS TOO WARM FOR TEMPS ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...BUT OTHERWISE LOOKS OKAY

SO FOR THIS FCST...I TOOK A MODEL BLEND...SANS NAM. FRIDAY/S TEMPS
LOOK TO STAY WELL BELOW NORMAL...AS THE MORNING WILL BE OFF TO A
COLD START...AND THICKENING MID-HIGH CLOUDS SHUD STREAM IN BY THE
AFTN HOURS. FRONTOGENESIS IS PROGGED TO INTENSIFY ROUGHLY ALONG THE
SRN TN BORDER FRIDAY AFTN INTO THE EVENING...WITH MOST GUIDANCE
SHOWING SOME QPF RESPONSE...AS THE FORCING STREAKS INTO THE WRN
CAROLINAS. THE LLVLS WILL START OUT VERY DRY...AND THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL BE WEAK. SO I UNDERCUT MODEL CONSENSUS ON POPS
GENERALLY IN THE CHC/SCHC RANGE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...TO AROUND 60% IN
THE SW HALF OF THE CWFA OVERNIGHT. TEMPS ARE TRICKY...AS IF ENUF
PRECIP DEVELOPS...COULD WET BULB DOWN INTO THE LWR-MID 30S
(SUB-FREEZING IN THE MTNS). FCST SNDGS SHOW NO WARM NOSE...SO EXPECT
MAINLY A RA/SN SITUATION IN THE MTNS...WITH MINOR ACCUM POSSIBLE ABV
3500 FT.

SATURDAY...THE NON-NAM CONSENSUS SHOWS A LULL IN PRECIP...AS
FRONTOGENESIS WEAKENS AND QUASI-ZONAL FLOW REMAINS AT 500 MB. AS
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...DID NOT BUY THE WARM GFS MOS TEMPS. THERE MAY
BE A WEAK IN SITU WEDGE WITH STRATUS ACRS THE AREA IN WAKE OF THE
MOISTURE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT. I BLENDED IN SOME BIAS-CORRECTED MOS
GUIDE...WHICH ONLY BUMPED TEMPS UP A CATEGORY IN SPOTS. AS FOR
PRECIP TYPE...GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THICKNESSES RISING TO
ALL LIQUID RANGE BY MIDDAY. AND WITH WEAK (IF ANY) COLD AIR DAMMING
DURING THE DAY...I/M EXPECTING FAIRLY LOW ICE/SNOW POTENTIAL.

SATURDAY NIGHT...PRETTY MUCH ALL THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE HAS THE BEST
FORCING AND MOISTURE SPREADING ACRS THE AREA DURING THIS PERIOD. IT
LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN FORCING WILL BE STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE IN A
DUAL-JET ENVIRONMENT COUPLED WITH STRONG LLVL ISENT LIFT...AS
MILLER-B LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP TO OUR WEST. FEEL CONFIDENT ENUF TO
GO WITH CATEGORICAL POP (80%). AGAIN...ALL MODELS ARE INDICATING
BASICALLY ALL RAIN. IN SITU CAD WILL STRENGTHEN...SO THERE MAY BE
SOME LOCALLY SUB-FREEZING TEMPS IN AVERY/CALDWELL COUNTIES NEAR THE
ESCARPMENT. I INHERITED A FEW PIXELS OF 30-32 DEG UP THERE...AND
WILL LEAVE FOR NOW...BUT THE TRENDS HAVE BEEN WARMER.
OTHERWISE...EXPECTING MAINLY UPR 30S TO LWR 40S AND RAINY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM THURSDAY...WITH STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON EXACT TIMING
OF THE PASSAGE OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT ON SUNDAY...AND THE IMPACTS ON
POPS/TEMPS. I OPTED TO LEAVE THE EXTENDED ALONE THIS MORNING. STILL
EXPECTING DRYING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY...WITH NW FLOW
SHWR ACTIVITY LINGERING ALONG THE TN LINE FOR SEVERAL FCST PERIODS.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE SYSTEM...WITH DRIER
WEATHER FOR MONDAY THRU WEDNESDAY EAST OF THE MTNS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
AS OF 230 PM WEDNESDAY...THIS FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE GFS WITH THE
BETTER DEFINED MILLER B LOW CROSSING THE SOUTHEAST TRANSITIONING
INTO THE COASTAL LOW ON THE CAROLINA COAST.

THE CANADIAN LEANS TOWARD THE GFS AS OPPOSED TO THE ECMWF. THE
CANADIAN MODEL HAS A MILLER B WITH A VERY LONG TRANSITION WITH DUAL
LOWS RUNNING TOGETHER FROM THE VIRGINIAS TO NOVA SCOTIA TAKING A
MORE NORTHERN ROUTE THAN THE TRACK OF THE LOWS ON THE GFS.  NO
MATTER WHICH MODEL SEEN...THERE IS UPPER LEVEL TROFINESS OVER OUR
REGION THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE GFS STARTS TO
BUILD SOME UPPER RIDGING FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY OR NEXT WEEK.

STARTING AT 00Z MONDAY FOR THIS PERIOD...THE MILLER B LOWS HAVE
PASSED NE OF OUR AREA ON THE GFS. THERE IS A FEW HOURS OF LITTLE IF
ANY PRECIP OVER OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DAMS
UP AGAINST THE TN AND NC BORDER BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT GOING INTO
MONDAY.  THE 850MB FLOW STARTS OUT MORE WESTERLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND AS
THE LOW MOVES OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST THE FLOW BECOMES MORE NW BY
LATE MONDAY. THIS MEANS A NOT SO FAVORABLE NW FLOW SNOW MAKER SUNDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY THEN BETTER STRAIGHT ON FLOW AGAINST THE
MOUNTAIN CHAIN LATE MONDAY THROUGH MOST OF TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE THE
PERIOD OF HIGHER CHANCES OF NW FLOW SNOW FOR THE NC MTNS. THE FLOW
BECOMES LIGHTER TUESDAY NIGHT AND MOISTURE BECOMES LESS GOING INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE BUILDING RIDGE FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY ON THE GFS IS
CONTRASTED BY THE ECMWF WHICH HAS A 534MB LOW CENTERED OVER WEST
VIRGINIA AT 12Z THURSDAY. THIS BRINGS THE ECMWF 1000-700MB THICKNESS
2760 LINE ACROSS ASHEVILLE AT 12Z THURSDAY WHERE ON THE GFS THE 2804
THICKNESS LINE CROSSES ASHEVILLE.  BIG DIFFERENCE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AND LOWS WILL BE 5 TO 10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT...WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY. AN
OCCASIONAL GUST TO 18 TO 20 KTS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AND AGAIN DURING MAX MIXING THIS AFTN. FOR NOW I/VE LEFT
GUSTS OUT OF THE TAF. NO GIG OR VSBY RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED WITH COOL
AND VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.

ELSEWHERE...KAVL COULD SEE RESTRICTIONS IN LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW
SHOWERS FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS. VFR CIGS AND VSBYS ELSEWHERE AS
COLD AND VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS
WILL GUST UP TO 25 KTS THROUGH THE VALID PERIOD OF THE TAF AT KAVL.
WINDS ELSEWHERE COULD GUST UP TO 20 KTS FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND AGAIN THIS AFTN. FOR NOW I DIDN/T ADD ANY
GUSTS OVER THE FOOTHILLS OR PIEDMONT OWING TO THEIR EXPECTED
OCCASIONAL NATURE.

OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. CONDITIONS
SHOULD DETERIORATE QUICKLY FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY WITH THE
APPROACH OF ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM. PRECIPITATION AND RESTRICTIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST OFF AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z        02-08Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE DAY SHIFT YDAY COLLABORATED WITH NC AND SC LAND MANAGERS WHO
REQUESTED THAT WE ISSUE A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR TODAY GIVEN THE
CONTINUED LOW RH AND GUSTY WINDS. THE WINDS...HOWEVER...SHUD REMAIN
BELOW RFW CRITERIA...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
WHERE RH/S ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LITTLE ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA.

FOR NE GA WIND AND RH CRITERIA SHOULD BE MET THIS AFTN...LEAVING A
QUESTION OF FUEL MOISTURE. THE CHATTOOGA RAWS CURRENTLY HAS A 10 HR
FUEL MOISTURE OF 12 PERCENT. IT DROPPED TO ABOUT 10 PERCENT YDAY
AFTER HITTING A LOW OF 11 PERCENT THE DAY BEFORE. AT TALLULAH THE
FUEL MOISTURE DROPPED TO 4 PERCENT A FEW HOURS AGO...AND IT WILL
LIKELY DO THE SAME THIS AFTN. SO IT/S A BIT OF A MIXED BAG...BUT THE
PATH OF LEAST REGRET IS TO GO AHEAD AND ISSUE THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA FOR TODAY.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     GAZ018-026-028-029.
     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR GAZ018-026-028-
     029.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510.
     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NCZ035>037-056-
     057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510.
SC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     SCZ004>014-019.
     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR SCZ004>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARK
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY
SHORT TERM...ARK
LONG TERM...ARK/DEO
AVIATION...MCAVOY
FIRE WEATHER...MCAVOY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
910 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062-220115-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
910 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BEHIND ARCTIC FRONT TONIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS WILL FALL ALONG THE TENNESSEE LINE. AT THIS TIME SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...THOUGH
SLICK SPOTS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF WINDY
CONDITIONS AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES
OF 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-
510-SCZ004>014-019-220115-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-
CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
910 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.
   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.
   FREEZE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ063>065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ001>003-220115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
910 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1110 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 PM     SNOW             LINVILLE                36.07N  81.87W
03/20/2013  M1.0 INCH        AVERY              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 OF SNOW IN LINVILLE

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1112 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1103 PM     SNOW             FLAT SPRINGS            36.25N  81.91W
03/20/2013  M2.0 INCH        AVERY              NC   CO-OP OBSERVER

            2 SNOW FLAT SPRINGS

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1147 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     SNOW             2 NW LEICESTER          35.67N  82.71W
03/20/2013  M1.3 INCH        BUNCOMBE           NC   PUBLIC

            1.3 SNOW

&&

JPT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
326 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-211200-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
326 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

...ICY ROADS IN SPOTS THIS MORNING...

SCATTERED...HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTED MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS LATE LAST NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSED THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH WILL
CAUSE WATER TO FREEZE INTO BLACK ICE IN SCATTERED AREAS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIONS WHEN DRIVING ACROSS BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES THIS MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
341 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-
SCZ001>014-019-220100-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-
HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
341 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

EXPECT INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO DEVELOP TODAY AS A COLD AND VERY
DRY AIR MASS MOVES INTO THE AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. OUTSIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS...WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT SPEEDS
OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10
TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
MOUNTAINS.

PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL BURN PERMITTING AUTHORITIES ON WHETHER
YOU CAN BURN TODAY. IF YOU DO BURN...USE EXTREME CAUTION SINCE
FIRES CAN QUICKLY GET OUT OF HAND UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

14