Alert archive / Georgia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

July 9, 2013Franklin County, Hart County, Georgia

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 9, 2013, 1:11 AM EDT for Franklin County, Hart County, Georgia. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2013, 1:11 AM EDT (05:11 UTC)
Expired
Jul 9, 2013, 4:00 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 9, 2:00 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 E Royston, GABOND KELLEY ROAD WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING OF STREAMS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 49 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2013-07-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1827 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2013-07-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1827 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1137 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

892 
WGUS52 KGSP 090511
FFWGSP
GAC119-147-090800-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0040.130709T0511Z-130709T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
111 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  HART COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 400 AM EDT

* AT 107 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. OVER THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS PARTS OF 
  THE WARNED AREA...WITH ANOTHER ONE OR TWO INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE 
  THE RAIN ENDS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  HARTWELL...CANON...LAVONIA...NUBERG...REED CREEK...ROYSTON...VANNA
  AND WHITWORTH.

IN FRANKLIN COUNTY...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG SOME TRIBUTARIES TO 
THE NORTH FORK OF THE BROAD RIVER...INCLUDING RICE CREEK. WITH OVER 
THREE INCHES OF RAIN...RICE CREEK MAY FLOOD CAMPGROUNDS IN VICTORIA 
BRYANT STATE PARK.

IN HART COUNTY...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG BEAVERDAM CREEK. 
BEAVERDAM CREEK MAY FLOOD ALONG HOKE HILL ROAD NEAR CANON...AND 
ALONG MILL CIRCLE NEAR ROYSTON. FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN SMALL 
STREAMS THAT EMPTY INTO LAKE HARTWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 8302 3422 8308 3426 8313 3423 8319
      3437 8323 3448 8318 3454 8311 3447 8301
      3448 8289 3445 8286 3437 8284 3436 8281
      3429 8278 3425 8292 3421 8298

$$

MOORE
3 follow-up statements
318 
WGUS72 KGSP 090605
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
205 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

GAC119-147-090800-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130709T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-
205 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HART AND EASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM EDT...

AT 203 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THE 
STORMS WERE GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND PUSHING OFF TO THE EAST. 
HOWEVER...SOME PARTS OF THE WARNED AREA COULD RECEIVE ANOTHER INCH 
OF RAIN.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
HARTWELL...CANON...LAVONIA...NUBERG...REED CREEK...ROYSTON...VANNA
AND WHITWORTH.

IN PARTICULAR...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG RICE CREEK IN FRANKLIN 
COUNTY...AS WELL AS OTHER TRIBUTARIES OF THE NORTH FORK OF THE BROAD 
RIVER. OTHER FLOODING WILL OCCUR OVER BEAVERDAM CREEK IN WESTERN 
HART COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES... AS WELL AS
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 8302 3422 8308 3426 8313 3423 8319
      3437 8323 3448 8318 3454 8311 3447 8301
      3448 8289 3445 8286 3437 8284 3436 8281
      3429 8278 3425 8292 3421 8298

$$

MOORE
740 
WGUS72 KGSP 090746
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
346 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

GAC119-147-090800-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130709T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-
346 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HART AND EASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM EDT...

AT 342 AM EDT...WEAK TO MODERATE SHOWERS WERE LOCATED OVER HART 
COUNTY. AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN MAY OCCUR BEFORE 
THE SHOWERS DISSIPATE EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...RADAR RAINFALL 
ESTIMATES INDICATED THAT A LARGE REGION OF 3 TO 4 INCHES FELL ACROSS 
HART AND EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT. SEVERAL SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR ROYSTON MAY CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE HIGH 
WATER LEVELS AND RAPID FLOW...BUT LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY 
RECEDE. HOWEVER...LEVEL ALONG LAKE HARTWELL AND SURROUND CREEKS ARE 
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. 

SEVERAL ROADS WERE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING OR DOWNED TREES EARLIER 
THIS MORNING. MOTORIST SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR REMAINING HIGH WATER 
OR DEBRIS THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES... AS WELL AS
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 8302 3422 8308 3426 8313 3423 8319
      3437 8323 3448 8318 3454 8311 3447 8301
      3448 8289 3445 8286 3437 8284 3436 8281
      3429 8278 3425 8292 3421 8298

$$

NED
900 
WGUS72 KGSP 090801
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
401 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

GAC119-147-090815-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130709T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-
401 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR HART AND EASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO 
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. LEVELS ALONG LAKE HARTWELL 
AND SURROUND CREEKS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE REST 
OF THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 8302 3422 8308 3426 8313 3423 8319
      3437 8323 3448 8318 3454 8311 3447 8301
      3448 8289 3445 8286 3437 8284 3436 8281
      3429 8278 3425 8292 3421 8298

$$

NED

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 8, 10:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 10:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1013 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY DEEPEN OVER THE
EASTERN US THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. AS THIS HAPPENS...THE
COVERAGE OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL INCREASE AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF MID EVENING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO FIRE
MAINLY OVER THE SRN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NC AND ACROSS THE
UPSTATE OF SC...AND THAT TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING.
STILL EXPECT COVERAGE TO DECREASE WITH LOSS OF HEATING. STORMS ARE
MOVING FAIRLY SLOW BECAUSE OF THE LACK OF FLOW ALOFT...WHICH MEANS
THAT WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AN ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN/FLASH FLOOD
THREAT.  TEMP TRENDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR AREAS OF RAIN.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

AS OF 215 PM EDT MONDAY...A SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS FINALLY PUSHED
SOME DRIER UPPER LEVEL AIR ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...THERE IS A
WEAK SFC BNDRY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FEATURE. SINCE THE LOW LEVELS ARE
STILL SOPPING WET...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG
THE BNDRY. THEY SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. NORTH OF THE BNDRY...INCLUDING MOST OF THE NC
FOOTHILLS AND WRN PIEDMONT...LITTLE IF ANY CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
THE REST OF THE DAY. DCAPE VALUES FROM THE SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE ARE
STILL QUITE LOW...AND FREEZING LEVELS ARE UP AROUND 13KFT.
THEREFORE...THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS SOUTH OF THE BNDRY WILL BE
HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

THE ATMOSPHERE LOOKS TO MOISTEN UP A LITTLE MORE TOMORROW. THE NAM
AND GFS BRING A WEAK SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
DURING THE EARLY AFTN HOURS. EVEN WITH WEAK SHEAR THIS SHOULD BE
ADEQUATE TO TRIGGER SCT TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS STARTING OVER
THE MTNS WHICH WILL MOVE OUT INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT DURING
THE AFTN AND EVENING HOURS. NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A SEVERE
THREAT...THOUGH WE COULD AGAIN SEE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 230 PM EDT MONDAY...A SLOWING AND DIGGING NORTHERN STREAM UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST WILL PHASE WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY
SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE IN THE GULF ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THE NORTHERN
STREAM TROUGH DIGS ALMOST TO FL BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

A BAND OF MOISTURE AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A BERMUDA HIGH WILL
LINGER OVER AND EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST...LIMITING
UPSLOPE FLOW OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN...BUT THE PRESENCE OF DEEP
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WILL SUPPORT POPS ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL
AS SHORTWAVE MOVE THROUGH THE TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY...ENTERING THE MOUNTAINS ON
THURSDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FOR PRECIPITATION.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FROM A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TO
AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AS HEIGHTS FALL ALOFT. MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL IN A MOIST AIR MASS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 230 PM EST MONDAY...A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE
EASTERN USA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL BUILD EAST OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST EARLY
FRIDAY...STALLING NEAR THE CAROLINA AND GA COAST ON SATURDAY...WHERE
IT WILL WEAKEN ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LINGER
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO MONDAY. A MOIST EAST NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH WEAK ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE THE REMAINS OF THE FRONT...WILL SUPPORT SOME DEGREE OF CLOUD
COVER AND PRECIPITATION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 10 OR MORE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL UNDER
THE UPPER TROUGH AND CLOUD COVER...WHILE MINIMUMS REMAIN NEAR NORMAL
AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTS.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...THINK THE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY AVOID THE AIRFIELD
THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT NOT ENTIRELY AS AN ILL-DEFINED BOUNDARY
HAS EITHER WASHED OUT OR LIFTED BACK NORTH. AS A RESULT...SOME
INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED AND REMAINS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...SO
SHOWERS AND STORMS CANNOT COMPLETELY BE RULED OUT. WILL HANDLE IT
WITH A VCSH FOR NOW...AND AMEND AS NECESSARY. ONCE THE CONVECTION
DIES OFF...THERE SHOULD BE SOME CONVECTIVE DEBRIS WITH VFR
CONDITIONS. SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...EXPECT A BKN MVFR CEILING TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE PIEDMONT TOWARD DAYBREAK. FOG MIGHT NOT BE A
PROBLEM IF PRECIP DOES NOT FALL NEAR THE AIRPORT. SOME MVFR CLOUDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND THEN SCATTER OUT BY MIDDAY.
EXPECT ANOTHER THREAT OF TSRA IN THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL BE
HANDLED WITH A PROB30. WIND SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT FROM THE SW OR S.

ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION SCATTERED ACROSS THE UPSTATE WHICH WILL
AFFECT THE TAF SITES THERE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS TEMPORARILY...THRU ABOUT 02Z. OTHERWISE...SIMILAR TO KCLT
WITH MVFR CEILING TOWARD MORNING. COULD SEE PATCHES OF MVFR/IFR FOG
AS WELL. MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS...AND
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WED. THERE COULD ALSO
BE MVFR OR IFR CLOUDS/FOG AROUND DAYBREAK AND THROUGH MID MORNING ON
ANY DAY THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN BY LATE WEEK...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            02-08Z        08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z
KCLT       MED   77%     LOW   53%     HIGH  94%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  95%     MED   69%     HIGH  93%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  96%     HIGH  80%     MED   66%     MED   60%
KHKY       HIGH  80%     MED   77%     HIGH  93%     HIGH  84%
KGMU       HIGH  93%     MED   74%     HIGH  93%     HIGH  92%
KAND       HIGH 100%     MED   76%     MED   79%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MCAVOY
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY/PM
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...PM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 8, 3:44 PM EDT, 9 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
344 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-091930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
344 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD RESULT IN SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

VERY WET SOIL CONDITIONS AND SLOWLY MOVING SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A PERSISTENT RISK OF ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

07

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 9, 12:25 AM EDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1225 AM EDT TUE JUL 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WSW ANDERSON          34.51N 82.69W
07/08/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEARMAN DAIRY ROAD/SC28 NEAR WESTSIDE HIGH SCHOOL.

&&

NED
Local storm report, Jul 9, 12:32 AM EDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1232 AM EDT TUE JUL 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     FLASH FLOOD      7 N ANDERSON            34.61N 82.63W
07/09/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PORTIONS OF SHACKLEBURG ROAD COVERED BY WATER. WATER
            LEVELS ON JONES CREEK NEARLY OVER THE BRIDGE.

&&

NED
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 12:39 AM EDT, 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1239 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

SCZ010-011-090530-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-
1239 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ANDERSON AND NORTHERN
ABBEVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 130 AM EDT...

AT 1235 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF STARR...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ANDERSON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ANDERSON...
  ANTREVILLE...
  BROADWAY LAKE...
  BELTON...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3432 8279 3435 8281 3451 8284 3455 8249
      3430 8247

ARK
Local storm report, Jul 9, 12:42 AM EDT, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1242 AM EDT TUE JUL 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE TOWNVILLE          34.54N 82.86W
07/09/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            INDIAN TRAIL ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY 24 FLOODED BY THE
            HEADWATERS OF LITTLE BEAVER DAM CREEK.

&&

NED
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 12:44 AM EDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1244 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

GAZ026-028-029-090530-
ELBERT-FRANKLIN-HART-
1244 AM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN FRANKLIN...HART AND
WESTERN ELBERT COUNTIES THROUGH 130 AM EDT...

AT 1239 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAVONIA TO
DANIELSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ROYSTON...
  VANNA...
  BOWMAN...

DIME SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3414 8306 3417 8311 3423 8308 3426 8313
      3423 8317 3424 8325 3449 8317 3453 8311
      3447 8301 3449 8290 3445 8286 3437 8283
      3404 8295 3404 8298

ARK
Local storm report, Jul 9, 1:07 AM EDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
107 AM EDT TUE JUL 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1152 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW ANDERSON          34.50N 82.68W
07/08/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE IN ROAD ON SC HWY 24 NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            PEARMAN DAIRY ROAD.

&&

KRENTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 10:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPFranklin, Stephens119 min
Jul 8, 11:48 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningGSPHart58 hr
Jul 8, 11:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPElbert, Hart57 min
Jul 9, 12:44 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPFranklin, Hart, Stephens106 min
Jul 9, 12:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHart46 min
Jul 9, 1:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPElbert, Hart59 min
Jul 9, 6:15 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPFranklin, Hart, Stephens6 hr
Jul 9, 4:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHabersham, Stephens52 min
Jul 9, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHabersham44 min
Jul 9, 7:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHabersham45 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.