Wind Advisory 25, NWS El Paso, TX

346 
WWUS74 KEPZ 220045
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
545 PM MST SAT DEC 21 2013

...STRONG WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
HAVE DIMINISHED EARLY THIS EVENING...

.A WINTER STORM SYSTEM HAS MOVED OFF INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
EVENING ALLOWING BRISK WINDS TO BEGIN DIMINISHING ACROSS THE AREA.
WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING
BEFORE DIMINISHING TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND
GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH MAY CONTINUE THIS EVENING ALONG EAST SLOPES
OF MOUNTAINS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES.

NMZ407-411-413-417-TXZ418>424-220145-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-131222T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEMING...COLUMBUS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...
SUNLAND PARK...OROGRANDE...WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...
CHAPARRAL...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...
FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...HUECO TANKS...
LOMA LINDA...DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...
FABENS...TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
545 PM MST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. 

$$

HEFNER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
422 AM MST SAT DEC 21 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION TODAY WITH MOUNTAIN
SNOW AND A LOWLAND MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOUNTAIN AREAS MAY
RECEIVE AND ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY. WINDS WILL BE
STRONG ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BUT WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS
EVENING. DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ON SUNDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IS
EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...INCLUDING THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY
PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW IS TRACKING THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING AND SHOULD
EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST LATER TODAY. A MIX OF MOSTLY LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID MORNING ACROSS THE
LOWLANDS WITH SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING OVER THE MOUNTAINS...
ESPECIALLY THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
IS POSSIBLE FOR THE MOUNTAINS WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
RUNNING BETWEEN 3 AND 8 INCHES FOR THE MOUNTAINS FOR THIS SYSTEM.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOWLANDS
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...TAPERING OFF IN THE AFTERNOON FOR MOST
AREAS. A SECONDARY DISTURBANCE MAY KEEP LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS GOING
THE MOUNTAINS BUT LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FOR
TONIGHT. WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS WILL END AROUND 5
PM TODAY WITH ONLY A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES EXPECTED
FOR THE MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING.

ANOTHER FEATURE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS. A
DEEP SURFACE LOW IS FORMING EAST OF THE AREA THAT WILL TIGHTEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY 20 TO 30
MPH FOR MOST AREAS...BUT SOME AREAS ALONG THE BORDER AND IN
FURTHER EAST MAY SEE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS UP TO 35 MPH FOR A
PORTION OF THE DAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF AREA
MOUNTAINS. AS RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FOR ZONES ALONG THE BORDER
STRETCHING FROM DEMING TO DELL CITY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT
AND REDUCED WIND SPEEDS AND CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH MID TO UPPER 40S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS.

NEXT WEEK IS SHAPING UP TO BE A DRY ONE WITH HIGH PRESSURE ON WEST
COAST MAINTAINING A NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE LOCAL AREA.
CHRISTMAS EVE AND CHRISTMAS DAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES BOTH DAYS WILL BE
NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS WHICH MEANS MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE
LOWLANDS. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY.
LATEST MODEL RUNS INDICATE THAT THE WEAK SYSTEM WILL NOT HAVE MUCH
MOISTURE WITH IT AND WILL NOT BE ABLE TO TAP MUCH PACIFIC MOISTURE
BEFORE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...SO RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN SLIM
TO NONE FOR LATE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THAT PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 21/12Z-22/12Z...
A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW EXPECTED THRU 16Z THEN LIGHT RAIN TIL
21Z. CIGS WILL VARY BETWEEN 010 AND 030 TIL 16Z THEN START
LIFTING. MTN TOPS OBSCURED WITH -SN THRU 06Z. WEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20-30G40 BY BY 15Z. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFT 03Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER LOW WILL EXIT THE REGION LATER TODAY WITH SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AND ENDING. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 4500
FEET EARLY THEN BEGIN RISING TO 5500 TO 6000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE FOR MOUNTAINS WITH
SOME DUSTING OF LOWLANDS NORTH AND WEST OF DEMING POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY WITH 20 TO 30 MPH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS LIKELY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE ABOVE 40
PERCENT LOWLANDS AND HIGHER IN THE MOUNTAINS.

DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING IN STARTING SUNDAY TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR AVERAGE KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S AND 30S. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS REGION REMAINS UNDER
A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH A COUPLE OF WEAK COLD FRONTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 51  32  51  27  53 /  20  10   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           47  25  50  22  50 /  20  10   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              50  29  51  22  51 /  20  10   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              48  33  50  20  50 /  30  10   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              28  19  32  15  37 /  50  30  10  10   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   49  31  46  23  50 /  20  10   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             41  27  44  23  44 /  30  10   0   0   0
DEMING                  49  29  48  21  52 /  20  10   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               48  31  45  24  53 /  20  10   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      50  33  49  28  52 /  20  10   0   0   0
DELL CITY               49  27  48  22  50 /  30  10   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            51  30  52  24  55 /  20  10   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              45  27  47  23  48 /  20  10   0   0   0
FABENS                  51  31  50  23  53 /  20  10   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            50  29  52  24  52 /  20  10   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          50  36  49  25  51 /  30  10   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           50  26  49  16  51 /  20  10   0   0   0
HATCH                   50  29  46  20  49 /  20  10   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                49  33  48  24  51 /  20  10   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               48  32  50  22  52 /  30  10   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 36  26  39  19  45 /  50  20  10   0   0
MESCALERO               34  24  41  18  44 /  40  20  10   0   0
TIMBERON                35  24  41  19  44 /  40  20  10   0   0
WINSTON                 45  24  45  22  46 /  30  20  10   0   0
HILLSBORO               47  29  43  24  47 /  30  10   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               51  23  47  20  48 /  20  10   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            40  25  45  21  48 /  30  20  10   0   0
HURLEY                  43  27  42  23  47 /  30  10   0   0   0
CLIFF                   47  24  48  18  48 /  20  10   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              42  19  47  16  48 /  30  10   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 45  27  44  24  47 /  30  10   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  48  28  48  23  54 /  20  10   0   0   0
HACHITA                 48  28  49  21  52 /  20  10   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          45  26  51  24  55 /  20  10   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              41  30  49  27  51 /  30  10   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
     FOR NMZ407-411-413-417.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NMZ402-
     403-408-414>416.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NMZ401.

TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
     FOR TXZ418>424.

&&

04 LUNDEEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
406 PM MST FRI DEC 20 2013

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-211315-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
406 PM MST FRI DEC 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD LOWLAND RAIN SHOWERS
WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS. THERE WILL
ALSO BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE. SNOW
AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 4 TO 8 INCHES...MAINLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. UP TO
AN INCH OF TOTAL RAINFALL MAY OCCUR OVER ISOLATED LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SCATTERED LOWLAND RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW LIKELY OVER THE MOUNTAINS
DURING THE MORNING ON SATURDAY WITH SNOW AND RAIN DIMINISHING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDY ON SATURDAY WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING AROUND 45 MPH.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TO REPORT SNOW AND RAIN AMOUNTS
AND SMALL HAIL.

ROGASH