Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

August 31, 2013Jackson County, Murray County, Nobles County, Minnesota

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 31, 2013, 10:36 PM CDT for Jackson County, Murray County, Nobles County, Minnesota. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 31, 2013, 10:36 PM CDT (03:36 UTC)
Expired: Aug 31, 2013, 11:15 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Jackson County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nobles County, MN

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 31, 9:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1204 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1382 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

199 
WUUS53 KFSD 010336
SVRFSD
MNC063-101-105-010415-
/O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0107.130901T0336Z-130901T0415Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1036 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MURRAY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
  NOBLES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1033 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM FULDA TO ADRIAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  RUSHMORE AROUND 1050 PM CDT.
  HERON LAKE AND WORTHINGTON AROUND 1105 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE KINBRAE AND DUNDEE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4384 9526 4354 9555 4369 9604 4393 9567
      4388 9546 4385 9546 4385 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 289DEG 30KT 4387 9566 4367 9594

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CHENARD

1 follow-up statement

830 
WWUS53 KFSD 010415
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1115 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

MNC063-101-105-010425-
/O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0107.000000T0000Z-130901T0415Z/
JACKSON MN-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
1115 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NOBLES...SOUTHEASTERN MURRAY
AND NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH 
THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4384 9526 4354 9555 4369 9604 4393 9567
      4388 9546 4385 9546 4385 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0415Z 289DEG 30KT 4376 9524 4356 9552

$$

CHENARD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 31, 6:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 6:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
617 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON INDICATING THE WELL ADVERTISED COLD
FRONT PRESENTLY SITUATED THROUGH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...WITH
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE BOUNDARY
THROUGH THE NORTH CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE. HI RES MODELS NOT
HANDLING CURRENT CONVECTION VERY WELL...NOT DEVELOPING ANYTHING
UNTIL CLOSER TO 21Z...SO NOT ESPECIALLY USEFUL FOR DETERMINING
FUTURE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND TIMING. ASSUMPTION WOULD BE
HOWEVER THAT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER OUR
AREA AS THE FRONT PUSHES TO THE EAST...IN CONJUNCTION WITH
INCREASING UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE DROPS INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING. THE BETTER CHANCE FOR POPS
REMAINS ACROSS OUR NORTH AND NORTHEAST DURING THE EVENING WITH MORE
INFLUENCE FROM AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE. DOES LOOK LIKE A FEW SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH MLCAPE AROUND 2500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE
SHEAR RUNNING AROUND 35 TO 40 KTS...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SPEED
SHEAR WITH DIRECTIONAL SHEAR NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE. CONVECTIVE
PARAMETERS WOULD SUGGEST THAT DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WOULD BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. WHILE INITIAL MODE WOULD MOST
LIKELY BE MULTICELLULAR...WOULD BECOME MORE LINEAR AS THE BOUNDARY
PUSHES TO THE EAST WITH SHEAR VECTORS TAKING ON A MORE PARALLEL
COMPONENT IN RELATION TO THE SURFACE FLOW ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MODELS
IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BOUNDARY EXITING OUR FAR SOUTHEAST
BY AROUND 06Z TONIGHT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ENDING OVER OUR
AREA. WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION ENSUING BEHIND THE EXITING
SYSTEM...WILL HAVE LOWS AROUND 60 NORTH AND WEST...TO THE UPPER 60S
FAR SOUTHEAST.

SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE A MUCH NICER DAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE BEGINS TO
BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE AREA. WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING A
GOOD 10 DEGREES OVER TODAY...HIGHS WILL FINALLY COME BACK TO NEAR
NORMAL...TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S ACROSS THE AREA.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

MOST OF THE ACTION IS CERTAINLY IN THE SHORT RANGE OF THE
FORECAST...BECAUSE IN THE LONGER TERM...ALL THE WAY FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THERE IS NOT MUCH GOING ON. LARGE UPPER
RIDGE SETS UP SHOP OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND TO SOME DEGREE
THE WESTERN PLAINS. RIGHT NOW...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAK
SHORT WAVE DIVING DOWN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SOMEWHERE IN THE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. THE ECMWF IS MORE BULLISH
THAN THE GFS IN ACTUALLY PRODUCING PRECIPITATION. BUT FOR NOW...
DECIDED TO JUST GO AHEAD WITH A DRY POP IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
AS FORECAST RAINFALL TREND HAS BEEN REAL SKITTISH FROM RUN TO RUN.
AND AM NOT SURE IF THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAINFALL WOULD BE
WEDNESDAY DAY PERIOD OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

OTHERWISE TEMPERATURE WISE...A COOL BEGINNING TO THE START OF THE
WEEK WILL GAVE WAY TO A SLOW WARMING TREND. ALL BLEND LOWS COULD
BE TOO COOL WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT AND IS SOMETHING TO
WATCH FOR. BUT RIGHT NOW AM NOT CONVINCED THAT THE SHORT WAVE ON
WEDNESDAY WILL CAUSE ENOUGH OF A TEMPERATURE SETBACK TO WARRANT
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S IN THOSE TWO PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 613 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

COLD FRONT WORKING THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA...HOWEVER...ATMOSPHERE SHOWING SIGNS OF CAPPING. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ESPECIALLY EAST OF
INTERSTATE 29 THIS EVENING...BUT GIVEN STORMS SHOULD BE FAIRLY
DISCRETE IN NATURE NEAR I-29 WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED DRY VFR TAFS.
EXPECT COOLER AND SOMEWHAT BREEZY DAY ON SUNDAY WITH NORTH TO
NORTHWEST FLOW.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...MJ
AVIATION...

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 31, 10:35 AM CDT, 12 hours 1 minute before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1035 AM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-011200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1035 AM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GOLF BALL
SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 4 PM IN AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 31, 10:08 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1008 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
08/31/2013  E0.75 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

            45 MPH WINDS

&&

BT

Local storm report, Aug 31, 10:10 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1010 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0954 PM     TSTM WND GST     SIBLEY                  43.40N 95.74W
08/31/2013  M62 MPH          OSCEOLA            IA   MESONET

&&

BT

Local storm report, Aug 31, 10:12 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1012 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     HAIL             2 W SIOUX FALLS         43.54N 96.77W
08/31/2013  M1.00 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

BT

Local storm report, Aug 31, 10:20 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1020 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     HAIL             2 S SIOUX FALLS         43.52N 96.73W
08/31/2013  M1.75 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

1016 PM     HAIL             2 S SIOUX FALLS         43.52N 96.73W
08/31/2013  M1.25 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

BT

Local storm report, Aug 31, 10:26 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1026 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 PM     HAIL             2 SW HARDWICK           43.75N 96.22W
08/31/2013  E0.50 INCH       ROCK               MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ADAMS

Local storm report, Aug 31, 10:27 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1027 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
08/31/2013  E1.75 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DOWNTOWN SIOUX FALLS AREA

&&

ADAMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 31, 8:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Murray, Nobles, Rock	47 min
Aug 31, 9:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Nobles	43 min
Aug 31, 9:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Nobles	42 min
Aug 31, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Rock	52 min
Aug 31, 9:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Murray, Nobles, Pipestone, Rock	47 min
Aug 31, 10:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Nobles, Rock	48 min
Aug 31, 10:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Cottonwood	62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.