Tornado Warning 11, NWS Quad Cities, IA

136 
WWUS53 KDVN 122318
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
618 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

ILC085-122330-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130612T2330Z/
JO DAVIESS IL-
618 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN JO DAVIESS COUNTY
UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 615 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR GALENA...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
         SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
         OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AIKEN...RICE...GALENA TERRITORY...RODDEN...GUILFORD AND NORTH
HANOVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY HIDE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 4247 9039 4238 9017 4224 9032 4237 9045
      4239 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 309DEG 18KT 4241 9045

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

SHEETS

710 
WWUS53 KDVN 122323
SVSDVN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
623 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

ILC085-122331-
/O.CAN.KDVN.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130612T2330Z/
JO DAVIESS IL-
623 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR PARTS OF WESTERN JO DAVIESS COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING NO LONGER POSES A THREAT OF 
TORNADO DEVELOPMENT THE WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND 
HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN JO DAVIESS COUNTY 
INCLUDING THE TOWNS AIKEN...RODEN...BLANDING...WHITTON AND HANOVER.

LAT...LON 4247 9039 4238 9017 4224 9032 4237 9045
      4239 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 309DEG 18KT 4240 9043

$$

SHEETS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
311 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS NOW
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WITH UPPER LEVEL CAP NEARLY ERODED. SURFACE
BASED CAPES RANGE FROM 3000 TO 4000 J/KG. THUNDERSTORMS WERE
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME
NORTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP WITH HIGH WINDS...POSSIBLY UP TO
70 MPH... ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL. TORNADOES ARE ALSO A
POSSIBILITY IN ROTATING SUPERCELLS. THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
OVER OUR FAR EASTERN ILLINOIS COUNTIES BY EVENING WITH ANY STORMS
MERGING INTO A DESTRUCTIVE DERECHO THAT WILL MOVE QUICKLY OUT OF
OUR FORECAST ACROSS EASTERN ILLINOIS. SKIES WILL CLEAR TONIGHT
WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60.

TOMORROW WILL BE A NICE DAY...CURRENT MODELS BUILD STRONG
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE UPPER MID WEST AS AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE UPPER PLAINS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH A COLD
FRONT ALL THE WAY TO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. TOMORROW WILL BE
LESS HUMID AND COOLER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE COOL WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP WITH THESE
COOL TEMPERATURES AND WET GROUND. AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTHERLY RETURN ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING FAIR WEATHER ON FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA AS
A WARM FROM MOVES CLOSE TO THE REGION.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE OF AN MCS
DEVELOPING TO OUR WEST AND MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INTO
SATURDAY. OUR CURRENT FORECAST IS CARRYING LIKELY POPS WHICH IS
REASONABLE. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL AS THE MAIN THREAT.

SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...ON SUNDAY CONSENSUS MODELS CREATE
A ZONAL UPPER AIR PATTERN OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST. THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY CROSSES THE AREA ALONG WITH ANY
LINGERING BOUNDARIES FROM THE SATURDAY MCS. BY TUESDAY...THE LONG
RANGE MODELS PROG A SHORT WAVE TROF TO BE OVER THE GREAT LAKES AS
A LONG WAVE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN WILL ADVECT DRIER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST WITH FAIR WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK. ..KUHL..

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

VFR CONDS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THEN SCATTERED SUPERCELLS WILL
DEVELOP NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS GRADUALLY BECOMING WIDESPREAD AND SPREADING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS ALL THE TAF SITES LATER IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. MVFR/OCNL IFR CONDS IN THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WITH VFR CONDS WITH CLEAR SKIES. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...KUHL
SHORT TERM...KUHL
LONG TERM...KUHL
AVIATION...HAASE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1147 AM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-131700-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
1147 AM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING STRONG
TORNADOES AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH FOR PORTIONS
OF EXTREME EASTERN IOWA AND MUCH OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS. A MODERATE
RISK INCLUDES MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

SUPERCELLS WILL RAPIDLY FORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST
IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.
EVENTUALLY THESE STORMS WILL CONGEAL INTO A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WIND EVENT WITH WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MORE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FEW SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN
FRIDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING AND RENEWED RIVER FLOODING. STAY TUNED FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND UPDATES CONCERNING THESE WEEKEND STORM EPISODES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

HAASE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1256 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-121945-
WASHINGTON IA-VAN BUREN IA-SCOTT IA-MUSCATINE IA-LOUISA IA-LINN IA-
LEE IA-KEOKUK IA-JOHNSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-JACKSON IA-IOWA IA-HENRY IA-
DUBUQUE IA-DES MOINES IA-DELAWARE IA-BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-CEDAR IA-
CLINTON IA-JONES IA-JO DAVIESS IL-HENRY IL-MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-
PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-STEPHENSON IL-WARREN IL-WHITESIDE IL-
BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-HENDERSON IL-HANCOCK IL-
1256 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN IOWA AND
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST
ILLINOIS. THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS IS NORTH OF INTERSTATE
80 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 218...WHERE THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS
PLACED A RARE HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.

AT 1250 PM CDT...AREA RADARS INDICATED THERE WERE NO THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING OVER IOWA OR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE BETWEEN 1 AND 3
PM. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES. SEVERE SUPERCELL STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO ONE OR MORE LINES OF STORMS WITH
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

A TORNADO WATCH IS EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
IMMINENT...THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION AND YOU SHOULD
MAKE PLANS FOR WHERE YOU WILL TAKE SHELTER IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLOOKS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 4115 8963 4123 8964 4123 8986 4114 8987
      4115 9043 4035 9045 4102 9219 4116 9219
      4117 9242 4230 9231 4230 9207 4265 9208
      4268 9088 4251 9063 4250 8940 4220 8939
      4219 8968 4159 8962 4158 8916 4111 8915

SHEETS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
452 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 NE WINTHROP           42.53N 91.61W
06/12/2013                   BUCHANAN           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WALL CLOUD WITH SOME ROTATION AND OCCASSIONAL SHORT LIVED
            FUNNELS.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
538 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 E DURANGO             42.56N 90.69W
06/12/2013                   DUBUQUE            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER LOCATED NEAR KIELER WI OBSERVED FUNNEL TO WEST

&&

TERRYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
552 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     KEY WEST                42.45N 90.68W
06/12/2013                   DUBUQUE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            OBSERVED NEAR HWY 151 RYAN

&&

TERRYS