Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Goodland, KS

May 18, 2013Yuma County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 18, 2013, 11:17 PM MDT for Yuma County, Colorado. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 18, 2013, 11:17 PM MDT (05:17 UTC)
Expired: May 19, 2013, 12:00 AM MDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Yuma County, CO

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 3640 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

084 
WUUS53 KGLD 190517
SVRGLD
COC125-190600-
/O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0069.130519T0517Z-130519T0600Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1117 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT

* AT 1115 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KIRK...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN YUMA COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 183 AND 206.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3990 10269 3984 10224 3957 10240 3962 10279
TIME...MOT...LOC 0517Z 207DEG 19KT 3968 10256

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

LUNDQUIST

1 follow-up statement

457 
WWUS53 KGLD 190531
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1131 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

COC125-190600-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-130519T0600Z/
YUMA CO-
1131 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
YUMA COUNTY UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT...

AT 1126 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF KIRK...AND MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 190 AND 204.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 10244 3967 10271 3990 10269 3984 10224
TIME...MOT...LOC 0531Z 196DEG 18KT 3973 10251

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

LUNDQUIST

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 18, 5:27 PM MDT, 5 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 18, 5:27 PM MDT, 5 hours 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
527 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1142 AM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

DRY LINE FAINTLY DETECTABLE ON KGLD RADAR AT 1745Z FROM NEAR ST
FRANCIS SOUTHWEST TO BURLINGTON AND THEN SOUTH TOWARDS CHEYENNE
WELLS. IT APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY MIXING EAST INTO KANSAS AND SHOULD
BE THE INITIATING MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
EXTREME INSTABILITY WILL EXIST EAST OF THE DRY LINE AND STORMS WILL
QUICKLY GO SEVERE WITH VERY LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS BEST FURTHER EAST FOR ROTATING STORMS...BUT EVEN NEAR THE DRY
LINE SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A SUPERCELL TO DEVELOP. AS A
RESULT...THERE MAY BE A TORNADO OR TWO IN THE AREA BEFORE ALL IS
SAID AND DONE. STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS ENDING BY MIDNIGHT.

THERE WILL BE A LULL IN PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...WITH UPPER SYSTEM SLOW TO MOVE OUT WILL SEE
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY IS NOT NEARLY AS IMPRESSIVE ON SUNDAY...IN
FACT IN WESTERN AREAS THERE IS LITTLE TO NO SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY
FORECAST...BUT CANT RULE OUT A SEVERE STORM OR TWO PRIMARILY IN THE
FAR EASTERN COUNTIES FROM MCCOOK TO HILL CITY WITH HAIL UP TO THE
QUARTER SIZE THE MAIN THREAT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 105 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

SUNDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY...UPPER LOW WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
PERIOD PROVIDING FOR BELOW NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS AND NORMAL
OVERNIGHT LOWS. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION TIL MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY WHEN CLOUDS AND LIFT INCREASE AS A VORT
MAX OR SERIES OF VORT MAXES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AROUND THE UPPER
LOW.

TUESDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...UPPER LOW LIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD LEAVING DRY CONDITIONS. FOR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY FORECAST AREA UNDER UPPER RIDGING AHEAD OF
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. VARIOUS DISTURBANCES
MOVE INTO THE AREA UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE IN WHATS LOOKS LIKE A
MONSOON SEASON PATTERN. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 527 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED EAST OF UPPER LOW ALONG DRY LINE
GENERALLY EAST OF KGLD TERMINAL WITH ACTIVITY SHIFTING NORTH
WITHIN VICINITY OF KMCK. THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT KGLD IS
MUCH LOWER COMPARED TO KMCK....THOUGH COULDNT RULE OUT A FEW
STORMS LATER TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST. SHOULD
SEE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DIMINISH AFTER 08Z...WITH REDEVELOPMENT
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY AS UPPER LOW MOVES EAST.

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AT KGLD...WITH MVFR (OR LOWER)
POSSIBLE AT KMCK IF A HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS OVER THE
TERMINAL. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME LIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT AT KMCK
AS A RESULT OF GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

WINDS WILL BE CHAOTIC AS A RESULT OF SURFACE TROUGH OVER
KGLD...AND THUNDERSTORMS AT KMCK. STRONGEST WINDS AT KMCK SHOULD
BE AROUND 30KT BASED ON CURRENT RADAR RETURNS...HOWEVER STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF 50 KT+ WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. WILL HAVE
TO MONITOR RADAR TRENDS BEFORE ADDING THESE MORE EXTREME VALUES TO
THE TAFS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...DR

Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 8:33 PM MDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
833 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-191515-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
833 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013 /933 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP LATE
THIS EVENING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND MOVE EAST INTO NORTHWEST
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK AS AN UNSETTLED PATTERN REMAINS OVER THE AREA.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 18, 7:14 PM MDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
714 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

NEZ079-190145-
DUNDY-
714 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWEST DUNDY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

AT 710 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAIRD...MOVING NORTH AT 25
MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 4009 10184 4012 10205 4032 10205 4035 10205
      4035 10172 4035 10171
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 193DEG 23KT 4019 10196

LUNDQUIST

Local storm report, May 18, 8:15 PM MDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
815 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     HAIL             MINGO                   39.28N 100.96W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       THOMAS             KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR MILE MARKER 61. REPORT
            VERIFIED BY SHERIFF DISPATCH IN THOMAS COUNTY.

0340 PM     HAIL             5 W ATWOOD              39.81N 101.14W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       RAWLINS            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL ABOUT 5 MILES W OF ATWOOD.

0340 PM     HAIL             9 E COLBY               39.39N 100.88W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       THOMAS             KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            FOUND QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN A DITCH AT INTERSECTION OF US
            HIGHWAY 24 AND US 83.

0426 PM     HAIL             SELDEN                  39.54N 100.57W
05/18/2013  E1.25 INCH       SHERIDAN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0434 PM     HAIL             SELDEN                  39.54N 100.57W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ESTIMATED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN SELDEN.

0437 PM     HAIL             JENNINGS                39.68N 100.29W
05/18/2013  E1.75 INCH       DECATUR            KS   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN JENNINGS, KS.

0459 PM     HAIL             BENKELMAN               40.05N 101.54W
05/18/2013  E0.75 INCH       DUNDY              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL JUST STARTED TO FALL

0501 PM     HAIL             BENKELMAN               40.05N 101.54W
05/18/2013  E0.88 INCH       DUNDY              NE   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL

0534 PM     HAIL             1 S OBERLIN             39.81N 100.53W
05/18/2013  E0.75 INCH       DECATUR            KS   PUBLIC

            PEA SIZED HAIL AND DIME SIZED HAIL EAST OF HIGHWAY 83.

&&

ALW

Special weather statement, May 18, 11:08 PM MDT, 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1108 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

COZ090-190545-
YUMA COUNTY-
1108 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 1107 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR KIRK...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 10272 3978 10233 3957 10244 3957 10277
      3957 10280
TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 202DEG 14KT 3965 10259

LUNDQUIST

Special weather statement, May 18, 11:10 PM MDT, 7 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1110 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

COZ090-190545-
YUMA COUNTY-
1110 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 1107 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF YUMA...MOVING NORTH AT 15
MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

&&

LAT...LON 4044 10265 4043 10237 4012 10254 4017 10279
      4045 10277 4045 10271 4044 10267
TIME...MOT...LOC 0510Z 202DEG 14KT 4022 10264

LUNDQUIST

Local storm report, May 18, 11:14 PM MDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1114 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     HAIL             YUMA                    40.12N 102.72W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       YUMA               CO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MK

Local storm report, May 18, 11:14 PM MDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1114 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     HAIL             YUMA                    40.12N 102.72W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       YUMA               CO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 18, 11:08 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Yuma	37 min
May 18, 11:10 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Yuma	35 min
May 18, 11:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	35 min
May 18, 11:47 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	43 min
May 19, 1:47 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	28 min
May 19, 2:07 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Kit Carson	38 min
May 19, 2:16 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Kit Carson	59 min
May 19, 4:31 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Kit Carson	79 min
May 19, 4:49 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Kit Carson	21 min
May 19, 5:06 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Kit Carson	19 min
May 19, 5:11 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Kit Carson	39 min
May 19, 5:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Kit Carson	30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.