Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2013

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 22, 2013Banks County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 22, 2013, 9:40 PM EDT for Banks County, Georgia. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 22, 2013, 9:40 PM EDT (01:40 UTC)
Expired: Jul 22, 2013, 10:15 PM EDT
In force: 35 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Banks County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1549 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.6
Supercell composite: 4.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 22, 7:35 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 7:35 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
735 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TO TRANSITION TO THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LATEST REGIONAL SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS BERMUDA RIDGE SUPPRESSED
WELL SOUTH OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA...ALLOWING FOR A BROAD SOUTHWEST
FLOW OVER THE LOCAL AREA. THIS CONTINUES TO PUMP MOISTURE FROM THE
GULF NORTHWARD WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S OVER A LARGE
EXPANSE. MORNING CAP THAT WAS IN PLACE HAS ERODED DESPITE THE ONLY
OCCASIONAL APPEARANCE OF THE SUN AND SUBTLE SHORTWAVE ENERGY AHEAD
OF MAIN FEATURE HAS PRODUCED NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWER
ACTIVITY FOR THE FORECAST AREA. LIGHTNING HAS BEEN AT A MINIMUM SO
FAR AS CAP KEPT ACTIVITY IN CHECK FOR MOST OF THE MORNING BUT MORE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS NOTED OVER NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND OVERALL
EXPECT TREND TO BE FOR A MORE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AREA WIDE.

HOW THIS WILL ALL IMPACT THE SHORT TERM FORECAST...EXPECT
CONTINUED OCCASIONAL SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA TO TRANSITION TO MORE
JUST THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. MCS OVER ALABAMA SHOULD
SPAWN ADDITIONAL UPSTREAM ACTIVITY STARTING OVER NW GEORGIA AND
CONSOLIDATING INTO A SEMI PERMANENT LINE OF CONVECTION AS IT
ROTATES THROUGH WEST GEORGIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. DCAPE NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE AT THIS POINT BUT SHOULD
INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH ATMOSPHERE OVER ALABAMA
ADVECTING EAST. STILL NOT OVERLY IMPRESSED WITH DOWN BURST
POTENTIAL AND MAY RELY MORE UPON 0 TO 6 HEAR WHICH IS BORDERLINE
FOR INDIVIDUAL BOWING SEGMENTS. BOTTOM LINE IS ISOLATED SEVERE
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE A GOOD BET FOR WINDS AND ALTHOUGH STORMS
ARE MOVING RAPIDLY...SEPARATE BOUTS OF SUSTAINED HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOOD CONCERNS.

TUESDAY WILL BE A TOUGH CALL AS MAIN SHORTWAVE WILL HAVE PUSHED
EAST OF THE AREA AND MOISTURE WILL BE SOMEWHAT DEPLETED ALTHOUGH
PWATS CONTINUE IN THE 1.80 TO 1.90 RANGE. SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL
PUSH THROUGH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS. WENT HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE FOR
THIS PERIOD WITH LIKELY ADVERTISED FOR THE WESTERN ZONES WHERE
SHORTWAVE WILL HAVE THE MOST IMPACT.

DEESE

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH
WILL MOVE TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND FELT THE NEED TO BUMP UP POPS
SOME. BDL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
NOT SO MUCH A STATIC UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN AS IT IS ELASTIC...BUT THE
NET EFFECT IS BASICALLY THE SAME WITH PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST
PERIOD. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...AT LEAST CONCERNING THE LARGER SCALE
DETAILS OF THE OVERALL PATTERN. GFS/ECMWF AND CMC MODELS ALL SHOWING
A DECENT SHORT WAVE IMPACTING THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...BUT THE INITIAL UPPER TROUGH AXIS PASSES EAST OF THE
REGION BY THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD TUESDAY NIGHT/
WEDNESDAY. UPPER RIDGE REMAINS WEST OF THE STATE HOWEVER SO
SCATTERED...MAINLY DIURNAL...CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. SURFACE LEE TROUGH ALSO PERSISTS OVER
THE REGION...HOWEVER NONE OF THE MODELS ARE DEPICTING AN ACTIVE
FRONTAL SYSTEM THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING A NEW
SHORT WAVE DIGGING INTO THE EASTERN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND
BRINGING PERHAPS ANOTHER SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION...BUT THE MODELS ARE ALSO KEEPING OVERALL MOISTURE A
BIT MORE REASONABLE THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST. I STILL PLAN ON
KEEPING THE CHANCE POP/DIURNAL TREND WE HAVE BEEN CARRYING IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST GRIDS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD TREND BACK UP TOWARD
NORMAL DURING THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD AS WE DRY OUT A BIT.

20

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVING A HARD TIME DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH GA WHERE
THE AIR MASS IS A BIT MORE STABLE. LOOKS LIKE THE NORTHERN TAF SITES
MAY NOT BE AFFECTED BY THUNDER THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS LINGER ACROSS CENTRAL GA BUT SHOWING A DIMINISHING
TREND. BY 02Z...THREAT OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE OVER. STILL EXPECTING
IFR CONDITIONS AFTER 08Z...IMPROVING TO VFR BY 15Z TUESDAY. VARIABLE
TO LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15KT
AFTER 14Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH ON TSRA THIS EVENING AND IFR CIGS TONIGHT. HIGH ON
REMAINING ELEMENTS.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  89  72  90 /  80  40  30  50
ATLANTA         72  87  71  90 /  70  60  30  50
BLAIRSVILLE     68  83  69  86 /  60  40  30  50
CARTERSVILLE    71  86  71  90 /  50  60  40  50
COLUMBUS        74  89  73  91 /  80  60  40  50
GAINESVILLE     71  85  70  89 /  70  60  30  50
MACON           73  88  71  92 /  80  60  40  50
ROME            71  88  72  90 /  50  60  40  50
PEACHTREE CITY  72  87  71  90 /  70  60  40  50
VIDALIA         74  89  74  92 /  70  30  30  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...41

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 4:50 AM EDT, 16 hours 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
450 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-230900-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
450 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING.

DISCUSSION...
A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH AN UPPER-
LEVEL SHORT WAVE SWEEPING ACROSS THE REGION WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE
ADDITIONAL INSTABILITY PROVIDED BY DAYTIME HEATING. WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAINING AROUND 2 INCHES...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. INSTABILITY WILL BE
MODERATE BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS UP
TO 60 MPH THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 6:02 PM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
602 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

GAZ074-222230-
602 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH WINDS
IN WASHINGTON COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 556 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER TENNILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
WASHINGTON COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM INCLUDE TENNILLE...SANDERSVILLE...RIDDLEVILLE AND
DAVISBORO. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3287 8252 3283 8282 3296 8285 3305 8262
      3303 8260 3304 8259 3302 8255 3295 8254
      3292 8251
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 251DEG 16KT 3292 8273

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 8:43 PM EDT, 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
843 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

GAZ024-025-027-230115-
843 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH
WINDS IN MADISON...BANKS AND JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

AT 839 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER PEACH STATE SPEEDWAY...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE NICKEL SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
MADISON...BANKS AND JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH 915 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ARCADE...JEFFERSON...
PEACH STATE SPEEDWAY...APPLE VALLEY...NICHOLSON...COMMERCE...BANKS
CROSSING...SANFORD...FIVE POINTS...HARRISON...POCATALIGO...NEESE...
ILA AND DANIELSVILLE. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8333 3427 8330 3425 8325 3425 8319
      3425 8316 3426 8314 3426 8313 3410 8308
      3404 8361 3421 8366 3429 8336
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 257DEG 18KT 3415 8352

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 8:54 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
854 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

GAZ023>025-230145-
854 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN BANKS...HALL AND JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM EDT...

AT 853 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM MURRAYVILLE TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
MAYSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS BANKS...HALL AND JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE GAINESVILLE...
MURRAYVILLE...MAYSVILLE...GILLSVILLE...LULA...PINEFIELD CROSSROADS...
HOLLINGSWORTH...HOMER AND CLERMONT. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3451 8366 3444 8362 3450 8353 3447 8340
      3444 8338 3431 8338 3419 8371 3428 8393
      3438 8398 3440 8397 3442 8398 3446 8393
      3446 8389 3448 8387 3451 8378
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 237DEG 12KT 3438 8395 3430 8380
          3416 8353

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 9:28 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
928 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

GAZ024-025-027-230215-
928 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH WINDS
IN MADISON...BANKS AND JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

AT 926 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF PEACH STATE SPEEDWAY
TO COMMERCE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS MADISON...BANKS AND JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE APPLE VALLEY...
JEFFERSON...PEACH STATE SPEEDWAY...NICHOLSON...COMMERCE...BANKS
CROSSING...FIVE POINTS...POCATALIGO AND ILA. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8333 3427 8330 3425 8325 3425 8316
      3427 8314 3426 8312 3420 8308 3417 8309
      3416 8307 3415 8307 3410 8351 3413 8364
      3421 8366 3431 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 283DEG 15KT 3427 8370 3420 8346

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 9:40 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
940 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

GAZ023>025-230215-
940 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN BANKS...HALL AND JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

AT 935 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GILLSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
BANKS...HALL AND JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS
IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GILLSVILLE...MAYSVILLE AND HOMER.
HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3431 8338 3421 8366 3417 8365 3419 8374
      3426 8374 3434 8368 3439 8338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 284DEG 18KT 3423 8364

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 22, 8:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jackson, Madison	32 min
Jul 22, 8:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Banks, Jackson, Madison	43 min
Jul 22, 8:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Banks, Hall	51 min
Jul 22, 9:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Banks, Hall, Jackson	34 min
Jul 22, 9:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jackson	47 min
Jul 22, 10:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jackson, Madison	35 min
Jul 22, 10:19 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	Banks, Jackson, Madison	6 hr
Jul 23, 5:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion	32 min
Jul 23, 5:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Webster	25 min
Jul 23, 5:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee	37 min
Jul 23, 6:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Sumter, Webster	26 min
Jul 23, 6:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taylor	23 min
Jul 23, 6:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly, Schley	33 min
Jul 23, 6:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp, Wilcox	23 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2013 Every special weather statement in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.