Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 46, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 23, 20135 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 23, 2013, 2:50 PM EST for 5 counties in Georgia. It took effect at Feb 23, 2013, 4:47 PM EST. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2013, 2:50 PM EST (19:50 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 23, 2013, 4:47 PM EST
Expired
Feb 25, 2013, 10:18 PM EST
In force
54 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Bibb County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jones County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Twiggs County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Ocmulgee River at 5th Street Bridge at Macon (MACG1). The gauge peaked at 20.61 ft at Feb 24, 2013, 8:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate1015202502/2302/2402/2502/2602/27
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
26 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02213000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

456 
WGUS42 KFFC 231950
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
250 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND
RIVERS WHICH WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THE LATEST STAGE DATA WAS FURNISHED IN COOPERATION WITH THE UNITED 
STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

&&

GAC021-153-169-207-289-240950-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0046.130223T2147Z-130225T1200Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2147Z.130224T0600Z.130225T0600Z.NO/
250 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET...AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.

$$
14 follow-up statements
563 
WGUS82 KFFC 232206
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
506 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-241206-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130225T1200Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T0600Z.130225T0600Z.NO/
506 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. 
* AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.9 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.     THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.


$$
152 
WGUS82 KFFC 240315
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1015 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES

  LINE CREEK NEAR SENOIA AFFECTING COWETA...FAYETTE AND SPALDING 
  COUNTIES

 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 

 
GAC077-113-255-240345-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-130224T0315Z/
/LING1.1.ER.130223T2100Z.130223T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LINE CREEK NEAR SENOIA.
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET...AND NEARLY STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET.
* THE CREEK IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO MAKE IT TO 10 FEET...AND WILL
  BEGIN FALLING OVERNIGHT. 
* AT 10 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF THE NATURAL FLOOD PLAIN BEGINS 
  WHICH PRIMARILY AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL AND WOODED AREAS. A SMALL DIRT
  UTILITY ACCESS ROAD NEAR THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 85 BRIDGE GOES 
  UNDERWATER.


$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-241715-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130225T1048Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1200Z.130225T0448Z.NO/
1015 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY
  EVENING.
* AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.


$$

GAC117-121-240345-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-130224T0330Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.130223T2130Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 9 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET...AND FALLING SLOWLY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* AT 7 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED.  MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS 
  AND FIELDS BEGIN ALONG THE CREEK BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH 
  COUNTY...TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY.  
  FLOODING STARTS TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY NEAR 
  ALPHARETTA AND SOME PORTIONS MAY BECOME CLOSED WITH AROUND ONE FOOT
  OF WATER...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON 
  KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE YMCA 
  CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.


$$
241 
WGUS82 KFFC 240719
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
219 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-242119-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130225T1048Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T0630Z.130225T0448Z.NO/
219 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 145 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.


$$
613 
WGUS82 KFFC 240721 CCA
FLSFFC

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
221 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-242119-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130225T1048Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T0630Z.130225T0448Z.NO/
221 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 145 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF
  THE   MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE 
  FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH
  STREET BRIDGE.


$$
298 
WGUS82 KFFC 240724
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
224 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-242124-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
224 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 145 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET THIS MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.


$$
680 
WGUS82 KFFC 241127
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
627 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-250127-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
627 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 615 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET THIS MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES. MUCH OF THE MACON GREENWAY
  OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL WILL FLOOD NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE. AGRICULTURAL FLOODING INCREASE NORTH AND SOUTH OF MACON.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.0 FEET ON DEC 19 2009.
  

$$
151 
WGUS82 KFFC 241451
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
951 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  YELLOWJACKET CREEK NEAR HOGANSVILLE AFFECTING TROUP COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES. 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-250451-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET...AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* AT 21 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES. MUCH OF THE MACON GREENWAY
  OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL WILL FLOOD NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE. AGRICULTURAL FLOODING INCREASE NORTH AND SOUTH OF MACON.

$$

GAC285-241521-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-130224T1451Z/
/YJCG1.1.ER.130224T0330Z.130224T1015Z.130224T1337Z.UU/
951 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE YELLOWJACKET CREEK NEAR HOGANSVILLE.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* AT 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS OF THE MARSHY WETLANDS AND 
  WOODS ALONG THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE STREAM GAGE 
  ON THE HAMMETT ROAD BRIDGE.

$$
302 
WGUS82 KFFC 242250
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
550 PM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 

  TUCSAWHATCHEE CREEK NEAR HAWKINSVILLE AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-251250-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
550 PM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES. MUCH OF THE MACON GREENWAY
  OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL WILL FLOOD NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE. AGRICULTURAL FLOODING INCREASES NORTH AND SOUTH OF MACON.


$$

GAC235-251250-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TSCG1.1.ER.130224T1145Z.130224T1815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
550 PM EST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TUCSAWHATCHEE CREEK NEAR HAWKINSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11 FEET...AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 


$$
900 
WGUS82 KFFC 250830
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
330 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-252230-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
330 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 300 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET...AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE AROUND 20 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.4 FEET ON OCT 14 2009.
  

$$
131 
WGUS82 KFFC 251119
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
619 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-260119-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
619 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 600 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET...AND FALLING SLOWLY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL EVENTUALLY RISE TO NEAR 20.1 FEET LATE THURSDAY 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.1 FEET ON MAR 12 2010.
  

$$
803 
WGUS82 KFFC 251629
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1129 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN GEORGIA...
 
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-260629-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130302T1400Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1300Z.130302T0800Z.NO/
1129 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET...AND FALLING BUT WILL BEGIN RISING AGAIN    ON TUESDAY.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL EVENTUALLY RISE TO NEAR 20 FEET BY THURSDAY NIGHT. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.1 FEET ON MAR 12 2010.
  

$$
176 
WGUS82 KFFC 251831
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
131 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-260831-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130302T1400Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1300Z.130302T0800Z.NO/
131 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. 
* AT 1 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET...AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* THE RIVER MAY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BRIEFLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...
  BUT THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE 
  MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH 
  STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET 
  BRIDGE.
  

$$
758 
WGUS82 KFFC 252201
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
501 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES. 

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE AFFECTING BLECKLEY AND PULASKI 
  COUNTIES. 

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR LUMBER CITY AFFECTING MONTGOMERY...TELFAIR AND
  WHEELER COUNTIES. 

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE AFFECTING DODGE...TELFAIR AND WILCOX
  COUNTIES 

  OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING JOHNSON...WASHINGTON AND 
  WILKINSON COUNTIES 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-261201-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130301T1800Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1300Z.130301T1200Z.NO/
501 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* FROM TUESDAY LATE MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET...AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE UNTIL NEAR FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 18 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE WILL OCCUR.
  

$$

GAC023-235-261201-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0051.130227T2141Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWG1.1.ER.130227T2141Z.130301T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
501 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 25 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS...WITH SOME ROADS CLOSED WITH 
  ACCESS TO RESIDENCES. RIVERVIEW ROAD CLOSES TO RESIDENTS.
  

$$

GAC091-271-315-261201-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0052.130226T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.130226T1800Z.130303T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
501 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11 FEET...AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. ROADS TO HOMES ALONG THE 
  WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER IN ABBEVILLE BECOME INACCESSIBLE.
  

$$

GAC209-271-309-261201-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0053.130226T0000Z-130228T0600Z/
/LBRG1.1.ER.130226T0000Z.130226T1800Z.130228T0000Z.NO/
501 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR LUMBER CITY.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 15 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS INTO THE BROAD SWAMPY FLOOD PLAIN. FARM FIELDS ON 
  THE RIGHT BANK FLOOD. GENERAL AGRICULTURE AND TIMBER INTERESTS ARE 
  AFFECTED BY THE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...WATER REACHES THE TOP OF 
  THE BOAT RAMP NEAR THE HIGHWAY 341 BRIDGE.
  

$$

GAC167-303-319-261201-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.130225T1745Z.130225T1745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
501 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 17 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. THE WATER LEVEL REACHES THE 
  TOP OF THE OLD BALLS FERRY ROAD BOAT RAMP...JUST UPSTREAM AND 
  RIGHTBANK FROM THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 57 BRIDGE. MINOR FLOODING OF 
  WOODLANDS NEAR THE RIVER OCCURS.
  

$$
849 
WGUS82 KFFC 260318
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1018 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES...
  MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE AFFECTING BLECKLEY AND PULASKI 
  COUNTIES. 

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE AFFECTING DODGE...TELFAIR AND WILCOX
  COUNTIES. 

  OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR LUMBER CITY AFFECTING MONTGOMERY...TELFAIR AND
  WHEELER COUNTIES. 

  OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING JOHNSON...WASHINGTON AND 
  WILKINSON COUNTIES. 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-260348-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130301T1800Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.130223T2131Z.130224T1300Z.130225T1922Z.NO/
1018 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* AT 18 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE WILL OCCUR.
  

$$

GAC023-235-261717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0051.130228T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAWG1.1.ER.130228T0600Z.130301T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE.
* FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.4 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS BEGINS ON THE SOUTHSIDE OF 
  HAWKINSVILLE...ALONG GOOSENECK LANE. WITH THE FLOODING OF GOOSENECK
  LANE...RESIDENTS ARE CUTOFF FROM REACHING THEIR HOMES.
  

$$

GAC091-271-315-261717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0052.130227T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.130227T0000Z.130303T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE.
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET...AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.1 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES
  ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 14 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. ROADS TO HOMES ALONG THE 
  WEST SIDE OF THE RIVER IN ABBEVILLE BECOME INACCESSIBLE.
  

$$

GAC209-271-309-261717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130227T1200Z/
/LBRG1.1.ER.130226T0208Z.130226T1200Z.130227T0600Z.NO/
1018 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR LUMBER CITY.
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 15 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. 
  WATER OVERFLOWS INTO THE BROAD SWAMPY FLOOD PLAIN. FARM FIELDS ON 
  THE RIGHT BANK FLOOD. GENERAL AGRICULTURE AND TIMBER INTERESTS ARE 
  AFFECTED BY THE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...WATER REACHES THE TOP OF 
  THE BOAT RAMP NEAR THE HIGHWAY 341 BRIDGE.
  

$$

GAC167-303-319-261717-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.130225T1745Z.130226T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18 FEET BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY.
* AT 18 FEET...THE WATER LEVEL BEGINS TO FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE DIRT 
  PARKING LOT AREA NEAR THE OLD BALLS FERRY ROAD BOAT RAMP...JUST
  UPSTREAM AND RIGHTBANK FROM THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 57 BRIDGE. MINOR
  FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE WOODLANDS NEAR THE RIVER.
  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 23, 1:13 PM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 1:13 PM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
113 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

.PREV DISCUSSION...

UPDATE...
/ISSUED 1033 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013/
MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE
CWA...MAINLY SOUTH OF A CSG TO MCN LINE. NORTH OF THIS LINE
THOUGH...SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE MAY CONTINUE ACROSS INTO
THE AFTERNOON. MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IS JUST TO ADJUST THE
POPS BASED OFF INITIAL TRENDS. STILL APPEARS LIKE SOME RAIN WILL
HOLD ON ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE CWA THROUGH TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN WARMER SLOWER THAN EXPECTED
AND WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE TO TWEAK THIS. MAY EVEN NEED TO NUDGE
MAX TEMPS DOWN ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA.

11

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
/ISSUED 357 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013/
LAST GOOD SURGE OF PRECIPITATION WITH THE CURRENT SYSTEM SWEEPS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AHEAD OF A DECENT SHORT WAVE.
MODELS ARE NOT HANDLING THE CURRENT WEDGE WELL...BASICALLY
ELIMINATING THE WEDGE BY 12Z. I BELIEVE THIS FEATURE WILL HOLD IN
PLACE THROUGH 12Z AND THEN SLOWLY ERODE FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. I HAVE KEPT HIGHS A BIT BELOW
GUIDANCE ACROSS MOST OF NORTH GEORGIA TODAY. THUNDER SHOULD REMAIN
GENERALLY SOUTH OF A NEWNAN TO LOUISVILLE LINE...ALTHOUGH A FEW
ELEVATED STORMS MAY STRAY A BIT NORTH. NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISHING FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY WITH BEST QPF AMOUNTS
ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA. STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST TODAY HELPS TO SWEEP A NOTICEABLY DRIER AIRMASS
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT ENDING PRECIPITATION CHANCES
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.

20

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
/ISSUED 357 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013/
STATIONARY FRONT ALONG GULF COAST WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTH IN
RESPONSE TO VERY STRONG SHORT WAVE OVER WEST TX SUNDAY NIGHT.
PRECIP SHIELD SHOULD REACH I-20 BY MONDAY MORNING. UNFORTUNATELY
.EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS INITIAL WARM
ADVECTION PRECIP LATE SUN NIGHT/MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A BAND OF
SHRA/TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH FORCING FROM SHORT WAVE AND COLD FRONT
MON NIGHT. GFS/NAM/ECMWF STILL HOLDING BACK ON HOW MUCH RICH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN MONDAY...SO NOT MUCH INSTABILITY FCST.
HAVE INCLUDED SLT CHC AND CHC THUNDER PROBS BUT WILL HAVE TO WAIT
TO SEE IF BETTER MOISTURE CAN RETURN BEFORE ADVERTISING SEVERE WX
THREAT. SIMILAR PATTERN TO WED FEB 13 WHEN MODELS WERE WAY TOO FAR
NORTH WITH WARM FRONT AND NO SVR STORMS OCCURRED AT ALL. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR. MAIN THREAT AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE HEAVY
RAIN AND FLOODING ESP OVER MIDDLE GA WHICH WILL LIKELY PERSIST
INTO MID WEEK WITH THE LARGER RIVERS.

AS SHORT WAVE LIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND...ANOTHER WAVE WITH COLD
ARCTIC AIR BEHIND IT DIVES INTO PLAINS AND CARVES OUT BROAD LONG
WAVE TROUGH OVER THE ERN 2/3RDS OF THE CONUS. THIS WILL MARK THE
BEGINNING OF A COLD PATTERN FOR LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND. 00Z GFS/ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS PATTERN. AS FOR
PRECIP...ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ON WED/THUR OVER NORTH GA.
CANT RULE OUT -SHRA/SHSN MIX OR EVEN ALL -SHSN AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 1500FT THURS/FRI. 850MB GFS/EC TEMPS PROGGED TO DROP TO -5C
WED NIGHT AND TO -10 TO -13C BY FRI/SAT. MAY BE HARD TO GET OUT OF
THE 30S ON SAT IF MODELS ARE TO BE BELIEVED.

SNELSON

HYDROLOGY...
/ISSUED 357 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013/
LATEST QPF REMAINS IN LINE WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST TRENDS SO I DO
NOT PLAN ON ADJUSTING THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. A FEW
RIVERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MAY APPROACH OR EXCEED FLOOD
STAGE...BUT BEST CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN REMAINS ACROSS
CENTRAL GEORGIA WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ADDITIONAL 1.5 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN THRU THIS EVENING EXISTS. NEXT ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN
SHOULD BEGIN MONDAY MORNING AND THE NEED FOR ANOTHER FLOOD WATCH
APPEARS LIKELY AS POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES IS HIGH OVER
AREAS SOUTH OF I-85. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

20/SNELSON

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
PRECIP HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES...BUT COULD SEE SOME DZ
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CSG...MCN AND AHN AREAS. WEDGE IS STILL
IN PLACE ACROSS GEORGIA AND JUST BEGINNING TO SHOWS SIGNS OF IT
BREAKING DOWN ACROSS AL...AT LEAST IN REGARDS TO WIND DIRECTION.
TIMING OF SHIFT FROM EAST TO WEST IS VERY UNCERTAIN AT ATL. WILL
LIKELY GO VRB THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN AROUND 5 KTS AND MAY NOT
SETTLE INTO NORTHWEST UNTIL AROUND 00Z TONIGHT. VSBYS ARE ANOTHER
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST. DESPITE CURRENT MVFR VSBY ATL
ATL...SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY VFR INTO THE EVENING. TWO MODELS BRING
THE VSBY DOWN TO VLIFR/LIFR OVERNIGHT FOR A FEW HOURS...HOWEVER
THIS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO PESSIMISTIC. OPTED TO ADVERTISE MVFR IN
THE EARLY MORNING.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON CIGS. LOW CONFIDENCE ON VSBYS. LOW CONFIDENCE
ON WIND DIRECTION THROUGH 06Z THEN HIGH CONFIDENCE.

11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          52  40  64  41 / 100  10  20  30
ATLANTA         55  42  63  43 /  90  10  30  30
BLAIRSVILLE     55  35  60  35 /  80  10  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    59  35  62  40 /  80  10  30  30
COLUMBUS        64  44  67  50 / 100  20  40  70
GAINESVILLE     51  40  63  41 /  90  10  20  30
MACON           60  43  67  47 / 100  20  40  60
ROME            59  36  61  38 /  60   5  20  30
PEACHTREE CITY  57  38  63  42 /  90  10  40  40
VIDALIA         66  52  71  52 / 100  70  50  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BALDWIN...BIBB...BLECKLEY...BUTTS...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CRAWFORD...
CRISP...DODGE...DOOLY...EMANUEL...GLASCOCK...GREENE...HANCOCK...
HARRIS...HOUSTON...JASPER...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...JONES...
LAMAR...LAURENS...MACON...MARION...MONROE...MONTGOMERY...
MUSCOGEE...PEACH...PULASKI...PUTNAM...SCHLEY...STEWART...
SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...
TREUTLEN...TWIGGS...UPSON...WARREN...WASHINGTON...WEBSTER...
WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....SNELSON
AVIATION...11
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 6:30 AM EST, 8 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
630 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-241115-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
630 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...AREAS OF FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING. SOME STREET
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IF STORM DRAINS ARE CLOGGED. OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

DISCUSSION...
AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER MIDDLE
GEORGIA TODAY. THIS WILL BE IN ADDITION TO THE 1 TO 2 INCHES THAT
HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
MOST OF CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 6 PM TODAY. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
LOW THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER AREAS SOUTH OF COLUMBUS TO MACON MAY
SEE AN ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS TODAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

DISCUSSION...
FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE STATE. AT THIS
TIME...ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN APPEARS LIKELY OVER MIDDLE
GEORGIA RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER CENTRAL
GEORGIA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...
INSTABILITY IS NOT FORECAST TO BE VERY HIGH AS THE COLD...SLOW
MOVING AIRMASS WILL BE TOUGH TO ERODE. HOWEVER...WITH STRONG
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FORCING...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY
FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND OR
ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS WOULD
BE FROM 4 PM TO 4 AM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF FLOODING THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 22, 7:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMuscogee33 min
Feb 23, 2:21 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMeriwether24 min
Feb 23, 4:41 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton18 hr
Feb 23, 7:12 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth6 hr
Feb 23, 4:13 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCoweta, Fayette, Spalding6 hr
Feb 23, 6:29 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCCrisp6 hr
Feb 23, 6:31 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCTelfair4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.