Red Flag Warning 2, NWS El Paso, TX

461 
WWUS84 KEPZ 190446
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
946 PM MST MON FEB 18 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MST TUESDAY
FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND A HIGH FIRE
DANGER RATING FROM THE BOOTHEEL INTO EL PASO COUNTY AND NORTH TO
SIERRA AND OTERO COUNTIES FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 6000 FT MSL...

..A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALOFT IS APPROACHING NEW
MEXICO FROM THE GREAT BASIN OF THE UNITED STATES AND WILL PRODUCE
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS COUPLED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING WHICH WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STRONGER WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...INCREASED
MOISTURE VALUES...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
LOWER THE FIRE THREAT SIGNIFICANTLY IN THIS AREA.

NMZ112-TXZ055-191900-
/O.EXA.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.130219T1900Z-130220T0100Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO-
946 PM MST MON FEB 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MST TUESDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055 AND
112...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 055 AND 112...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM
MST TUESDAY. 

* EVENT: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112 ...SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND 
  SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055 EL PASO... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056 HUDSPETH. 

* TIMING: 11 AM TO 6 PM

* WIND: VERY HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60 
  MPH AND EVEN HIGHER ALONG IMMEDIATE EASTERN SLOPES OF 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOPWILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

NMZ111-191900-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.130219T1900Z-130220T0100Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
946 PM MST MON FEB 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
111...

* EVENT: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111 ...SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND 
  LOWLANDS. 

* TIMING: 12 PM TO 6 PM

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

TXZ056-191900-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
HUDSPETH-
946 PM MST MON FEB 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
056...

* EVENT: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112 ...SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND 
  SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY. FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055 EL PASO... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056 HUDSPETH. 

* TIMING: 11 AM TO 6 PM

* WIND: VERY HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60 
  MPH AND EVEN HIGHER ALONG IMMEDIATE EASTERN SLOPES OF 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOPWILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

878 
WWUS84 KEPZ 191353
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
653 AM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MST TODAY
FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND A HIGH FIRE
DANGER RATING FROM THE BOOTHEEL INTO EL PASO COUNTY AND NORTH TO
SIERRA AND OTERO COUNTIES FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 6000 FT MSL...

..A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALOFT IS APPROACHING NEW
MEXICO FROM THE GREAT BASIN OF THE UNITED STATES AND WILL PRODUCE
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS COUPLED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING WHICH WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STRONGER WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...INCREASED
MOISTURE VALUES...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
LOWER THE FIRE THREAT SIGNIFICANTLY OVER FAR SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO.

NMZ112-TXZ055-200100-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.130219T1900Z-130220T0100Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO-
653 AM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MST
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 055 AND 112...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
055 AND 112... 

* EVENT: RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112 SOUTH CENTRAL
  ...LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND TEXAS FIRE
  WEATHER ZONE 055 EL PASO.

* TIMING: NOON TO 6 PM TODAY AND 11 AM TO 6 PM MST WEDNESDAY

* WIND: TODAY EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND
  WEDNESDAY VERY HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
  60 MPH AND EVEN HIGHER ALONG IMMEDIATE EASTERN SLOPES OF
  MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOP WILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

NMZ111-200100-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.130219T1900Z-130220T0100Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
653 AM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MST
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 111...

* EVENT: RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111 SOUTHWEST
  DESERTS...AND LOWLANDS.

* TIMING: 12 PM TO 6 PM TODAY

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

TXZ056-200100-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
HUDSPETH-
653 AM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
056...

* EVENT: RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056 HUDSPETH.

* TIMING: 11 AM TO 6 PM WEDNESDAY

* WIND: VERY HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60 MPH.

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOPWILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
26

185 
WWUS84 KEPZ 192014
RFWEPZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
114 PM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM MST TODAY
FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND A HIGH FIRE
DANGER RATING IN SIERRA AND OTERO COUNTIES FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW
6000 FT MSL...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND A
HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SIERRA AND
OTERO COUNTIES IN NEW MEXICO AND EL PASO AND HUDSPETH COUNTIES IN
FAR WEST TEXAS...

..A STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALOFT IS APPROACHING NEW
MEXICO FROM THE GREAT BASIN OF THE UNITED STATES AND WILL PRODUCE
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS COUPLED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING WHICH WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR ZONE 112 THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE PLAINS OF SIERRA COUNTY AND
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY.

STRONGER WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...INCREASED
MOISTURE VALUES...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
LOWER THE FIRE THREAT SIGNIFICANTLY OVER FAR SOUTHWEST NEW
MEXICO.

TXZ055-200500-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130220T0100Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
EL PASO-
114 PM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055 THIS AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
055...

* TIMING: 11 AM TO 6 PM MST WEDNESDAY

* WIND: VERY STRONG WINDS SUSTAINED 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60
  MPH AND EVEN HIGHER ALONG IMMEDIATE EASTERN SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: AROUND 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOP WILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

NMZ111-192115-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130220T0100Z/
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
114 PM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE ON THE INCREASE AND ARE CURRENTLY IN
THE 20S AND 30S...THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NMZ112-200500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130220T0100Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
114 PM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
112...

* EVENT: RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112 SOUTH CENTRAL
  LOWLANDS AND ...SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* TIMING: NOON TO 6 PM TODAY AND 11 AM TO 6 PM MST WEDNESDAY

* WIND: TODAY EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH 
  AND WEDNESDAY VERY HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED 35 TO 45 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND EVEN HIGHER ALONG IMMEDIATE EASTERN 
  SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOP WILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

TXZ056-200500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0003.130220T1800Z-130221T0100Z/
HUDSPETH-
114 PM MST TUE FEB 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
056...

* EVENT: RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056 HUDSPETH.

* TIMING: 11 AM TO 6 PM WEDNESDAY

* WIND: VERY HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60 
  MPH.

* HUMIDITY: 10% TO 15%.

* IMPACTS...VERY HIGH WINDS WILL MEAN THAT ANY FIRES THAT 
  DEVELOP WILL RAPIDLY BURN OUT OF CONTROL AND SPREAD VERY 
  RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS HIGHLY NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATINGS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
26

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
341 AM MST MON FEB 18 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER DRY AND MILD DAY ACROSS THE BORDERLAND WITH TEMPERATURES A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WITH JUST SOME
PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. CONTINUED WARM AND BECOMING BREEZY WITH
INCREASED HIGH CLOUDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE NEXT PACIFIC STORM
BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. WEDNESDAY A LARGE PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM CUTS ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. THIS WILL BRING VERY
STRONG WINDS CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING DUST ACROSS THE REGION.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER TO END THE WEEK
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEHIND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT PASSAGE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO BRING ANOTHER STRONG WIND
EVENT NEXT SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AS ONE WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXITS THIS MORNING...ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE RIDGE MOVES IN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL MEAN CONTINUED DRY
WITH LIGHTER PM WINDS. TEMPS DOWN A FEW DEGREES BUT STILL ABOUT 5
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. NOT A LOT OF CHANCE FOR TUESDAY...BUT THE
NEXT SIGNIFICANT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BE ON APPROACH TO THE
SW U.S. FOR US WE WILL SEE INCREASED HIGH CLOUDS TUE WITH AN
INCREASE IN SURFACE WINDS. WINDS WILL BACK TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND
WARM TEMPS ABOUT 5 DEGREES. L70S POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWLANDS.
LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL COME UP TO THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO NEAR 40 MPH ON TUES...THUS BACK TO THE LOW END WINDY CATEGORY.

THE REAL WINDS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY AS SOON AS WE CAN MIX OUT
WHAT WEAK SURFACE INVERSION DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT. MODELS SHOW SFC
WINDS DROPPING OFF TUESDAY EVE THROUGH ABOUT 18Z WED. HOWEVER THE
WINDS ALOFT CONTINUE TO INCREASE. THUS IT APPEARS WITH SOME
SKIPPING OF THE WIND UNDER THE INVERSION BETWEEN THE CAP AND THE
PEAK THAT WE COULD SEE ELEVATED OVERNIGHT WINDS IN THE SACS...AND
EAST OF THE ORGANS...AND FRANKLIN MTNS. WINDS SHOULD START TO
INCREASE TO WINDY BY 10-11 AM WED AS MIXING BEGINS. WINDS ALOFT AT
THE H7 LEVEL ARE 45-50 KTS...WITH MIXING TO H65 LEVELS. THUS
EXPECT SURFACE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH FOR ALL ZONES EAST OF THE
BOOTHEEL AND GILA. THUS WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR WED. WE
WILL SEE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING DUST WITH THIS EVENT DUE TO
FAVORABLE SW TRAJECTORIES AND SPARSE VEGETATION IN DROUGHT
CONDITIONS. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO TRAVEL...AIR AND GROUND.
POSSIBLE POWER INTERRUPTIONS...MODERATE WIND DAMAGE...AND INCREASED
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL.

THIS SYSTEM ALSO BRINGS SOME MOISTURE...A WHOPPING .15 TO .25" OF
PW...AND SOME COLD AIR. THE POTENTIAL FOR A LOT/ AND WIDESPREAD /
PCPN IS LIMITED BY THIS LACK OF MOISTURE...BUT THE DYNAMICS ARE
STRONG. THUS EXPECT SOME SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AFTER NOON WED...AND
TO CONTINUE WITH THE STORM PASSAGE THROUGH MID DAY THU. A PAC
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WED EVENING. TEMPS BEHIND ARE QUITE COOLER
AND THUS SNOW LEVELS DROP TO NEAR DESERT FLOOR LEVELS. THUS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT LOWLAND SNOW...BUT NOT ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED. ONLY AN INCH OR TWO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LOOKS
REASONABLE. THUS NO HIGHLIGHTS FOR PCPN WITH THIS STORM.

EARLY THUR THE WHOLE SYSTEM LIFTS AWAY TO THE EAST. MOST PCPN
SHOULD END...BUT ADDITIONAL RIPPLES IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
CONTINUE TO SKIRT OUR MTN ZONES. COOLER AIR ON W/NW FLOW WILL MAKE
FOR A MUCH COOLER DAYS ON THU AND FRI. HIGHS WILL BE ABOUT 15
DEGREES COOLER WITH M50S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. CONTINUED BREEZY TO
MILDLY WINDY THU...THEN SLACKENING WIND FRI.

IT LOOKS DRY THU..FRI...SAT WITH DEEP WESTERLY FLOW. WARMING TEMPS
FOR THE WEEKEND. GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES...WINDS LIGHTER AND BELOW
WINDY WITH OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON BREEZES.

MODELS SHOW ANOTHER SHARP PACIFIC TROUGH PASSING JUST TO OUR NORTH
NEXT SUNDAY. THIS LOOKS TO BRING ANOTHER HIGH WIND DAY TO THE
BORDERLAND. MOST PCPN LOOKS TO STAY NORTH...BUT SLIGHT CHANCES FOR
THE GILA AND SACS REGIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 18/12Z-19/12Z.
VFR CONDS ALL TERMINALS TDY AND TNGT. SFC WINDS 240-280 5-12KTS.
SKIES FEW-SCT250.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MOSTLY CLEAR  SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO GIVE THE AREA DRY CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH MILD MORNING LOWS AND ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON HIGHS. WEDNESDAY
A LARGE AND STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
NEW MEXICO ACCOMPANIED BY VERY STRONG WEST WINDS...WIDESPREAD
BLOWING DUST...AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND RAIN AND HIGHLAND SNOW
SHOWERS. AT THIS TIME THERE IS A CHANCE OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN
THE BOOT HEEL TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY ALL AREAS EAST OF THE
RIO GRADE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT
BEFORE EXITING EARLY THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AT LEAST 10
DEG F ON THURSDAY WITH WARMING RETURNING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MIN
RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 10% TO 20% ALL AREAS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. THE HAINES WILL RANGE MOSTLY IN THE 5 CATEGORY ALL AREAS
SATURDAY AND 3 TO 4 ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 66  39  70  44  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           66  36  72  38  72 /   0   0  10  10   0
LAS CRUCES              64  33  71  33  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
ALAMOGORDO              62  31  68  37  62 /   0   0   0   0  10
CLOUDCROFT              42  25  43  24  31 /   0   0   0   0  20
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   61  33  64  35  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
SILVER CITY             56  29  64  31  40 /   0   0   0   0  70
DEMING                  64  26  70  29  54 /   0   0   0   0  20
LORDSBURG               63  31  70  33  46 /   0   0   0   0  30
WEST EL PASO METRO      67  37  71  41  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               66  30  69  33  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            68  36  73  38  73 /   0   0  10  10   0
LOMA LINDA              61  36  66  36  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  67  33  72  42  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            65  34  69  38  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
WHITE SANDS HQ          65  38  70  39  62 /   0   0   0   0  10
JORNADA RANGE           64  21  69  25  59 /   0   0   0   0  10
HATCH                   62  28  66  32  54 /   0   0   0   0  10
COLUMBUS                65  31  69  36  57 /   0   0   0   0  10
OROGRANDE               64  23  72  34  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 54  31  57  32  44 /   0   0   0   0  10
MESCALERO               50  26  55  26  43 /   0   0   0   0  20
TIMBERON                53  25  55  25  46 /   0   0   0   0  20
WINSTON                 54  26  59  29  40 /   0   0   0   0  20
HILLSBORO               59  29  63  32  48 /   0   0   0   0  20
SPACEPORT               61  29  66  30  56 /   0   0   0   0  10
LAKE ROBERTS            54  23  60  25  36 /   0   0   0   0  60
HURLEY                  58  28  64  29  42 /   0   0   0   0  40
CLIFF                   61  29  68  32  42 /   0   0   0   0  70
MULE CREEK              58  19  63  20  38 /   0   0   0  10  60
FAYWOOD                 59  29  64  29  43 /   0   0   0   0  30
ANIMAS                  64  28  71  34  49 /   0   0   0   0  20
HACHITA                 64  27  70  31  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANTELOPE WELLS          65  31  68  38  53 /   0   0   0   0  10
CLOVERDALE              60  34  63  36  43 /   0   0   0   0  20

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR NMZ407>417.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR TXZ418>424.

&&

14-BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
600 AM MST MON FEB 18 2013

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-191300-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
600 AM MST MON FEB 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE STATE BY LATE WEDNESDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING
DUST EXPECTED. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXPECTED
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH AND
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING DUST. MOUNTAIN ZONES MAY SEE SNOW SHOWERS LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. A SECOND WIND MAKER IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED NEXT SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

BIRD