Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Goodland, KS

408 
WGUS73 KGLD 130214
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
814 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

COC017-063-KSC199-130330-
/O.CON.KGLD.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130913T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHEYENNE CO-KIT CARSON CO-WALLACE KS-
814 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WALLACE...WESTERN KIT
CARSON AND CHEYENNE COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM MDT...

AT 810 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. AN 
ADDITIONAL AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH. RADAR 
ESTIMATES THAT 1.5 TO 3.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE 
WARNED AREA. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ARAPAHOE...AROYA...CHEYENNE WELLS...FIRSTVIEW...FLAGLER...KIT
CARSON...SEIBERT...SHARON SPRINGS...VONA...WALLACE...WESKAN AND WILD
HORSE.

AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3956 10316 3957 10269 3930 10267 3892 10255
      3913 10149 3871 10149 3870 10206 3861 10205
      3861 10318

$$

BULLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
539 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 510 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND AMEND CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS AND LATEST MODEL RUNS. THINKING THAT
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION. RECORD PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ACCORDING TO THE
DENVER SOUNDING AND UPPER AIR CLIMATOLOGY SUPPORT THE CONCERN AND
WARRANTED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO BE ISSUED. A COUPLE FLOODING
REPORTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECEIVED AROUND GOODLAND KANSAS AND
BURLINGTON COLORADO. SOILS ARE SATURATED ACROSS A LARGE AREA AND
CREEKS AND DITCHES HAVE BECOME SWOLLEN. IF HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES
THROUGH THE NIGHT...FLOODING MAY BECOME A MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD
THREAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 251 AM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

LATEST SATELLITE PLACES AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEVADA
WITH A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE EAST OF THE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS.  SATURATED CONDITIONS WITH VERY LOW TO NO STATIC
STABILITY HAVE BEEN IN PLACE OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA THROUGH THE
DAY.  AS A RESULT VERY LITTLE LIFT IS NEEDED TO SPARK OFF RAIN
DEVELOPMENT WHICH HAS MADE FOR A CHALLENGING FORECAST AS FAR AS
TIMING/PLACEMENT OF THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAINFALL.
THE CURRENT BAND OF RAINFALL WILL DISSIPATE AS THE MORE FAVORABLE
LIFT/MID LEVEL...THETA-E LAPSE RATES...AND 700MB DEFORMATION BEGIN
TO SHIFT WEST.

TONIGHT ANOTHER BAND OF LIFT WILL ROTATE OVER THE AREA FROM THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST.  WHILE THE ENTIRE AREA MAY RECEIVE
RAINFALL...THE BEST AREA WILL BE OVER THE WEST WHERE THE LOWEST MID
LEVEL THETA-E LAPSE RATES AND A DEFORMATION ZONE AT 700MB WILL
CREATE THE MOST FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR RAINFALL.  IN ADDITION THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL REMAIN OVER THE FAR WEST AIDING IN
RAINFALL PRODUCTION THROUGH THE NIGHT.

AS WITH LAST NIGHT FOG WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE
AREA AS THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP. MOVES EASTWARD.  VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THIS MORNING...WITH SOME AREAS
DROPPING TO LESS THAN A MILE.

FRIDAY PRECIP. CHANCES WILL MOVE EAST TO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
AREA.  AM SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN HOW HIGH TO GO WITH PRECIP.
CHANCES...ESPECIALLY AS THE BETTER LIFT/INSTABILITY WILL BE
CO-LOCATED WITH A LOWER THETA-E AIRMASS AT 850MB ASSOCIATED WITH THE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.  THE BEST
INSTABILITY/LIFT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL LIFT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO
THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY SATURDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS
FLATTENS AND THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL ACROSS THE UNITED
STATES BY MID WEEK.

SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO REGION IN
ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH THAT FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE REGION
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DRYER AND WARMER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WITH NEAR SURFACE FLOW TURNING SOUTHWEST AND WEAK RIDGING
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

STEADY RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...CONTINUES AT KGLD WITH LIGHTER
SHOWER ACTIVITY AROUND KMCK. AS A RESULT...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST AT THE TAF SITES DUE TO LOW CEILINGS AND FOG/HEAVY
RAINFALL. RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT AT KGLD WITH
SHOWERS SLOWLY COMING TO AN END AT KMCK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES IN
FROM THE NORTHEAST. LATER TONIGHT...ANOTHER ROUND OF IFR TO
POSSIBLY LIFR FOG/CIGS IS EXPECTED AT KGLD. VISIBILITIES MAY DROP
TO IFR AT KMCK BUT SOME DRIER AIR IS JUST NORTH OF THE TERMINAL
AND COULD FILTER IN LATER TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN IMPROVING
TOMORROW AS WINDS PICK UP AND RAIN CHANCES SLOWLY DROP.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR KSZ013>015-027>029-
     041-042.

CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR COZ091-092.

NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...RRH
SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...LOCKHART
AVIATION...RRH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
504 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-131230-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
504 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013 /604 PM CDT THU SEP 12 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS
THE TRI STATE AREA. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT.
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. FLOODING HAS BECOME A PROBLEM AS HEAVY
RAINS CONTINUE OVER SATURATED SOILS AND RUNS INTO ALREADY SWOLLEN
CREEKS AND DITCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HEAVY RAINS MAY CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE COMING TO AN
END LATER IN THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY IF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER...ANY HEAVY
RAINFALL OR FLOODING REPORTS WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
345 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     FLOOD            1 ESE GOODLAND          39.34N 101.69W
09/12/2013                   SHERMAN            KS   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER COUNTY ROAD 21 BETWEEN CR 64 AND CR 65.
            UNKNOWN DEPTH.

&&

BRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
415 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     FLOOD            9 S BURLINGTON          39.17N 102.28W
09/12/2013                   KIT CARSON         CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING ACROSS COUNTY ROAD K AT HIGHWAY 385. NO
            ESTIMATE OF DEPTH BUT IT WAS DESCRIBED AS MINOR.

&&

BRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
556 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     FLOOD            14 S SEIBERT            39.09N 102.86W
09/12/2013                   KIT CARSON         CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING THROUGH DITCHES AND A NEARBY CREEK WAS
            PARTIALLY COVERING HIGHWAY 59 NEAR COUNTY ROAD D. NO
            ESTIMATE OF WATER DEPTH OVER THE ROAD.

&&

BRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
617 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     FLASH FLOOD      16 S BURLINGTON         39.08N 102.28W
09/12/2013                   KIT CARSON         CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SIX TO EIGHT INCHES OF FLOWING WATER OVER HIGHWAY 385 AT
            COUNTY ROAD C. SEMI ALMOST LOST CONTROL DRIVING THROUGH
            IT.

&&

BRB