River Flood Warning 197, NWS Atlanta, GA

418 
WGUS82 KFFC 191002
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
602 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 

  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

  DICK CREEK NEAR SUWANEE AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 


GAC117-200002-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.130819T0708Z.130819T0845Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
602 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET.
* THE RIVER SHOULD CREST NEAR 7.3 FEET THIS MORNING...THEN QUICKLY
  FALL BELOW FLOOD BY MID TO LATE MORNING. 
* AT 7 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND INTO THE NATURAL 
  FLOOD PLAIN OF THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT 
  ATLANTA HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. LARGE PORTIONS OF THE 
  SIDEWALK AND BOARDWALK OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY WILL BE FLOODED. 
  THE AREAS UNDER THE GEORGIA 400 HIGHWAY AND MCFARLAND ROAD WILL BE 
  COVERED WITH AROUND TWO FEET OF WATER. A PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK 
  UNDER MAJORS ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH AROUND 3 FEET OF WATER. 

$$

GAC117-121-200002-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0196.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.130819T0716Z.130819T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
602 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* THE RIVER SHOULD CREST NEAR 8.2 FEET THIS MORNING...THEN QUICKLY
  FALL BELOW FLOOD BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
* AT 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND FURTHER INTO THE 
  WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE CREEK FROM NEAR CUMMING IN SOUTH 
  FORSYTH COUNTY TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. 
  ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING 
  WITH 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER. MOST OF THE WALKING AND BIKING PATHS 
  WILL BE CLOSED...ESPECIALLY UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE 
  ON KIMBALL BRIDGE ROAD AND NEAR ROCK HILL PARK. PORTIONS OF THE 
  YMCA CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL FLOOD.

$$

GAC117-200002-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0198.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DICG1.1.ER.130819T0852Z.130819T0900Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
602 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DICK CREEK NEAR SUWANEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET.
* THE CREEK WILL CREST NEAR 10.5 FEET... THEN QUICKLY FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY MID TO LATE MORNING.    

$$

103 
WGUS82 KFFC 191044
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
644 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  DICK CREEK NEAR SUWANEE AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY

 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 

 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 


GAC117-200044-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.130819T0708Z.130819T0945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
644 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 6 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* THE CREEK SHOULD CREST NEAR 7.5 FEET THIS MORNING...THEN QUICKLY
  FALL BELOW FLOOD BY LATE MORNING. 
* AT 7 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND INTO THE NATURAL 
  FLOOD PLAIN OF THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT 
  ATLANTA HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. LARGE PORTIONS OF THE 
  SIDEWALK AND BOARDWALK OF THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY WILL BE FLOODED. 
  THE AREAS UNDER THE GEORGIA 400 HIGHWAY AND MCFARLAND ROAD WILL BE 
  COVERED WITH AROUND TWO FEET OF WATER. A PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK 
  UNDER MAJORS ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH AROUND 3 FEET OF WATER. 

$$

GAC117-121-200044-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0196.000000T0000Z-130822T0000Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.130819T0716Z.130819T1800Z.130821T1800Z.NO/
644 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 6 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET AND SLOWLY RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* THE CREEK WILL CREST NEAR 8.6 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON...  
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.
* AT 9 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND FURTHER INTO THE 
  WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE CREEK FROM NEAR CUMMING IN SOUTH 
  FORSYTH COUNTY TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. 
  THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY EXPERIENCES SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WHICH 
  RESULTS IN CLOSURE OF MOST OF THE WALKING AND BIKING PATHS. THIS 
  ESPECIALLY OCCURS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON KIMBALL 
  BRIDGE ROAD AND ROCK HILL PARK. A LARGE PORTION OF THE YMCA 
  CAMPGROUND OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

GAC117-191114-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0198.000000T0000Z-130819T1044Z/
/DICG1.1.ER.130819T0852Z.130819T0900Z.130819T0909Z.UU/
644 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DICK CREEK NEAR SUWANEE.
* THIS TAKES EFFECT IMMEDIATELY.
* AT 6 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$

728 
WGUS82 KFFC 191336
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
936 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 

 
GAC117-200319-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-130820T0319Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.130819T0708Z.130819T1600Z.130819T2119Z.UU/
936 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 845 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.4 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING WILL EXPAND INTO THE NATURAL FLOOD 
  PLAIN OF THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT ATLANTA
  HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. MOST OF THE SIDEWALK AND BOARDWALK OF
  THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY WILL BE UNDER A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER. THE 
  AREAS UNDER THE GEORGIA 400 HIGHWAY AND MCFARLAND ROAD WILL BE 
  COVERED WITH AROUND THREE FEET OF WATER. A PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK 
  UNDER MAJORS ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH AROUND FOUR FEET OF WATER.


$$

252 
WGUS82 KFFC 192041
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
441 PM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY 

  BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA AFFECTING FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES 


GAC117-200319-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-130820T0319Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.130819T0708Z.130819T1600Z.130819T2119Z.UU/
441 PM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 345 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET...AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO 
  CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...DROPPING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS 
  EVENING.
* BETWEEN 7 AND 8 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE NATURAL FLOOD 
  PLAIN OF THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT ATLANTA
  HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. MOST OF THE SIDEWALK AND BOARDWALK OF
  THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY WILL BE UNDER A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER. THE 
  AREAS UNDER THE GEORGIA 400 HIGHWAY AND MCFARLAND ROAD WILL BE 
  COVERED WITH AROUND THREE FEET OF WATER. A PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK 
  UNDER MAJORS ROAD WILL BE COVERED WITH THREE TO FOUR FEET OF WATER.

$$

GAC117-121-201041-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0196.000000T0000Z-130822T0000Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.130819T0716Z.130820T1200Z.130821T1800Z.NO/
441 PM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR ALPHARETTA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 430 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO 
  CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING...REACHING AROUND 10 FEET BY EARLY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO EXPAND FURTHER 
  INTO THE WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE CREEK FROM NEAR CUMMING IN 
  SOUTH FORSYTH COUNTY TO ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON 
  COUNTY. THE BIG CREEK GREENWAY EXPERIENCES SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WHICH 
  RESULTS IN THE CLOSURE OF MOST OF THE WALKING AND BIKING PATHS. THIS 
  ESPECIALLY OCCURS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE ON KIMBALL 
  BRIDGE ROAD AND ROCK HILL PARK. A LARGE PORTION OF THE YMCA CAMPGROUND 
  OFF PRESTON RIDGE ROAD WILL BE FLOODED. BY 10 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN 
  TO AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL YARDS BETWEEN CUMMING IN FORSYTH COUNTY 
  THROUGH ALPHARETTA AND ROSWELL IN NORTH FULTON COUNTY. THE BIG CREEK 
  GREENWAY IS CLOSED AND COMPLETELY FLOODED WITH UP TO 4 FEET OF WATER IN 
  SOME AREAS. 

$$

069 
WGUS82 KFFC 200020
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
820 PM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING AFFECTING FORSYTH COUNTY

 
GAC117-200050-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-130820T0319Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.130819T0708Z.130819T1600Z.130819T2331Z.UU/
820 PM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG CREEK NEAR CUMMING.
* THIS TAKES AFFECT IMMEDIATELY.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* BETWEEN 5 AND 6 FEET...THE CREEK DROPS BELOW FLOOD STAGE...
  HOWEVER BANKFULL CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF 
  THE CREEK UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE AT ATLANTA 
  HIGHWAY OR GEORGIA HIGHWAY 9. PORTIONS OF THE SIDEWALK ON THE 
  BIG CREEK GREENWAY UNDER GEORGIA 400 AND UNDER MCFARLAND 
  ROAD REMAIN FLOODED AS WELL AS A PORTION OF THE SIDEWALK 
  UNDER MAJORS ROAD WHICH WILL BE COVERED WITH AROUND ONE 
  FOOT OF WATER. THE WATER LEVEL REMAINS AROUND THE BOTTOM OF 
  THE BOARDWALK ALONG SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE GREENWAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
149 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

.UPDATE...
/ISSUED AT 940 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013/
HAVE ADJUSTED POPS FOR A FEW HOURS BASED ON RADAR. SCATTERED
CONVECTION STILL MOSTLY ACROSS CENTRAL ZONES. WEDGE STILL HOLDING
JUST ABOUT ATLANTA TO ATHENS AND MAY NOT MUCH MUCH MORE OVERNIGHT.
WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL EXPIRATION.

41

.PREVIOUS...
/ISSUED AT 250 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013/
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
PRIMARY CONCERNS FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL BE WHERE MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN AXIS SETS UP AND WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE WITH THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS A RESULT. AFTER A WET START TO THE
DAY...ACTIVITY HAS DWINDLED FOR THE MOST PART WITH JUST SOME
PASSING SHOWERS THROUGH THE ATLANTA METRO NOW HEADING INTO
NORTHEAST GEORGIA. FOCUS NOW SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST WHERE LOCAL
WRF AND HRRR HAVE BEEN BEEN HONING IN ON WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING NICELY OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST AT THIS HOUR. SPC SREF
SHOWS INSTABILITY INCREASING AS WARM FRONT EASES NORTHWARD WITH
AREAS AROUND TOOMBS AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES SHOWING IN EXCESS OF
1000 J/KG OF AVAILABLE CAPE. WOULD EXPECT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA AND PROGRESS TOWARD MACON LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY COULD FORM AHEAD
OF THIS AS WELL IN THE MORE UNSTABLE SECTION FROM COLUMBUS TO JUST
SOUTH OF ATHENS.

ALSO WATCHING GULF INITIATED STORMS AS THESE LOOK TO AFFECT THE
SOUTH AS WELL TONIGHT WITH STORMS ALREADY PUSHING INTO THE GEORGIA
PORTION FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THERE IS SOME DISPARITY IN
SHORT TERM MODELS ON HOW THIS WILL EVENTUALLY EVOLVE THIS EVENING
WITH NAM12 INDICATING MORE DEVELOPMENT ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
AREA VERSUS THE SOUTH. THIS UNCERTAINTY IS PROBLEMATIC GIVEN THE
FLOOD WATCH ORIENTATION WHICH IS CURRENTLY OVER THE WEST. IF
CURRENT TRENDS HOLD HOWEVER...THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS WOULD BE MORE
UNDER THE GUN. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY INVOLVED...WILL LET THE
EVENING SHIFT TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THIS DEVELOPING EVENT TO SEE
IF FLOOD WATCH NEEDS TO CONTINUE AND FOR WHAT AREAS.

FOR MONDAY...PRETTY MUCH THE SAME PATTERN BUT WITH WEDGE
CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AND MORE MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR THE NORTHERN
ZONES AS WELL AS INSTABILITY. WENT LIKELY FOR MOST
AREAS...FAVORING THE SOUTH ONCE AGAIN...CLOSER TO THE VICINITY OF
STALLED OUT BOUNDARY. STILL USED SOME SLIGHT CAD INFLUENCES FOR
THE HIGH TEMPS MONDAY BUT SHOULD WARM NICELY TO UPPER 70S NORTH TO
LOWER 80S SOUTH.

DEESE

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
/ISSUED AT 250 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013/
BUMPED POPS UP SOME INTO THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE VERY MOIST
AIRMASS OVER THE AREA. OTHERWISE NO MAJOR CHANGES.
BDL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE WET PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THE EXTENDED. THE STATIONARY FRONT
OVER SOUTH GA TODAY WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH MONDAY AND
SHOULD BE SOME WHERE BETWEEN ATL AND MCN BY TUE MORNING. THIS FRONT
WILL WEAKEN SOME BUT IT WILL STILL ACT AS A GUIDE FOR GULF MOISTURE
TO MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
THE WEDGE LOOKS TO FINALLY BREAK DOWN SOMETIME MONDAY WHICH WILL
ALSO ALLOW FOR A MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN PRECIP PATTERN THROUGH DAY 7.
BEST TIMING FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE IN THE SHORT TERM BUT DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH WED/THU WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATERS IN THE 1.5 TO 2.0 INCH RANGE THROUGH THU. THE
DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES NORTH AND EAST OF THE STATE BY THU NIGHT BUT
THE DIURNAL CONVECTIVE TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPS
WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND BY TUE AND BE BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMS BY
THU/FRI.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF ATL SHOULD REMAIN THERE TONIGHT...
THEN DRIFT NORTH OF ATL MON AFTERNOON. LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL PERSIST
TONIGHT...THEN BECOME MORE SE BY MON AFTERNOON AT 7-9KTS. EXPECT
IFR/LIFR CIGS TO PREVAIL AGAIN TONIGHT WITH -DZ/BR RESTRICTING VSBY
DOWN TO 1-3SM AT TIMES. CIGS GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO MVFR BY 15Z...THEN
POSSIBLY LOW VFR LEVELS BY 17-19Z MON AS THE WARM FRONT DRIFTS
NORTH. MODELS SHOW SCT -SHRA/-TSRA AROUND BY MON AFTERNOON SO WILL
INCLUDE A PROB30 -TSRA 20-24Z MON AS ATL GETS IN THE WARM SECTOR.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON ALL ELEMENTS

39

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  81  69  79 /  50  60  50  70
ATLANTA         69  79  70  79 /  70  50  40  60
BLAIRSVILLE     65  76  66  78 /  70  50  50  60
CARTERSVILLE    69  79  69  78 /  70  50  50  60
COLUMBUS        71  83  72  85 /  50  60  40  70
GAINESVILLE     68  78  69  76 /  70  50  50  70
MACON           70  82  70  82 /  40  60  40  60
ROME            69  80  70  80 /  70  50  50  60
PEACHTREE CITY  70  80  71  79 /  60  50  40  60
VIDALIA         72  86  72  86 /  40  60  40  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BARTOW...BIBB...BLECKLEY...BUTTS...CARROLL...CATOOSA...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...
CRAWFORD...CRISP...DADE...DEKALB...DODGE...DOOLY...DOUGLAS...
FANNIN...FAYETTE...FLOYD...GILMER...GORDON...HARALSON...HARRIS...
HEARD...HENRY...HOUSTON...LAMAR...MACON...MARION...MERIWETHER...
MONROE...MURRAY...MUSCOGEE...NORTH FULTON...PAULDING...PEACH...
PICKENS...PIKE...POLK...PULASKI...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SOUTH
FULTON...SPALDING...STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TAYLOR...
TELFAIR...TROUP...TWIGGS...UPSON...WALKER...WEBSTER...
WHITFIELD...WILCOX.

&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...39

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
430 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-191015-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
430 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME FLASH FLOODING.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS
CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

DISCUSSION...
A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS WEAKENING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA INTO NORTH GEORGIA. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT. TROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE MAIN CONCERN REMAINS FLOODING ACROSS MOST
OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...SEE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH /FFAFFC/
FOR MORE DETAILS...HOWEVER MODERATE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR ACROSS
CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA CLOSE TO THE NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DURING THE AFTERNOON PERIODS THROUGH THE MIDDLE O
THE WEEK.

DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONT AND DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BECOME
THE FOCUS FOR A WET PERIOD AS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES OVER
THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR POTENTIAL FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY.
A MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORM PATTERN MAY RETURN BY THE
END OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING THROUGH THE WEB BY
GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1041 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

GAZ097-108>111-190345-
1041 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN WILCOX...WHEELER...
TELFAIR...LAURENS AND DODGE COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM EDT...

AT 1039 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM AROUND
ABBEVILLE TO WORKMORE...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND STREETS ACROSS WILCOX...WHEELER...
TELFAIR...LAURENS AND DODGE COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND THE
HORSE CREEK WMA...TEMPERANCE...CHINA HILL...LUMBER CITY...
BROWNING...JACKSONVILLE...WORKMORE...ABBEVILLE...RHINE...MILAN...
SPRING HILL...TOWNS...FIVE POINTS...JORDAN AND SCOTLAND.
ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS...FORESTLANDS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3181 8314 3191 8332 3201 8344 3213 8338
      3211 8335 3213 8331 3215 8332 3218 8330
      3222 8334 3235 8327 3235 8301 3230 8276
      3228 8275 3231 8272 3230 8266 3216 8261
      3192 8268 3179 8286 3178 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 0240Z 182DEG 22KT 3194 8287 3194 8302
          3197 8318

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1133 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

GAZ036>039-049>051-059-060-190430-
1133 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN WILKES...
TALIAFERRO...PUTNAM...OGLETHORPE...OCONEE...MORGAN...CLARKE...GREENE
AND JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM EDT...

AT 1126 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN NORTH OF A
LINE FROM SHADY DALE TO GREENSBORO AND WASHINGTON...MOVING NORTH AT
15 MPH.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS
WILKES...TALIAFERRO...PUTNAM...OGLETHORPE...OCONEE...MORGAN...CLARKE.
..GREENE AND JASPER COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND SHADY DALE...
EATONTON...MADISON...WATKINSVILLE...ATHENS...LEXINGTON...
GREENSBORO...CRAWFORDVILLE AND WASHINGTON. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS...FORESTLANDS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3359 8270 3351 8275 3352 8282 3344 8286
      3347 8301 3351 8299 3318 8361 3359 8369
      3382 8351 3391 8363 3404 8339 3400 8326
      3405 8313 3401 8305 3404 8297 3398 8280
      3399 8265 3387 8256 3382 8259 3365 8249
TIME...MOT...LOC 0329Z 194DEG 13KT 3382 8259 3352 8309
          3331 8349

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

GAZ022-032>034-042>045-053-066-190445-
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN TROUP...CARROLL...
COBB...COWETA...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...FORSYTH...GWINNETT AND FULTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM EDT...

AT 1154 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A LINE
OF SHOWERS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM LILBURN TO ATLANTA...
PALMETTO...NEWNAN AND GRANTVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND ONE AND A HALF INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS TROUP...CARROLL...COBB...COWETA...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...
FORSYTH...GWINNETT AND FULTON COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND
EDGEWOOD...KIRKWOOD...EAST LAKE...PANTHERSVILLE...GRESHAM PARK...PINE
LAKE...SCOTTDALE...AVONDALE ESTATES...DECATUR...STONE MOUNTAIN...
CLARKSTON...CAMPBELLTON...LAKEWOOD PARK...GRANT PARK-ZOO ATLANTA AND
TURNER FIELD. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS ALSO LIKELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3377 8487 3379 8473 3386 8472 3407 8433
      3417 8406 3413 8397 3385 8411 3364 8435
      3364 8446 3355 8446 3351 8461 3344 8463
      3336 8459 3322 8471 3322 8484 3320 8486
      3322 8487 3322 8493 3344 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 0358Z 201DEG 23KT 3389 8415 3370 8448
          3352 8469 3321 8480

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1234 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     FLOOD            2 WSW WRENS             33.20N 82.42W
08/19/2013                   JEFFERSON          GA   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CENTER REPORTS KELLY QUARTER ROAD IS STILL CLOSED DUE
            TO HIGH WATER AT 1215 AM.

&&

20

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1246 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

GAZ013>015-021>023-032>034-043>045-190545-
1246 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN PICKENS...
LUMPKIN...CHEROKEE...COBB...DAWSON...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...FORSYTH...
GWINNETT...HALL AND FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 145 AM EDT...

AT 1237 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAIN FROM FLOWERY BRANCH TO ROSWELL...VININGS AND
CAMPBELLTON...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH AND ONE AND A
HALF INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PICKENS...LUMPKIN...CHEROKEE...
COBB...DAWSON...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...FORSYTH...GWINNETT...HALL AND
FULTON COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND PLEASANT HILL...EDGEWOOD...
BUCKHEAD...BUFORD DAM-LAKE LANIER PARKS...HOG MOUNTAIN...SUWANEE...
SUGAR HILL...REST HAVEN...NORCROSS...MECHANICSVILLE...DULUTH...
BUFORD...BERKELEY LAKE...LA VISTA AND KIRKWOOD. DRIVERS SHOULD USE
CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 8387 3451 8384 3452 8378 3449 8374
      3409 8388 3364 8438 3364 8446 3357 8446
      3354 8449 3350 8461 3351 8469 3399 8467
      3437 8440 3438 8426 3447 8426 3447 8428
      3460 8405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0443Z 193DEG 23KT 3425 8389 3405 8438
          3366 8462

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1257 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

GAZ027-036>038-050-190600-
1257 AM EDT MON AUG 19 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN OGLETHORPE...
OCONEE...MADISON...CLARKE AND GREENE COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EDT...

AT 1250 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED
SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAIN NORTH OF A LINE FROM GRESHAMVILLE TO
LEXINGTON AND VESTA...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
ACROSS OGLETHORPE...OCONEE...MADISON...CLARKE AND GREENE COUNTIES...
INCLUDING AREAS AROUND WRAYSWOOD...GRESHAMVILLE...STEPHENS...
MAXEYS...VESTA...LEXINGTON...HUTCHINGS...SALEM...ROSE HILL...
CRAWFORD...SANDY CROSS...POINT PETER...ARNOLDSVILLE...BARNETT
SHOALS...DANIELSVILLE...ATHENS AND FARMINGTON. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS...FORESTLANDS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3394 8284 3385 8292 3360 8335 3380 8349
      3391 8363 3400 8350 3404 8336 3405 8339
      3416 8336 3420 8340 3427 8330 3424 8317
      3427 8312 3423 8308 3417 8310 3401 8293
      3399 8285
TIME...MOT...LOC 0454Z 171DEG 16KT 3395 8294 3385 8312
          3364 8343