Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Goodland, KS

336 
WWUS83 KGLD 142049
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
249 PM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-150300-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130415T0300Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
249 PM MDT SUN APR 14 2013 /349 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...016...027...028...
029...252...253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 029 GOVE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. YUMA
  COUNTY COLORADO AND CHEYENNE COUNTY KANSAS WILL SEE 30 TO 40 MPH
  SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

288 
WWUS83 KGLD 150212
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
812 PM MDT SUN APR 14 2013


COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-150315-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130415T0300Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
812 PM MDT SUN APR 14 2013 /912 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001
...002...003...004...013...014...015...016...027...028...029
...252...253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
315 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 300 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

TODAY-TONIGHT...AT 08Z COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST 1/2 OF THE AREA WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH BEHIND IT AND
GUSTS OF 45 MPH AHEAD OF IT...STRONGEST IN GOVE COUNTY.

FOR TODAY AM EXPECTING HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 70...15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE SOUTH. NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

FOR TONIGHT AXIS OF 850-500 MOISTURE SETS UP GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE KS/NE BORDER WHERE SOME FRONTOGENESIS ALSO PRESENT.
HAVE SOME SMALL POPS GOING FOR THIS. LOWS GENERALLY IN THE MID 20S
TO LOW 30S.

MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT...FIRST BATCH OF MOISTURE AND SMALL CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION LIFTS SLIGHTLY NORTH DURING THE MORNING WITH
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST INCREASING POPS ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST 1/2 OF THE AREA INTO MONDAY NIGHT. EAST/SOUTHEAST
WINDS INCREASE INTO THE BREEZY/WINDY CATEGORY MONDAY AFTERNOON
THEN DECREASE TOWARD 15 MPH FROM THE EAST/NORTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT.
HIGHS 45 TO 50 ACROSS THE NORTH...LOW 60S FAR SOUTH WITH 50S IN
BETWEEN. LOWS UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S.

TUESDAY-TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER TROUGH REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TUESDAY BEFORE SLOWLY
MOVING EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE A LULL IN PRECIPITATION
ACTIVITY TUESDAY AS UPPER LOW MOVES LITTLE AND MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY RATHER UNIMPRESSIVE. CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT
AS MOISTURE INCREASES AS LOW STARTS TO MOVE EAST. ALTHOUGH LOW AND
MID LEVELS RATHER DRY BOUNDARY LAYER RH RATHER HIGH SUGGESTING
SOME STRATUS PERHAPS. HIGHS GENERALLY UPPER 30S TO MID 40S
(NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST) WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S (WEST
TO EAST). WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TO PERHAPS WINDY FROM THE
EAST/NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

MAIN FOCUS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING OVER
THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MODELS INDICATE DRY AIR ABOVE THE -10C LEVEL WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF
THE AREA.  THE ENVIRONMENT SLOWLY SATURATES ABOVE THIS LEVEL THROUGH
THE DAY...CAUSING SNOW TO GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE AREA.  WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING IN THE EARLY MORNING...THERE MAY BE A
RISK OF FREEZING DRIZZLE FOR PART OF THE AREA.  HOWEVER WILL KEEP THE
WEATHER TYPE AS RAIN/SNOW FOR NOW DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE
THERMAL PROFILE AT THIS TIME RANGE.  OTHERWISE...WITH THE STRONGEST
LIFT OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE AREA AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL
TROUGH...WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCES THERE WITH DECREASING CHANCES
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AS THE LIFT DECLINES.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS CLOSE BEHIND.  ONCE THE MID LEVEL TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE DEVELOPS.  THERE APPEARS TO BE
SOME LINGERING LIFT OVER THE AREA AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH DEPARTS.
HOWEVER LIFT IN GENERAL WILL DECLINE THROUGH THE NIGHT AHEAD OF THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...WITH ANY SNOWFALL COMING TO AN END BY
THURSDAY MORNING.

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE MOVES OVER THE AREA
BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE EAST.  PRECIP. CHANCES RETURN
TO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

TEMPERATURES FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE COOLEST WEDNESDAY AS AN ARCTIC
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WARMER AIR
MOVES INTO THE AREA ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 300 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 25KTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
THESE WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET WITH SPEEDS
BELOW 10KTS WHILE ALSO VEERING TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST TONIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 300 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY EITHER SIDE
OF THE KS/NE BORDER. IN THIS AREA NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED. RH VALUES SLIGHTLY BELOW 20 PERCENT.
HOWEVER...THIS AREA RECEIVED AS MUCH AS FOUR INCHES OF RAIN A FEW
DAYS AGO AND THINKING THAT SUFFICIENT MOISTURE STILL EXISTS TO
PREVENT CONDITIONS FROM GETTING OUT OF CONTROL. ELSEWHERE...RH
VALUES SLIGHTLY HIGHER AND WINDS SLIGHTLY LOWER SO NO FIRE WEATHER
HIGHLITES ISSUED.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...99
FIRE WEATHER...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1013 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-151215-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1013 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013 /1113 AM CDT SUN APR 14 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
70. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS
SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH EXPECTED
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE NEBRASKA...COLORADO AND KANSAS
BORDERS. THESE STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT AT TIMES.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 WHERE NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 40
MPH WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT.
FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE NEBRASKA KANSAS BORDER WIND GUSTS MAY BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER AND HUMIDITY VALUES SLIGHTLY LOWER. HOWEVER...
THIS AREA RECEIVED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN A FEW DAYS AGO AND
SURFACE MOISTURE FROM IT SHOULD STILL BE RATHER HIGH PREVENTING
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH. REGARDLESS...OUTDOOR BURNING IS
DISCOURAGED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE
AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL
BE A CHANCE FOR ADVERSE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
LIGHT AMOUNTS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF PEAK WIND GUST AND ANY WIND DAMAGE ARE
APPRECIATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
956 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0946 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW WRAY               40.09N 102.24W
04/14/2013  M59 MPH          YUMA               CO   AWOS

&&

JMARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT SUN APR 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1011 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W YUMA                40.12N 102.74W
04/14/2013  M55 MPH          YUMA               CO   MESONET

            SUSTAINED WINDS RANGING FROM 37 TO 49 MPH FOR THE HOUR
            PRIOR TO GUST OBSERVATION.

&&

JMARTIN