Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 21, NWS Detroit, MI

March 17, 2013

NWS Detroit, MI issued this small craft advisory at Mar 17, 2013, 3:31 AM EDT. It took effect at Mar 17, 2013, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2013, 3:31 AM EDT (07:31 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 17, 2013, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 18, 2013, 10:23 PM EDT
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

115 
WHUS73 KDTX 170731
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
331 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SEVERAL DAYS OF SIGNIFICANT WAVES...

.A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN LAKE HURON THIS 
MORNING...WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 KNOTS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS. 
THE ASSOCIATED WAVE TRAIN WILL SINK SOUTH...GLANCING THE EXPOSED 
NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE THUMB TODAY...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES 
HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE 
HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT SANILAC.  

STRONG LOW PRESSURE LIFTING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TOMORROW 
WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND 
MONDAY...WITH GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE OVER MUCH OF LAKE 
HURON. AS THE LOW LIFTS INTO ONTARIO ON TUESDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME 
STRONG OVER THE ENTIRE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION...WESTERLY 25 TO 
30 KNOTS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS. STILL A BIT TOO FAR 
OUT IN TIME TO ISSUE A GALE WATCH HOWEVER.

LHZ421-441-171945-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.130317T1200Z-130319T1200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
331 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 7 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-171945-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.130317T1200Z-130319T0000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
331 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 6 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-171945-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.130318T0200Z-130319T0000Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
331 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  22 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
884 
WHUS73 KDTX 171951
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...ELEVATED WAVES ON EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH MONDAY...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE LIFTING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL BRING 
AN INCREASE IN EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION INTO MONDAY.  THERE 
IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT A PERIOD OF GALES WILL EMERGE ACROSS 
NORTHERN LAKE HURON.  GIVEN AN EXPECTED LIMITED DURATION AND THE 
RELATIVELY STABLE OVERLAKE CONDITIONS...WILL HOLD OFF ON A GALE 
HEADLINE.  SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKEH 
URON FOR ELEVATED WAVE HEIGHTS GIVEN THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW.  A 
GREATER POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL EXIST ON TUESDAY AS 
COLDER AIR FUNNELS ACROSS THE WATERS ON STRONG POST-FRONTAL WESTERLY 
WINDS.

LHZ442-180815-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0022.130318T0800Z-130318T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
351 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 7 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-180815-
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.130318T0800Z-130318T2000Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
351 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-180815-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.130318T0400Z-130318T2000Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
351 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
4 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 17 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  19 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-180815-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
351 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
565 
WHUS73 KDTX 180803
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...A LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL LIFT INTO 
SOUTHERN MI THIS AFTERNOON. THE SOUTHEASTERLY GRADIENT WILL INCREASE 
DRAMATICALLY AS THIS OCCURS DUE THE PRESENCE OF STRONG ARCTIC HIGH 
PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC. COLD AIR WILL SUSTAIN AN UNSTABLE 
PROFILE OVER THE LAKES TODAY AND WILL RESULT IN STRONG WINDS 
DEVELOPING. THE STRONGEST WILL OCCUR OVER LAKE HURON WHERE GUSTS 
SHOULD REACH GALE FORCE TO THE NORTH OF STURGEON POINT. THE LOW WILL 
LIFT INTO LAKE HURON THIS EVENING...THEN PHASE WITH A SECONDARY LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. THIS WILL WEAKEN THE 
GRADIENT OVER LAKE HURON...LEADING TO A LULL IN THE WINDS DURING THE 
LATE EVENING HOURS. AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH OF LAKE HURON LATE 
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD 
THE REGION AGAIN...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN HALF OF LAKE HURON. THIS WILL WARRANT A GALE WATCH SOUTH OF 
STURGEON POINT FOR TUESDAY.

LHZ361-362-182015-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0012.130318T1500Z-130319T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-182015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 
  KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT TUESDAY.

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-182015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 
  KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT TUESDAY.

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 6 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-182015-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. THE 
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-182015-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 7 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LHZ363-422-462>464-182015-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
403 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WATCH...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
458 
WHUS73 KDTX 182009
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...STRONG WINDS TO IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...

.A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST ADVANCING INTO 
THE GREAT LAKES HAS TIGHTENED THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN 
LAKE HURON AS IT RUNS UP AGAINST A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER 
QUEBEC. COLD AIR ALOFT WITH A FAVORABLE FETCH NORTH OF THE TROUGH 
CONNECTING THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS 
NORTHERN LAKE HURON THROUGH THIS EVENING UNTIL THE TROUGH PASSES AND 
WINDS RELAX TEMPORARILY. THE NORTHERN SFC LOW TRACKING ACROSS LAKE 
SUPERIOR WILL SWEEP A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT 
WHICH WILL VEER THE WINDS TO THE WSW. STRONG CAA AND A TIGHT 
GRADIENT WILL ALLOW GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND 
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH GALES FORCE GUSTS LIKELY FOR THE SOUTH HALF OF 
LAKE HURON...LAKE ST CLAIR...AND LAKE ERIE. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE 
NW TUESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL ALLOWING GUSTS TO DROP BACK BELOW GALES 
BUT WILL STILL BE ELEVATED WITH GUSTS TO 30KTS POSSIBLE.

LHZ421-441-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 
  25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ443-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 
  26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT TUESDAY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 7 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 
  UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT TUESDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LHZ363-422-462>464-190900-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0011.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T1200Z-130320T0200Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-190200-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130319T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
409 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
219 
WHUS73 KDTX 190223
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALES WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH LAKE SUPERIOR WILL SWEEP A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT WHICH WILL VEER THE WINDS TO
THE SOUTHWEST. THIS FRONT WILL BRING COLD AIR BACK INTO THE REGION
AND SUPPORT GALE FORCE GUSTS OVER SOUTH HALF OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
ST CLAIR...AND LAKE ERIE. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL ALLOW GUSTS TO DROP BACK BELOW GALES BUT WILL
STILL BE ELEVATED WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.


LHZ361-362-190330-
/O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130319T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND WILL
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE NIGHT BUT GALE FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TONIGHT.

$$

LEZ444-191500-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T0223Z-130320T0200Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-443-191500-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T0223Z-130320T0200Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-191500-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-130319T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T0223Z-130320T0200Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ363-462>464-191500-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T0223Z-130320T0200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-191500-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T0223Z-130320T0200Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-191500-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0013.130319T0223Z-130320T0200Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
1023 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 
  23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT TUESDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 17, 3:15 AM EDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 3:15 AM EDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
315 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES THIS
MORNING...WITH EXCELLENT NORTHWEST CONFLUENT FLOW IN THE TROUGH'S
WAKE TODAY...ALLOWING STRONG HIGH (1028 MB) TO BUILD OVER THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THE PRONOUNCED ANTI-CYCLONIC FLOW AND LOW
INVERSION HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD BREAKS IN THE STUBBORN LOW
CLOUDS. STILL WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH THE LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW OFF
LAKE HURON...AND THE AIRMASS IS COLD (-11 TO -14 C AT 850 MB) FOR
MID MARCH STANDARDS...AND TOUGH TO NOT FACTOR IN A TOUCH OF CU
DEVELOPMENT IF WE DO IN FACT CLEAR OUT. NO CHANGES TO INHERITED
MAXES WHICH ARE IN LINE WITH A BLEND OF MET/MAV GUIDANCE.

AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING OVERHEAD
TONIGHT...WITH THE SURFACE HIGH RETREATING TO THE EAST AT A GOOD
CLIP. NONE-THE-LESS...WITH THE DRY LOW LEVEL EASTERLY
FLOW...ANTICIPATING JUST AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS LOW
LEVEL CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICIENT REMAIN HIGH...AROUND 300 MB.
ALTHOUGH...THERE WILL BE A REAL IMPRESSIVE SURGE OF MOISTURE AROUND
12Z MONDAY...WITH 290 K ISENTROPIC ASCENT JUST SOUTH OF THE
BORDER...AND WILL CARRY A LOW CHANCE OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION NEAR
THE OHIO BORDER TOWARD 12Z MONDAY.

LOOKING AT A QUICK DIP IN TEMPS THIS EVENING BEFORE RETURN FLOW/LOW
LEVEL WARM ADVECTION KICKS IN...AND MADE NO CHANGES TO INHERITED
MINS WHICH LOOKED REASONABLE (UPPER TEENS THUMB REGION TO MID 20S
SOUTH).

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE MID LEVEL TROUGH NOW ROTATING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST IS
FORECAST TO AMPLIFY AS IT EMERGES IN THE LEE OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY MONDAY. THE WAVE WILL THEN TAKE ON A
NEGATIVE TILT AS IT ROTATES ACROSS MN AND THE NRN GREAT LAKES
MON/MON NIGHT. THE WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE
OVER THE COLORADO ROCKIES. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE
LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
TONIGHT...LIFTING INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY MON MORNING. THE
00Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUE SHOW ENOUGH SEPARATION BETWEEN THIS SHORT
WAVE AND THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH TRAVERSING THE NRN PLAINS TO KEEP
THE BETTER LOW LEVEL FGEN/MOISTURE TRANSPORT SOUTH OF THE STATE
THROUGH MON MORNING.

THE BETTER DYNAMIC FORCING ACROSS SE MI WILL THUS BE TIED TO THE
LARGER SCALE WAVE ADVANCING IN FROM MN. WHILE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT
VIA MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENT FLOW WILL BE
QUITE GOOD...ESPECIALLY MON AFTERNOON... THE DEEPER MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY
BAROCLINIC ZONE. MOISTURE DEPTH MAY ALSO BECOME PROBLEMATIC AS A
SUBSTANTIAL MID LEVEL DRY PUNCH HAS BEEN FORECAST TO OVERTAKE SRN
LOWER MI BY MON EVENING FOR SEVERAL MODEL CYCLES. THUS TOTAL QPF IS
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT /LESS THAN 0.15 INCH/. THE INITIAL DRY AND COLD
AIR OVER SE MI WILL LEAD TO GOOD WET BULB COOLING AND THUS THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE ONSET OF PRECIP TO BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. MODEL
SOUNDINGS DO HOWEVER SHOW THE DEPTH OF WARM AIR GROWING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER DURING THE AFTERNOON /ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA/ TO SUPPORT A CHANGE OVER TO RAIN. THE
LACK OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE MAY ALSO BE SUPPORTIVE OF SOME DRIZZLE AT
TIMES.

THE MID LEVEL WAVE IS FORECAST TO EVOLVE INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW BY
TUESDAY. THE OCCLUDED FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
MON EVENING WITH A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SE MI EARLY TUES
MORNING. 850MB TEMPS WILL DROP TO -12 TO -14C TUES MORNING.
STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITHIN A STRENGTHENING W-SW
GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO SOME GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY TUES /LIKELY
TOPPING 30 MPH AT TIMES/. WHILE DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD REBOUND INTO
THE 30S...THE WIND CHILL READINGS WILL LIKELY REMAIN STUCK IN THE
TEENS AND 20S.

THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MEANDER TOWARD NEW ENGLAND BY
THE END OF THE WEEK AS A STRONG BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPS OVER NORTH
AMERICA WITH HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGING BUILDING INTO HUDSON BAY. THE
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL SUITE HAVE SHOWN SOME CONTINUITY IN DEPICTING THE
CIRCULATION AROUND THE UPPER LOW ADVECTING SOME OF THE POLAR AIR
OVER CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON WEDNESDAY...
LEADING TO THE COLDEST DAY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS 850MB TEMPS ARE
FORECAST TO DROP TO -16 TO -18C. EVEN UNDER THE MARCH SUN
ANGLE...THIS DEGREE OF COLD AIR IS LIKELY TO CAUSE DAYTIME HIGHS TO
STRUGGLE TO REACH FREEZING. A GRADUAL MODERATION OF THE AIRMASS IS
THEN EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ACTUALLY
AIDED BY SOME SLIGHT WARM AIR ADVECTION FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS
WILL SUPPORT FORECAST HIGHS GETTING INTO THE 40S BY FRIDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND...WHICH IS AT LEAST CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS.

&&

.MARINE...

A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN LAKE HURON THIS
MORNING...WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 KNOTS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS.
THE ASSOCIATED WAVE TRAIN WILL SINK SOUTH...GLANCING THE EXPOSED
NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE THUMB TODAY...AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT SANILAC.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE LIFTING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TOMORROW
WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...WITH GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE OVER MUCH OF LAKE
HURON. AS THE LOW LIFTS INTO ONTARIO ON TUESDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME
STRONG OVER THE ENTIRE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION...WESTERLY 25 TO
30 KNOTS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS. STILL A BIT TOO FAR
OUT IN TIME TO ISSUE A GALE WATCH HOWEVER.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 1246 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

//DISCUSSION...

CEILING WILL LINGER OVER SE MICHIGAN DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
BUT IT WILL BE LOW END VFR. THE LATEST OBSERVATIONAL DATA SUPPORTS
NO MORE THAN A PATCH OF MVFR CEILING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT/TROUGH
SETTLES THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE SUNRISE. THIS BOUNDARY WILL
PASS THROUGH PERHAPS WITH A SNOW FLURRY AND THEN SHIFT THE WIND
TOWARD THE NORTH AT ALL LOCATIONS FOR THE MORNING AFTER SUNRISE.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE REGION DURING THE REST
OF THE DAY AND SLIDE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS
FEATURE WILL SCOUR OUT ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR NO MORE THAN
SCATTERED STRATOCU UNDER JUST SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDS. INCREASING
EASTERLY FLOW DURING SUNDAY NIGHT WILL MARK THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT AVIATION
CONDITIONS UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE MONDAY.

//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CEILING BELOW 5000 FEET THROUGH THE MORNING.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LAKE HURON...NONE.
LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...SF
LONG TERM....SC
MARINE.......SF
AVIATION.....BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 3:25 AM EDT, 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
325 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-180730-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
325 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-180730-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
325 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT TODAY AND TONIGHT. REFER
TO THE LATEST NEARSHORE MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...ASSOCIATED
WITH COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST OF LAKE HURON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SC

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 3:51 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX31 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.