Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Watches in 2013

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS El Paso, TX

July 4, 2013Grant County, Luna County, Sierra County, New Mexico

NWS El Paso, TX issued this flash flood watch at Jul 4, 2013, 7:23 AM MDT for Grant County, Luna County, Sierra County, New Mexico. It took effect at Jul 4, 2013, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2013, 7:23 AM MDT (13:23 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 4, 2013, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 5, 2013, 6:00 AM MDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX
Flood severity
None

Counties Grant County, NM, Luna County, NM, Sierra County, NM

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2013-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2013-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2363 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 4, 5:07 AM MDT, 2 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 5:07 AM MDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 11:16 AM MDT, 20 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1116 AM MDT WED JUL 3 2013

NMZ401-404>407-410>417-TXZ418>424-041730-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1116 AM MDT WED JUL 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREA WIDE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WIND
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. STORMS WILL BE MORE FREQUENT THIS
EVENING AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVIER RAIN
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES AND
POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MONDAY. STORMS MAY PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH.
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM SOME STORMS MAY CAUSE MINOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING OR POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR DAMAGE OR
FLOODING TO THIS OFFICE.

NMZ402-403-408-409-041730-
SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
1116 AM MDT WED JUL 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN SIERRA
COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN GRANT COUNTY FOR AREAS NEAR THE
SILVER FIRE BURN SCAR. THE FIRE HAS REMOVED VEGETATION FROM A
LARGE PORTION OF THE BLACK RANGE...LEAVING BARE SOIL THAT WILL NOT
BE ABLE TO SOAK IN EVEN MODERATE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL. RAIN AMOUNTS
OF A HALF INCH OR GREATER WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING ON AFFECTED CREEKS AND DRAINAGES. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE ENTIRE AREA AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR GREATER
AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR FROM SOME OF THE STORMS.
THERE IS A RISK OF DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS AGAIN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY. FLASH
FLOODING POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR AREAS NEAR THE BLACK RANGE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THOUGH STORM FREQUENCY AND COVERAGE
WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD...ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE
SLOW MOVING AND MAY PRODUCE MORE RAINFALL. IN ADDITION...STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND MOSTLY SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR DAMAGE OR
FLOODING TO THIS OFFICE.

LUNDEEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 6:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZGrant37 min
Jul 3, 6:16 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZGrant4 hr
Jul 3, 6:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZSierra64 min
Jul 3, 6:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZGrant, Hidalgo79 min
Jul 3, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZDoña Ana, Sierra47 min
Jul 3, 7:49 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZGrant, Hidalgo86 min
Jul 3, 8:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZOtero43 min
Jul 3, 8:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZSierra48 min
Jul 3, 8:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZDoña Ana61 min
Jul 3, 8:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZDoña Ana, Otero48 min
Jul 3, 9:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZDoña Ana45 min
Jul 3, 10:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZDoña Ana42 min
Jul 4, 2:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZGrant66 min
Jul 4, 2:33 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZGrant3 hr
Jul 4, 3:34 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZGrant116 min
Jul 4, 4:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEPZGrant40 min
Jul 4, 5:30 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZGrant2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in New Mexico, 2013Every flash flood watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.