Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

941 
WGUS75 KFGZ 112341
FFSFGZ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
441 PM MST SUN AUG 11 2013

AZC005-120130-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-130812T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCONINO AZ-
441 PM MST SUN AUG 11 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM MST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY...

AT 435 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS HEAVY 
RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE ANTELOPE CANYON SOUTH OF PAGE. EXPECT HIGH 
WATER LEVELS IN THE ANTELOPE BASIN THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ANTELOPE
CANYON NEAR SR 98...PAGE...LE CHEE AND BIG FIVE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...ANTELOPE 
CREEK...SAND WASH...KAIBITO CREEK AND PEACH WASH.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
FLAGSTAFF.

&&

LAT...LON 3692 11151 3697 11134 3653 11117 3649 11142

$$

RB

746 
WGUS75 KFGZ 120126
FFSFGZ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
626 PM MST SUN AUG 11 2013

AZC005-120133-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-130812T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCONINO AZ-
626 PM MST SUN AUG 11 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM MST FOR ANTELOPE 
CANYON IN NORTH CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY...

HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR PAGE HAS ENDED. HIGH WATER LEVELS ALONG ANTELOPE 
CREEK SOUTH OF PAGE WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM MST.


LAT...LON 3692 11151 3697 11134 3653 11117 3649 11142

$$

RB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
305 PM MST SUN AUG 11 2013

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES.
FURTHER WEST...A MORE STABLE AIRMASS WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. THE STABLE AIRMASS SHOULD MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH STORM ACTIVITY CONFINED TO NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FROM
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON DEVELOPED ALONG AND EAST OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS YAVAPAI COUNTY. THE GFS LIFTED
INDEX PROGS CAPTURED THIS WELL.

FOR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...STORM COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOULD EXPAND ACROSS NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES. ON
MONDAY...SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD FIRE FIRST ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM
AND DRIFT N-NE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PROGS SHOW A BIT
OF MOISTURE PUSHING INTO YAVAPAI COUNTY IN THE AFTERNOON AND PUT IN
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON STORMS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...STREAMLINES AND MIXING RATIOS (ESPECIALLY
BELOW H7) AND LI PROGS SHOW A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS MOVING
IN FROM WEST TO EAST. PRECIP CHANCES WERE ENDED FOR ALL AREAS WEST
OF A FOUR CORNERS TO PAYSON LINE AND REDUCED FOR AREAS EAST OF THIS
LINE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN THE WEST SHOULD ALLOW MAX TEMPS TO RISE
TO BE 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE TO BECOME CENTERED OVER
SOUTHERN ARIZONA BY THURSDAY...MONSOON MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE
ANTICYCLONE SHOULD PUSH SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS WIND SPEEDS ALOFT ARE
LIGHT. SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD RETURN TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-40 ON THURSDAY AND SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...SCT TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA EAST OF
A KGCN-KFLG-KPAN LINE WILL PERSIST THROUGH 04Z/MON...WITH ACTIVITY
REMAINING ISOLD ELSEWHERE. SCT SHRA/TSRA RETURN AFTER 18Z/MON EAST
OF A KPGA-KPAN LINE...WITH GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF STORMS NEAREST
TO THE NEW MEXICO BORDER.   AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......CO

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF