Freeze Warning 13, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

544 
WWUS72 KGSP 251539
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1139 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZE EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.A CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH WINDS BECOMING
LIGHT OR CALM...AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...FREEZING TEMPERATURES
WITH AREAS OF FROST WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ037-071-082-509-510-SCZ001>014-019-
252345-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0013.131026T0400Z-131026T1400Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-MECKLENBURG-
UNION NC-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...MOCKSVILLE...CHARLOTTE...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
1139 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...MOST OF NORTHEAST
  GEORGIA...AS WELL AS POLK...DAVIE...MECKLENBURG...AND UNION
  COUNTIES IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST WILL LIKELY KILL OR 
  DAMAGE TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY

744 
WWUS72 KGSP 251835
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
235 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZE EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.A CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH WINDS BECOMING
LIGHT OR CALM...AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...FREEZING TEMPERATURES
WITH AREAS OF FROST WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ037-071-082-509-510-SCZ001>014-019-
260300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0013.131026T0400Z-131026T1400Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-MECKLENBURG-
UNION NC-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...MOCKSVILLE...CHARLOTTE...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
235 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...MOST OF NORTHEAST 
  GEORGIA...AS WELL AS POLK...DAVIE...MECKLENBURG...AND UNION 
  COUNTIES IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST WILL LIKELY KILL OR 
  DAMAGE TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY

229 
WWUS72 KGSP 260230
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1030 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZE EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.A CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH WINDS BECOMING
LIGHT OR CALM...AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...FREEZING TEMPERATURES
WITH AREAS OF FROST WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ037-071-082-509-510-SCZ001>014-019-
261400-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0013.131026T0400Z-131026T1400Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-MECKLENBURG-
UNION NC-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...MOCKSVILLE...CHARLOTTE...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
1030 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...MOST OF NORTHEAST 
  GEORGIA...AS WELL AS POLK...DAVIE...MECKLENBURG...AND UNION 
  COUNTIES IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST WILL LIKELY KILL OR 
  DAMAGE TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

CDG

506 
WWUS72 KGSP 260831
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
431 AM EDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...

.A CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SETTLE IN OVER THE
REGION THIS MORNING. WITH LIGHT OR CALM WINDS...AND CLEAR
SKIES...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ037-071-082-509-510-SCZ001>014-019-
261400-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131026T1400Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-MECKLENBURG-
UNION NC-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...MOCKSVILLE...CHARLOTTE...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
431 AM EDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...MOST OF NORTHEAST 
  GEORGIA...AS WELL AS POLK...DAVIE...MECKLENBURG...AND UNION 
  COUNTIES IN NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST WILL LIKELY KILL OR 
  DAMAGE TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$


ARK

890 
WWUS72 KGSP 261404
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1004 AM EDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...TEMPERATURES WARMING AFTER A FROSTY MORNING...

.CALM HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT ALLOWED TEMPERATURES
TO DIP BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EARLIER THIS MORNING.
UNDER SUNNY SKIES TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE...THOUGH HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ037-071-082-509-510-SCZ001>014-019-
261515-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FZ.W.0013.000000T0000Z-131026T1400Z/
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-MECKLENBURG-
UNION NC-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...
ELBERTON...MOCKSVILLE...CHARLOTTE...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
1004 AM EDT SAT OCT 26 2013

...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

TEMPERATURES HAVE NOW RISEN ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA WHERE
THE FREEZE WARNING WAS IN EFFECT...SO IT HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE. SHADY SPOTS MAY CONTINUE TO BE COVERED IN FROST FOR
ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...OR UNTIL THE SUN FALLS ON THEM.

$$
WIMBERLEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
158 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD CANADIAN AIR MASS WILL LINGER ATOP THE REGION INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. EXPECT THE THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS
SEASON TO OCCUR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 145 AM...PROBABLY SEEING THE STRONGEST MID-UPR SUPPORT FOR
CLOUDS/PRECIP AT THIS TIME...AS IR CLOUD TEMPS TICKED DOWN...AND
COVERAGE IS EXPANDING THE NW PIEDMONT. HOWEVER...PRECIP TRENDS HAVE
NOT TICKED UP MUCH ALONG THE TN/NC BORDER. WILL KEEP A CHC POP IN
THE NW FLOW AREAS THRU DAYBREAK SNOW LVLS ARE LIKELY FALLING WITH
STILL GOOD CAA...BUT ARE NOT SNOW SHWRS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ANY ACCUM BELOW 3500 FT.

AS OF 1000 PM EDT THURSDAY...UPPER WAVE CONTINUES TO APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST.  LATEST RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS AT THIS TIME.  CLOUD TOPS
CONTINUE TO COOL TO LEVELS SUPPORTIVE OF SNOW CRYSTALS ACROSS THIS
REGION PER IR IMAGERY.  SURFACE TEMPS ON THE OTHER HAND REMAIN IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S WITH A FEW HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS DIPPING
INTO THE UPPER 30S.  STILL EXPECTING SHOWERS TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW
IN THE NEXT SIX HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST NC MOUNTAINS
AS LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASES SLIGHTLY.
ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS TO REFLECT LATEST OBSERVATIONS
AND LEFT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS IS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

AS OF MIDDAY THURSDAY...AT LEAST THROUGH THE EARLY PERIOD DEEP TROUGH
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE ERN CONUS. SHORTWAVE WILL ENTER THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH THIS EVENING...PASSING ACROSS NRN NC LATE TONIGHT
ALBEIT WITHOUT ENOUGH MOISTURE TO DRIVE PRECIP ON ITS OWN. THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL REINFORCE THE ALREADY COOL LLVL TEMPS AND
VEER WINDS BACK INTO A FAVORABLE NWLY DIRECTION FOR UPSLOPE PRECIP.
PROFILES ARE SATURATED TO AROUND THE -10C LEVEL IN 00-03Z TIMEFRAME
WHILE WINDS ARE CONTINUALLY SHOWN TO VEER OVERNIGHT. AS NOTED BY
PREVIOUS SHIFT THERE LOOKS TO BE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR NW FLOW
SNOW...GIVEN SFC TEMPS VERY NEAR IF NOT BELOW FREEZING IN THE MTNS.

DESPITE THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS...I AM SOMEWHAT CONCERNED ABOUT THE
LACK OF ECHOES SEEN ON RADAR SO FAR TODAY WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF LLVL
MOISTURE AND WLY WINDS WHICH ARE STRONGER THAN THE NWLY WINDS PROGGED
FOR TONIGHT. BEING SKEPTICAL I WILL KEEP POPS IN CHC RANGE DESPITE
WHAT APPEARS TO BE A DECENT BUT SHORT-LIVED SETUP.

MOUNTAIN SHADOW EFFECTS SHOULD LIMIT THE EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER INTO
THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT. WITH WINDS VEERING TO NW-NNW BY THE LATE NIGHT
HOURS DOWNSLOPING SHOULD PREVENT TEMPS FROM DROPPING TOO FAR DESPITE
THE ARRIVAL OF THE COOLER AIRMASS. THUS I FAVORED WARMER GUIDANCE.
FROST LOOKS TO BE CONFINED TO THE SRN MTNS WHERE DEWPOINTS WILL BE
HIGHER THAN IN THE FOOTHILLS OR PIEDMONT. THE FROST-FREEZE PROGRAM
HAS NOW BEEN ENDED IN THE MTNS SO NO HEADLINE IS NEEDED...BUT
ESPECIALLY SHELTERED SPOTS IN THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS MIGHT INDEED SEE
SOME PATCHY FROST. AS SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRI...NORTH
WINDS WILL KEEP HIGHS A FEW DEGREES BELOW TODAY/S VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 200 AM EDT FRIDAY...THE SHORT RANGE PART OF THE FORECAST LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY BENIGN. THE UPPER PATTERN IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME NEARLY ZONAL BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROF OVER THE
GREAT LAKES PULLS OUT TO THE NE. A WEAK WAVE WILL DAMPEN AS IT MOVES
OVERHEAD ON SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS WILL BE OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCE.
INSTEAD...HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD SATURDAY MORNING WILL WEAKEN AND
SINK FARTHER S ACROSS THE SE. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT OF SORTS
SHOULD LAY OUT ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE NW ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE HAS SOME MOISTURE WITH IT BUT FORCING IS ALMOST
NON-EXISTENT AND WESTERLY FLOW AT 850MB IS NOT THAT CONDUCIVE TO
UPSLOPE PRECIP ON THE TN BORDER. WILL REMOVE ANY SMALL AREAS OF
SLIGHT CHC POP FOR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THAT LEAVES TEMPS
AS THE MAIN PROBLEM. WITH CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AHEAD OF
THE NEXT FRONT...MIN TEMP EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE ABOUT TWO
CATEGORIES WARMER THAN TONIGHT...BUT NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF THE FROST
REALM...SO THAT WILL BEAR WATCHING. HEIGHTS REBOUND SUNDAY WITH THE
ZONAL FLOW...AND WITH A WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE EAST OF THE MTNS...HIGH
TEMPS MIGHT CLIMB ABOUT TEN DEGREES WARMER THAN SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 1150 AM EDT THURSDAY...THE GOING DRY FCST STILL LOOKS TO BE ON
TRACK TO START THE WORK WEEK WITH A QUASI-ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPING
ATOP THE SE CONUS. WITH COOL LLVL RIDGING IN PLACE...PROGGED MAX
TEMPS ARE SLATED TO BE 3-4 DEG F BELOW THE LATE OCTOBER CLIMO. ON
TUESDAY...THE ONSET OF DEVELOPING RETURN FLOW WELL DOWNSTREAM OF
ORGANIZING PLAINS SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CREEP UP A FEW
DEGREES...WHILE SENSIBLE WEATHER REMAINS LIMITED TO JUST FAIR WX
CLOUDS. IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN ON JUST HOW QUICKLY AFOREMENTIONED
SYSTEM EJECTS TOWARD THE EASTERN CONUS AS THE WEEK WEARS ON WITH
TOTALLY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS ADVERTISED BY THE LATEST OP GFS/ECMWF.
WILL PLAN ON GIVING PROPS TO THE MUCH SLOWER EC SOLUTION AND NOT
INTRODUCE ANYTHING MORE THAN TOKEN SMALL SHOWER CHANCES BY NEXT
THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT...BKN-OVC CLOUDS AROUND 7000-8000 FT CONTINUE TO LINGER INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE 00Z MODEL CONSENSUS HAS CIGS UNTIL
ABOUT 10Z. FROM THERE...SKIES SHUD BE GENERALLY CLEAR...WITH PERHAPS
SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT AROUND 4000 FT AFTER DAYBREAK PER NAM
BUFKIT. WINDS WILL REMAIN NLY TO NNELY GENERALLY 5-10 KTS...WITH AN
OCCASIONAL LOW-END GUSTS LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTN POSSIBLE. SKC
AND DIMINISHING NLY WINDS THIS EVENING.

AT KAVL...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. ALTHO...CANNOT RULE OUT A BRIEF
MVFR CIG WITH NW FLOW MOISTURE WORKING UP THE VLY DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS. OTHERWISE...SKY COVER WILL REMAIN THE DENSEST ACRS
THE MTNS OVERNIGHT AS NW UPSLOPE FLOW HELPS TO ENHANCE LIFT.
CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY MID MORNING
THUS ALLOWING FOR SKIES TO SCATTER. A NLY CHANNELED VLY WIND WILL
RESULT IN SOME GUSTS IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE PROBABLY THRU MID
MORNING...THEN BEGIN TO SUBSIDE.

ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY CLEAR...EXCEPT NEAR KHKY WHERE MID CLOUDS
LINGER FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AT MOST. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHERLY AT
ALL SITES AND LIGHT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE INCREASING
DURING THE DAYTIME TO AROUND THE 6-8KTS RANGE. SKC AND LIGHT WIND AT
ALL SITES EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

OUTLOOK...DRY AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL YIELD VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. THE MTNS WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES
FOR OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG/LOW STRATUS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THE WEEKEND. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT IN MANY
LOCATIONS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. IN ADDITION...AFTERNOON FUEL MOISTURE VALUES
WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE EACH DAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED. WINDS...HOWEVER...SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT EXCEPT AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
     GAZ017-018-026-028-029.
NC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
     NCZ037-071-082-509-510.
SC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
     SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...ARK/CDG/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...CSH
AVIATION...ARK
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
335 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-501-503-505-251945-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
335 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. WHILE ONLY A DUSTING TO AN INCH
IS EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS...ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE LIMITED
MAINLY TO THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS...THE
BLACK MOUNTAINS...AND THE HIGHER PORTIONS OF AVERY COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ037-071-082-509-510-SCZ001>014-019-251945-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-MECKLENBURG-UNION NC-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
335 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE. A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-NCZ035-036-056-057-062>065-068>070-072-502-504-506>508-251945-
RABUN-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-CATAWBA-ROWAN-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-CABARRUS-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-
335 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.