Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

519 
WWUS53 KFSD 211908
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
208 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

SDC003-005-015-073-211930-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-130621T1930Z/
JERAULD SD-BRULE SD-BEADLE SD-AURORA SD-
208 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
AURORA...SOUTHWESTERN BEADLE...NORTHEASTERN BRULE AND JERAULD
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 205 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WESSINGTON TO 7 MILES WEST OF
WESSINGTON SPRINGS TO KIMBALL...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WESSINGTON SPRINGS AROUND 215 PM CDT.
  WOLSEY AROUND 225 PM CDT.
  LANE AND ALPENA AROUND 230 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4375 9857 4371 9918 4395 9893 4418 9894
      4420 9892 4421 9871 4442 9871 4449 9821
TIME...MOT...LOC 1909Z 256DEG 36KT 4439 9871 4409 9866
          4381 9890

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

SCHUMACHER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1233 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1054 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY GRADUALLY LIFTING NORTH LEADING TO SOME ISOLATED
STORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM DESMET TO SPENCER SD.
ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...AND STRONGEST ELEVATED STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE MORNING.

HP SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPED IN THE BLACK HILLS IS WORKING EAST INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND BEGINNING TO EVOLVE TOWARDS AN
ELEVATED WIND THREAT WITH STRONG INFLOW JET ON RADAR. CORFIDI
VECTORS SUGGEST STORM WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ALONG THE I-90
CORRIDOR IMPACTING THE FORECAST AREA SHORTLY AFTER 18Z. HODOGRAPHS
SUGGEST SPLITTING SUPERCELLS ARE A POSSIBILITY...AND MAY SLIGHTLY
FAVOR LEFT MOVERS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STORM WOULD MOVE INTO
RELATIVELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH 3000 J/KG OF CAPE. CAP
APPEARS TO BE RELATIVELY WEAK THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-90...SO GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE FOCUSED
ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. CAN'T RULE OUT ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ON THE SOUTH SIDE...AND THEREFORE BORADBRUSHED POPS
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 654 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

SPOTTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM OTG/SPW AREA WEST TO A
LITTLE WEST OF FSD HAVE MADE SOME UPDATING NEEDED. ACTIVITY STILL
EXPECTED TO DECREASE AND END LATER THIS MORNING BUT MUCH OF THIS
AREA WILL HAVE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION THAT DID NOT HAVE IT
EARLIER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

STORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST OVER PART OF SOUTHWEST MN AS THE END OF
THE NIGHT APPROACHES SHOULD MOVE OUT DURING THE EARLY MORNING
DAYLIGHT HOURS. ONCE THEY DO...MID LEVEL WARMING SHOULD HOLD OFF
ANY CONVECTION UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...AND THAT MAINLY WEST AND
NORTH. THE NAM HAS BEEN DOING POORLY ON THIS WARMING AND THE GS
SEEMS BETTER...EVEN IN ITS LESS DETAIL...UPON EXAMINING SOUNDINGS
ON BUFKIT. EXPECT THE LOW TO REFORM A LITTLE FURTHER WEST AFTER
THIS WAVE PASSES THIS MORNING...AS PER GFS. THIS SHOULD BRING A
FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE THOUGH OF COURSE THERE WILL BE CU
DEVELOPING AS THE LOW LEVELS CONTINUE TO GET MORE SOPPY. PARTLY
CLOUDY SHOULD THEREFORE BE THE WORD OF THE DAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
LIKELY TO REACH THE LOW TO MID 90S NEAR THE MISSOURI RIVER...AND
NEAR 90 UP TO SIOUX FALLS. STORMS THAT BEGIN TO FORM THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...CONCENTRATED IN THE
NORTH...WITH A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS FOR ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP. THE INCREASINGLY
MUGGY WEATHER WILL BE FELT WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOW 70S.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

SATURDAY WILL PRESENT THE SAME PROBLEM WITH DEVELOPMENT MOSTLY
CAPPED OFF FOR MOST OF THE DAY...THEN LATE AFTERNOON AND
NIGHTTIME STORMS. ANOTHER FAIRLY HIGH CONDITIONAL RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS...WITH STORMS BECOMING MORE CONCENTRATED IN THE
NORTH/NORTHWEST INSTEAD OF NORTHEAST. HEATING WILL GET ITS CHANCE
AGAIN WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S NORTHWEST TO LOWER 90S
SOUTHEAST. SATURDAY NIGHT ALSO LOOS SOMEWHAT LIKE FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS MORE NORTH/NORTHWEST AS UPPER
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IS
EXPECTED TO FIND SLOW SEEPAGE OF DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA...AND
STORMS ENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...A CHANCE MAY CONTINUE
FAR SOUTHEAST EVEN INTO MONDAY. SOME CHANCE OF STORMS OVER THE
AREA WITH WEAK WAVE MONDAY NIGHT...THEN TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY. WARM BUT LESS HUMID AIR WILL RULE
MONDAY...THEN IT SHOULD GET MUGGY AGAIN FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
BEFORE A SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR BY THURSDAY...AS BUILDING OF
ROCKIES RIDGE FORCES THE COOLING AND DRYING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT KHON TERMINAL AFTER 20Z. STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THIS STORM...BUT COULD ALSO BE HAIL.
OTHERWISE...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT BOTH KFSD AND
KSUX TERMINALS...BUT TIMING IS QUITE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. HAVE
THEREFORE LEFT FORECAST DRY...BUT WILL LIKELY HAVE TO UPDATE AS
CERTAINTY INCREASES.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1125 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-221200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1125 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
STORMS	ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
THIS AFTERNOON....AND POTENTIALLY MOVE EAST INTO SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA THIS EVENING.  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF WALNUTS ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH
THIS STORM...HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT IS POSSIBLE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 WEST OF THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY.

FLOODING...
THE LITTLE SIOUX RIVER AROUND LINN GROVE IOWA WILL HOVER NEAR
BANK FULL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA AGAIN LATE SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. GOLF BALL HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. A THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS MAY BE PRESENT AGAIN SUNDAY
EAST OF THE JAMES RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY AFTER 1 IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA
...AND AFTER 4 PM IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
744 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     HAIL             3 ESE FOSTORIA          43.22N 95.10W
06/21/2013  E0.50 INCH       CLAY               IA   PUBLIC

&&

ADAMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
750 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 AM     HAIL             5 SSW TERRIL            43.24N 95.01W
06/21/2013  E1.50 INCH       CLAY               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ADAMS