Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS Dodge City, KS

386 
WWUS53 KDDC 292018
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
318 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSC097-292027-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0103.000000T0000Z-130529T2045Z/
KIOWA KS-
318 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3783 9848 3767 9897 3826 9925 3826 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 219DEG 43KT 3794 9879

$$

KSC047-145-151-185-292045-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0103.000000T0000Z-130529T2045Z/
STAFFORD KS-PRATT KS-PAWNEE KS-EDWARDS KS-
318 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL
EDWARDS...EASTERN PAWNEE...NORTHWESTERN PRATT AND STAFFORD COUNTIES
UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 313 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF DILLWYN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM.

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...PUBLIC. 80 MPH WINDS WERE REPORTED IN MACKSVILLE AT 300 PM.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE
         DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND
         POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LARNED...ST. JOHN...NEOLA...STAFFORD...RADIUM...ZENITH...SEWARD AND
HUDSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3783 9848 3767 9897 3826 9925 3826 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 219DEG 43KT 3794 9879

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

JJOHNSON

531 
WWUS53 KDDC 292044
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
344 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSC047-145-151-185-292053-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0103.000000T0000Z-130529T2045Z/
STAFFORD KS-PRATT KS-PAWNEE KS-EDWARDS KS-
344 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL EDWARDS...EASTERN
PAWNEE...NORTHWESTERN PRATT AND STAFFORD COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 345
PM CDT/245 PM MDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3783 9848 3767 9897 3826 9925 3826 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 219DEG 43KT 3818 9854

$$

JJOHNSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
226 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...UPDATED FOR THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT WED
MAY 29 2013

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS
TROUGH APPROACHES, A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET WILL NOSE INTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS PLACING SOUTHWEST KANSAS IN THE LEFT EXIT
REGION AND IN TURN HELP SUSTAIN ANY STORMS THAT FORM. AS YOU HEAD
TO THE SURFACE, LEE TROUGHING BECOMES APPARENT ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO WITH A DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS
INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. VERY MOIST
CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY AND IS WHERE STORMS
WILL FORM IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO TENNIS BALLS AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 70 MPH POSSIBLE. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGEST SUPERCELLS, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DODGE
TO LARNED LATER THIS EVENING. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BE
FELT THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE AND A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR AREAS EAST OF A LINE
FROM HILL CITY TO GARDEN CITY TO HUGOTON. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON WILL INITIALLY START OUT AS DISCRETE CELLS THEN
CONGEAL INTO A LINE AS THEY TREK TO THE EAST. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THIS LINE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. THE INITIAL LINE IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INTO WICHITA'S AREA
THIS EVENING. HOWEVER, A FEW ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KANSAS AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS TONIGHT ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 50S
ACROSS THE KS/CO BORDER TO MID 60S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS TOMORROW AND
STRENGTHENS INTO A LOW. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET WILL THEN BE PLACED
ABOVE THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, A WEAK COLD
FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS IN THE MORNING.
HOWEVER, THIS WILL ONLY SHIFT WINDS TO MORE OF A WESTERLY DIRECTION.
THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS WHERE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE. A FEW STORMS MAY
DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS IN THE AFTERNOON AS
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT STALLS OUT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE, BUT QUICKLY MOVE INTO WICHITA'S FORECAST
RESPONSIBILITY. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE
FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS TO AROUND 90 DEGREES
ACROSS THE KS/OK BORDER.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE LATEST EXTENDED MODELS SEEM TO DEPICT A VERY SIMILAR TREND TO
THE PREVIOUS EXTENDED FORECAST.  THERE WILL BE A NEAR ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT TO START FRIDAY OFF, WITH A SHORT WAVE COMING THROUGH THE
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT LATE FRIDAY AND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.  A COLD FRONT
WILL COME SOUTHWARD WITH THE UPPER WAVE, AND BRING A LITTLE COOLER
AIR IN FOR THE WEEKEND.  FRIDAY'S HIGHS WILL AVERAGE IN THE MID 80S
TO NEAR 90F DEGREES, BUT THEN THE WEEKEND WILL COOL DOWNWARD AND
HAVE HIGHS IN THE MID 70S NORTH OF I-70 AND IN THE LOWER 80S DOWN
ALONG THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.  FOR NOW, THERE WILL BE STRONG WARM UP
MONDAY AND TUESDAY, WITH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 90S
FOR MOST LOCATIONS.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS POISED TO SLIP SOUTHWARD
THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY, AND RESULTANT HIGH TEMPS WILL
BE LOWER, NEAR 80F DEGREES IN HAYS AND PERHAPS THE MIDDLE 80S IN THE
LIBERAL AND MEDICINE LODGE AREAS.

THE SHORT WAVE CROSSING FRIDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN PRECIPITATION
CHANCES EAST OF A HAYS TO DODGE CITY TO ASHLAND LINE.  AFTER FRIDAY
NIGHT, SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS SHOULD BE PRECIP-FREE WITH HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT TAKING OVER.  THEN THE UPPER FLOW WILL TURN NORTHWESTERLY AND
A SHORT WAVE WILL SLIP SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH KANSAS MONDAY. WITH THE
SURFACE WARM UP AND COOL UPPER WAVE PASSING OVERHEAD, SMALL SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCES FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION WILL BE INTRODUCED
MONDAY.  THE COLD FRONT ENTERING THE PICTURE AT THE SURFACE LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCES TO CHANCES GOING FOR
THUNDERSTORMS INTO WEDNESDAY.  AS EACH PRECIPITATION EVENT COMES
INTO THE NEAR TERM, SEVERE CHANCES WILL NEED TO BE EVALUATED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY ACROSS THE TAF SITES. HOWEVER,
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THIS WILL ALLOW VISIBILITIES AND
CEILINGS TO DROP TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS. I HAVE PLACED A TEMPO
GROUP TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH
AROUND 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON GUSTING TO AROUND 35 KNOTS AT
TIMES. WINDS THEN DECREASE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS THIS EVENING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  61  87  60  87 /  40  10  10  20
GCK  58  86  57  86 /  30  10  10  20
EHA  57  89  58  89 /  10  10  10  10
LBL  59  90  60  90 /  20  10  10  20
HYS  61  82  59  84 /  60  20  20  20
P28  65  86  67  88 /  60  20  20  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ030-031-045-046-
063>066-075>081-085>090.

&&

SHORT TERM...HOVORKA_42
LONG TERM...BURKE
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...AMENDED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
515 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-301015-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
515 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013 /415 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY TONIGHT ALONG AND EAST OF A DRYLINE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
EXTEND FROM LAKIN TO ULYSSES TO NEAR HUGOTON EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL, AND WIND GUSTS
UP TO 75 MPH. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM TODAY. PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST WEATHER MESSAGE FOR MORE DETAILS.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY
AND THEN AGAIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING. A FEW OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY MAY BE SEVERE WITH HAIL AND STRONG
WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

IN ADDITION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS THURSDAY. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER LEVELS...MAINLY
WEST OF HIGHWAY 83.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED EAST OF A LAKIN TO HUGOTON LINE
AFTER 2 PM CDT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
215 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     HAIL             2 W GREENSBURG          37.61N 99.33W
05/29/2013  E0.75 INCH       KIOWA              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
227 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 N PROTECTION          37.30N 99.48W
05/29/2013  E60.00 MPH       COMANCHE           KS   PUBLIC

&&

MSCOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
242 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 SSW GREENSBURG        37.51N 99.32W
05/29/2013  E65 MPH          KIOWA              KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 TO 70 MPH.

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
243 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             7 SSW GREENSBURG        37.51N 99.32W
05/29/2013  E0.75 INCH       KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
246 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 SSW GREENSBURG        37.51N 99.32W
05/29/2013  E65.00 MPH       KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

            WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 TO 70 MPH. REPORT CORRECTED
            FOR SOURCE.

&&

LEE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
248 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

KSZ043-044-292030-
LANE-SCOTT-
248 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SCOTT AND NORTHWESTERN
LANE COUNTIES...

AT 245 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SHALLOW WATER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3869 10060 3832 10087 3834 10100 3870 10098
      3871 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 199DEG 30KT 3838 10092

FINCH