Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Advisories in 2013

River Flood Advisory 21, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

January 31, 2013Kent County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this river flood advisory at Jan 31, 2013, 11:43 AM EST for Kent County, Michigan. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 31, 2013, 11:43 AM EST (16:43 UTC)
Expired
Feb 2, 2013, 11:29 AM EST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

County Kent County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Grand River at Comstock Park (CMPM4).

Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

059 
WGUS83 KGRR 311643
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG AFFECTING KALAMAZOO COUNTY
  PINE RIVER AT ALMA AFFECTING GRATIOT COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY
  LITTLE MUSKEGON RIVER ABOVE MORLEY AFFECTING MECOSTA COUNTY

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY

.THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

MIC067-011843-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130206T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-011843-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.130131T1643Z-130204T2330Z/
/LWLM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 09 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.6 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-011843-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.130131T1643Z-130206T0000Z/
/CMPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF HOMES ALONG 
  ABRIGADOR TRAIL

$$

MIC065-011843-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130203T0000Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 09 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND FALL BELOW BANKFULL
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...IN THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND 
  SECTIONS OF EAST MT. HOPE ROAD

$$

MIC037-011843-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 07.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.9 FEET BY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-011843-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130206T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC077-311713-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-130131T1800Z/
/VCKM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PORTAGE RIVER NEAR VICKSBURG.
* AT 09 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 4.5 FEET...RIVER IS NEAR BANKFULL

$$

MIC105-011843-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF CAMPGROUNDS LOCATED
  IN SCOTTVILLE RIVERSIDE PARK

$$

MIC107-011730-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-130201T1730Z/
/MORM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MUSKEGON RIVER ABOVE MORLEY
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 4.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 4.1 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 4.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC073-011843-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0022.130131T1643Z-130202T1200Z/
/MPTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND FALL BELOW BANKFULL
  LATE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF THE GOLF COURSE...
  ISLAND PARK AND NELSON PARK IN WESTERN MT. PLEASANT

$$

MIC057-311713-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/
/ALMM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1143 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PINE RIVER AT ALMA.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW BANKFULL AT 5.2
  FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$
5 follow-up statements
246 
WGUS83 KGRR 010334
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  LITTLE MUSKEGON RIVER ABOVE MORLEY AFFECTING MECOSTA COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES.  THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING 
FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 2 TO 4 INCHES FARTHER INLAND.  
THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK IS FOR TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL.  THE 
FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130206T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 09 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2330Z/
/LWLM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 09 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.6 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130206T0000Z/
/CMPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 08 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC065-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130203T0000Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 09 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...IN THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND 
  SECTIONS OF EAST MT. HOPE ROAD

$$

MIC037-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 07.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130206T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC105-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF CAMPGROUNDS LOCATED
  IN SCOTTVILLE RIVERSIDE PARK

$$

MIC123-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-130202T0737Z/
/CROM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COTTAGES AND HOMES 
  DOWNSTREAM OF NEWAYGO ON RIVERVIEW DRIVE IN BRIDGETON TOWNSHIP AND 
  PEPPERIDGE IN ASHLAND TOWNSHIP.

$$

MIC107-010404-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-130201T1730Z/
/MORM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LITTLE MUSKEGON RIVER ABOVE MORLEY.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 3.7 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 4.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC073-020534-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130202T1200Z/
/MPTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1034 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 09 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

EBW
474 
WGUS83 KGRR 011609
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 
THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COLD AND SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE.  
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-021809-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130206T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-021809-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2330Z/
/LWLM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-021809-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130204T0600Z/
/CMPM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC065-020600-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130202T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-021809-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.8 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-021809-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130206T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC105-021809-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT HIGH WATER TO BEGIN COVERING 
  CAMPGROUND ROAD ADJACENT TO RIVER IN SCOTTVILLE PARK

$$

MIC123-021809-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-130203T0300Z/
/CROM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD STEADY NEAR 8.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND BEGIN A SLOW FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  RIVER BEGINS TO EXCEED 
  ITS BANKS AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

$$

MIC073-011639-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130202T1200Z/
/MPTM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1109 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$
981 
WGUS83 KGRR 020141
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY
  WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL AFFECTING MUSKEGON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES.  THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING 
FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE TONIGHT 
AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK IS FOR GRADUAL WARMING 
THROUGH NEXT WEEK... WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL AT THE 
END OF THE WEEK.  AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 
24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130206T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 07 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2330Z/
/LWLM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130204T0600Z/
/CMPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 04 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC065-020211-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130202T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.1 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.6 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130206T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.2 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC105-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF CAMPGROUNDS LOCATED
  IN SCOTTVILLE RIVERSIDE PARK

$$

MIC121-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-130203T1200Z/
/WHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 06 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF SEVERAL COTTAGES...
  CANOE LIVERIES...AND FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC123-030300-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-130203T0300Z/
/CROM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 07 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  RIVER BEGINS TO EXCEED 
  ITS BANKS AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

$$

EBW/JMAPLES
626 
WGUS83 KGRR 020255 CCA
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY
  WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL AFFECTING MUSKEGON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BELOW 
FREEZING TEMPERATURES.  THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1 TO 3
INCHES ELSEWHERE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  THE EXTENDED
OUTLOOK IS FOR GRADUAL WARMING THROUGH NEXT WEEK... WITH TEMPERATURES
RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL AT THE END OF THE WEEK.  AN ADDITIONAL INCH
OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE FOLLOWING
FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130206T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 07 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130204T2330Z/
/LWLM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130204T0600Z/
/CMPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 04 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC065-020211-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130202T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.1 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  CREEK AND AT THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND SCOTT WOODS PARK

$$

MIC037-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.6 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130206T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.2 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC105-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 5.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF CAMPGROUNDS LOCATED
  IN SCOTTVILLE RIVERSIDE PARK

$$

MIC121-030341-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-130203T1200Z/
/WHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 06 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF SEVERAL COTTAGES...
  CANOE LIVERIES...AND FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC123-030300-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-130203T0300Z/
/CROM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 07 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  RIVER BEGINS TO EXCEED 
  ITS BANKS AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

$$

EBW/JMAPLES
518 
WGUS83 KGRR 021629
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL AFFECTING MUSKEGON COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY

.THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY A COLD ARCTIC AIR. THIS WILL
PRODUCE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF UNDER A HALF INCH. THE EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK IS FOR MORE SNOW AND COLD WEATHER. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS
BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

MIC067-031829-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130206T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL SLOWLY FALL FROM NEAR 15.9 FEET THIS
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXPECT EXTENSIVE LOWLAND OVERFLOW TO OCCUR

$$

MIC081-031800-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-130203T1800Z/
/LWLM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 08 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-021659-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130204T0600Z/
/CMPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK.
* AT 1125 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.45 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.3 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC037-031828-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130209T0600Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL SATURDAY FEBRUARY 09.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 8.6 FEET THROUGH THIS
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC015-021659-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130206T1130Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL FROM 5.0 FEET THROUGH
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF
  LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC105-031828-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 5.5 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF CAMPGROUNDS LOCATED
  IN SCOTTVILLE RIVERSIDE PARK

$$

MIC121-031828-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-130205T0600Z/
/WHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 06 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF SEVERAL COTTAGES...
  CANOE LIVERIES...AND FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC123-021659-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-130203T0300Z/
/CROM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1129 AM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE AROUND 7.2 FEET THROUGH THE  
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL.  RIVER BEGINS TO EXCEED 
  ITS BANKS AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER.

$$

63

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Jan 31, 11:27 AM EST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 11:27 AM EST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1127 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

IT/S BACK TO WINTER AS ARCTIC AIR FLOWS OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS WEST OF US-131 THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND CLIMBING INTO THE 30S MONDAY BEFORE
COOLING INTO THE 20S BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AFTER LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS DIMINISH LATE SATURDAY MORE SNOW IS POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS A CLIPPER MOVES TOWARD THE REGION.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1121 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

BEST BANDING AND COLDEST CLOUD TOPS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THAN
FORECASTED...THUS HEADLINES BEEN NORTH. WINDS REALLY DO NOT CHANGE
MUCH OVER THE NEXT 12 HRS...SO THE CURRENT BANDING SHOULD PERSIST.
BUFKIT SHOWS VERY DEEP MOISTURE AND GOOD LIFT IN/NR DGZ FOR GRAND
RAPIDS AND BATTLE CREEK THROUGH THE NIGHT...SO THOSE LOCATIONS
SHOULD END UP WITH LOCALIZED WARNING AMOUNTS...WHERE THE BANDS
PERSIST. LATE TONIGHT...A WAVE DROPS DOWN FROM THE NORTH ALONG THE
LAKESHORE. STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SETS UP FOR LDM. ALREADY
HAD AROUND 4 INCHES IN PLACES THIS MORNING. WE SHOULD EASILY REACH
GREATER THAN 8 INCHES BY THIS TIME TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY WITH THE
UPSTREAM SEEDING FROM SUPERIOR.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 912 AM EST THU
JAN 31 2013

EXPANDED THE ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO INCLUDE MUCH OF
INTERSTATES 94 AND 96 INTO FRIDAY GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF THE
INLAND BANDING PERSISTING INTO FRIDAY AM. THE WESTERLY FLOW
PERSISTS AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS NOTED THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

OVERALL THE GOING FORECAST IS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE AND THE SHORT
RANGE MODELS HAVE HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON THE ARCTIC AIR FLOWING OVER
THE LAKES. ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE. PERHAPS THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT WAS THE UPGRADE TO A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN OTTAWA
SOUTH TO VAN BUREN AND EAST TO KALAMAZOO COUNTIES.

THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT HAS A LOT GOING FOR IT. OVERLAKE
INSTABILITY IS HIGH WITH LAKE DELTA T/S IN THE 20S. A SHORT WAVE
MOVING SOUTH TOWARD LOWER MICHIGAN WILL RESULT IN GOOD LIFT THROUGH
THE DGZ. ONE OF THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THIS EVENT AND THE LAST ONE
IS THAT THE AIR COMING OVER THE LAKE IS A FEW DEGREES WARMER AND THE
DGZ WON/T BE QUITE AS CLOSE TO THE SFC. THAT SHOULD RESULT IN A
LITTLE LARGER FLAKE SIZE AND HIGHER ACCUMS. PROGD H8 OMEGA SEEMS TO
REALLY FAVOR THE AFOREMENTIONED WARNING COUNTIES AND WAS A FACTOR IN
THE UPGRADE FROM THE ADVISORY. ALREADY...KAZO AND KBIV HAVE SEEN
VSBYS IN THE 1/4 TO 1/2SM RANGE.

THIS LAKE EFFECT EVENT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. TOTAL
ACCUMS IN THE 8 TO 14 INCH RANGE SURE SEEM POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING
AREA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA. ONE THING WE/LL
NEED TO WATCH IS WHAT HAPPENS TO THE LAKE BANDS LATE SATURDAY. THE
CLIPPER MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA SHOULD BACK THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WINDS TO A WSW COMPONENT WHICH WOULD FAVOR NRN OTTAWA AND KENT
COUNTIES. COULD SEE ADDITIONAL ACCUMS THERE AND BUMPED UP ACCUMS A
BIT FOR THAT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

SNOWY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY. FOR THE MOST PART THE
MAJORITY OF THIS SNOW WILL BE NEAR AND WEST OF US-131. HOWEVER IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT A SERIES OF CLIPPER SYSTEMS SEEMS TO WANT TO
TRACK THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THOSE SYSTEMS WOULD BRING
SNOW TO THE ENTIRE AREA BUT EVEN THEN THE LAKE SHORE COUNTIES WOULD
GET MORE SNOW. IT WILL BE COLDER THAN NORMAL SUNDAY BUT THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN REMAINS ON THE COLD (CYCLONIC) SIDE OF THE
POLAR JET THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IN FACT OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS THE
TREND IS FOR THE POLAR JET TO BE FARTHER SOUTH IN THE MON TO WED
TIME FRAME. THIS WILL PUT SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A FAVORABLE POSITION
TO KEEP GETTING SNOW FROM EACH SYSTEM THAT TRACKS THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES.

THERE ARE THREE SYSTEMS THAT TRACK THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. THE FIRST IS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THAT SETS
UP A CLASSIC SOUTHWEST FLOW EVENT WHICH MEANS HEAVY SNOWFALL IS
POSSIBLE AS THE BEST LIFT IS IN THE DGZ. ALL AREAS SHOULD GET SOME
SNOW THROUGH. LITTLE QUESTION IT WILL SNOW SO I INCREASED POPS TO
LIKELY. ON SUNDAY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL KEEP THE
LAKE EFFECT GOING BUT THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH TO FLURRIES INLAND.

THE SECOND SYSTEM FORECAST THROUGH THE AREA COMES THROUGH ON MONDAY.
EACH RUN SEEMS TO TRACK IT FARTHER SOUTH. AT THIS POINT IT ACTUALLY
IS FORECAST TO TRACK INTO NORTHERN INDIANA (ECMWF). SO ANOTHER SNOW
EVENT MONDAY WITH THAT SYSTEM. AGAIN I PUT LIKELY POPS... HARD TO
IMAGINE IT WOULD NOT SNOW FROM THAT SYSTEM.

OUR THIRD SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. I FOLLOWED THE
FARTHER SOUTH TRACK OF THE ECMWF HERE TOO. THAT WOULD BE MORE SNOW
AGAIN FOR OUR AREA. RIDGING FOLLOWS FOR WEDNESDAY... SO THE SNOW MAY
FINALLY END FOR AWHILE THEN.

I STILL BELIEVE THAT POWERFUL EAST ASIA JET CORE WILL LEAD TO A WARM
UP HERE LATER NEXT WEEK.  IT SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BREAK DOWN
THE WESTERN UPPER RIDGE AT LEAST FOR A TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 646 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. AN
UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE WILL INCREASE THE INTENSITY OF THE SNOW SHOWERS
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SO EXPECT THE MKG...GRR...AZO AND BTL TO
HAVE VSBY FREQ NEAR TO BELOW 1/2 MILE. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY SO
EXPECT BLOWING SNOW TO FARTHER LIMIT VISIBILITIES ON LANDING AND
TAKEOFF. ONCE THE SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
SOME BUT ONLY LAN AND JXN MAY IMPROVE TO MVFR OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

GALE WARNING WAS EXTENDED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE AT SEVERAL PLACES. ROAD WASHOUTS OCCURRED IN
MASON AND NEWAYGO COUNTIES WHILE ICE JAM FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN
MECOSTA COUNTY. RISES WILL CONTINUE ON MANY RIVERS ALTHOUGH THE
ARCTIC AIR SHOULD HELP SLOW SOME OF THE RISES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR MIZ056-064-
     071-072.

     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR MIZ037-043-
     050-057-065-073.

     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR MIZ039-040-
     045-046-051-052-058-059-066-067-074.

     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR MIZ038-044.

LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LMZ844>849.

&&

UPDATE...MJS
SYNOPSIS...93
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM...WDM
AVIATION...NJJ
HYDROLOGY...93
MARINE...93
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 11:40 AM EST, 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1140 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-011000-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
1140 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

HIGH WATER LEVELS ON SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE A FLOODING THREAT. ICE JAMS WILL ALSO POSE A FLOODING THREAT
THROUGH TONIGHT.

SNOW WILL FALL THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED
WEST OF A CADILLAC TO BATTLE CREEK LINE. GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES AT TIMES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SNOW OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND THEN A MORE GENERAL AREA WIDE SNOW IS POSSIBLE MONDAY.
THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WEST OF US-131. TRAVEL IMPACTS
WILL BE LIKELY FROM THIS ADDITIONAL SNOW.

RIVER RISES AND POTENTIAL ICE JAMS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A FLOOD
THREAT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW TOTALS...OR ANY INSTANCES
OF FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LMZ844>849-011000-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1140 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

GALE FORCE WINDS AND WAVES TO 10 FEET... COMBINED WITH FREEZING SPRAY
WILL MAKE CONDITIONS EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT INTO
TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIND AND WAVES WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH SUNDAY WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO
AT TIMES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

WDM MJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 31, 10:19 AM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1019 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     SNOW             1 SSW ALLENDALE         42.96N 85.96W
01/31/2013  M2.7 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Jan 31, 10:20 AM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1020 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     SNOW             GRANDVILLE              42.91N 85.76W
01/31/2013  M3.4 INCH        KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SNOWFALL SINCE 8PM LAST NIGHT. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
            IS OCCURRING.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Jan 31, 10:21 AM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1021 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     SNOW             5 WNW HOLLAND           42.81N 86.20W
01/31/2013  M2.0 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Jan 31, 10:30 AM EST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1030 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     SNOW             7 NNW SCOTTVILLE        44.05N 86.33W
01/31/2013  M1.8 INCH        MASON              MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0545 AM     SNOW             PORTAGE                 42.20N 85.58W
01/31/2013  E5.0 INCH        KALAMAZOO          MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ESTIMATE OF NEW SNOWFALL. COURTESY OF WXMI FOX 17.

0545 AM     SNOW             GRAND HAVEN             43.06N 86.22W
01/31/2013  E2.5 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ESTIMATE OF NEW SNOWFALL. COURTESY OF WXMI FOX 17.

0630 AM     SNOW             3 W WALKER              43.00N 85.83W
01/31/2013  M1.6 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR REPORT.

0700 AM     SNOW             4 WSW FREMONT           43.44N 86.02W
01/31/2013  M2.0 INCH        NEWAYGO            MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 AM     SNOW             1 NE VICKSBURG          42.13N 85.52W
01/31/2013  M4.2 INCH        KALAMAZOO          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 AM     SNOW             GERALD R FORD ARPT      42.89N 85.53W
01/31/2013  M1.5 INCH        KENT               MI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 AM     SNOW             2 W WAYLAND             42.67N 85.68W
01/31/2013  M1.7 INCH        ALLEGAN            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR REPORT.

0700 AM     SNOW             2 SE SCOTTVILLE         43.93N 86.25W
01/31/2013  M3.6 INCH        MASON              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0730 AM     SNOW             5 WNW HOLLAND           42.81N 86.20W
01/31/2013  M2.0 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0738 AM     SNOW             1 S KALAMAZOO           42.27N 85.59W
01/31/2013  M3.0 INCH        KALAMAZOO          MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NEW SNOWFALL AT WWMT IN KALAMAZOO.

0744 AM     SNOW             FREMONT                 43.47N 85.94W
01/31/2013  M1.2 INCH        NEWAYGO            MI   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            NEW SNOWFALL.

0745 AM     SNOW             4 NNE PAW PAW           42.27N 85.86W
01/31/2013  M3.5 INCH        VAN BUREN          MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0810 AM     SNOW             6 SW KALAMAZOO          42.22N 85.68W
01/31/2013  M6.0 INCH        KALAMAZOO          MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0815 AM     SNOW             1 SSW ALLENDALE         42.96N 85.96W
01/31/2013  M2.7 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0833 AM     SNOW             3 SSW NUNICA            43.04N 86.08W
01/31/2013  M1.0 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   PUBLIC

            NEW SNOWFALL IN ROBINSON TWP AT THE RIVER HAVEN MARINA.

1000 AM     SNOW             GRANDVILLE              42.91N 85.76W
01/31/2013  M3.4 INCH        KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SNOWFALL SINCE 8PM LAST NIGHT. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
            IS OCCURRING.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Jan 31, 11:16 AM EST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1116 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 AM     SNOW             PAW PAW                 42.22N 85.89W
01/31/2013  M5.0 INCH        VAN BUREN          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SNOWFALL SO FAR.

1055 AM     SNOW             SCHOOLCRAFT             42.12N 85.64W
01/31/2013  M5.0 INCH        KALAMAZOO          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEW SNOW SINCE 7PM LAST NIGHT.

&&

HOVING
Local storm report, Jan 31, 11:30 AM EST, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1130 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 AM     SNOW             COOPER                  42.38N 85.61W
01/31/2013  M4.0 INCH        KALAMAZOO          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEW SNOWFALL SINCE 8PM LAST NIGHT.

&&

HOVING

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 10:22 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKalamazoo13 hr
Jan 30, 10:40 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRMuskegon40 hr
Jan 30, 10:53 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRIsabella12 hr
Jan 31, 3:19 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Eaton, Ionia, Kalamazoo and 7 more58 hr
Jan 31, 11:43 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKent58 hr
Jan 31, 11:43 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRIsabella23 hr
Jan 31, 2:39 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRNewaygo45 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Michigan, 2013Every river flood advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.