Flash Flood Warning 38, NWS Des Moines, IA

315 
WGUS73 KDMX 150314
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1014 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

IAC027-073-077-150830-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130615T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUTHRIE IA-GREENE IA-CARROLL IA-
1014 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...
SOUTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 1004 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.  
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT AS MUCH AS FIVE TO SIX INCHES 
OF RAIN HAS FALLEN JUST NORTH OF COON RAPIDS.  AN AUTOMATED RAIN 
GAUGE IN THE TOWN OF COON RAPIDS HAS REPORTED 4.60 INCHES.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING 
INCLUDE...COON RAPIDS.  TORRENTIAL RAINS ARE AGAIN HEADING TOWARD 
COON RAPIDS.  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING NOT SEEN FOR MANY YEARS MAY OCCUR 
IN AND NEAR TOWN.

CARROLL COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT WATER WAS OVER SEVERAL ROADS 
IN THE COON RAPIDS AREA INCLUDING TIMBER AVE AND A AVENUE ALONG THE 
CARROLL GUTHRIE COUNTY LINE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
HARDIN CREEK...WILLOW CREEK...GREENBRIER CREEK...DEAD BRIER 
CREEK...BEAVER CREEK...MOSQUITO CREEK...SOUTH RACCOON RIVER...DAVIDS 
CREEK...BRUSHY CREEK...FROST CREEK...CALAMUS CREEK...BAY BRANCH AND 
BATTLE RUN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR AND THE
WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4195 9480 4203 9438 4168 9438 4174 9474
      4186 9474 4187 9480

$$

SMALL

114 
WGUS73 KDMX 150429
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1129 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

IAC027-073-077-150830-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130615T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUTHRIE IA-GREENE IA-CARROLL IA-
1129 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...
SOUTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 1128 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA 
WITH RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.  THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS 
SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH HOWEVER.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH  FLOODING INCLUDE...
COON RAPIDS.

CARROLL COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT WATER WAS OVER SEVERAL ROADS 
IN THE COON RAPIDS AREA INCLUDING TIMBER AVE AND A AVENUE ALONG THE 
CARROLL GUTHRIE COUNTY LINE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
HARDIN CREEK...NORTH RACCOON RIVER...WILLOW CREEK...MIDDLE RACCOON
RIVER...GREENBRIER CREEK...DEAD BRIER CREEK...BEAVER CREEK...MOSQUITO
CREEK...SOUTH RACCOON RIVER...DAVIDS CREEK...BRUSHY CREEK...FROST
CREEK...CALAMUS CREEK...BAY BRANCH AND BATTLE RUN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR AND THE
WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4195 9480 4203 9438 4168 9438 4174 9474
      4186 9474 4187 9480

$$

050 
WGUS73 KDMX 150551
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1251 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

IAC027-073-077-150830-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130615T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUTHRIE IA-GREENE IA-CARROLL IA-
1251 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...
SOUTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 1249 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS CAUSED FLASH FLOODING.  THE HEAVY 
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...HOWEVER RAIN 
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH  FLOODING INCLUDE...COON
RAPIDS.

CARROLL COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT WATER WAS OVER SEVERAL ROADS 
IN THE COON RAPIDS AREA INCLUDING TIMBER AVE AND A AVENUE ALONG THE 
CARROLL GUTHRIE COUNTY LINE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
HARDIN CREEK...NORTH RACCOON RIVER...WILLOW CREEK...MIDDLE RACCOON
RIVER...GREENBRIER CREEK...DEAD BRIER CREEK...BEAVER CREEK...MOSQUITO
CREEK...SOUTH RACCOON RIVER...DAVIDS CREEK...BRUSHY CREEK...FROST
CREEK...CALAMUS CREEK...BAY BRANCH AND BATTLE RUN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR AND THE
WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4195 9480 4203 9438 4168 9438 4174 9474
      4186 9474 4187 9480

$$

727 
WGUS73 KDMX 150658
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
158 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

IAC027-073-077-150830-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130615T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUTHRIE IA-GREENE IA-CARROLL IA-
158 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...
SOUTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 158 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SIGNIFICANT 
FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAIN.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH  FLOODING INCLUDE...
COON RAPIDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4195 9480 4203 9438 4168 9438 4174 9474
      4186 9474 4187 9480

$$

LEE

323 
WGUS73 KDMX 150834
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
334 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

IAC027-073-077-150849-
/O.EXP.KDMX.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130615T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUTHRIE IA-GREENE IA-CARROLL IA-
334 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
CARROLL...SOUTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTIES HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED WERE BEGINNING TO RECEDE...ENDING THE FLASH 
FLOOD THREAT. HOWEVER...WATER IS STILL AFFECTING SOME ROADS AND LOW 
LYING AREAS AND AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA. 
IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 4195 9480 4203 9438 4168 9438 4174 9474
      4186 9474 4187 9480

$$

LEE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
825 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 811 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

HAVE EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE CWA.
WITH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING RAINFALLS PRODUCING NEW RAINFALL
TOTALS OF AROUND ONE INCH ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
CWA...LEADING TO AN INCREASED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WITH ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. IN ADDITION...CURRENT COMPLEX OF STORMS ACROSS
EASTERN NEBRASKA IS SET TO TRACK INTO CENTRAL IOWA THROUGHOUT THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND FORCING INCREASES ACROSS
SOUTHERN IOWA...AND HIGH RES MODELS INCLUDING THE HRRR...INDICATE
THAT SOME STORMS MAY TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA. SPC MESO ANALYSIS
INDICATES PWAT VALUES ACROSS THE CWA OF 1.5 INCHES OR
GREATER. STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. HAVE ONLY EXTENDED
THE WATCH IN AREA...AND ANTICIPATE ALLOWING PORTIONS TO BE EXPIRED
AFTER THREAT HAS PASSED.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT /...
ISSUED AT 346 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013 PRIMARY CONCERNS WILL OF
COURSE BE CONVECTIVE TRENDS OVERNIGHT. CURRENT SCENARIO HAS
TYPICAL MID JUNE RING OF FIRE IN PLACE OVER SRN CONUS RIDGE WITH
RING DELINEATED FAIRLY NICELY BY NARROW RIBBON OF HIGH K INDICES
FROM NE ACROSS NE INTO IA. MCV FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION IS
CURRENTLY MOVING INTO SERN IA WITH DEPARTING MCS...WHILE ANOTHER
CLUSTER HAS DEVELOPED ON TRAILING SPIRAL WITHIN WEAK BROAD QG
FORCING. PRIMARY ATTENTION WILL BE UPSTREAM HOWEVER LOOKING AT
GENESIS REGION OVER NE. K INDEX RIBBON IS CURRENT COINCIDENT WITH
SURFACE BOUNDARY JUST WEST OF O NEILL AND BROKEN BOW...WHICH IS
ALSO AN AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. NOSE OF 3000 PLUS
MLCAPES REACHES INTO THIS AREA WITH MLCINH CONTINUING TO ERODE.
THIS COULD CERTAINLY BE AN AREA WHERE SURFACE BASED CONVECTION
DEVELOPS AND EVENTUALLY REACHES IA LATER THIS EVENING.

IF STORMS FROM THIS AREA DO NOT MAKE IT INTO IA...ADDITIONAL
ELEVATED DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR WITH STRONG ISENT LIFT NOTED ALONG
310K ISENT SURFACE AT BASE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND SHOULD
TRIGGER MCS ANYWAY. ELEVATED CINH APPEARS DECENT BUT LIKELY NOT
GREAT ENOUGH TO OVERCOME ISENT LIFT. SOUNDINGS ARE SOMEWHAT DRY
1-3KM SO WITH ELEVATED CAPES OVER 2000 J/KG AT TIMES LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BOTH BE A THREAT.

.LONG TERM.../SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ISSUED AT 346 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS WITH TIMING OF CONVECTION AND HEAVY
RAIN/SEVERE POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS IN GOOD OVERALL SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT
THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT HAVE DIFFERENCES WRT TO PRECIP
TOTALS...LOCATION AND TIMING. LEANED TOWARD A BLEND THROUGH
SUNDAY...THEN THE ECMWF MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SURFACE BOUNDARY LAYS UP ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA
SATURDAY MORNING AND SHOULD ALLOW FOR OVERNIGHT CONVECTION TO BE
CONFINED TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 12 AND
18Z SATURDAY. ONCE THE NEXT 500MB VORT MAX AND SHORTWAVE MOVE
ACROSS THE STATE BY THE AFTERNOON SATURDAY...CONVECTION LOOKS TO
REDEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
PAST 20Z SATURDAY AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WARM LAYER
CLOUD DEPTH RANGES FROM 12000 TO 13000 FEET WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES NEARING 2 INCHES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...SO EFFICIENT
RAIN PRODUCERS ARE LIKELY. AS FAR AS THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...BEST
INSTABILITY WILL BE CONFINED GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35 SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE RANGING FROM 2000
J/KG TO NEAR 4000 J/KG. NOT ANTICIPATING MUCH CLEARING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY TO ALLOW FOR SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY TO
INCREASE. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN THE 25 TO 40 KNOT RANGE AND SO NOT
THE BEST ENVIRONMENT OF ORGANIZED LONG UPDRAFTS...BUT LOW LEVEL
SHEAR SOME WHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC POTENTIAL. HAVE BEST POPS
ACROSS CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FRONT LOOKS TO SAG FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO
CONFINE POPS ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA BY SUNDAY MORNING. WENT A LITTLE
ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR MAX TEMPS ON SUNDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
ANTICIPATED MUCH OF THE DAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH DURING THE
DAY MONDAY WITH CONVECTION POTENTIAL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. GFS HAS MUCH MORE PRECIP THAN THE ECMWF AND LEANED
TOWARD THE ECMWF AS SOUNDINGS NOT REALLY SUPPORTIVE OF THE AMOUNT
PRECIP GFS HAS GOING ON MONDAY. REGARDLESS...KEPT POPS ACROSS THE
EAST MONDAY MORNING AND INCREASED POPS OVER THE SOUTH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEK AND ALLOW FOR SOME MUCH NEEDED DRY WEATHER. NEXT POTENTIAL FOR
RAIN LOOKS TO BE BY THURSDAY WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE CUTTING ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...15/00Z
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

AREA OF SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD AFFECTING
KDSM/KOTM/KALO THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. ANTICIPATE
ANOTHER AREA OF SHRA/TSRA TO DEVELOP ACROSS NE AND PUSH INTO
IOWA...AFFECTING SITES TOWARDS 06Z-12Z. HAVE LIMITED TSRA MENTION
ATTM PAST 06Z WITH UNCERTAINTY AT SITES. WILL ALSO LIKELY SEE SHRA
LINGERING THROUGH THE DAY AT NORTHERN SITES..KMCW/KALO BEFORE
PUSHING SOUTH LATE IN THE PERIOD. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL
REMAIN PRIMARILY VFR...THOUGH MAY BE REDUCED TO MVFR OR LOWER FROM
TIME TO TIME WITH SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 346 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013 ALTHOUGH THE ENVIRONMENT IS
NOT IDEAL WITH SOUNDINGS STILL SHOWING SOME 1-3KM DRY
AIR...SOUNDINGS DO SHOW SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AND
DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS NERN SECTIONS OVERNIGHT. CURRENT 1.7 INCH
PLUS PWATS REMAIN IN PLACE AND EVEN PUSH 2 INCHES AT TIMES WITH
WARM CLOUD DEPTHS INCREASING. MEAN WINDS ARE A LITTLE STRONG...UP
TO 35 KTS AT TIMES...HOWEVER STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL HELP
FEED MCS AND ALSO CAUSE CORFIDI VECTORS TO REGENERATE SRN PORTIONS
OF COMPLEX. THUS SEE NO REASON TO ALTER GOING FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT
THIS POINT. FURTHER EXPANSION MAY BE NEEDED SOUTHWARD AS WELL
DEPENDING ON HOW CONVECTIVE TRENDS PLAY OUT. WILL CONTINUE HEAVY
RAIN WORDING IN FORECAST AS WELL.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ADAIR-ADAMS-
APPANOOSE-AUDUBON-BLACK HAWK-BOONE-BREMER-BUTLER-CALHOUN-CARROLL-
CASS-CERRO GORDO-CLARKE-CRAWFORD-DALLAS-DAVIS-DECATUR-EMMET-
FRANKLIN-GREENE-GRUNDY-GUTHRIE-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HARDIN-HUMBOLDT-
JASPER-KOSSUTH-LUCAS-MADISON-MAHASKA-MARION-MARSHALL-MONROE-PALO
ALTO-POCAHONTAS-POLK-POWESHIEK-RINGGOLD-SAC-STORY-TAMA-TAYLOR-
UNION-WAPELLO-WARREN-WAYNE-WEBSTER-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-WRIGHT.

&&

UPDATE...AWB
SHORT TERM...SMALL
LONG TERM...PODRAZIK
AVIATION...AWB
HYDROLOGY...SMALL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
533 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-151100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-
533 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. SOME SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE WITH MAIN THREAT FROM
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
AREA. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH HEAVY RAIN
REMAINING POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

THERE WILL BE ADDITIONAL THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THOSE TIMES.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EMERGE ONCE AGAIN BY NEXT THURSDAY BUT THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CANNOT BE DETERMINED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

IAZ044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-151100-
CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-
DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-
MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-
DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
533 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL REMAIN INTO SATURDAY WITH SEVERE
WEATHER ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE BY AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES REMAIN FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS MINIMAL.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EMERGE ONCE AGAIN BY NEXT THURSDAY BUT THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CANNOT BE DETERMINED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS WELL
AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

CC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
836 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0833 PM     HAIL             4 W BAYARD              41.85N 94.64W
06/14/2013  M1.00 INCH       GUTHRIE            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FROM SPOTTER VIA GUTHRIE CO EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

&&

SMALL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
902 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     HAIL             SCRANTON                42.02N 94.55W
06/14/2013  M1.00 INCH       GREENE             IA   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SMALL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
903 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     HAIL             RALSTON                 42.04N 94.64W
06/14/2013  E0.88 INCH       CARROLL            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

PODRAZIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
911 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0854 PM     HAIL             2 WNW JEFFERSON         42.03N 94.41W
06/14/2013  M1.00 INCH       GREENE             IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WHITE CORE WITH CLEAR ICE AROUND THE EDGE

&&

PODRAZIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
912 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             NNW STUART              41.51N 94.32W
06/14/2013  E1.00 INCH       GUTHRIE            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
916 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0914 PM     HAIL             5 WNW STUART            41.52N 94.40W
06/14/2013  E1.00 INCH       GUTHRIE            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BF