Alert archive / Georgia / Flood Watches in 2013
Flood Watch 6, NWS Atlanta, GA
NWS Atlanta, GA issued this flood watch at May 3, 2013, 3:54 AM EDT for 45 counties in Georgia. It took effect at May 4, 2013, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2013, 3:54 AM EDT (07:54 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 4, 2013, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 6, 2013, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Atlanta, GA
- Flood severity
- None
All 45 counties
Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Bartow County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Madison County, GA, Murray County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Polk County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, Walton County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA
The radar
The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 16 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -89 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 784 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 110 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
233 WGUS62 KFFC 030754 FFAFFC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 354 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-030>035-031600- /O.NEW.KFFC.FA.A.0006.130504T1200Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE 354 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT AND BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE STATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2.5 TO 3.5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM CEDARTOWN TO ALPHARETTA TO HOMER WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS...DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY...ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
9 follow-up statements
693 WGUS62 KFFC 031949 FFAFFC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 349 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 GAZ027-040400- /O.EXA.KFFC.FA.A.0006.130504T1200Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON- 349 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTH GEORGIA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT AND BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE STATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4.5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA... WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM CEDARTOWN TO ATLANTA TO DANIELSVILLE WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY...ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-030>035-040400- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.130504T1200Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE 349 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT AND BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE STATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4.5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA... WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM CEDARTOWN TO ATLANTA TO DANIELSVILLE WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY...ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
769 WGUS62 KFFC 040144 FFAFFC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 944 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>035-041000- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.130504T1200Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE 944 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA. * FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT AND BECOME WIDESPREAD OVER THE STATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA... WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM CEDARTOWN TO ATLANTA TO DANIELSVILLE WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY... ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
487 WGUS62 KFFC 040728 FFAFFC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 328 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 GAZ036-037-041>048-052>058-041530- /O.EXA.KFFC.FA.A.0006.130504T1200Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB- ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING- HENRY-BUTTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE... EAST POINT...DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN... PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN 328 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3-4.5 INCHES AND ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN FOR FLOODING WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM FRANKLIN TO GRIFFIN TO ATHENS WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY... ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>035-041530- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.130504T1200Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE 328 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA. * FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3-4.5 INCHES AND ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN FOR FLOODING WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM FRANKLIN TO GRIFFIN TO ATHENS WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY... ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
198 WGUS62 KFFC 041448 FFAFFC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1048 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-041>048-052>058-051200- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130506T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL- DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA- FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT... DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN 1048 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3-4.5 INCHES AND ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN FOR FLOODING WILL BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM FRANKLIN TO GRIFFIN TO ATHENS WHERE THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY... ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
007 WGUS62 KFFC 050733 FFAFFC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 333 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-041>048-052>058-051545- /O.EXT.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130506T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL- DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA- FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT... DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN 333 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * THROUGH 7 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA SINCE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... WITH GENERALLY 1.5 INCHES OR LESS NOTED ELSEWHERE. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY CAUSED FLOODING ALONG SEVERAL STREAMS AND RIVERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA. AS A RESULT... THE THREAT OF MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WITH THE WET PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS...ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING MAY AFFECT FLOOD PRONE ROADS AND STRUCTURES NEARBY... ESPECIALLY THOSE CREEKS AND RIVERS THAT WERE IN FLOOD EARLIER THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
479 WGUS62 KFFC 051816 FFAFFC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 216 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-041>048-052>058-061000- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130506T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL- DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA- FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT... DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN 216 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA SINCE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... WITH GENERALLY 1.5 INCHES OR LESS NOTED ELSEWHERE. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY CAUSED FLOODING ALONG SEVERAL STREAMS AND RIVERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT... WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA. AS A RESULT... THE THREAT OF MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ALTHOUGH THE FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE MONDAY MORNING...FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH MID WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
358 WGUS62 KFFC 060055 AAA FFAFFC FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 855 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-041>048-052>058-060900- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130506T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL- DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA- FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT... DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN 855 PM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT MONDAY... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... NORTHEAST GEORGIA...NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * UNTIL 7 AM EDT MONDAY * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA SINCE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY CAUSED FLOODING ALONG SEVERAL STREAMS AND RIVERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. AN ADDITIONAL 0.5 TO 1 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE THREAT OF MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS OR RIVERS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ALTHOUGH THE FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE MONDAY MORNING... FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH MID WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
122 WGUS62 KFFC 060817 FFAFFC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 417 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 GAZ006>009-013>016-021>025-027-032>037-043>048-052>058-060930- /O.CAN.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130506T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-CHEROKEE- FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-COBB-NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT- BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON- NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...GAINESVILLE... MARIETTA...ATLANTA...LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...DOUGLASVILLE... EAST POINT...DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN... PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN 417 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LATER TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY 0.5 INCHES OR LESS. CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE LATER TODAY...BUT WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PLEASE REFER TO AREAL FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. $$ GAZ001>005-011-012-019-020-030-031-041-042-061630- /O.EXT.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130507T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD- BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-HARALSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE... CARROLLTON 417 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * THROUGH 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 INCH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...WHICH WILL EXACERBATE ALREADY HIGH RIVERS AND CREEKS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. ALTHOUGH THE FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE MONDAY EVENING...FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH MID WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
856 WGUS62 KFFC 062014 FFAFFC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 414 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 GAZ001>005-011-012-019-020-030-031-041-042-070000- /O.CON.KFFC.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-130507T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD- BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-HARALSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE... CARROLLTON 414 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA. * UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING * PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF AN INCH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...WHICH WILL EXACERBATE ALREADY HIGH RIVERS AND CREEKS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED. * LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE HEAVY RAIN REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREA. ALSO...STORM DRAINS... DITCHES...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAY BECOME QUICKLY CLOGGED WITH DEBRIS AND CAUSE EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OF THE LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. ALTHOUGH THE FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE MONDAY EVENING...FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH MID WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at May 3, 1:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 1:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 137 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 .UPDATE... /ISSUED AT 800 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013/ HAVE MADE SEVERAL CHANGES TO GRIDS THIS EVENING TO ACCOUNT FOR TRENDS. ADDED DRIZZLE TO THE WEATHER WORDING OVERNIGHT AND MADE MINOR TWEAKS TO POPS HERE AND THERE TO ADD SLIGHTLY MORE DETAIL. ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO HOURLY TEMPS/DEWPOINTS AND SO FAR NOT ENOUGH CHANGE TO ADJUST MIN TEMPS YET. WILL SEND A ROUND OF UPDATED PRODUCTS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE ADJUSTED WEATHER WORDING AND WILL REEVALUATE TEMPS IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. TDP && .PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 404 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013/ SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... THE WEDGE REMAINS IN PLACE AS A MOIST FLOW STREAMS OFF THE ATLANTIC AROUND THE LOW OVER THE GULF AND INTO OUR FORECAST AREA. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS... WHICH WILL KEEP CONDITIONS VERY MOIST TO WET THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST CHANGE WILL BE THE LOW MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND OPENING UP TO COMBINE WITH THE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF. THIS WILL ASSIST IN KEEPING RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE WILL ALSO AID IN KEEPING TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHILE THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT TO KEEP IT WINDY OVER THE AREA. 37 LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... HAVE MADE SOME UPDATES TO THE GRIDS FOR THIS WEEKEND. MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH FRONT MOVING IN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED POPS FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTRODUCED CATEGORICAL POPS. ALONG WITH INCREASING POPS...HAVE ALSO TWEAKED QPF WITH THE LATEST GUIDANCE. THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...NOW ADVERTISING AROUND AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND ONE TO THREE INCHES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA. WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...RECENT FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND EXPECTED QPF VALUES...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING AND ISOLATED MODERATE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FLOODING...WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE AN ESF ADDRESSING RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND TIMING IN MORE DETAILS. IF FUTURE FORECASTS CONTINUE SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT THINKING...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS WEEKEND. EXCEPT FOR THE CHANGES IN REGARDS TO POPS AND QPF MENTIONED ABOVE...THE THINKING FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION IS STILL VALID AND IS INCLUDED BELOW. 11 /ISSUED AT 342 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013/ MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED GRADIENT WINDS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND RAINFALL POTENTIAL OVER THE WEEKEND. GUIDANCE IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH DEVELOPMENT OF UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AN OCCLUDED FRONT WITH AN ENHANCED MOISTURE FIELD WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST LEADING TO INCREASED POPS. THE GFS IS A BIT AGGRESSIVE COMPARED TO THE REST OF GUIDANCE WITH THE FROPA AND THINKING IT ERODES THE PERSISTENT CAD DOME TOO QUICKLY. HAVE GONE WITH OVERALL BLEND PLACING LESS WEIGHT ON THE GFS. HAVE RAISED POPS UP TO LIKELY IN PARTS OF THE WEST AND NORTH FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ALSO TRENDED HIGHER POPS WHERE BOTH THE NAM AND GFS INDICATED STRONGEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE. FORECAST MUCAPE VALUES INDICATE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MOSTLY STABLE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND HAVE THEREFORE REMOVED ISOLATED THUNDER MENTION...KEEPING ALL PRECIP AS SHOWERS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE INTENSITY. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENING BETWEEN THE INVERTED RIDGING FROM THE NORTHEAST AND LOW DEVELOPMENT NORTHWEST. AT THE MOMENT IT LOOKS AS THOUGH PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA COULD VERY WELL REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA MAINLY DURING THE FRIDAY OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WINDS LOOK TO BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 20-25 MPH GUSTING 30-35 MPH OR HIGHER ACROSS SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE NORTH. FOR NOW WILL MENTION HIGHER WIND POTENTIAL IN HWO AND LET FUTURE SHIFTS REASSESS LATEST GUIDANCE CLOSER TO A POTENTIAL ADVISORY ISSUANCE TIME...SINCE THIS WOULD CURRENTLY FALL IN THE 3RD TO 4TH PERIOD OF THE FORECAST. FOR QPF WITH INFLUENCE OF OCCLUDED FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...HAVE GONE WITH A MIX OF HPC GUIDANCE AND BLEND OF OTHER GUIDANCE AS THIS LOOKS REASONABLE. THE RESULTANT STORM TOTALS RANGE FROM NEAR 1 INCH IN THE EAST TO NEAR 2 INCHES IN THE NORTHWEST. WITH THE NORTHWEST HAVING PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK AND CONTINUED MINOR FLOODING ALONG SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS...THERE MAY BE ISOLATED FLOODING POTENTIAL AGAIN IN THE NORTHWEST THIS WEEKEND. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND MAKE ADJUSTMENTS AS NECESSARY WITH FUTURE UPDATES. FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE UPPER CUTOFF LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BELOW NORMAL TEMPS...AND RAIN CHANCES MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH. BAKER && .AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... MOST AREAS HAVE MVFR CIGS WITH ISOLATED IFR CIGS DEVELOPING. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH IFR CIGS OVER MOST AREAS BY 09Z. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST GA WILL SPREAD WEST NORTHWEST AFFECTING MAINLY MCN/CSG THIS MORNING THEN SPREADING NORTH THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE ATL AREAS. CIGS WILL RISE TO MVFR BY LATE MORNING AND REMAIN MVFR THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY...BECOMING IFR TOWARD MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN EASTERLY AND GUSTY...ESPECIALLY AFTER SUNRISE. //ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE... MEDIUM ON CIGS AND TIMING OF WEATHER. HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS. 17 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 56 69 55 65 / 20 30 30 40 ATLANTA 56 67 55 62 / 20 40 50 70 BLAIRSVILLE 53 64 51 59 / 20 30 60 60 CARTERSVILLE 57 68 56 62 / 20 40 60 80 COLUMBUS 60 70 59 66 / 60 60 60 80 GAINESVILLE 55 67 53 61 / 20 30 50 50 MACON 60 70 59 67 / 30 40 50 60 ROME 58 69 57 63 / 20 40 60 80 PEACHTREE CITY 58 67 57 63 / 20 50 50 80 VIDALIA 62 75 62 73 / 20 30 40 40 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...TDP LONG TERM....ATWELL AVIATION...ATWELL
Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 8:02 PM EDT, 7 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 802 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-040015- BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA- CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA- CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL- FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE- GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON- JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON- MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY- MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH- PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON- SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS- TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN- WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES- WILKINSON- 802 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... AN APPROACHING FRONT FROM THE WEST WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA MAINLY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS OF 20-25 MPH GUSTING 30-35 MPH OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AN ADVISORY MAY BE WARRANTED WITH LATER UPDATES CLOSER TO THIS PERIOD. WITH PRECIPITATION...INSTABILITY LACKS SO NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK TO RANGE FROM NEAR 1 INCH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST TO NEAR 3 INCHES IN THE NORTHWEST. IF THIS RAINFALL FORECAST VERIFIES...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING WITH ISOLATED MODERATE FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH GEORGIA. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM SO PLEASE MONITOR FUTURE UPDATES FOR ANY CHANGES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.