Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Detroit, MI

July 19, 2013Huron County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2013, 6:55 PM EDT for Huron County, Michigan. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2013, 6:55 PM EDT (22:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2013, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Huron County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 19, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1047 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 190 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1047 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1062 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 3:30 PM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 3:30 PM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 3:47 AM EDT, 15 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-200800-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER TO OCCUR IS BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM.
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH AND ONE INCH HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AT 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF M-59 ON SATURDAY.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DISPATCHERS PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-200800-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH...INCLUDING SAGINAW BAY
THROUGH THE EVENING.  REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST PRODUCTS
FOR DETAILS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER TO OCCUR IS BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM.
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH AND ONE INCH HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AT 25 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LAKE ST CLAIR AND THE
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE ON SATURDAY.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL MARINE WATERS
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DISPATCHERS PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MR

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 19, 5:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:04 PM EDT, 51 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:07 PM EDT, 48 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:10 PM EDT, 45 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 19, 6:23 PM EDT, 32 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:38 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 4:35 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX17 hr
Jul 19, 2:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay, Midland, Saginaw57 min
Jul 19, 2:33 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX42 min
Jul 19, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXTuscola66 min
Jul 19, 2:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXHuron67 min
Jul 19, 2:59 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX91 min
Jul 19, 3:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSanilac66 min
Jul 19, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw46 min
Jul 19, 4:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX64 min
Jul 19, 5:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston58 min
Jul 19, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland61 min
Jul 19, 5:49 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX86 min
Jul 19, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb66 min
Jul 19, 5:55 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX2 hr
Jul 19, 6:14 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX2 hr
Jul 19, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaint Clair61 min
Jul 19, 7:15 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX90 min
Jul 19, 7:21 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX84 min
Jul 19, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston, Oakland53 min
Jul 19, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe, Washtenaw, Wayne67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.