Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Watches in 2013
River Flood Watch 21, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood watch at Oct 14, 2013, 9:49 AM CDT for Cass County, North Dakota; Clay County, Minnesota. It took effect at Oct 16, 2013, 8:42 PM CDT. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 14, 2013, 9:49 AM CDT (14:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 16, 2013, 8:42 PM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 17, 2013, 8:42 PM CDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Clay County, MN, Cass County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Red River of the North at Fargo (FGON8). The gauge peaked at 18.12 ft at Oct 18, 2013, 3:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 17 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 30 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05054000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
596 WGUS63 KFGF 141449 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 949 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA AND NORTH DAKOTA... * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY .ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM ENTERING THE PLAINS STATES WILL BRING MORE RAINFALL TO THE REGION THROUGH TODAY AND TOMORROW. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED SOIL. IF RAINFALL AMOUNTS REACH THE HIGHER END OF WHAT IS FORECAST...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE ADDITIONAL WATER TO SOAK INTO THE SOIL. RUNOFF FROM THE RAIN COULD BRING SOME POINTS TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE ALONG THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER AND PORTIONS OF THE WILD RICE...SOUTH BUFFALO...AND BUFFALO RIVERS. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS && MNZ029-NDZ053-160249- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.A.0020.131016T0000Z-131019T1200Z/ /WHNN8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 949 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY TUESDAY EVENING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 RED RIVER WAHPETON 7.9 11.1 11.1 9.7 8.2 6.6 5.6 LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684 $$ MNZ003-NDZ039-160249- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T0142Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 949 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 RED RIVER FARGO 15.4 16.8 19.1 21.2 22.0 21.3 19.6 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNZ003-160249- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.A.0022.131016T0000Z-131020T0336Z/ /SABM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 949 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 8:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY TUESDAY EVENING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 S. BUFFALO RIVER SABIN 9.3 13.5 13.9 12.7 10.9 9.5 8.6 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNZ003-160249- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.A.0023.131017T1700Z-131021T2136Z/ /DILM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 949 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH * FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY OCTOBER 21. * AT 8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 BUFFALO RIVER DILWORTH 6.8 10.8 11.0 16.1 16.3 12.6 9.4 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$
6 follow-up statements
834 WGUS63 KFGF 150139 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 839 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 ...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA... * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND)...IN RICHLAND COUNTY .ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM ENTERING THE PLAINS STATES WILL BRING MORE RAINFALL TO THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED SOIL. IF RAINFALL AMOUNTS REACH THE HIGHER END OF WHAT IS FORECAST...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE ADDITIONAL WATER TO SOAK INTO THE SOIL. RUNOFF FROM THE RAIN COULD BRING SOME POINTS TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE ALONG THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE RED RIVER...AND PORTIONS OF THE WILD RICE...SOUTH BUFFALO...AND BUFFALO RIVERS. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE. && MNZ029-NDZ053-161339- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0020.131016T0500Z-131019T1200Z/ /WHNN8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 839 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON * FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 RED RIVER WAHPETON 9.0 11.5 10.4 9.0 7.3 6.0 5.3 LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684 $$ MNZ003-NDZ039-161339- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T0142Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 839 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 RED RIVER FARGO 16.2 17.8 20.2 21.8 21.9 20.6 18.7 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNZ003-161339- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0022.131016T0000Z-131020T0336Z/ /SABM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 839 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 7:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY TUESDAY EVENING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 S. BUFFALO RIVER SABIN 12.0 14.0 13.4 11.8 10.1 9.0 M LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNZ003-161339- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0023.131017T1700Z-131021T2136Z/ /DILM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 839 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH * FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY OCTOBER 21. * AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 BUFFALO RIVER DILWORTH 9.9 10.2 13.6 16.5 14.6 10.8 M LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ NDZ053-161339- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0024.131016T1900Z-131019T1900Z/ /ABRN8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 839 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE * FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 1.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON (MONTH/DAY) 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 WILD RICE RIVER ABERCROMBIE 7.1 10.5 10.9 8.9 7.0 6.5 6.4 LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696 $$
424 WGUS63 KFGF 151410 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 910 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 ...THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN NORTH DAKOTA... * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND)...IN RICHLAND COUNTY ...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA... * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY .ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS TO KEEP FOUR RIVER FORECAST POINTS IN FLOOD WATCH STATUS AT THIS TIME. IT IS NOW EVIDENT THAT THE WILD RICE RIVER AT ABERCROMBIE WILL PULL UP SHORT OF MINOR FLOOD. THUS THE WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THIS POINT. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS && MNZ029-NDZ053-170210- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0020.131016T1017Z-131019T1200Z/ /WHNN8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 910 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 RED RIVER WAHPETON 10.2 10.9 9.6 8.2 6.6 5.6 5.3 LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684 $$ MNZ003-NDZ039-170210- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T1312Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 910 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 RED RIVER FARGO 16.6 17.9 19.7 20.9 20.7 19.3 17.7 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNZ003-170210- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0022.131016T0900Z-131020T0336Z/ /SABM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 910 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 S. BUFFALO RIVER SABIN 12.4 14.0 13.4 11.8 10.2 9.2 8.4 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNZ003-170210- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0023.131017T1500Z-131021T2136Z/ /DILM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 910 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH * FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 BUFFALO RIVER DILWORTH 7.9 11.5 15.5 16.5 14.9 11.5 9.1 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ NDZ053-151440- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.A.0024.000000T0000Z-131019T1900Z/ /ABRN8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 910 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE * AT 8:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.3 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 9.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 WILD RICE RIVER ABERCROMBIE 8.0 9.1 9.4 7.2 5.1 4.3 3.9 LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696 $$ WJB
356 WGUS63 KFGF 160233 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 933 PM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 ...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA... * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY .A FLOOD WATRCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO...THE SOUTH BRANCH OF THE BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AND THE BUFFALO RIVER AT DILWORTH. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE. && MNZ003-NDZ039-171433- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T1312Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 933 PM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 RED RIVER FARGO 17.2 18.8 20.4 21.0 20.1 18.4 17.0 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNZ003-171433- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0022.131016T1424Z-131020T0336Z/ /SABM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 933 PM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN * FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 S. BUFFALO RIVER SABIN 13.3 13.8 12.6 10.9 9.5 8.7 8.1 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNZ003-171433- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0023.131017T1654Z-131021T2136Z/ /DILM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 933 PM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH * FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE (MONTH/DAY) 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 BUFFALO RIVER DILWORTH 9.0 13.3 16.3 16.1 13.3 10.1 8.3 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$
827 WGUS63 KFGF 161431 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 931 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 ...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA... * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY .COLD TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT HAVE SLOWED THE RUNOFF...RIVER RESPONSE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM...THEN SLOW DOWN AGAIN OVERNIGHT. PEAK FLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO COME IN LOWER... HOWEVER...HIGHER FLOWS THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR SHOULD CONTINUE FOR A LONGER DURATION... AS WATER MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE PAIR OF MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES AS WELL AS FARGO. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS && MNZ003-NDZ039-180231- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T1200Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 931 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED (MONTH/DAY) 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 RED RIVER FARGO 18.0 18.8 18.9 18.2 17.4 16.7 16.0 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNZ003-180230- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0022.131017T1500Z-131020T0336Z/ /SABM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 931 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN * FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED (MONTH/DAY) 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 S. BUFFALO RIVER SABIN 11.9 12.5 12.3 11.9 11.1 10.1 8.9 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNZ003-180230- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0023.131018T1600Z-131021T2136Z/ /DILM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 931 AM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH * FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED (MONTH/DAY) 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 BUFFALO RIVER DILWORTH 9.8 11.8 12.8 12.9 12.1 11.3 10.5 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ WJB
816 WGUS63 KFGF 170237 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 937 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 ...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA... * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES * SABIN...ON THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY .A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR RIVERS AT FARGO...SABIN AND DILWORTH. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS && MNZ003-NDZ039-181437- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 937 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED (MONTH/DAY) 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 RED RIVER FARGO 18.1 18.7 18.3 17.7 16.9 16.3 15.9 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNZ003-181437- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0022.131018T0600Z-131020T0336Z/ /SABM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 937 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN * FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED (MONTH/DAY) 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 S. BUFFALO RIVER SABIN 11.8 12.3 12.0 11.4 10.6 9.5 8.5 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNZ003-181437- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.A.0023.131018T1600Z-131021T2136Z/ /DILM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 937 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH * FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. && DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED (MONTH/DAY) 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 BUFFALO RIVER DILWORTH 10.8 12.3 13.0 12.5 11.7 10.9 10.0 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$
526 WGUS63 KFGF 171745 FFAFGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 1245 PM CDT THU OCT 17 2013 ...THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA... .THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN SUPERSEDED BY A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH FORECAST POINT AT FARGO. THE SEGMENTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE RIVER FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH AREA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS! - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD. - LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TV FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS && MNZ003-NDZ039-171815- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.A.0021.131017T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /FGON8.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1245 PM CDT THU OCT 17 2013 THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THE RED RIVER AT FARGO * AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 18.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN SUPERSEDED BY A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH FORECAST POINT AT FARGO. && DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: DATE FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU (MONTH/DAY) 10/18 10/19 10/20 10/21 10/22 10/23 10/24 RED RIVER FARGO 18.4 18.5 18.0 17.3 16.6 16.2 16.0 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ WJB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood watch went out at Oct 14, 7:03 AM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 7:03 AM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 703 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 703 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 INITIAL BAND OF RAIN PROGRESSING INTO THE NORTHERN FA. THERE IS A BREAK IN ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FA...BUT THE NEXT AREA OF RAINFALL IS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/WX FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TIMING FROM 10Z HRRR. MOST ASPECTS OF THE FORECAST APPEAR ON TRACK. && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THINKING FOR THE RAIN EVENT TODAY INTO TUESDAY. UPPER LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN. THE FRONTOGENESIS/WARM AIR ADVECTION LIGHT RAIN (CURRENTLY ACROSS THE REGION) WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE BY 12Z...WITH STRONG 850MB FLOW TAKING OVER ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. THERE IS ALREADY AN AREA OF RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA THAT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND INTO MUCH OF THE FA BY 18Z. PERIODIC RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY UNTIL THE SYSTEM PROPAGATES FAR ENOUGH EAST AND THE MOISTURE ADVECTION IS CUT OFF. CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS HIGH...AND INCREASED POPS TO NEAR 100% FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL BE WITHIN THE STRONGEST FORCING (FRONTOGENESIS...WARM AIR ADVECTION...DEFORMATION) WITH 2.00-2.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL DECREASE TO THE NORTH...AWAY FROM THE UPPER LOW AND STRONGEST FORCING. THE AREA WHERE 2+ INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED HAS BEEN WET OVER THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS...AND THE EXPECTED RAINFALL WOULD CAUSE A FEW RIVER POINTS TO APPROACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE (SEE HYDRO SECTION). THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE WIND SPEEDS. EASTERLY WINDS TODAY COULD BE BREEZY...BUT CROSS VALLEY WILL KEEP SPEEDS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST...WINDS SHIFT NORTH. 00Z MODELS INDICATE 925MB WINDS NEAR 35 KNOTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN VALLEY ON TUESDAY AS WINDS BECOME NORTHERLY...WHICH WILL BRING SPEEDS TO NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA. THIS IS STILL A DAY OUT AND WILL MONITOR FUTURE MODEL RUNS. .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEAK RIDGING TUESDAY NIGHT COULD LEAD TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES (DEPENDING ON CLEARING AND WIND SPEEDS). A WEAK UPPER TROUGH COULD LEAD TO -RA WED NIGHT. THURSDAY-SUNDAY...FROPA EARLY THURSDAY TO BRING COOLEST AIR OF THE SEASON DOWN WITH 850MB TEMPS FALLING TO NEGATIVE 2C TO 8C BY FRIDAY MORNING. CYCLONIC FLOW AND CAA SHOULD GENERATE SOME RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS SO KEPT THE SCHC AND CHC POPS FOR THURS AND FRI AFTERNOONS. AS 500MB TROUGH CONTINUES EAST A MODERATING THERMAL PROFILE WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO INCREASE SOME FOR THE WEEKEND...NONETHELESS THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEK WILL BE BELOW MID OCT NORMALS. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING) ISSUED AT 703 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THE MAIN CHALLENGE WILL BE LOWERING CONDITIONS AS STEADY RAIN MOVES INTO THE REGION TODAY. EXPECT AT LEAST IFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP IN ALL AREAS BY MID-AFTERNOON. EASTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE AND GUST TO AROUND 25KT AFTER 18Z AND CONTINUE TONIGHT TURNING MORE NORTHEASTERLY. && .HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 340 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 MOISTURE LADEN STORM SYSTEM TO PRODUCE A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN VALLEY WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIDE SPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 2.5 INCHES. GIVEN THE RECENT WET PERIOD OF THE LAST MONTH OR SO WHERE THE AREA HAS RECEIVED 200 TO 300 PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL...4 TO 6 INCHES...SOILS ARE SATURATED AND RUNOFF INTO THE RIVER SYSTEMS SHOULD OCCUR RATHER EFFICIENTLY. THIS MAY ALLOW ENOUGH RUNOFF FOR LOCATIONS ALONG THE RED RIVER FROM WAHPETON TO FARGO...THE BUFFALO RIVER BASIN IN MN AND THE WILD RICE RIVER BASIN IN ND TO SEE RIVER RISES OVER FLOOD STAGE BY MID WEEK. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN EXACTLY HOW MUCH RAINFALL WILL BE ABSORBED INTO THE SOIL AND HOW MUCH WILL RUNOFF...GREATLY AFFECTING ANY RISE IN RIVER LEVELS. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...NONE. MN...NONE. && UPDATE...TG SHORT TERM...TG LONG TERM...TG/JK AVIATION...TG HYDROLOGY...JK
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 4:01 AM CDT, 5 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 401 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-151200- WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS- WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE- EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN- WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER- PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS- GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND- WESTERN WALSH- 401 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RAIN WILL OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY...WHERE 2 TO 2.5 INCHES IS EXPECTED. THIS COULD CAUSE MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ISSUES. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY RAIN WILL COME TO AN END ON TUESDAY. RUNOFF FROM THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE MINOR RIVER FLOODING FOR LOCATIONS ALONG THE RED RIVER FROM WAHPETON TO FARGO...THE BUFFALO RIVER BASIN IN MINNESOTA...AND THE WILD RICE RIVER BASIN IN NORTH DAKOTA. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... RAINFALL REPORTS WILL BE APPRECIATED. TG
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 9:49 AM CDT | River Flood Watch | FGF | Richland | 5 days |
| Oct 14, 9:54 AM CDT | River Flood Watch | FGF | Richland | 5 days |
| Oct 14, 9:49 AM CDT | River Flood Watch | FGF | Clay | 6 days |
| Oct 14, 9:49 AM CDT | River Flood Watch | FGF | Clay | 7 days |
Nearby
River Flood Watches in North Dakota, 2013River Flood Watches in Minnesota, 2013Every river flood watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.