Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1019 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

.UPDATE...
THE 12Z AND 18Z RUNS OF THE IN HOUSE WRF CONTINUE TO SHOW TRAINING
CONVECTION OVER THE CWA TOMORROW AND INTO EARLY INDEPENDENCE DAY.
THIS COUPLED WITH PW VALUES NEAR THE 99 PERCENTILE AND 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EVENT.
AS SUCH...CONTINUED WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND ISSUED A SPS
WITH MORE INFORMATION ON THE POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EVENT.
ALL SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION

NO TWEAKS TO THE TEMPERATURES WERE MADE AS THEY APPEAR TO BE ON
TRACK FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOOKED AT QPF A LITTLE BIT MORE AND
SLIGHTLY INCREASED OVERALL QPF WHERE THE MODELS HAVE BEEN
PREDICTING A BAND OF CONVECTION. THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON
WHERE THE BAND ACTUALLY SETS UP. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

ARG

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 804 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK FRONT/TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA. 500MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A LONGWAVE TROUGH JUST WEST OF THE MS
RIVER VALLEY AND A BERMUDA HIGH OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. SOUTHERN
FLOW BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES IS FUNNELING A TROPICAL AIRMASS INTO
MUCH OF GEORGIA. 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS PWAT VALUES AROUND AN INCH AND A
QUARTER. MODELS ARE PROGGING THOSE VALUES TO APPROACH TWO AND A
QUARTER BY LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

CURRENTLY...AXIS OF HEAVIER RAIN IS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CWFA.
HOWEVER...LATEST TRENDS ON THE REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOW STORMS
MOVING ONSHORE THE FL PANHANDLE. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE NORTHWARD
INTO PORTIONS OF S/SE GA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. EXPECT THE
HEAVIER AXIS OF PRECIP TO SET UP ALONG AND EAST OF AN ATHENS TO
MACON LINE.

THERE ARE QUITE A FEW DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS ON WHERE THE AXIS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL SETS UP FOR OVERNIGHT/TOMORROW. I DO THINK THE GFS IS
HAVING SOME FEEDBACK ISSUES. THE NAM HAS AN AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL
DEVELOPING ACROSS NW GA OVERNIGHT. HAVE TAKEN A COMPROMISE AND
RAISED POPS ACROSS THE WEST...BUT HAVE STILL KEPT THEM HIGH END
CHANCE. AS THE TROUGH/RIDGE RETROGRADE...SO WILL THE AXIS OF HEAVY
RAIN. EXPECT THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS MORE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GA AND THE
METRO AREAS TOMORROW. HAVE TRIED TO ORIENT POPS ACCORDINGLY.

ALSO...WITH COPIOUS CLOUD COVER AND WIDESPREAD PRECIP...HAVE TONED
DOWN THE THUNDERSTORM WORDING A BIT. LATER SHIFTS MAY WANT TO REDUCE
TSRA COVERAGE FURTHER. HOWEVER...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY/ALMOST TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.
WITH THIS IN MIND...ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
EARLIER TODAY.

NLISTEMAA

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MODELS STILL IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT FOR THE 4TH OF JULY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO POP...WX...AND QPF BASED ON
LATEST MODEL TRENDS AND WPC GUIDANCE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS STILL LOOK
TO PEAK DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GFS SEEMS THE MOST
AGGRESSIVE...WITH 48-HR RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
TOPPING OUT AT OVER 6 INCHES IN FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA. AT THIS
POINT...AS MENTIONED IN THE SHORT TERM...HAVE CONSIDERED IT AN
OUTLIER. ECMWF AND SREF MATCH THE OVERALL SWATH OF HEAVY PRECIP
FAIRLY WELL...WITH AMOUNTS CLOSER TO 2.5-3.5 INCHES. LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED. THE NAM ALSO APPEARS TO BE
SOMEWHAT OF AN OUTLIER...WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIP WELL
WEST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS BY THURSDAY. IN GENERAL...HAVE KEPT
MENTION OF DEFINITE SHOWERS WITH LIKELY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. HAVE MADE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO
WX/POP/QPF THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND HAVE LEFT THE MAJORITY OF THE
EXTENDED PERIODS BEYOND THE WEEKEND UNTOUCHED.

FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A CONCERN THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH WET
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS. AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS EXTENDED EARLIER TODAY TO
INCLUDE ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

31

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY LARGE AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH
MOST OF THE EXTENDED. THIS SLOWLY RETROGRADING UPPER TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED JUST WEST OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND
THE GREAT LAKES STATES BY WED NIGHT AS A STRENGTHENING UPPER HIGH
MOVES ONSHORE THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP GA
IN VERY MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THE
GREATEST INFLUX OF MOISTURE STILL EXPECTED TO PEAK ON THE 4TH OF
JULY. THE FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING A PLUME OF RICH MONSOONAL
LIKE MOISTURE MOVING ONSHORE THE GA/SC/NC COAST IN THE SHORT TERM
THEN SPREADING WEST ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION THROUGH
SATURDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL PUT GA RIGHT UNDER THIS PLUME THU AND
FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING PW VALUES INCREASING TO NEAR 2
INCHES BY 00Z THU AND INTO THE 2.15 TO 2.30 RANGE BY 18Z THU. THE
WPC 5 DAY QPF TOTALS ARE SHOWING 2 TO 4 INCH TOTALS ACROSS THE
STATE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW
THIS PLUME SHIFTING WEST OF THE STATE BY SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN DOING A GREAT JOB AT KEEPING A
CONSISTENT VIEW OF THIS UPCOMING WEATHER SYSTEM FROM RUN TO RUN.
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING THIS GULLY WASHER FOR
ABOUT 4 DAY NOW SO CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING IS INCREASING. WE
STILL STAY IN A FAIRLY MOIST FLOW PATTERN INTO THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK BUT THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL BE WEST OF THE AREA.

01

AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
WET FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD GIVE
WAY TO IFR TOWARDS THE AM. SOME MODELS SUGGEST LIFR...AT THIS TIME
DECIDED TO GO WITH IFR AS LITTLE PRECIP FELL AT THE TAF SITES.
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE EVERYWHERE TOMORROW AT THE
TAF SITES...PLAN ON NARROWING DOWN THE TIMING OF THUNDER AS WE GET
CLOSER.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN ALL ELEMENTS.

ARG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  82  70  83 /  60 100 100 100
ATLANTA         70  79  70  80 /  50 100 100 100
BLAIRSVILLE     66  75  66  77 /  60 100 100 100
CARTERSVILLE    70  79  69  81 /  50 100 100 100
COLUMBUS        72  83  71  83 /  50 100 100 100
GAINESVILLE     68  78  69  79 /  60 100 100 100
MACON           72  83  73  84 /  60 100  90  90
ROME            69  81  69  81 /  50 100 100 100
PEACHTREE CITY  69  80  70  81 /  50 100 100 100
VIDALIA         72  86  74  87 /  60 100  40  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BALDWIN...CLARKE...EMANUEL...GLASCOCK...GREENE...
HANCOCK...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...LAURENS...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...
OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PUTNAM...TALIAFERRO...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...
TREUTLEN...WARREN...WASHINGTON...WHEELER...WILKES...WILKINSON.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...BIBB...
BLECKLEY...BUTTS...CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...
CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...CRAWFORD...
CRISP...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...DODGE...DOOLY...DOUGLAS...
FANNIN...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...
GWINNETT...HALL...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...HOUSTON...
JACKSON...JASPER...JONES...LAMAR...LUMPKIN...MACON...MADISON...
MARION...MERIWETHER...MONROE...MURRAY...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...
NORTH FULTON...PAULDING...PEACH...PICKENS...PIKE...POLK...
PULASKI...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...
STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TAYLOR...TOWNS...TROUP...TWIGGS...
UNION...UPSON...WALKER...WALTON...WEBSTER...WHITE...WHITFIELD...
WILCOX.

&&

SHORT TERM...ARG
LONG TERM....31
AVIATION...ARG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
319 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-031930-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
319 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY IS PUMPING MOISTURE LADEN AIR FROM THE
GULF AND ATLANTIC ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S AND INSTABILITIES INCREASING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH OR GREATER...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

...PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A PLUME OF RICH MOISTURE AND UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL FLOW
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE STATE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA FOR GENERALLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. PERSONS PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES DURING THIS
TIME...INCLUDING FOURTH OF JULY EVENTS...SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING...PROLONGED RIVER FLOODING...FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
554 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-031000-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-
WILKINSON-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-
MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-STEWART-WEBSTER-
SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-WHEELER-
MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS-
554 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

OVERVIEW...

AN UNUSUAL WEATHER PATTERN FOR JULY IS SETTING UP ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SLOWLY DRIFTING
WEST AS THE BERMUDA HIGH STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE EAST. THIS
WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
AREA. AT THE SAME TIME...A DEEP PLUME OF CARIBBEAN MOISTURE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE PEACH STATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN EASTERN GEORGIA
AND GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE STATE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AND SHOULD
GRADUALLY END ON FRIDAY. RAINFALL FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

THIS DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE IS SIMILAR TO OTHER SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING EVENTS THAT THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES HAS
EXPERIENCED IN THE PAST FEW YEARS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE A LOT OF RAIN IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME. THUNDERSTORMS THAT TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO FLOODING OF THOSE AREAS.

UNCERTAINTIES...

WHILE ALL THE INGREDIENTS SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING EVENT...THE DETAILS OF WHAT AND WHERE THE FLOODING WILL
OCCUR IS YET TO BE KNOWN. CURRENT COMPUTER MODELS PREDICT
ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE AREA AND SOME OF THE MODELS
PREDICT UP TO 8 INCHES WITH SOME OF THE SIGNIFICANT TRAINING OF
THUNDERSTORMS. REGARDLESS...WITH ALL THE RECENT RAIN...FLOODING
COULD OCCUR IN THE AREA.

PREPAREDNESS TIPS...

WITH INDEPENDENCE DAY THIS WEEK...IT IS LIKELY THAT MANY PEOPLE
FROM OUT OF TOWN WILL BE DRIVING THROUGH OR STAYING IN THE AREA.
IT IS IMPORTANT THAT THESE PEOPLE UNDERSTAND TO THE BEST OF THEIR ABILITY
WHERE THEY ARE...AND WHAT COUNTY THEY ARE STAYING IN.

REMEMBER THAT FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. NEVER
DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS! BE SMART...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!
STAY TUNED TO FUTURE STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
ABOUT THIS POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EVENT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
601 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

GAZ061-062-074-075-085-097-022230-
601 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN WASHINGTON...
WARREN...LAURENS...JOHNSON...GLASCOCK AND HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 630
PM EDT...

AT 555 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM MAYFIELD TO TUCKERS CROSSROAD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. RADAR ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL ARE GENERALLY
BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OVER THE PAST HOUR...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST
HANCOCK COUNTY ALONG BEAVERDAM CREEK.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS
WASHINGTON...WARREN...LAURENS...JOHNSON...GLASCOCK AND HANCOCK
COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND LOVETT...DEEPSTEP...LINTON...
CULVERTON...SPARTA...TUCKERS CROSSROAD...SPANN...WRIGHTSVILLE...
TENNILLE...SANDERSVILLE...FIVE POINTS...DONOVAN...DOWNS...HAMBURG
STATE PARK AND AGRICOLA. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS
ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8265 3312 8266 3311 8265 3270 8270
      3262 8275 3255 8286 3257 8297 3289 8294
      3319 8310 3343 8286 3353 8272 3361 8265
      3339 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 215DEG 15KT 3339 8280 3319 8296
          3296 8287 3269 8286

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
639 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

GAZ074-075-085-097-022300-
639 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN WASHINGTON...
LAURENS...JOHNSON AND GLASCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 631 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM HAMBURG STATE PARK TO EAST DUBLIN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN
SINCE 5 PM WITH THESE STORMS...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN
LAURENS COUNTY NEAR TUCKERS CROSSROADS AND EXTREME WESTERN JOHNSON
COUNTY. THE LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING EAST SO RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
ABOVE 3 INCHES ARE UNLIKELY.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS
WASHINGTON...LAURENS...JOHNSON AND GLASCOCK COUNTIES...INCLUDING
AREAS AROUND EAST DUBLIN...WARTHEN...TENNILLE...SANDERSVILLE...
BREWTON...HAMBURG STATE PARK...LOVETT...SPANN...AGRICOLA...
MITCHELL...HARRISON...DONOVAN...WRIGHTSVILLE...DOWNS AND PRINGLE.
ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3312 8266 3303 8259 3267 8262 3243 8292
      3280 8282 3320 8286 3324 8278 3324 8275
      3326 8274 3327 8269 3330 8264 3331 8260
      3312 8258
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 215DEG 18KT 3321 8279 3288 8275
          3260 8283

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
701 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

GAZ074-076-085-022330-
701 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN WASHINGTON...JOHNSON AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

AT 700 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HARRISON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
WASHINGTON...JOHNSON AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE DONOVAN...WRIGHTSVILLE...
HARRISON...NEW HOME...PRINGLE...RIDDLEVILLE...MOXLEY...BARTOW AND
DAVISBORO. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3308 8252 3291 8235 3269 8271 3283 8284
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 231DEG 20KT 3282 8269

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1030 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

GAZ009-030315-
1030 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN TOWNS COUNTY UNTIL
1115 PM EDT...

AT 1029 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER TITUS...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS
TOWNS COUNTY...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND PLUM ORCHARD GAP SHELTER...
MACEDONIA...HIAWASSEE...MOUNTAIN SCENE...TITUS AND TATE CITY.
ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8354 3495 8354 3493 8359 3492 8359
      3488 8365 3481 8365 3481 8375 3494 8379
      3499 8378 3500 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 0230Z 198DEG 23KT 3494 8363

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