Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
347 AM CDT FRI SEP 20 2013

.DISCUSSION...
THE WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTRY DURING THIS FORECAST. THE BASE OF AN
UPPER TROUGH...MOVING INTO THE MIDWEST THIS MORNING...WILL SWING
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA TODAY.
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL SYSTEMS TO THE SOUTHWEST
WILL ENCOUNTER BOTH ISENTROPIC AND FRONTAL LIFT WHICH WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CWA TODAY AND
OVERNIGHT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MIGRATE SOUTHWARD WITH THE COLD FRONT
TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY. LAST NIGHTS FWD SOUNDING HAD 1.85" OF
PRECIPITATION WATER AND WILL INCREASE A LITTLE MORE TODAY AND RESULT
IN GENEROUS RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DOWN SOUTH THIS PAST EVENING AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR MORE HEAVY RAINFALL...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A GOLDTHWAITE TO ATHENS LINE.
TOTALS IN THIS AREAS MAY REACH OR EXCEED 4 INCHES BEFORE
DIMINISHING AND ENDING ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED BRIEF
FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE...ESPECIALLY IN
URBAN AND POOR DRAINING AREAS.

WILL MAINTAIN SOME POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON SATURDAY
MORNING...THEN DIMINISH THIS ACTIVITY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
FRONT PUSHES FARTHER SOUTH. DRY WEATHER WILL DOMINATE SUNDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY/SUNDAY
WARMING BACK INTO THE LOWER 90S TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LOOKING
AHEAD...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS INDICATED BY BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS
NEXT FRIDAY NIGHT. 75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  81  65  87  63  86 /  90  30  10   0   0
WACO, TX              82  64  87  62  87 /  90  70  20   0   0
PARIS, TX             78  63  84  56  83 /  90  20  10   0   0
DENTON, TX            80  64  86  56  86 /  90  20   5   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          80  64  85  56  84 /  90  30  10   0   0
DALLAS, TX            80  65  87  64  86 /  90  30  10   0   0
TERRELL, TX           80  65  85  59  85 /  90  40  10   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         81  65  86  61  86 /  90  60  20   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            82  65  85  62  87 /  90  80  30   5   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     78  64  85  58  85 /  90  20   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR TXZ135-142>148-
156>162-174-175.

&&

58/75

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