Severe Thunderstorm Warning 158, NWS Dodge City, KS

466 
WWUS53 KDDC 160710
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
210 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

KSC047-097-151-185-160719-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0158.000000T0000Z-130616T0745Z/
STAFFORD KS-PRATT KS-KIOWA KS-EDWARDS KS-
210 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDWARDS...EASTERN
KIOWA...PRATT AND SOUTHERN STAFFORD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKKENED AND MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3702 9837 3703 9910 3737 9906 3742 9889
      3739 9846 3739 9836
TIME...MOT...LOC 0709Z 285DEG 15KT 3738 9904

$$

KSC007-033-160745-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0158.000000T0000Z-130616T0745Z/
BARBER KS-COMANCHE KS-
210 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN
COMANCHE AND BARBER COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 207 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BELVIDERE...
AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SUN CITY...AETNA...LAKE CITY...MEDICINE LODGE...SHARON AND HAZELTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE
CITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 9837 3703 9910 3737 9906 3742 9889
      3739 9846 3739 9836
TIME...MOT...LOC 0709Z 285DEG 15KT 3738 9904

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

12

583 
WWUS53 KDDC 160752
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
252 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

KSC007-033-160803-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0158.000000T0000Z-130616T0745Z/
BARBER KS-COMANCHE KS-
252 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN COMANCHE AND BARBER
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN DODGE CITY.

LAT...LON 3702 9837 3703 9910 3737 9906 3742 9889
      3739 9846 3739 9836
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 285DEG 15KT 3737 9904

$$

12

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1251 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

IT APPEARS THAT PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS COULD HAVE
A DECENT SHOT AT RECEIVING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE NAM AND GFS MODELS SHOW A TREND OF THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND MOVING INTO WESTERN KANSAS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE HRRR HAS BEEN SHOWING THIS TREND AS
WELL. THE LATEST RUNS OF THAT MODEL ARE SHOWING WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER WEST CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVING INTO CENTRAL KANSAS WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER EASTERN COLORADO THEN MOVING
ACROSS NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS LATER THIS EVENING. THINK
THAT THE TWO AREAS OF STORMS DEPICTED BY THE HRRR MAY BE CORRECT
GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND INCREASING
INSTABILITY. THE SUBSIDENCE CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION MAY QUASH
ANY LATE AFTERNOON CONVECTION BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THE AREA
BECOMING UNCAPPED BY 00Z SO CAN'T TOTALLY RULE OUT A STORM OR TWO.
LATER TONIGHT AM EXPECTING THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE OUT INTO WEST
CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS. HAVE INCREASED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO 50-55 PERCENT ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA
NORTH OF A LINE FROM SYRACUSE THROUGH MONTEZUMA, DODGE CITY AND
LARNED BASED OFF OF TRENDS IN THE HRRR. THE MODELS HINT AT A LOW
LEVEL JET DEVELOPING TONIGHT WHICH COULD HELP SUSTAIN THINGS INTO
THE LATE NIGHT HOURS BUT THINK WE WILL SEE A DECREASING TREND
AFTER 06Z.

SUNDAY SHOULD STAR OUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. ANOTHER WEAK
SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS. HARD TO TELL WHERE EXACTLY THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INITIATE GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE FRONTAL POSITION AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANY LEFTOVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. WILL CONTINUE THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST TREND OF INCREASING POPS INTO THE CHANCE
CATEGORY BY LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY MAY ALSO
BE A LITTLE PROBLEMATIC DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH AND WHERE RAINFALL
OCCURS TONIGHT. WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 IN
MOST AREAS WITH SOME LOW 90S OUT ALONG THE COLORADO BORDER.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

FOR THE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY PERIOD, A FLAT UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES, WITH
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY CROSS-MOUNTAIN, MID LEVEL, FLOW ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS. THIS PATTERN WILL LEAD TO WEAK MID LEVEL CAPPING AND SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING, ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN ON THE HIGH
PLAINS. IN ADDITION, THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE WESTERLIES AT MID
AND HIGH LEVELS WILL BE SITUATED FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ALL THESE FACTORS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR NOCTURNAL STORM CLUSTERS TO DEVELOP THIS TIME OF YEAR ON THE FRONT
RANGE AND HIGH PLAINS EVERY EVENING AND NIGHTTIME. THEREFORE,
CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH BENEFICIAL RAINS LOOK HIGH. BUT THE
EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE RAIN AREAS IS NOT KNOWN WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. LOTS OF COOL OUTFLOW FROM THE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS
WILL LEAD TO COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN APPEAR TO BE SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS AS
MUCH MORE STABLE AIR COULD BE IN PLACE BY TUESDAY.

FOR THE WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY PERIOD, UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS, MISSOURI AND OKLAHOMA, WITH
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO
MUCH DRIER WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS APPROACHING
100F BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES
NEAR THE LEE TROUGH IN WESTERN KANSAS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS DDC AND HYS TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
THEREAFTER, VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS INTO THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
STORMS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
WINDS THEN INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE LATE
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  86  62  82 /  60  30  30  30
GCK  64  86  62  81 /  50  20  40  30
EHA  64  87  62  81 /  40  20  40  40
LBL  64  86  63  81 /  50  30  40  30
HYS  64  85  62  81 /  60  20  30  20
P28  68  88  64  83 /  80  60  30  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...GERARD
LONG TERM...FINCH
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
701 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170015-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
701 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013 /601 PM MDT SAT JUN 15 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LARGE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE FROM EASTERN
COLORADO AND INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATER TONIGHT.
SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE,
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH, BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS, AND LIGHTNING. THE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE FROM LIBERAL TO GARDEN CITY
AND DIGHTON BY AROUND 10 PM TO MIDNIGHT, THEN SPREAD EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY EAST OF
HIGHWAY 183. WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLFBALLS WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER HAZARDS.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL EXIST FROM MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME, IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ANY
OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1019 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N SYRACUSE            37.99N 101.75W
06/15/2013  M62 MPH          HAMILTON           KS   AWOS

&&

JFINCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1023 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1021 PM     HAIL             8 N JETMORE             38.20N 99.92W
06/15/2013  M1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1117 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1109 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.93N 100.72W
06/15/2013  M62.00 MPH       FINNEY             KS   ASOS

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1129 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1117 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.93N 100.72W
06/15/2013  M63 MPH          FINNEY             KS   ASOS

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1227 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1221 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE DODGE CITY         37.79N 99.97W
06/16/2013  M60 MPH          FORD               KS   ASOS

            MEASURED FROM DDC ASOS.

&&

BURKE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
119 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 AM     TSTM WND GST     GREENSBURG              37.61N 99.29W
06/16/2013  E65 MPH          KIOWA              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE OFFICER ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH.

&&

BURKE