Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

245 
WGUS72 KGSP 030921
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
521 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

NCC119-031030-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130603T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MECKLENBURG NC-
521 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MECKLENBURG
COUNTY UNTIL 630 AM EDT...

AT 513 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUED ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN 
SECTIONS OF THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 
2 TO 4 INCHES HAVE OCCURRED ACROSS THE CITY SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. 
ALTHOUGH RAINFALL RATES WERE DIMINISHING EARLY THIS MORNING... 
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE 
THE RAIN TAPERS OFF LATER THIS MORNING.  

A STREAM GAUGE ON MALLARD CREEK NEAR HARRISBURG INDICATED THE STREAM 
WAS ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 12 FEET. THIS INDICATES FLOODING IS 
LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG PAVILLION BOULEVARD. MULTIPLE OTHER STREAMS 
WERE RUNNING VERY HIGH CLOSE TO THE CITY CENTER...ESPECIALLY LITTLE 
SUGAR CREEK. THESE STREAMS ARE LIKELY FLOODING LOW LYING AREAS IN A 
FEW SPOTS. IN ADDITION...THE MEDIA REPORTS URBAN FLOODING OCCURRING 
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CITY...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF INDEPENDENCE 
BOULEVARD AND STATESVILLE ROAD.      

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8079 3503 8080 3500 8084 3514 8097
      3534 8095 3534 8070 3510 8068

$$
LANE

559 
WGUS72 KGSP 031032
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
632 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

NCC119-031045-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130603T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MECKLENBURG NC-
632 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MECKLENBURG
COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO 
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8079 3503 8080 3500 8084 3514 8097
      3534 8095 3534 8070 3510 8068

$$
LANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
221 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY INTO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH
ON TUESDAY...BUT WITH MOISTURE GRADUALLY RETURNING OVER THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE MID TO LATE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 115 AM...CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS INDICATE THAT SHRAS AND
POSSIBLY TSRA WILL REMAIN OVER THE CLT METRO AREA THROUGH MOST OF
THE PRE DAWN PERIOD. I WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS
THROUGH 12Z...THEN INDICATE A DECREASE THROUGH LATE MORNING. THE
CONCERN WILL BE FOR URBAN OR FLASH FLOODING EARLY THIS MORNING. THE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL FALL OVER TERRITORY THAT OBSERVED 2 TO 3
INCHES LATE SUNDAY EVENING.

AS OF 1030 PM...THE LATEST WV IMAGERY AND THE RAP ANALYSIS INDICATE
THE UPR LVL VORT MAX A LTL OVER HALFWAY THRU THE CWFA. THE LEADING
CONVECTION IS ABOUT THRU THE SE CORNER OF THE FA (UNION NC)...AND
BEHIND THIS...VERY LITTLE IS SEEN ON RADAR. LOOKING AT THE 12Z
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS...IT SEEMS THERE WILL BE LESS COVERAGE
OVERNIGHT THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. HOWEVER...WITH LINGERING
SYNOPTIC FORCING ATOP A MOIST AIR MASS AND CONTINUED SWLY 850 MB
FLOW OF 25-30 KTS...WILL KEEP A DECENT CHC POP THRU THE OVERNIGHT.
TEMPS HAVE COOLED FROM THE CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING TO MAINLY UPR 60S
ACRS MOST OF THE AREA...AND THEY WILL PROBABLY HOLD AROUND THOSE
READINGS OVERNIGHT.

THE APPROACHING TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY
ALONG WITH DECENT UPPER DIVERGENCE. MOISTURE MAY WELL PERSIST ACROSS
THE REGION AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY GETS HUNG UP OR WASHES OUT. LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE OF A WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE ON MONDAY...BUT
WITH A SHEAR AXIS OUT OVER INTERSTATE 77 WHERE THE BEST CHC OF
STRONG TO SEVERE TSRA WILL BE THROUGH MONDAY AFTN. WILL CONTINUE TO
FEATURE A RELATIVELY LOW DIURNAL TEMP TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM SUNDAY...PRECIP SHOULD DIMINISH QUICKLY MON NIGHT AS
THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES OFFSHORE AND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES
EAST OF THE AREA. DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION WILL THEN RIDGE INTO THE FORECAST AREA BEHIND THE DEPARTING
FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUNDING SHOWING GOOD MID LEVEL CAPPING
INVERSION ON TUE IN PERSISTENT NE FLOW. THEREFORE...I KEPT THE
FORECAST MOSTLY DRY MAINLY OVER THE PIEDMONT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
UPSLOPE PRECIP IN THE MTNS.

TUE NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THE FLOW BECOMES EASTERLY BY TUESDAY NIGHT
AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFT EAST. THE CENTER OF
HIGH WILL SLIDE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY WED WITH ITS SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE REGION. CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW WILL LEAD
TO JUICY CONDITIONS WITH PW VALUES REACHING NEAR 1.5 INCHES BY WED
NIGHT. MODEL SOUNDING INDICATES THAT CAPPING INVERSION WILL WEAKEN
AND SURFACE TO 700 MB LAYER WILL BECOME SATURATED. IN
ADDITION...RELATIVELY WEAK SBCAPE OF 300-500 J/KG WILL BE PRESENT.
HENCE...CAN NOT RULE OUT SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION AND POPS HAVE BEEN REFLECTED ACCORDINGLY. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE AROUND 2-3 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF NOON SUNDAY...AS WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED
PERIOD...USED MODEL BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF WITH MORE WEIGHT GIVEN TO
THE EC.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN DURING
START OF THE PERIOD WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED BY A RATHER LOW AMPLITUDE
TROF PUSHING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST.  AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL EXTEND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...AND EVENTUALLY MOVE
EASTWARD LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE TROF EJECTS TO THE NORTHEAST.
MEANWHILE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...PROXIMITY TO A BUILDING TROPICAL
FEATURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL YIELD SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW.  THUS...EXPECTING INCREASES IN MOISTURE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
MARINE AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION.  NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE
WAY OF FORCING ALOFT...THEREFORE WENT WITH SLIGHT TO CHANCE POPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD...MAINLY ON A DIURNAL HEATING TYPE PATTERN.
WOULD LIKE TO NOTE THAT POPS DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND COULD CHANGE AS THEY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON TROPICAL
FORMATION...WHICH IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.  TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE REGION WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

WITH RESPECT TO THE TROPICAL SYSTEM...THERE IS BROAD MODEL
DISCONTINUITY REGARDING THE OVERALL TRACK AND INTENSITY.  THE GFS
SEEMS TO TREND WITH A WEAKER SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE GULF MOVING
NORTHEAST THROUGH NORTHCENTRAL FLORIDA...THEN WEAKENING FURTHER AS
ITS REMNANTS CROSS OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC WHERE IT DISSIPATES.  THE
ECMWF TAKES THE SAME TRACK THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING BUT KEEPS A MUCH
MORE ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING OFF SHORE NEAR SAVANNAH
GEORGIA...AND BRUSHING THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE
OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA BEFORE EJECTING OUT TO SEA WITH THE
UPPER TROF.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT...AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS...POSSIBLY A
VCTS...WILL TRACK ACROSS THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE PRE DAWN PERIOD.
THE CURRENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL RATES
WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA AFTER 9Z. BASED ON UPSTREAM
CONDITIONS...MVFR CLOUDS AND VIS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE SHRA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT SCT IFR TO MVFR CEILING WILL REMAIN
THROUGH SUNRISE...MIXING TO VFR BY MID DAY. CONVECTION ALLOWING
MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHRA AND TSRA...ASSOCIATED WITH A
WEAK COLD FRONT...MAY PASS WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINAL BETWEEN
20-23Z. A LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND SHOULD REMAIN THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...KAVL...KGUM...KGSP...KHKY WERE OBSERVING LIFR CEILINGS
AT 6Z TAF ISSUANCE TIME. THE LOW CEILINGS WILL LIKELY PERSIST
THROUGH THE PRE DAWN PERIOD. PERIODS OF LIFR FOG IS POSSIBLE AT
KHKY. KAND IS THE ONLY VFR SITE AT 6Z...BUT TRENDS INDICATE THAT
MVFR CEILINGS MAY DEVELOP BY 7Z...WITH SOUNDINGS SUPPORTING IFR BY
9Z. OVERALL...TERMINALS SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF AN AREA OF SHRA ACROSS
THE CLT METRO AREA. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX TO VFR BY LATE
MORNING TO MID DAY. CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHRA AND TSRA...ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT...MAY PASS
WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS BETWEEN THIS AFTERNOON. A
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND SHOULD REMAIN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...BRIEF DRYING UNDER HIGH PRES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO
TUE BEFORE MOISTURE RETURNS QUICKLY OVER THE SFC HIGH MID TO LATE
WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z
KCLT       MED   74%     MED   74%     HIGH  98%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       MED   62%     HIGH  80%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   75%     MED   73%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       MED   71%     MED   78%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       LOW   46%     MED   79%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       MED   72%     MED   72%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...JOH
LONG TERM...CDG
AVIATION...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1039 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-040245-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1039 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

ARK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
928 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SSE ANDERSON          34.42N 82.60W
06/02/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY OF HIGHWAY 28 JUST SOUTH OF
            INTERSECTION WITH HIGHWAY 108.

0631 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE ANDERSON          34.48N 82.56W
06/02/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE IN ROADWAY NEAR INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 76 AND
            HIGHWAY 252.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
929 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIAMSTON             34.62N 82.48W
06/02/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON CHURCH ST IN WILLIAMSTON. ANOTHER TREE DOWN
            ON GOODRICH ST IN PELZER.

&&

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1005 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 W ANDERSON            34.51N 82.71W
06/02/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED NEW PROSPECT CHURCH ROAD CLOSED
            DUE TO FLOODING. THE EXTENT OF THE FLOODING UNKNOWN AT
            THIS TIME.

0806 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NNE ANDERSON          34.58N 82.62W
06/02/2013                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED ROAD CLOSURE DUE TO FLOODING AT
            INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 276 AND HIGHWAY 81. THE EXTENT OF
            THE FLOODING UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME. LAST HEAVY DOWNPOUR
            CROSSED LOCATION AROUND 625 PM ACCORDING TO RADAR. A
            MODERATE BAND CROSSED AROUND AND AFTER 7 PM.

&&

OUTLAW