Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 7, 20134 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jun 7, 2013, 7:21 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2013, 7:21 PM EDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2013, 10:30 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Cabarrus County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-06-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 12 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-06-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
12 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
481 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

705 
WGUS52 KGSP 072321
FFWGSP
NCC025-071-109-119-080230-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0017.130607T2321Z-130608T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
721 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CABARRUS COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  GASTON COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1030 PM EDT

* AT 720 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
CLUSTER OF SLOWLY MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL 
MOVING ACROSS THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA FROM THE WEST. RADAR 
INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND THESE ARE 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 830 PM.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO  
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE 
CHARLOTTE...LINCOLNTON...DENVER...GASTONIA...HARRISBURG...AND 
CONCORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 8048 3519 8051 3521 8055 3500 8084
      3511 8094 3505 8103 3506 8106 3512 8104
      3515 8106 3516 8133 3526 8132 3535 8139
      3556 8145 3555 8098 3553 8094 3551 8096
      3549 8095 3552 8090 3550 8030

$$

HG
2 follow-up statements
743 
WGUS72 KGSP 080017
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
817 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

NCC025-071-109-119-080230-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130608T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CABARRUS NC-GASTON NC-LINCOLN NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
817 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MECKLENBURG...LINCOLN...
GASTON AND CABARRUS COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM EDT...

AT 808 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVERING THE CHARLOTTE METRO 
AREA...PRODUCING RAINFALL AT RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR IN THE 
HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION. FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY FROM CHERRYVILLE TO 
DALLAS IN GASTON COUNTY...ESPECIALLY ALONG LONG CREEK NEAR DALLAS. 
FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND THE CITY OF CHARLOTTE IN THE MORE FLOOD 
PRONE DRAINAGE BASINS...AND IN CABARRUS COUNTY FROM HARRISBURG TO 
NEAR CONCORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 8048 3519 8051 3521 8055 3500 8084
      3511 8094 3505 8103 3506 8106 3512 8104
      3515 8106 3516 8133 3526 8132 3535 8139
      3556 8145 3555 8098 3553 8094 3551 8096
      3549 8095 3552 8090 3550 8030

$$

HG
282 
WGUS72 KGSP 080116
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
916 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

NCC025-071-109-119-080230-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130608T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CABARRUS NC-GASTON NC-LINCOLN NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
916 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MECKLENBURG...LINCOLN...
GASTON AND CABARRUS COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM EDT...

AT 912 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
MOVING INTO THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING AREA FROM THE WEST. RADAR AND 
RAIN GAGE REPORTS SUGGEST THAT THE SHOWERS MOVING INTO WESTERN 
LINCOLN AND GASTON COUNTIES WERE PRODUCING RAINFALL AT RATES OF ONE 
HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH PER HOUR...AND THESE RATES WILL 
LIKELY SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA.

CONDITIONS REMAIN SATURATED AROUND THE REGION...WITH MANY STREAMS 
AND CREEKS RUNNING AT ELEVATED LEVELS. THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL 
REMAIN IN PLACE UNTIL 1030 PM SINCE ANY SHOWERS REPEATEDLY AFFECTING 
THE SAME LOCATION MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. DEEP PONDING 
OF WATER WILL ALSO DEVELOP IN ANY NORMALLY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 8048 3519 8051 3521 8055 3500 8084
      3511 8094 3505 8103 3506 8106 3512 8104
      3515 8106 3516 8133 3526 8132 3535 8139
      3556 8145 3555 8098 3553 8094 3551 8096
      3549 8095 3552 8090 3550 8030

$$

HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 7, 4:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 4:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
422 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OF THE
CAROLINAS TONIGHT WHILE A WEAK COLD FRONT CROSSES THE CAROLINA
PIEDMONT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE BACK IN OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 420 PM EDT...MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE
UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA COMBINED WITH INCREASING UPPER SUPPORT
WILL ALLOW FOR THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
THUS...INCREASED POPS IN THE IMMEDIATE NEAR TERM TO REFLECT RECENT
RADAR TRENDS AND FORECASTED CONVECTION.  ELSEWHERE...ONGOING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT SHOULD FADE SOONER
THAN ABOVE MENTIONED ACTIVITY TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST...SO NO CHANGES
WERE MADE TO THE CHANCE POPS THAT WERE ALREADY IN PLACE.
OTHERWISE...TOUCHED UP TEMPS TO REFLECT THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND
KEPT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS IS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

A SOMEWHAT COMPLEX PATTERN WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF T.S. ANDREA AS
IT MOVES UP THE EAST COAST AND AN UPPER TROUGH BRIEFLY SWINGS THROUGH
OUR REGION TONIGHT BEFORE FLATTENING EARLY TOMORROW. RAIN ASSOCIATED
DIRECTLY WITH ANDREA WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE CWFA THRU THE PERIOD.
ATTENTION TURNS TO CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IN THE CONTINUED MOIST
ENVIRONMENT LASTING THRU THE NEAR TERM.

FOLLOWING GFS/NAM RH FIELDS AND SATELLITE TRENDS...  MID-HIGH CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH ANDREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN OVER THE ERN CWFA
UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY...AND THIS WILL SOMEWHAT LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION THERE. HOWEVER A FEW CELLS ARE ALREADY GOING NEAR
CHARLOTTE...POSSIBLY BEING AIDED BY UPPER DEFORMATION ON WEST SIDE OF
THE TROPICAL CIRCULATION. WITH HIGH PWAT VALUES OVER 2 INCHES THE
CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY RAIN...EVEN IF VERY ISOLATED.
THUS MAINTAINED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUED LAST NIGHT DESPITE THE
DEPARTURE OF THE TROPICAL RAIN BANDS.

WESTERLY LLVL CIRCULATION AROUND ANDREA WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A LEE TROUGH OVER THE FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT LATE THIS AFTN AND
EVENING. ASSOCIATED LLVL CONVERGENCE COULD HELP FIRE CONVECTION
THERE...BUT THE SHORTWAVE MOVING OVERHEAD LOOKS TO HAVE A STRONGER
EFFECT DURING THE SAME TIMEFRAME PER LAYER Q-VECTOR FIELDS. MODELS
DIFFER ON EXACTLY HOW MUCH CAPE WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTN BUT VALUES
SHOULD EASILY REACH 1000 J/KG ACROSS AT LEAST THE CLEARER WESTERN
HALF OF THE CWFA. HAVE FOCUSED POPS ON THE MTNS THIS AFTN...ALLOWING
THEM TO SPREAD EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND INTO THE LATE NIGHT AS THE
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH. PROG SOUNDINGS INDICATE AN ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER WILL PERSIST ONCE SFC TEMPS COOL AND SFC BASED PARCELS ARE
INHIBITED...SO THUNDER SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING BUT GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF. SOME LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE CWFA UNTIL
EARLY SAT MORNING. SHEAR DOES REMAIN WEAK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
PERIOD BUT UPPER WINDS INCREASE AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES IN OVERNIGHT.
SO HEAVY RAIN AND PERHAPS HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE
EARLY CONVECTION...AND INSTABILITY /ESPECIALLY SFC BASED/ WILL WEAKEN
BY THE TIME THE STRONGER SHEAR ARRIVES...PRECLUDING SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE EXPECTATIONS.

ON SATURDAY...THOUGH SYNOPTIC FORCING IS LACKING WITH MORE OR LESS
ZONAL UPPER FLOW...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
ONCE AGAIN. SOUNDINGS AGAIN SHOW A FEW HUNDRED JOULES OF CAPE AT MOST
SITES BY ABOUT 15Z...GROWING TO OVER 1000 J BY AFTERNOON. DEEP SHEAR
WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO THINK A FEW CELLS MIGHT BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE...ESPECIALLY GIVEN DRY MIDLEVELS WHICH SHIFT THE FOCUS MORE
FROM HEAVY RAIN TO HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 230 PM EDT FRIDAY...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE
CENTER OF THE NATION ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL
CROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...REACHING
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON MONDAY NIGHT.

THE MODELS SHOW SOME LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. THE TRAILING
END OF THIS COLD FRONT RETURNS NORTH ACROSS THE GULF STATES ON
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH A RESULTING INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER
OUR AREA. MEANWHILE...THE REMAINS OF A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE WEST ON SUNDAY NIGHT...CROSSING OUR ARE ON MONDAY. ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE
IN BEHIND THE REMAINS OF THE FRONT ON MONDAY NIGHT.

POPS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING MOISTURE
AND SOUTHERLY UPSLOPE FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL REMAINS...AND WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED AS INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW MOVES
OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUMS TEMPERATURES WILL RUN NEAR
NORMAL...WITH MINIMUMS INCREASING ABOVE NORMAL AS MOISTURE INCREASES.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT 230 PM EDT FRIDAY...AN UPPER LOW WILL BE OVER THE GREAT LAKES
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH TO FL. THE TROUGH AXIS
MOVES TO THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY...WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE MOVES
SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND THE PLAINS. THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS
MOVES LITTLE ON THURSDAY...WHILE THE CLOSED LOW MOVES INTO EASTERN
CANADA...AND A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE OH RIVER
VALLEY. ON FRIDAY THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH OUR AREA ON MONDAY NIGHT...CROSSING THE
AREA TUESDAY. THE FRONT STALLS TO OUR SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
LIFTS NORTH ACROSS OUR AREA AS A WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY...
CROSSING THE AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT...BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY
SOUTH OF OUR AREA ON FRIDAY. THESE FRONTS SHOULD KEEP ACTIVITY GOING
FOR MOST OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN AROUND
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...A FEW CLOUDS BELOW 020 WILL LIKELY BE SEEN THRU EARLY AFTN
UNDER HIGH MVFR CIG. AS T.S. ANDREA SLOWLY DEPARTS THE AREA MID-HIGH
CLOUDS WILL SCATTER AND BETTER HEATING SHOULD ERODE THE LOWER CLOUDS
LEAVING A CONVECTIVE VFR CIG. WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY WITH DEVELOPMENT
OF LEE TROUGH IN WAKE OF ANDREA. THUNDER CHANCES RISE ACCORDINGLY.
THINK ACTIVITY WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE EVENING PERIOD WITH
MORE BENIGN LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUING INTO THE NIGHT. WITH
LINGERING MOISTURE AND LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW LATE TONIGHT WENT ALONG
WITH IFR STRATUS PROGGED BY SOME GUIDANCE. SHOULD LIFT BY MID
MORNING.

ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION ALREADY BEGINNING TO FIRE IN CLEARER AREA
WEST OF THE CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. ANDREA. THINK THIS
WILL INITIALLY FOCUS IN THE MTNS GRADUALLY MOVING EAST AS THE WHOLE
AREA COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER TROUGH. SOME THUNDER MENTION
WARRANTED AT ALL SITES. THUNDER LOOKS TO BE CONFINED MORE TO THE
EVENING HOURS WITH LIGHT RAIN DOMINATING OVERNIGHT. CLOUD BASES THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD BE LOW VFR...PERHAPS MVFR IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LOW STRATUS WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
NEAR DAYBREAK BUT MIX OUT BY MID MORNING. MTN VALLEY FOG ALSO LIKELY
GIVEN THE MOIST CONDITIONS...INCLUDING AT KAVL.

OUTLOOK...SHRA/TSRA SHUD EXIT TO THE EAST SATURDAY MORNING...AS
DRIER CONDITIONS SPREAD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS THIS WEEKEND.
HOWEVER...AFTERNOON HEATING WILL TRIGGER AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            20-02Z        02-08Z        08-14Z        14-20Z
KCLT       HIGH  98%     HIGH  86%     MED   64%     HIGH  92%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  83%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH  86%     MED   79%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  92%     HIGH  98%
KGMU       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     MED   79%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     MED   70%     HIGH  89%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ028-029.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ035>037-
     056-057-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ003-
     006>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...CDG/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...WIMBERLEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 7, 3:28 PM EDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001-002-004-005-
081930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ501>510-SCZ003-006-007-081930-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ008>014-019-081930-
HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

07

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 7, 6:37 PM EDT, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
637 PM EDT FRI JUN 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOILING SPRINGS NC      35.25N 81.67W
06/07/2013                   CLEVELAND          NC   PUBLIC

            A LARGE TREE DOWN IN THE ROAD IN THE SUGAR RIDGE
            COMMUNITY.

&&

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 6:44 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
644 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

NCZ036-056-068>071-072330-
CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-GASTON-IREDELL-LINCOLN-MECKLENBURG-
644 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CLEVELAND...GASTON...LINCOLN...
NORTHERN MECKLENBURG...SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA AND SOUTHERN IREDELL
COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

AT 644 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DENVER TO LINCOLNTON
TO POLKVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  IRON STATION...
  LAKE NORMAN...
  SHELBY...
  LOWESVILLE...
  CORNELIUS...
  MOUNTAIN ISLAND LAKE...

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET
SOIL CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL.
SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3526 8088 3520 8137 3536 8171 3543 8169
      3548 8133 3565 8103 3551 8074 3550 8078
      3549 8079 3542 8075 3540 8077 3535 8071

HG
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 6:51 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
651 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

NCZ053-065-072345-
BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-
651 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TO AFFECT NORTHERN HENDERSON AND SOUTHERN
BUNCOMBE COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM EDT...

AT 649 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
PERSISTENT AREA OF HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN HENDERSON AND BUNCOMBE COUNTIES NEAR
FLETCHER. RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
IN THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS...AND THESE RATES MAY CONTINUE THROUGH 730
PM.

THE HEAVY RAIN MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES
AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS.
WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3546 8224 3547 8226 3544 8228 3539 8226
      3538 8226 3529 8261 3544 8275 3553 8249
      3555 8224

HG
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 6:55 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
655 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

GAZ010-080000-
RABUN-
655 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TO AFFECT RABUN COUNTY THROUGH 8 PM EDT...

AT 653 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
BROAD AREA OF HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
RABUN COUNTY. A LARGE SHIELD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PERSIST BEHIND THE STORMS THROUGH 8 PM. RAINFALL RATES OF ONE HALF
TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH PER HOUR WILL LINGER.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3494 8360 3495 8356 3500 8355 3499 8310
      3493 8312 3493 8315 3488 8320 3488 8323
      3481 8327 3482 8331 3471 8335 3475 8343
      3472 8348 3473 8352 3483 8360 3482 8366
      3484 8367

HG
Local storm report, Jun 7, 7:05 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
705 PM EDT FRI JUN 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPARTANBURG             34.94N 81.93W
06/07/2013                   SPARTANBURG        SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS ROADWAYS AND INTO POWER
            LINES ON CONNETICUT AVE AND NORTH CHURCH STREET.

&&

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 7:09 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
709 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

NCZ036-070>072-082-SCZ009-014-072345-
CABARRUS-CHESTER-GASTON-IREDELL-MECKLENBURG-UNION-YORK-
709 PM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO AFFECT THE CHARLOTTE METRO
AREA THROUGH AT LEAST 8 PM EDT...

AT 702 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERAL LINES OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONVERGING ON THE CHARLOTTE
METRO AREA FROM THE WEST. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING RAINFALL
AT RATES AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
PEA SIZE HAIL.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS MAY CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM. HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH
AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS
FLOODED ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO
RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3482 8031 3481 8079 3494 8079 3505 8089
      3455 8087 3456 8142 3473 8149 3477 8145
      3503 8149 3505 8141 3526 8132 3542 8145
      3540 8096 3553 8096 3556 8074 3550 8070
      3550 8030 3519 8050 3519 8027

HG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 8:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAvery, Mitchell, Yancey3 hr
Jun 6, 10:57 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAvery, Caldwell, Mitchell2 hr
Jun 6, 11:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell47 min
Jun 7, 12:59 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg6 hr
Jun 7, 4:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell38 min
Jun 7, 4:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie60 min
Jun 7, 4:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk50 min
Jun 7, 5:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan33 min
Jun 7, 5:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBurke43 min
Jun 7, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson, Polk, Rutherford63 min
Jun 7, 6:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland29 min
Jun 7, 6:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCatawba, Lincoln53 min
Jun 7, 6:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan43 min
Jun 7, 6:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPLincoln23 min
Jun 7, 6:32 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPRowan118 min
Jun 7, 6:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland, Gaston, Lincoln46 min
Jun 7, 6:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson54 min
Jun 7, 7:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Mecklenburg, Union36 min
Jun 7, 7:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union44 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.