Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 90, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

September 1, 2013Henderson County, Polk County, Rutherford County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Sep 1, 2013, 5:26 PM EDT for Henderson County, Polk County, Rutherford County, North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2013, 5:26 PM EDT (21:26 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2013, 8:30 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Henderson County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Sep 1, 6:28 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 Ne Hendersonville, NCSTREAM GAGE ALONG CLEAR CREEK INDICATES FLOODING ALONG FRUITLAND ROAD AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS.
Sep 1, 7:45 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 Ne Hendersonville, NCFRUITLAND ROAD FLOODED AND CLOSED BY CLEAR CREEK.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 62 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 875 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
875 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
627 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

277 
WGUS52 KGSP 012126
FFWGSP
NCC089-149-161-020030-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0090.130901T2126Z-130902T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
526 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN POLK COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  WEST CENTRAL RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 524 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE      
  WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES
  OF RAIN HAD FALLEN FROM EAST OF FLETCHER TO NORTH OF EDNEYVILLE
  TO AROUND CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL
  CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGHOUT THIS REGION INTO EARLY EVENING.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...BAT
  CAVE...CHIMNEY ROCK...LAKE ADGER AND LAKE LURE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS STEEP OR ROCKY...REMAIN
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ROCK OR MUD SLIDES DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3546 8226 3549 8223 3546 8205 3532 8204
      3537 8247 3545 8247 3548 8241 3546 8237
      3548 8237 3550 8233

$$

CSH
2 follow-up statements
930 
WGUS72 KGSP 012237
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
637 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NCC089-149-161-020030-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130902T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENDERSON NC-POLK NC-RUTHERFORD NC-
637 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL
RUTHERFORD...NORTHERN POLK AND NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL
830 PM EDT...

AT 631 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 
INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN FROM EAST OF FLETCHER TO NORTH OF 
EDNEYVILLE TO AROUND CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK AND INTO FAR NORTHEAST
POLK COUNTY. 

FLOODING HAD EARLIER BEEN REPORTED ALONG CHIMNEY ROCK ROAD BETWEEN
EDNEYVILLE AND BAT CAVE WHEN WATER WAS FLOWING ACROSS THE ROAD.
IN ADDITION...FLOODING OF LOW SPOTS ALONG CLEAR CREEK...ESPECIALLY
NEAR FRUITLAND ROAD IS LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3546 8205 3532 8204 3537 8247 3545 8247
      3548 8242 3546 8237 3547 8236 3545 8230
      3546 8226 3547 8224

$$

CSH
922 
WGUS72 KGSP 012325
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
725 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NCC149-161-012333-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130902T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POLK NC-RUTHERFORD NC-
725 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL
RUTHERFORD AND NORTHERN POLK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

DESPITE RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3.5 INCHES FROM
AROUND CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK INTO FAR NORTHEAST POLK COUNTY...
NO REPORTS OF FLOODING OR HIGH WATER WERE RECEIVED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3546 8237 3547 8236 3545 8230 3546 8228
      3544 8228 3539 8226 3538 8230 3535 8233
      3537 8247 3545 8247 3547 8242

$$

NCC089-020030-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130902T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENDERSON NC-
725 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON
COUNTY UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

AT 718 PM EDT...STREAM GAGES INDICATED THAT FLOODING WAS CONTINUING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CLEAR CREEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR FRUITLAND ROAD AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS. THE STREAM IS EXPECTED TO CREST SHORTLY AND
THEN FALL THROUGH MID-EVENING.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3546 8237 3547 8236 3545 8230 3546 8228
      3544 8228 3539 8226 3538 8230 3535 8233
      3537 8247 3545 8247 3547 8242

$$

CSH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 1, 2:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 1, 2:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
256 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. THIS MOIST FLOW WILL HELP TO
KICK OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LABOR DAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE CAROLINAS ON TUESDAY WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING
ON WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM...REGIONAL RADAR INDICATED A OUTFLOW SUPPORTED LINE OF
STORMS ACROSS THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY WITH CLUSTERS OF
STORMS ACROSS THE NC MTNS AND NRN FOOTHILLS. THE CONVECTION APPEARS
TO BE SUPPORTED BY THE APPROACH OF A S/W RIPPLING ACROSS EASTERN
KY/TN. LATEST MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT CAPES ACROSS THE CWA
RANGE FROM 2000 J/KG ACROSS THE MTNS TO 3500 J/KG ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.
SIMILAR TO SATURDAY...THE FORECAST AREA WILL LIKELY SEE AFTERNOON
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH HIGHS IN THE U80S. DCAPE VALUES
MAY CONTINUE TO RANGE BELOW 1000 J/KG. KFFC AND KGSO FZL ABOVE 14
KFT/WBZ ABOVE 12 KFT AND WEAK SHEAR WILL NOT FAVOR LARGE HAIL. I
ANTICIPATE THAT STORM COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
COUPLED WITH INCREASING UPPER SUPPORT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A BROAD
BAND OF TSRA FORMING OVER THE MTNS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...TRACKING
EAST DURING THE EVENING. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE THE GREATEST
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. STORMS THROUGH
THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND EVENTS AND TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL...HIGHLIGHTED WELL IN THE HWO.

TONIGHT...MODERATE AFTERNOON CAPE VALUES WILL SLOWLY ERODE THROUGH
THE LATE NIGHT HOURS. THE LINGERING INSTABILITY AND EXPECTED PASSAGE
OF WEAK VORTS MAY SUPPORT COVERAGE THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT.
CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS INDICATE THAT SHRA/TSRA MAY LINGER UNTIL
9Z. HOWEVER...THE GFS CONTINUES QPF ACROSS THE MTNS...POSSIBLY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ARRIVAL OF CONVECTION FROM THE WEST. I WILL KEEP
POPS OVER THE MTNS WITHIN CHC RANGE...EAST OF THE MTNS WILL REMAIN
SCHC. LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM MID 60S
ACROSS THE MTNS TO AROUND 70 EAST.

LABOR DAY...THE GFS INDICATES THAT H85 TEMPS WILL WARM 2 TO 3
DEGREES FROM THIS AFTERNOON. MOS GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT HIGHS ARE
FORECAST TO WARM ABOVE TODAYS VALUES BY A FEW DEGREES. WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS IN THE L70S SHOULD ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN
CAPES AROUND 3000 J/KG. THE PASSAGE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH...WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL RESULT MID DAY MTN THUNDERSTORMS. SIMILAR
TO TODAY...STEERING FLOW SHOULD PUSH COVERAGE EAST DURING THE HEAT
OF THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS MAY RESULT IN SEVERAL
DAMAGING WIND EVENTS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 140 PM SUNDAY...UPPER LEVEL L/WV TROUGH AXIS IS SLATED FOR
PASSAGE SOME TIME TUESDAY MORNING WITH THE BETTER LARGE SCALE FORCING
DEVELOPING TOWARD THE COAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AT THE SFC...WEAK
COLD FRONT NW OF THE MTNS MONDAY NIGHT REMAINS PROGGED TO JUMP INTO
EXISTING LEE TROUGH POSITION ON TUESDAY. WITHIN THE BROAD UVV/S ALONG
FRONT SIDE OF UPPER TROUGH...AT LEAST SMALL POP WILL NEED TO BE IN
THE FCST ALL NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. AS TUESDAY WEARS ON...THE
INFLUX OF DRIER LLVL AIR WOULD SEEM TO INCREASINGLY LIMIT DIURNAL
DEEP CONVECTIVE CHANCES TO AREAS E/SE OF THE BLUE RIDGE...ROUGHLY
COINCIDENT WITH THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

DEEP LAYERED DRY AIR AND WEAK RIDGING ARE STILL EXPECTED TO SPREAD
INTO THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN QUIET WX CONDS AND
MAX TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEG F BELOW THE EARLY SEPT CLIMO.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1 PM SUNDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
THURSDAY WITH THE STEEP UPPER RIDGE PERSISTING OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS AND BROAD UPPER TROFFING OVER THE EAST. THIS PATTERN WILL
LARGELY MAINTAIN ITSELF UNTIL A CLOSED H5 LOW SPINS UP OVER THE
PACIFIC NW ON FRI AND THEN GRADUALLY SLIDES EASTWARD AND UP OVER THE
RIDGE. THE LONG RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS LOW WILL ACT TO
FLATTEN THE UPPER RIDGE TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD ON
SUN...LEAVING A MORE ZONAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER MOST OF THE CONUS.
AT THE SFC...DRY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SLIDING OVER THE
REGION WITH WEAK FLOW AT THE SFC AND ALOFT. AS WE MOVE INTO FRI AND
THE WEEKEND...THE BERMUDA HIGH WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD MOIST SLY FLOW
OVER THE FCST AREA WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SCT SH AND TS EACH
DAY/EVENING. TEMPS SHOULD START THE PERIOD NEAR CLIMO AND DROP A
DEGREE OR 2 BY DAYS 6 AND 7.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT...LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND WEB CAMS INDICATE
WEAKLY DEVELOPED CU ACROSS THE TERMINAL AT TAF ISSUANCE TIME.
REGIONAL RADARS INDICATE A FEW TSRA BANDS EXITING THE
FOOTHILLS...ON A TRACK TO MOVE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL.
HOWEVER...THE SPC SSEO INDICATES THAT CONVECTION WILL RAPIDLY
DEVELOP OVER THE MTNS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A MODERATE S/W MOVES
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. STEERING FLOW SHOULD BRING THE
CONVECTION ACROSS THE TERMINAL BETWEEN 22Z TO 2Z. SFC WINDS AHEAD OF
THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SW AROUND 10 KTS. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE
OF THE STORMS...THICK DEBRIS CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE REGION
FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. VFR FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER RAIN SOAKED AREAS
AROUND DAWN. ONE OR TWO HOURS AFTER SUNRISE MONDAY...WITH SHOULD
INCREASE TO AROUND 5 KTS FROM THE WSW WITH SCT CU BASES AROUND 030.

ELSEWHERE...KAND/KGSP/KGMU/KAVL WILL HAVE A GOOD CHANCE FOR
OBSERVING A SHRA OR TSRA DURING THE BEGINNING HOURS OF THE 18Z TAF.
I WILL INCLUDE A MENTION OF TEMPO FOR TS OR VCTS FOR EACH SITE. KHKY
SHOULD SEE VCTS BY 21Z. THE SPC SSEO INDICATES THAT CONVECTION WILL
RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE MTNS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A MODERATE S/W
MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. STEERING FLOW SHOULD BRING
THE CONVECTION ACROSS THE TERMINALS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SFC WINDS AHEAD
OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SW AROUND 10 KTS. FOLLOWING THE
PASSAGE OF THE STORMS...THICK DEBRIS CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE
REGION FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. MVFR FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER RAIN SOAKED
AREAS AROUND DAWN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT KAVL WILL LIKELY
SEE ANOTHER PERIOD AROUND DAWN OF LIFR FOG AND CEILINGS. ONE OR TWO
HOURS AFTER SUNRISE MONDAY...WITH SHOULD INCREASE TO AROUND 5 KTS
FROM THE WSW WITH SCT CU WITH VFR BASES.

OUTLOOK...DIURNALLY DRIVEN ISOLD TO SCT CONVECTION EXPECTED AGAIN
MONDAY. DAYBREAK FOG WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND
WHERE RAIN FELL THE DAY BEFORE. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
TUESDAY...BUT CONVECTIVE CHANCES ARE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. DRIER
AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-19Z
KCLT       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     MED   65%     HIGH  95%
KHKY       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  87%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  98%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...CSH
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...NED
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 1, 3:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
322 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-021930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
322 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION INTO THIS EVENING. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN LIKELY
WITH WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40 MPH. THE COMBINATION OF WET
SOIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY RESULT IN AREAS OF
DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
GREATER THAN 60 MPH....RESULTING IN MORE SUBSTANTIAL WIND DAMAGE.
IN ADDITION TO THE WIND...THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD LEAD TO AREAS
OF FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN CONDUCIVE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED STRONG
STORMS. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 1, 4:32 PM EDT, 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
432 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NCZ036-037-012115-
DAVIE-IREDELL-
432 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT DAVIE AND NORTHEASTERN IREDELL
COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 429 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HARMONY...OR 10 MILES WEST
OF MOCKSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  MOCKSVILLE...
  FARMINGTON...
  ADVANCE...

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3588 8041 3585 8038 3582 8046 3583 8061
      3586 8067 3585 8071 3583 8072 3583 8083
      3601 8084 3605 8070 3605 8049 3606 8046
      3601 8041 3599 8041 3596 8037 3589 8036

07
Special weather statement, Sep 1, 4:38 PM EDT, 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
438 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

SCZ008-012115-
CHEROKEE-
438 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY THROUGH
515 PM EDT...

AT 435 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PACOLET MILLS...OR 12 MILES
NORTHWEST OF UNION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  THICKETTY...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3488 8153 3487 8154 3489 8158 3488 8163
      3490 8165 3491 8172 3494 8176 3503 8179
      3503 8149 3498 8148 3494 8149 3492 8147
      3486 8146

CSH
Special weather statement, Sep 1, 4:45 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
445 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

SCZ002-003-012115-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
445 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN PICKENS AND
NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 442 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF PUMPKINTOWN...OR 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF PICKENS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  MARIETTA...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3501 8274 3507 8272 3512 8238 3500 8246
      3495 8258

CSH
Local storm report, Sep 1, 4:51 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
451 PM EDT SUN SEP 01 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MORGANTON               35.74N 81.70W
09/01/2013                   BURKE              NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES BLOWN DOWN ON PIEDMONT ROAD AND BETHEL ROAD.

&&

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Sep 1, 4:59 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
459 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NCZ053-065-012130-
BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-
459 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HENDERSON AND SOUTHERN
BUNCOMBE COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

AT 455 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FLETCHER...OR 6 MILES NORTH
OF HENDERSONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3551 8233 3531 8233 3532 8252 3550 8253

07
Local storm report, Sep 1, 5:14 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 PM EDT SUN SEP 01 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W BAT CAVE            35.45N 82.32W
09/01/2013                   HENDERSON          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN NEAR THE GERTON AREA.

&&

KRENTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 9:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMacon43 min
Sep 1, 11:06 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMitchell24 min
Sep 1, 2:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell49 min
Sep 1, 3:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander44 min
Sep 1, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell55 min
Sep 1, 3:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson51 min
Sep 1, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell, McDowell57 min
Sep 1, 3:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell43 min
Sep 1, 3:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell40 min
Sep 1, 3:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson, Transylvania51 min
Sep 1, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell, McDowell53 min
Sep 1, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Cleveland, McDowell, Rutherford58 min
Sep 1, 4:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPAlexander, Caldwell3 hr
Sep 1, 4:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie43 min
Sep 1, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Davie, Iredell, Rowan57 min
Sep 1, 4:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHenderson, Polk, Rutherford52 min
Sep 1, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Lincoln, Rutherford64 min
Sep 1, 4:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson31 min
Sep 1, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Gaston, Lincoln57 min
Sep 1, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson, McDowell, Polk, Rutherford62 min
Sep 1, 5:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland52 min
Sep 1, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Iredell, Mecklenburg, Rowan54 min
Sep 1, 6:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston, Mecklenburg48 min
Sep 1, 6:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston51 min
Sep 1, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPUnion57 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.