Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Green Bay, WI

845 
WWUS53 KGRB 272143
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
443 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

WIC078-083-115-272230-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130827T2230Z/
MENOMINEE WI-SHAWANO WI-OCONTO WI-
443 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OCONTO...
SHAWANO AND SOUTHEASTERN MENOMINEE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 440 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LEGEND LAKE...
AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHAWANO...SHAWANO LAKE...UNDERHILL...CECIL...PULCIFER...LUNDS...
BONDUEL...ADVANCE...GREEN VALLEY...ZACHOW...LANDSTAD...KRAKOW...
FRAZER CORNERS AND SAMPSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN
BAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4498 8855 4475 8812 4459 8846 4489 8876
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 319DEG 21KT 4487 8857

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KIECKBUSCH

469 
WWUS53 KGRB 272153
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
453 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

WIC078-083-115-272230-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130827T2230Z/
MENOMINEE WI-SHAWANO WI-OCONTO WI-
453 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OCONTO...
SHAWANO AND SOUTHEASTERN MENOMINEE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 449 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF 
SHAWANO...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CECIL...ADVANCE...BONDUEL...LUNDS...ZACHOW...KRAKOW...LANDSTAD AND
FRAZER CORNERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN
BAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4488 8874 4493 8850 4472 8819 4459 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 338DEG 20KT 4479 8854

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KIECKBUSCH

735 
WWUS53 KGRB 272202
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
502 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

WIC078-083-272211-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130827T2230Z/
MENOMINEE WI-OCONTO WI-
502 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OCONTO AND SOUTHEASTERN
MENOMINEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 4478 8864 4485 8845 4475 8825 4469 8824
      4459 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 337DEG 20KT 4474 8851

$$

WIC115-272230-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130827T2230Z/
SHAWANO WI-
502 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHAWANO COUNTY
UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 458 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SHAWANO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ADVANCE...LUNDS...BONDUEL...ZACHOW...LANDSTAD AND FRAZER CORNERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN
BAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4478 8864 4485 8845 4475 8825 4469 8824
      4459 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 337DEG 20KT 4474 8851

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KIECKBUSCH

704 
WWUS53 KGRB 272213
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
513 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

WIC115-272230-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130827T2230Z/
SHAWANO WI-
513 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHAWANO COUNTY
UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 508 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST
OF NAVARINO WILDLIFE AREA...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRAZER CORNERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN
BAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4474 8860 4478 8840 4475 8825 4469 8824
      4459 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 330DEG 28KT 4466 8844

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KIECKBUSCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
236 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ROUTINE AFTERNOON FORECAST ISSUANCE

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

LATEST SWOMCD CONTINUE INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR A WATCH BOX LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. PLENTY OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...THUS EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE TO GET GOING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING SOUTH OF WAUSAUKEE
TO MERRILL LINE. DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT...BUT COULD NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
REPORT. LATER TONIGHT...EXPECT LOW CLOUDS AND FOG TO DEVELOP. THE
FOG MAY BE DENSE WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE.

ANY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY MID MORNING. UNDER
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STILL RUN SOME 5 TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. DID NOT STRAY TOO
FAR FROM GUIDANCE.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

PCPN TRENDS AND TEMPERATURES ARE THE MAIN FCST CONCERNS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SO DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SHOULD BE A GOOD NIGHT FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT...WITH LIGHT WINDS...CLEAR SKIES AND WET SOIL FROM
THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.

WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER OUR NW COUNTIES ON THURSDAY...
AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST...SO WILL KEEP SMALL POPS OVER
MAINLY NC WI FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. PCPN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS A GOOD SURGE OF MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE FCST AREA. DYNAMIC FORCING WILL
BE PROVIDED A WARM FRONT...A S/W TROF AND SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVG.
HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY OVER ABOUT THE WSTRN TWO-THIRDS OF
THE CWA...WITH MID-RANGE POPS IN OUR EASTERN COUNTIES.

THE WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HARD TO
LATCH ONTO ANY SPECIFIC DYNAMIC FEATURES THIS FAR OUT...SO POPS
WILL REMAIN IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SOMETIME IN THE SATURDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY
TIME FRAME. THIS FRONT WILL BRING SUBSTANTIAL COOLING FOR THE
END OF THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY...
AND DROP BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE IS
STILL SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN H8 TEMPS BETWEEN THE
VARIOUS MEDIUM RANGE MODELS...WITH THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF STILL
BY FAR THE COLDEST. SINCE THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN IS 4 TO 8 C
WARMER THAN THE OPERATIONAL RUN...THINK THAT A COMPROMISE BETWEEN
THE ECMWF AND GFS IS THE BEST WAY TO GO. THE MAIN PERIOD OF
CONCERN FOR TEMPS IS SUNDAY...WHEN WE MAY NEED TO LOWER HIGHS
BY SEVERAL DEGREES WITH SUBSEQUENT FCSTS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 236 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
SOUTH OF A WAUSAUKEE TO TO MERRILL LINE AS BOUNDARY SEVERAL
BOUNDARIES CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WERE WELL INTO THE 90S WITH READINGS ACROSS
THE NORTH WERE ONLY AROUND 80. LATER TONIGHT...EXPECT LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG TO DEVELOP AT MOST LOCATIONS. SOME AIRPORTS MAY DROP BELOW
MINIMUMS. THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG SHOULD GRADUALLY DISSIPATE BY 15-16Z.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....ECKBERG
LONG TERM......KIECKBUSCH
AVIATION.......ECKBERG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
252 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-282000-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
252 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING SOUTH OF A WAUSAUKEE TO MERRILL LINE.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE STORMS
WILL GRADUALLY END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS LIKELY LATER TONIGHT DUE TO FOG. THE FOG MAY
BECOME DENSE WITH VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.

HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 ACROSS WOOD...PORTAGE...WAUPACA AND
WAUSHARA COUNTIES WILL FALL INTO OR THROUGH THE 90S EARLY THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO
FOG...WHICH MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE WITH VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER
OF A MILE OR LESS UNTIL MID MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE IN THE WORK WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-282000-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
252 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MARINE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN. DENSE MARINE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO
REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE MILE...AND AT TIMES DOWN TO A FEW
HUNDRED FEET. THE DENSE FOG SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER THIS
EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...
LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE IN THE WORK WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL OCCUR.

A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MAY RESULT IN GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND
BUILDING WAVES FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...SO CONDITIONS
HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT MAY DEVELOP.

RE/TSK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
302 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WASHINGTON ISLAND       45.38N 86.90W
08/27/2013  M3.60 INCH       DOOR               WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            MEASURED SINCE 7AM. 2.5 DAY TOTAL OF 4.55 INCHES.

&&

BERSCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
412 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

WIZ019-020-031-074-272215-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-SHAWANO-SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
412 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 410 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHAWANO...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...FREQUENT DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDDLE VILLAGE...     INTERSECTION OF HWY 55 AND COUNTY M...
  KESHENA...            COLLEGE OF MENOMINEE NATION...
  LEGEND LAKE...        SHAWANO...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

KIECKBUSCH