Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

171 
WGUS72 KGSP 010153
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
953 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCC097-119-010600-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130701T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
IREDELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
953 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MECKLENBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EDT...

AT 948 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 4 
TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE 5 PM IN THE ROCKY RIVER AND DYE 
CREEK BASINS IN SOUTHERN IREDELL COUNTY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS 
CONTINUING TO FALL ACROSS THE AREA...BUT ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL 
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE RAIN TAPERS OFF AFTER 11 PM.   

NEVERTHELESS...RUNOFF FROM THE EARLIER EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD 
STILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR...PARTICULARLY ALONG DYE CREEK 
AND IN LOW SPOTS NEAR THE ROCKY RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN 
SOUTHERN IREDELL AND EXTREME NORTHERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES... AS WELL AS
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8074 3550 8079 3546 8078 3545 8078
      3546 8088 3560 8088 3560 8075 3551 8074

$$
LANE

878 
WGUS72 KGSP 010306
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1106 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCC097-119-010320-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130701T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
IREDELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
1106 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MECKLENBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE 
WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO RECEDE...ENDING THE 
FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8074 3550 8079 3546 8078 3545 8078
      3546 8088 3560 8088 3560 8075 3551 8074

$$
LANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
758 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE
OHIO AND TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEYS TONIGHT AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. AS WE APPROACH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK...THE TROF WILL DISSIPATE AND THE BERMUDA HIGH WILL STRENGTHEN
TO OUR EAST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 745 PM EDT... THE EXISTING FORECASTS REQUIRE ONLY VERY MINOR CHANGES
TO ADAPT TO OBSERVATIONS AT ISSUANCE TIME. THE HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL CONTINUES OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN ZONES
WHERE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES A BIT
MORE UPSLOPE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ACCORDING TO THE
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE... SO WILL MONITOR FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL MAINLY OVER NORTHERN PORTION OF FOOTHILLS AND VICINITY
OF THE BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT. PRECIPITABLE WATER IS QUITE HIGH AND
THE AIRMASS OVER THE CWA RETAINS A FAR AMOUNT OF CAPE THROUGHOUT
THE NIGHT... SO SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ALMOST ANYWHERE THAT A SMALL TRIGGER EXISTS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
AS OF MID AFTERNOON...THE FACT THAT SHOWERS DEVELOPED OVER
THE PIEDMONT RIGHT AFTER SUNRISE IS AN EXAMPLE OF THE IMPROVING
MOISTURE FLUX...FORCING...AND UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE REGION THAT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. A
HARBINGER IF YOU WILL. IN SPITE OF THE EARLY START...THE EXTENT OF
THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT SPREAD MUCH BEYOND THE PIEDMONT...BUT
THAT WILL CHANGE NOW THAT WE ARE DESTABILIZING TO A GREATER DEGREE.
THE EARLY ROUND OF PRECIP ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF METRO CHARLOTTE
HAS STARTED TO HEIGHTEN CONCERNS FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF FLASH FLOODING
OVER THE PIEDMONT.

THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE AND OBS TRENDS HAVE DONE LITTLE TO
ALLEVIATE OUR CONCERNS WITH REGARD TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE
PIEDMONT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIG
SOUTHWARD TONIGHT WHICH SHOULD INCREASE THE INFLUX OF ATLANTIC AND
GULF MOISTURE IN RESPONSE TO THE STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW
ANOMALY...WHICH WILL BE UPWARDS OF 5 ST DEV ABOVE NORMAL. FORCING
WILL DEVELOP IN THE FORM OF STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET. EXCELLENT Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE IS
ALSO SHOWN...WHICH LOOKS STRONG FOR EARLY JULY. THE MODELS ALSO SHOW
WHAT IS ESSENTIALLY AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER OF MOISTURE SLOWLY MOVING
WEST INTO THE PIEDMONT. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SHOULD EXCEED 2
INCHES IN THIS PLUME OF MOISTURE...WHICH WILL BE GREATER THAN 3 ST
DEV ABOVE NORMAL. MEANWHILE...PARTS OF THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA ARE
STILL RECOVERING FROM SOME HEAVY RAIN THAT HAPPENED FRIDAY NIGHT.
WITH THE ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS IN PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT...THE
INGREDIENTS APPEAR TO BE COMING INTO PLACE FOR A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY
RAIN THREAT. WITH THAT IN MIND...THINK IT BEST TO ISSUE A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY...
MAINLY FOR METRO CHARLOTTE AND UP INTO THE NW PIEDMONT. NOT ALL
LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE FLOODING RAIN DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE PRECIP...BUT THE THREAT IS HIGH ENOUGH THAT PLACES THAT RECEIVED
RECENT RAIN COULD EASILY SEE 1-3 INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...THAT WOULD BRING A RAPID INCREASE IN STREAM LEVELS. NOTE THAT
THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE WATCH ONLY
RUNS THROUGH 6PM MONDAY BECAUSE THE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A LULL
MONDAY AFTERNOON...SO WE CAN RE-EVALUATE THEN...NOT ONLY FOR THE
PIEDMONT...BUT WESTWARD ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND UPSTATE. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL RAMP UP TO CATEGORICAL OVER THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT...AND
LIKELY ELSEWHERE...BEFORE TAPERING BACK DOWN. TEMPS WERE KEPT CLOSE
TO A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EDT SUNDAY...A CONTINUED WET PATTERN IN STORE DURING
THE SHORT RANGE PERIOD. A CLOSED UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL SLOWLY RETROGRADE TOWARD THE PLAINS WHILE AN
UPPER RIDGE OF H5 HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SHIFTS WEST INTO
THE EAST COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS UPPER PATTERN ALLOWS A SERIES
OF UPPER DISTURBANCES TO MOVE OVERHEAD IN MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
DURING THIS PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...MODELS AGREE THAT A STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN NC FOOTHILLS TO NE GEORGIA MON
NIGHT...GRADUALLY SHIFTING WEST INTO THE TN VALLEY BY EARLY TUESDAY
AS THE BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDS WEST INTO THE REGION. THE FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF THE REGION TUE INTO WED...ALLOWING
MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE OVER THE REGION. WITH DEEP
MOISTURE...DIURNAL ENHANCED INSTABILITY AND THE PASSAGE OF A SERIES
OF UPPER DISTURBANCES...WE WILL SEE ONGOING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ON
EACH DAY WITH POPS REMAINING IN THE 50/60 PERCENT RANGE. THE BEST
CHANCE OF HEAVY PRECIP WILL OCCUR OVER THE ESCARPMENT OF THE BLUE
RIDGE DUE TO OROGRAPHIC LIFTING. SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS TO BE MINIMAL
DUE TO A LACK OF STRONG LLVL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER...A COMBINATION OF
HEAVY RAINFALL...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND SATURATED SOILS SHOULD
INCREASE A THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING ON EACH DAY. THANKS TO
CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 5 TO 10 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
THURSDAY WITH A PERSISTENT BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE CONUS THAT
WILL BE SLOW TO DISSOLVE. BY NEW DAY 7 ON SUN...THE LONG RANGE
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE REMNANTS OF A CLOSED H5 LOW AND ITS PARENT
UPPER TROF WILL STILL LIKELY BE OBSERVABLE ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE.
THIS IMPLIES THAT THE WESTERN AND EASTERN CONUS UPPER RIDGES WILL
MAINTAIN THEIR STRUCTURE TO SOME DEGREE BEYOND NEW DAY 7...THEREBY
LEAVING US IN MORE OF A FLAT...ZONAL PATTERN BY THE END OF THE
MEDIUM RANGE.

AT THE SFC...NO MAJOR PATTERN CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED THRU THE
PERIOD AS THE BERMUDA HIGH MAINTAINS ITS CONTROL OVER THE LARGE
SCALE PATTERN THRU NEW DAY 7. MOIST SELY FLOW WILL PERSIST THRU MOST
OF THE PERIOD AS THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER OF MOISTURE REMAINS INTACT.
AS THE BERMUDA HIGH SLOWLY SLIDES WESTWARD...THE DEEPER MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DRIFT NW THRU THE PERIOD AND BY NEW DAY
7...THE MODELS INDICATE THAT MOST OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL HAVE
SHIFTED TO OUR NORTH AND WEST. WITH THAT SAID...NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST. I DO TAPER OFF POPS ON
SAT AND SUN TO CHANCE AND SLIGHT CHANCE. FLOODING WILL BE A MAJOR
CONCERN THRU THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HIGH
TEMPS WILL START OUT A FEW DEGREES BELOW CLIMO AND GRADUALLY WARM TO
NEAR CLIMO AS THICKNESSES INCREASE AND OVERALL CLOUD COVER BEGINS TO
DIMINISH OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT... STRONGEST CONVECTIVE STORMS HAVE SHIFT EAST AND NORTHEAST
OF THE AIRFIELD... BUT POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY PLUS
DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM PREVIOUS PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT.
LATE TONIGHT VERY MOIST LOW-LEVELS LIKELY TO SUPPORT CEILINGS NEAR
OR BELOW 1K FT WITH VISIBILITY NEAR 3 MI IN FOG. AFTER SUNRISE
MONDAY... CLOUD BASE WILL LIFT TO 3-5K FT WITH UNRESTRICTED
VISIBILITY EXCEPT IN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN FORM AT
ANY TIME IN THE UNSTABLE AND VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. PREVAILING
SURFACE WIND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD GENERALLY WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH
EXCEPT WHEN INTERRUPTED BY OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTIVE STORMS.

ELSEWHERE... CLOUD BASE 3-5KT FT OVERNIGHT AND VISIBILITY
UNRESTRICTED EXCEPT IN RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHERE
CEILING NEAR 1-3K FT AND VISIBILITY NEAR 3 MI WILL EXIST. AIR MASS
OVER THE REGION IS UNSTABLE AND VERY MOIST SO CONVECTIVE STORMS CAN
FORM WHEREVER A SMALL SCALE TRIGGER EXISTS. STRATUS AND FOG POSSIBLY
PRODUCING LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS... ESPECIALLY FROM 06Z TO 13Z. BY
MID-MORNING MONDAY... CLOUD BASE 3-5K FT AND VISIBILITY 5 MI IN
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS. LOW CEILING AND VISIBILITY WILL ACCOMPANY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS AFTER 14Z.

OUTLOOK...NUMEROUS...MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK...WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR RESTRICTIONS. WIDESPREAD MORNING
FOG/STRATUS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES
UNUSUALLY MOIST.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z
KCLT       HIGH  82%     MED   68%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  91%
KGSP       HIGH  85%     HIGH  84%     MED   79%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  85%     HIGH  89%     MED   77%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       MED   77%     HIGH  86%     HIGH  85%     MED   66%
KGMU       HIGH  83%     MED   63%     MED   74%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  82%     MED   79%     MED   77%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR NCZ036-037-056-
     057-069>072-082.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR SCZ009-014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...LGL/PM
SHORT TERM...JOH
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...LGL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
340 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062>065-068-
501>510-SCZ001>008-010>013-019-011945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CLEVELAND-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-GREENWOOD-
340 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND MID-MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS TONIGHT...AND
REMAIN FOR SEVERAL DAYS. DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
BRING AN UNUSUALLY MOIST AIR MASS INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WITH THE
STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS AND IN LOCATIONS THAT HAVE
RECENTLY SEEN HEAVY RAIN. ADDITIONALLY... STRONGER THAN USUAL WIND
SHEAR WILL ALSO SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH AREAS OF
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

UNUSUALLY MOIST AIR WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH MID-WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM WILL
BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...BUT MAY
CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH FLASH FLOODING BECOMING
MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ036-037-056-057-069>072-082-SCZ009-014-011945-
IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-YORK-CHESTER-
340 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND MID-MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS TONIGHT...AND
REMAIN FOR SEVERAL DAYS. DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
BRING AN UNUSUALLY MOIST AIR MASS INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WITH THE
STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS AND IN LOCATIONS THAT HAVE
RECENTLY SEEN HEAVY RAIN. ADDITIONALLY... STRONGER THAN USUAL WIND
SHEAR WILL ALSO SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH AREAS OF
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

UNUSUALLY MOIST AIR WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH MID-WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM WILL
BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...BUT MAY
CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH FLASH FLOODING BECOMING
MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

JOH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
443 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ069>072-082-SCZ009-302130-
CABARRUS-GASTON-LINCOLN-MECKLENBURG-UNION-YORK-
443 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NORTHWESTERN
MECKLENBURG COUNTY SOUTH INTO YORK AND CHESTER COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND POSSSIBLY SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WIND DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...

AT 428 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM NEAR LAKE NORMAN
SOUTHWEST TO THE LAKE WYLIE AREA THEN ACROSS YORK AND CHESTER
COUNTIES.  THE LINE WAS DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE EAST AND THE
INDIVIDUAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE
LINE AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

EVERYONE IN THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA AND NEARBY COUNITES SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN CAN
PRODUCE RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS OF CREEKS... STREAMS... AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

LAT...LON 3482 8072 3483 8080 3494 8079 3505 8089
      3501 8090 3495 8086 3483 8087 3485 8141
      3550 8106 3549 8095 3550 8093 3550 8030

LGL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
526 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ071-082-SCZ009-302215-
MECKLENBURG-UNION-YORK-
526 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN YORK...SOUTHERN
MECKLENBURG AND WESTERN UNION COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 524 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCK HILL TO 4 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FORT MILL...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  FORT MILL...
  TEGA CAY...
  PINEVILLE...
  CAROWINDS...

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3493 8078 3495 8081 3505 8089 3501 8090
      3495 8086 3491 8086 3492 8107 3515 8105
      3516 8101 3520 8100 3515 8065

KRENTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ036-057-071-072-302215-
CABARRUS-IREDELL-MECKLENBURG-ROWAN-
530 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MECKLENBURG...
NORTHWESTERN CABARRUS...SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL AND SOUTHWESTERN ROWAN
COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 524 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DAVIDSON...OR 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CONCORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  MOORESVILLE...
  ENOCHVILLE...

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3539 8077 3549 8095 3550 8095 3578 8077
      3565 8052

KRENTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
606 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ082-302245-
UNION-
606 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT UNION COUNTY THROUGH 645 PM
EDT...

AT 600 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF
MINERAL SPRINGS TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STURDIVANTS...MOVING NORTH AT
15 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  WAXHAW...
  MINERAL SPRINGS...
  WINGATE...
  UNIONVILLE...

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3482 8031 3481 8032 3482 8080 3488 8080
      3504 8076 3509 8069 3515 8038 3513 8028

KRENTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
634 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ072-082-302315-
CABARRUS-UNION-
634 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN UNION AND SOUTHERN
CABARRUS COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 630 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARSHVILLE...OR 9 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MONROE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  MIDLAND...

SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3499 8031 3500 8050 3529 8054 3530 8043
      3521 8048 3519 8050 3517 8046 3517 8039
      3518 8037 3517 8035 3520 8029 3520 8028

KRENTZ