Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Kansas City, MO

898 
WWUS53 KEAX 312011
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
311 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MOC159-312045-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-130531T2045Z/
PETTIS MO-
311 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
PETTIS COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 306 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREEN RIDGE...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEDALIA...SMITHTON AND SEDALIA MEMORIAL ARPT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3857 9342 3867 9351 3874 9306 3869 9306
      3868 9305 3867 9306 3853 9306 3853 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 246DEG 15KT 3863 9338

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

AEP

708 
WWUS53 KEAX 312038
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
338 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MOC159-312045-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-130531T2045Z/
PETTIS MO-
338 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
PETTIS COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 334 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREEN RIDGE...
AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEDALIA AND SEDALIA MEMORIAL ARPT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3869 9306 3861 9345 3867 9351 3874 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 262DEG 19KT 3867 9338

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CUTTER

201 
WWUS53 KEAX 312042
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
342 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MOC159-312051-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-130531T2045Z/
PETTIS MO-
342 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PETTIS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 345 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT

LAT...LON 3869 9306 3861 9345 3867 9351 3874 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 262DEG 19KT 3867 9336

$$

AEP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
258 PM CDT Fri May 31 2013

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 25 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

This afternoon and this evening, storms have initiated along a
boundary that has been draped across our far southern zones from
Linn county Kansas through central Missouri. Extreme instability has
started to build into our far southwestern zones with areas just
east of this still fighting the effects of the morning convective
system and some remaining convective inhibition. With areas along
and south of boundary have had several hours of sunshine, there is a
very good chance that the higher instability will build eastward.
0-6 km shear is very high, on the order of 50 to 60 kts. While
low-level winds are veered slightly to the southwest, the ample
amounts of shear will support rotating updrafts and supercell
structures within the tornado watch area. This would support very
large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes. If winds can back
some locally, the tornado threat would increase. Otherwise, storms
would likely evolve into bowing segments given the nearly
unidirectional flow aloft. Also, if these bowing segments are able
to orient with the flow, the wind threat would be enhanced.
Additionally, storms may track over areas that saw copious amounts
of rainfall this morning, like Cooper county. This would aggravate
the ongoing flooding problems. Overall, storms are expected to slide
out of the forecast later this evening with more stratiform rain in
their wake as the focus of convection shifts south of the forecast
area.

For Saturday, quieter weather is expected as a drier airmass settles
into the region in the wake of a cold front. There is a chance for a
few showers in northwestern Missouri as the main upper trough moves
overhead with cooler air aloft. For now have left the forecast dry
for now as coverage looks rather low. Otherwise, cooler than normal
temperatures are expected with highs ranging from the upper 60s in
northwestern Missouri to the middle 70s through central Missouri.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

Upper ridging will build into the Plains Sunday and Monday, allowing
surface high pressure to slide east of the area. This will provide
dry conditions and a slight warming trend with highs reaching the
middle 70s by Monday.

Upper trough will track through the Upper Midwest later in the week,
sending a weak and slow-moving front into the region. This will
bring chances for thunderstorms back into the forecast area as early
as Monday night and lasting through Thursday as the front lingers.
This could potentially set up a heavy rain and flood threat if
thunderstorms happen to track repeatedly over some areas,
particularly given the moist ground after this week's rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 130 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

The back edge of of clouds was initially timed to move through the
terminals around 20Z. However, new additional MVFR clouds have
developed in what was the clearing so ceilings may be delayed
slightly from clearing/lifting. Winds will eventually veer southwest
tonight and then from the northwest late tonight or tomorrow morning.
There is also another chance for lower clouds towards the end of this
forecast period or after 18Z Saturday as cooler air filters southward
behind the cold front.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR KSZ057-060.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR MOZ039-040-
     043>046-053-054.

&&

SHORT TERM...CDB
LONG TERM...Hawblitzel
AVIATION...CDB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1245 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-011200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1245 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WESTERN CENTRAL THROUGH CENTRAL
MISSOURI... WHERE CLOUD COVER IS DIMINISHING ALLOWING FOR RAPID
DESTABILIZATION. THESE STORMS WOULD LIKELY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK WILL GENERALLY
BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF LINE FROM PAOLA... KANSAS THROUGH BOONVILLE IN
CENTRAL MISSOURI. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY WHICH WOULD LIKELY
LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING FROM PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT...AND IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. MORE
TORRENTIAL RAIN IS LIKELY FROM STORMS NEXT WEEK...THOUGH THE THREAT
OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LESS CLEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI. IN
ADDITION...RAINFALL MEASUREMENTS...AS WELL AS OBSERVED FLOODING
REPORTS...ARE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
923 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 ESE BOONVILLE         38.92N 92.61W
05/31/2013                   COOPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY V CLOSED WEST OF HIGHWAY 179 DUE TO HIGH WATER

0900 AM     FLASH FLOOD      KANSAS CITY             39.12N 94.55W
05/31/2013                   JACKSON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED ACROSS THE CITY DUE TO HIGH WATER.
            STRANDED CARS REPORTED IN NORTHEAST KANSAS CITY.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1140 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1134 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W PLEASANT HILL       38.80N 94.28W
05/31/2013                   CASS               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING OVER HWY 58 BY THE FAIR GROUNDS. WATER CAME
            UP VERY QUICKLY IN THE PAST 15 MINS.

&&

APIETRYC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
215 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MOZ044-045-054-312000-
HENRY MO-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS MO-
215 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN PETTIS COUNTY IN
CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON AND NORTHEASTERN HENRY
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

AT 212 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CALHOUN...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLINTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  WINDSOR...CALHOUN AND GREEN RIDGE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3836 9373 3847 9380 3872 9338 3853 9323
      3853 9329 3851 9329 3850 9329 3851 9351
      3842 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 243DEG 16KT 3846 9367

AEP