Tornado Warning 12, NWS Goodland, KS

933 
WWUS53 KGLD 292024
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
224 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

NEC057-292045-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130529T2045Z/
DUNDY NE-
224 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL DUNDY COUNTY
UNTIL 245 PM MDT...

AT 223 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF CHAMPION...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
         SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
         OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME NORTHERN DUNDY COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4035 10166 4024 10173 4027 10180 4035 10181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 164DEG 19KT 4032 10175

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

MENTZER

451 
WWUS53 KGLD 292037
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
237 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

NEC057-292047-
/O.EXP.KGLD.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130529T2045Z/
DUNDY NE-
237 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL DUNDY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
245 PM MDT/345 PM CDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 4035 10166 4024 10173 4027 10180 4035 10181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 164DEG 19KT 4038 10177

$$

MENTZER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
106 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 105 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO
FIRE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.  UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A TROUGH
OVER EASTERN COLORADO MOVING EASTWARD TOWARD THE TRI-STATE AREA.  AT
THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED SOUTH OF LIMON STRETCHING
NORTHEAST BETWEEN ST. FRANCIS AND GOODLAND TO SOUTH OF IMPERIAL.  A
DRY LINE WAS LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA THEN PARALLELING THE
CO/KS BORDER TO THE SOUTH.

FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AM ANTICIPATING STORMS TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT...WITH DEVELOPMENT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE DRY LINE.  MEAN STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BUT
THE STORMS WILL MOVE AS WHOLE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
DUE TO THE MEAN FLOW BEING PARALLEL WITH THE FRONT...THUNDERSTORM
TRAINING WILL BE A CONCERN AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.  THIS MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.  IN ADDITION THE LONG RESENECE TIME
ALONG THE FRONT...PROVIDED THE STORMS DO NOT SHIFT OFF OF THE
FRONT...MAY ALLOW FOR LAND SPOUTS TO DEVELOP.  OTHERWISE...THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE THE LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT
DEVELOPS.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS MERGE INTO A SQUALL LINE THIS
AFTERNOON.

MEANWHILE THE 700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH WEST OF THE AREA WILL FIRE OFF
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL FOLLOW THE TROUGH EAST INTO THE AREA.
THE ONLY THREATS WITH THESE STORMS...SHOULD THEY BECOME
SEVERE...WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  THIS SECOND LINE
MAY MERGE WITH THE LINE FIRING OFF OF THE FRONT AND DRY LINE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON OR REMAIN BEHIND IT.

FOR THIS EVENING AM EXPECTING THE SEVERE THREAT TO CONTINUE AS
INSTABILITY REMAINS WITH VERY LITTLE CINH AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT.  THE STORM MOTION AND SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING FROM THE AFTERNOON.  BEHIND THE FRONT THE SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD BE MINIMAL AT BEST DURING THE EVENING DUE TO THE BETTER
INSTABILITY BEING ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  ANTICPATE THE TORNADO
THREAT TO DISSIPATE BY MID EVENING AS TEMPERATURES COOL.  HOWEVER
THE REST OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE COLD
FRONT IS EAST OF THE AREA WHICH SHOULD BE SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE MODELS SHOW THE 700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE
EAST...SO WILL HAVE SOME PRECIP. CHANCES LINGERING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS OVER THE EAST AS A RESULT.

MEANWHILE A SECOND 700MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT.  SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH SO WILL PLACE A MENTION OF ISOLATED CHANCES
IN THE FORECAST.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 417 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

EXTENDED RANGE LOOKS TO BE SEASONABLE FOR THE BEGINNING OF JUNE.
PERIOD BEGINS ON SATURDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW THAT WILL BE OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS LATE THIS WEEK MOVING EAST INTO THE MIDWEST WHILE A
LONG WAVE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS BEHIND IT ON SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW AT 850MB WILL BRING WARMER AIR UP FOR LATE IN THE
WEEKEND THROUGH MID-NEXT WEEK. ON MONDAY A SURFACE TROUGH/DRY LINE
WILL SET UP ALONG OR NEAR THE KANSAS-COLORADO BORDER. AT THE SAME
TIME A NUMBER OF WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA...WHICH ALONG WITH DIURNAL HEATING COULD
SET OFF SOME SHOWERS/STORMS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TUESDAY WILL HAVE
HIGHS WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH THE GFS AND GEM PROJECTING 850MB
TEMPS IN EXCESS OF 30C. ECMWF IS A BIT MORE CONSERVATIVE...BUT EVEN
SO BELIEVE HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE WELL INTO THE 90S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1142 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE REGION
TODAY...ALLOWING FOR UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP.  THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WILL OCCUR AROUND 19Z FOR KGLD AND
WILL APPROACH KMCK AROUND 21Z. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT
NEAR/OVER THE TAF SITES PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR BOTH TAF SITES WITH MVFR CEILINGS
IN THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION...WINDS
WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE NORTHWEST BY 6Z.  THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY 6Z WITH CEILING CONDITIONS RETURNING TO
VFR FOR BOTH TAF SITES.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...JJM
AVIATION...MK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1226 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301500-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1226 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013 /126 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL
INCREASE AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND
A FEW TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WHILE THE ENTIRE AREA
IS AT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER...THE MOST LIKELY AREA WILL BE EAST
OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS MAY LEAD TO AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER OVER SOUTH OF
A LINE FROM FLAGLER TO SHARON SPRINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

JTL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
123 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSZ002-291935-
RAWLINS-
223 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN RAWLINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 222 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF MCDONALD...OR NEAR MCDONALD...
MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 10121 3976 10125 3978 10141 3994 10141
      4000 10141 4001 10127
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 187DEG 19KT 3986 10135

LUNDQUIST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
235 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSZ013-014-028-291950-
LOGAN-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
235 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST THOMAS COUNTY...SOUTHEAST SHERMAN
COUNTY NORTHWEST AND LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 231 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF WINONA...MOVING NORTH AT 30
MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3910 10148 3913 10148 3914 10149 3931 10143
      3926 10120 3905 10130
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 196DEG 27KT 3915 10138

LUNDQUIST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
148 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSZ041-042-292000-
GREELEY-WICHITA-
148 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN GREELEY COUNTY AND WESTERN WICHITA COUNTY IN
WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 145 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SELKIRK TO 18 MILES SOUTH OF TRIBUNE...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3860 10179 3870 10166 3870 10135 3870 10134
      3826 10151 3826 10191
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 198DEG 39KT 3844 10159 3825 10179

LUNDQUIST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
151 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSZ014-292005-
THOMAS-
251 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 250 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BREWSTER...MOVING NORTH AT
45 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3916 10139 3921 10140 3947 10137 3943 10107
      3915 10128
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 198DEG 39KT 3928 10129

LUNDQUIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
159 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     HAIL             PALISADE                40.35N 101.11W
05/29/2013  E1.00 INCH       HITCHCOCK          NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DELAYED REPORT. TIME IS ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

BRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
212 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0141 PM     HAIL             4 N MAX                 40.17N 101.40W
05/29/2013  E0.88 INCH       DUNDY              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO RECIEVED 0.37 INCHES OF RAIN.

&&

BRB