Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 28, 20137 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jun 28, 2013, 8:58 PM EDT for 7 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2013, 8:58 PM EDT (00:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2013, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Cabarrus County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Rowan County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 155 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 28, 9:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 N Lowesville, NCWATER WAS UP TO 5 FEET DEEP IN THE PARKING LOT OF A FOOD LION ON HIGHWAY 16 NORTH OF LOWESVILLE. 7 PEOPLE WERE RESCUED FROM THEIR CARS. TIME APPROX.
Jun 28, 9:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOODCornelius, NCMANY ROADS ARE FLOODED AND TRAFFIC IS IMPEDED.
Jun 28, 10:14 PM EDTFLASH FLOODHuntersville, NCBRIDGE REPORTED WASHED OUT AT CASHION RD AND BEATTIES FORD RD
Jun 28, 10:16 PM EDTFLASH FLOODHuntersville, NCCARS STALLED DUE TO HIGH WATER ON SAM FURR RD AND STATEVILLE AVE.
Jun 28, 10:26 PM EDTFLASH FLOODHuntersville, NCFOUR GROUND FLOOR APARTMENTS FLOODED WITH 4-5 INCHES OF WATER.
Jun 28, 10:36 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD6 E Croft, NCTHE RAIN GAUGE AT MALLARD CREEK IS READING 12.42 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. THE VERIZON WIRELESS AMPHITHEATER PARKING LOT AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ALONG PAVILLION ROAD ARE BEGINNING TO FLOOD.
Jun 28, 10:40 PM EDTFLASH FLOODConcord, NCFAMILY EVACUATED FROM HOME DUE TO HIGH WATER ON FARM BRANCH ROAD IN CONCORD.
Jun 28, 10:44 PM EDTFLASH FLOODKannapolis, NCAFTON RUN CREEK IS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND RUNNING ACROSS DOGWOOD BLVD.
Jun 28, 11:20 PM EDTFLOOD1 Ssw Harrisburg, NCBACK CREEK GAGE PEAKED AT 10.51 FT. FLOOD STATE IS 10.5 FT.
Jun 28, 11:45 PM EDTFLOOD2 Wsw Huntersville, NCTORRENCE CREEK GAGE PEAKED AT 12.39 FT. FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FT.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 8 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 32 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2013-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1064 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2013-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1064 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-61 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1385 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

477 
WGUS52 KGSP 290058
FFWGSP
NCC025-035-071-097-109-119-159-290400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0022.130629T0058Z-130629T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
858 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CABARRUS COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN GASTON COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHERN CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHERN IREDELL COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHERN ROWAN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT

* AT 857 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE   
WARNED AREA. RADAR INDCIATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CONCORD...LINCOLNTON...NEWTON...UNC CHARLOTTE...BOGER CITY...
  CHARLOTTE MOTOR SPEEDWAY...CHINA GROVE...CORNELIUS...DAVIDSON...
  DENVER...ENOCHVILLE...HARRISBURG...HUNTERSVILLE...IRON STATION...
  KANNAPOLIS...LAKE NORMAN...LANDIS...LOWESVILLE...MAIDEN...
  MIDLAND...MOORESVILLE...MOUNT PLEASANT...MOUNTAIN ISLAND LAKE...
  ROCKWELL...STANLEY AND TERRELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 8036 3521 8048 3520 8050 3538 8135
      3572 8136 3558 8036 3540 8035

$$
LG
2 follow-up statements
435 
WGUS72 KGSP 290153
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
953 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

NCC025-035-071-097-109-119-159-290400-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130629T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CABARRUS NC-CATAWBA NC-GASTON NC-IREDELL NC-LINCOLN NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
ROWAN NC-
953 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ROWAN...
NORTHERN MECKLENBURG...LINCOLN...SOUTHERN IREDELL...NORTHERN
GASTON...SOUTHERN CATAWBA AND CABARRUS COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT...

AT 948 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUED ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. RADAR AND RAIN GAGES ACROSS THE AREA INDICATED 3 TO 5 INCHES 
OF RAIN HAD OCCURRED THIS EVENING FROM EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...EAST 
THROUGH NORTHERN MECKLENBURG AND THEN THROUGH CENTRAL CABARRUS 
COUNTY. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
CONCORD...LINCOLNTON...NEWTON...UNC CHARLOTTE...BOGER CITY...
CHARLOTTE MOTOR SPEEDWAY...CHINA GROVE...CORNELIUS...DAVIDSON...
DENVER...ENOCHVILLE...HARRISBURG...HUNTERSVILLE...IRON STATION...
KANNAPOLIS...LAKE NORMAN...LANDIS...LOWESVILLE...MAIDEN...MIDLAND...
MOORESVILLE...MOUNT PLEASANT...MOUNTAIN ISLAND LAKE...ROCKWELL...
STANLEY AND TERRELL.

THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLASH FLOODING IN CORNELIUS AND IN THE CONCORD 
AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO 
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO 
GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 8036 3521 8048 3520 8050 3538 8135
      3572 8136 3558 8036 3540 8035

$$
LG
353 
WGUS72 KGSP 290256
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1056 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

NCC035-071-097-290310-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130629T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATAWBA NC-GASTON NC-IREDELL NC-
1056 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN IREDELL...
NORTHERN GASTON AND SOUTHERN CATAWBA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 8035 3520 8050 3540 8096 3542 8125
      3556 8129 3553 8094 3551 8096 3549 8095
      3552 8090 3550 8075 3555 8069 3555 8040

$$

NCC025-109-119-159-290400-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130629T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CABARRUS NC-LINCOLN NC-MECKLENBURG NC-ROWAN NC-
1056 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROWAN...
NORTHERN MECKLENBURG...EASTERN LINCOLN AND CABARRUS COUNTIES UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EDT...

AT 1055 PM EDT...NUMEROUS SOURCES REPORTED SIGNIFICANT FLASH 
FLOODING OCCURRING FROM EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...ACROSS THE 
HUNTERSVILLE AND CORNELIUS AREA...TO THE CONCORD AREA. THUNDERSTORMS 
WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE ACROSS CABARRUS COUNTY...AND AN 
ADDITIONAL ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE 
EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY THROUGH 1130 PM. ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN HAS 
ENDED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA...RUNOFF FROM THE 3 
TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE 
CONTINUED RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS.  

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS RESULTING IN SEVERE URBAN 
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY...AND NEAR 
CONCORD. IN ADDITION...SEVERAL STREAMS WERE FLOODING...OR NEAR 
BANKFULL ACROSS NORTHERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY. THESE INCLUDED MCALPINE 
CREEK AND TORRENCE CREEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 8035 3520 8050 3540 8096 3542 8125
      3556 8129 3553 8094 3551 8096 3549 8095
      3552 8090 3550 8075 3555 8069 3555 8040

$$
LANE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 28, 8:02 PM EDT, 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 8:02 PM EDT, 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
802 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE RIVER
VALLEYS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS THE THE UPPER TROUGH WEAKENS BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...A BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN HIGH
AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 755 PM...NUMEROUS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS THE LOWER SC PIEDMONT
AND THE SOUTHWEST NC PIEDMONT...AS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FOCUS
ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ALONG THE HIGHWAY 74 CORRIDOR. SEVERE
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS BEING THE
PRIMARY THREAT...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY CONVECTION THAT IS ABLE TO
ORGANIZE ALONG COLD POOLS.

AS OF MID AFTERNOON...EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE MTNS AND I-40 CORRIDOR.
STILL SEE SOME MIXED SIGNALS ABOUT THE EXTENT...THOUGH...WITH THE
NEW NAM STILL SUGGESTING SOMETHING MORE ORGANIZED BUT THE CONVECTION
ALLOWING MODELS SEEMING TO DOWNPLAY THAT. THINK WE WILL EVENTUALLY
GET CONVECTION TO FORM FARTHER S OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THAT WILL
OVERCOME THE DOWNSLOPE E OF THE MTNS. THE AREA OVER UPSTATE SC AND
NE GEORGIA MIGHT BE EVEN MORE FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE BECAUSE OF
THE RELATIVELY HIGHER DCAPE. WILL STUBBORNLY HOLD ONTO THE LIKELY
POP THROUGH EARLY EVENING. COULD END UP WITH SOME ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS OUT OF THIS AS SHEAR INCREASES...SO WE WILL LOOK FOR ACTIVITY
TO DEVELOP INTO SOME ORGANIZED MULTICELLS OR SHORT BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS WITH DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL.

STRENGTHENING WESTERLY FLOW SHOULD DRIVE THE CONVECTION E BY MID
EVENING AND BRING SOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR THAT SHOULD PUT A STOP TO
IT. NOT EXPECTING THE CONVECTION TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS THE BETTER
MOISTURE IS SHUNTED OFF TO THE COASTAL PLAIN...SO THE FCST WAS KEPT
DRY AFTER ABOUT 06Z.

FOR SATURDAY...THE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE AS THE UPPER LOW
DIGS OFF TO OUR WEST. THIS GRADUALLY BACKS OUR FLOW ALOFT TO
SOMETHING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...WHICH ACTUALLY LEAVES THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS IN SOMETHING OF A DRY SLOT THROUGH THE DAY. THE MODELS
SHOW VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION THROUGH THE END OF THE
DAY...WITH MUCH BETTER CHANCES TOWARD THE COAST WHERE THE MOISTURE
IS DEEPER. FEEL OKAY ABOUT SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN...WHICH IS CLIMATOLOGICAL...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT THAT
GREAT THAT WE WILL SEE MUCH OUTSIDE THE MTNS. GRUDGINGLY KEPT A
CHANCE POP E OF THE BLUE RIDGE OWING TO MOS GUIDANCE AND CONTINUITY
WITH THE PREVIOUS FCST...AND WILL NOT BE SURPRISED IF SATURDAY
REALLY IS THE QUIET DAY. TEMPS WERE KEPT A BIT ABOVE A GUIDANCE
BLEND THINKING THAT STORMS MIGHT BE FEWER THAN THOUGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 200 PM EDT FRIDAY...AN UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO MONDAY. A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE STATIONARY SAT EVENING FROM ABOUT THE
I-77 CORRIDOR SW THROUGH THE SOUTHERN UPSTATE. SAT NIGHT SHOULD SEE
A GENERAL LULL IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY.
HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO THE GFS/EC SOLUTION THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THESE
MODELS MOVE THE BOUNDARY N OF THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY.
THIS SHOULD PROVIDE ALL AREAS WITH AT LEAST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS DUE TARGET
THE EASTERN AREAS WITH SOME HIGHER QPF LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
EVENING AS THE DIGGING TROUGH TO THE WEST PULLS A VORT MAX THROUGH
THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. HENCE...HAVE POPS IN THE NUMEROUS RANGE FROM THE
EASTERN UPSTATE THROUGH THE I-77 CORRIDOR FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY EVENING. THERE SHOULD BE ANOTHER LULL IN ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA SUN NIGHT. ON
MONDAY...SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCE WILL AGAIN RAMP UP ACROSS THE
AREA AS SOME VORT ENERGY ADVECTS ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE UPPER LOW
TO THE W. USED ALLBLEND DATA FOR MOST FIELDS THIS PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM FRIDAY...A DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN SITUATED OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK. A STATIONARY FRONT WILL PARK
ITSELF ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST ON THE OUTER FRINGE OF THE
TROUGH...AND WILL BE A MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION NEXT WEEK.
ALTHOUGH HIGHEST QPF VALUES WILL BE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...A DECENT
AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR OUR FORECAST AREA. THE TROUGH
WEAKENS AND RETROGRADES SLIGHTLY BY THURSDAY AS A BERMUDA HIGH
BUILDS ITSELF BACK INTO THE REGION...BUT POPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD DUE TO PERSISTENT DEEP
LAYER SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW.

PROXIMITY TO THE STATIONARY FRONT AND THE RESURGING BERMUDA HIGH
WILL KEEP ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER ABUNDANT THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PERIOD...WITH HIGHS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND LOWS SLIGHTLY
WARMER THAN AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...CONVECTION TO THE NORTH HAS SENT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
TOWARD THE AIR FIELD...WHICH WILL TURN THE WINDS TO THE NORTH FOR
1-2 HOURS. WHILE CURRENT TRENDS INDICATE TSRA WON/T DIRECTLY AFFECT
THE AIRFIELD...CANNOT AT ALL RULE OUT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MOVING
OVER THE TERMINAL...SO A TEMPO WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THE FIRST
COUPLE OF HOURS. CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AIRFIELD BY
02Z...BUT ADDITIONAL SCATTERED ACTIVITY TO THE WEST COULD APPROACH
THE AREA AFTER 02Z...SO HAVE MAINTAINED A VCSH THROUGH 03Z.
AFTERWARD...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD...ALONG WITH CONTINUED SW WINDS. ADDITIONAL TS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SAT AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE
MORE LIMITED THAN IN RECENT DAYS...SO PROB30S SHOULD SUFFICE ATTM.

ELSEWHERE...BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS...CONVECTION IS MOVING AWAY
FROM THE TERMINALS...OR IS PASSING TO THE SOUTH. THEREFORE...HAVE
OPTED TO LIMIT CONVECTIVE MENTION TO VCTS/VCSH THROUGH 2 OR 3Z. DID
INCLUDE A TEMPO FOR SHRA AT KHKY...IN LIGHT OF LIGHT ACTIVITY MOVING
OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN. AFTERWARD...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT
MOST TERMINALS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...ALONG WITH
CONTINUED SW WINDS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS THE EXPECTATION OF SOME
LIGHT FOG DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT AT KAVL. ADDITIONAL TS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SAT AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE
MORE LIMITED THAN IN RECENT DAYS...SO PROB30S SHOULD SUFFICE
ATTM.

OUTLOOK...AT LEAST SCT...MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. BY SUNDAY MORNING...AND THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK...WIDESPREAD MORNING FOG/STRATUS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS
THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES UNUSUALLY MOIST.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VISIN
NEAR TERM...JDL/PM
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...VISIN
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 3:54 PM EDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
354 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-292000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
354 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN QUITE UNSTABLE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THIS EVENING ALONG WITH MODERATE WIND
SHEAR. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THAN WE HAVE SEEN RECENTLY... WHICH WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES OF
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING... PARTICULARLY IF THE HEAVY RAIN FALLS IN
AN URBAN AREA OR A LOCATION THAT HAS SEEN HEAVY RAIN DURING THE
PAST COUPLE DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

LG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 8:21 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
821 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

SCZ007-008-013-290100-
CHEROKEE-SPARTANBURG-UNION-
821 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN SPARTANBURG...NORTHERN
UNION AND SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES THROUGH 900 PM EDT...

AT 820 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF PACOLET...OR 5 MILES EAST OF
SPARTANBURG...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  PACOLET...
  THICKETTY...
  GAFFNEY...

SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3511 8154 3488 8148 3482 8190 3499 8196
Local storm report, Jun 28, 8:26 PM EDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
826 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     HAIL             DENVER                  35.53N 81.03W
06/28/2013  E1.00 INCH       LINCOLN            NC   PUBLIC

0816 PM     HAIL             2 E GREENVILLE          34.84N 82.34W
06/28/2013  E1.00 INCH       GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            QUARTER HAIL NEAR HWY 14 AND WOODRUFF RD.

&&

KRENTZ
Local storm report, Jun 28, 8:28 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
828 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW HONEA PATH        34.45N 82.41W
06/28/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF AUSTIN RD AND LOCKE
            RD.

&&

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jun 28, 8:34 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
834 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

NCZ057-290100-
ROWAN-
834 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTY THROUGH 900
PM EDT...

AT 833 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GRANITE QUARRY...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SALISBURY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  SPENCER...
  HIGH ROCK LAKE...

SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3557 8052 3567 8058 3573 8042 3572 8038
      3573 8034 3571 8032 3568 8033 3567 8030
      3564 8029 3564 8026 3561 8023
Local storm report, Jun 28, 8:35 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
835 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             4 ENE MAULDIN           34.80N 82.23W
06/28/2013  E0.75 INCH       GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            ALSO ESTIMATED 40-50 MPH WINDS

&&

LG
Local storm report, Jun 28, 8:37 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
837 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CONCORD                 35.41N 80.59W
06/28/2013                   CABARRUS           NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            A COUPLE TREES BLOWN DOWN.

&&

KRENTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 8:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPLincoln66 min
Jun 28, 8:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg44 min
Jun 28, 8:29 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus, Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, Rowan2 hr
Jun 28, 8:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan26 min
Jun 28, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPRowan37 min
Jun 28, 9:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston, Lincoln64 min
Jun 28, 9:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus60 min
Jun 28, 9:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGaston56 min
Jun 28, 9:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Lincoln, Mecklenburg54 min
Jun 28, 9:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg, Union50 min
Jun 29, 12:08 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg6 hr
Jun 29, 3:27 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPMecklenburg3 hr
Jun 29, 6:01 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg10 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.