Alert archive / Kansas / Freeze Warnings in 2013

Freeze Warning 2, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 1, 201323 counties in Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this freeze warning at May 1, 2013, 12:35 PM CDT for 23 counties in Kansas. It took effect at May 1, 2013, 10:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 12 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2013, 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC)
In effect from
May 1, 2013, 10:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 2, 2013, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Dodge City, KS
All 23 counties

Clark County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Trego County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 2, 5:31 AM CDTSNOW 3Garden City, KSAMOUNTS RANGED FROM AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES.
May 2, 5:33 AM CDTSNOW 2Lakin, KS
May 2, 5:34 AM CDTSNOW 1Johnson City, KS
May 2, 5:38 AM CDTSNOW 1Dighton, KS
May 2, 5:43 AM CDTSNOW 2Ulysses, KSSNOW AMOUNTS RANGED FROM AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES.
May 2, 8:00 AM CDTSNOW 54 Nw Manning, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2013-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2013-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 366 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
748 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
366 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
422 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

511 
WWUS73 KDDC 011735
NPWDDC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1235 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...STRONG NORTH WINDS TODAY AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED...

.STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE BEHIND A COLD FRONT THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
AGAIN ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>078-084>087-021015-
/O.UPG.KDDC.FZ.A.0001.130502T0300Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.130502T0300Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130502T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.HZ.A.0001.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-
MEADE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR...
HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...
RUSH CENTER...SYRACUSE...LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...
KALVESTA...JETMORE...HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...JOHNSON CITY...
ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...
DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...ELKHART...RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...
LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER
1235 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013 /1135 AM MDT WED MAY 1 2013/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THURSDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...STRONG NORTH WINDS THROUGH 9 PM TONIGHT. FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* WINDS...30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 31 DEGREES TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25
  TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS CAN MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. YET ANOTHER 
  SETBACK TO THE START OF THE GROWING SEASON IS EXPECTED. 
  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IF TEMPERATURES GET 
  DOWN INTO THE MID 20S. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A HARD FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ079-080-088-021015-
/O.UPG.KDDC.FZ.A.0001.130502T0300Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.130502T0300Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130502T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
EDWARDS-KIOWA-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINSLEY...LEWIS...GREENSBURG...
HAVILAND...ASHLAND...MINNEOLA
1235 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT
THURSDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT
THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...STRONG NORTH WINDS THROUGH 9 PM TONIGHT. FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* WINDS...30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 32 DEGREES TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 
  TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS CAN MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. YET ANOTHER 
  SETBACK TO THE START OF THE GROWING SEASON IS EXPECTED. 
  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IF TEMPERATURES GET 
  DOWN INTO THE MID 20S. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ066-081-089-090-021015-
/O.CON.KDDC.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130502T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
STAFFORD-PRATT-COMANCHE-BARBER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON...PRATT...
COLDWATER...PROTECTION...MEDICINE LODGE...KIOWA...SUN CITY
1235 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...STRONG NORTH WINDS THROUGH 9 PM TONIGHT. FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY
  NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS CAN MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. YET ANOTHER 
  SETBACK TO THE START OF THE GROWING SEASON IS EXPECTED. 
  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IF TEMPERATURES GET 
  DOWN INTO THE MID 20S. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

06
3 follow-up statements
626 
WWUS73 KDDC 020207
NPWDDC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
907 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE STILL 
EXPECTED...

.BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. ALSO, FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>078-084>087-021100-
/O.EXP.KDDC.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130502T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.130502T0300Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.HZ.A.0001.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-
MEADE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR...
HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...
RUSH CENTER...SYRACUSE...LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...
KALVESTA...JETMORE...HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...JOHNSON CITY...
ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...
DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...ELKHART...RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...
LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER
907 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013 /807 PM MDT WED MAY 1 2013/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
THURSDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 31 DEGREES TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25
  TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ANOTHER SETBACK TO THE GROWING SEASON IS EXPECTED.
  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IF TEMPERATURES GET
  DOWN INTO THE MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A HARD FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ079-080-088-021100-
/O.EXP.KDDC.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130502T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.130502T0300Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
EDWARDS-KIOWA-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINSLEY...LEWIS...GREENSBURG...
HAVILAND...ASHLAND...MINNEOLA
907 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THURSDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 32 DEGREES TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 
  TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ANOTHER SETBACK TO THE GROWING SEASON IS EXPECTED.
  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IF TEMPERATURES GET
  DOWN INTO THE MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ066-081-089-090-021100-
/O.EXP.KDDC.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-130502T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
STAFFORD-PRATT-COMANCHE-BARBER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON...PRATT...
COLDWATER...PROTECTION...MEDICINE LODGE...KIOWA...SUN CITY
907 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY  
  NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...ANOTHER SETBACK TO THE GROWING SEASON IS EXPECTED.
  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IF TEMPERATURES GET
  DOWN INTO THE MID 20S.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

12
371 
WWUS73 KDDC 020702
NPWDDC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...ANOTHER WINDY DAY IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER. AN
ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING AND PARTICULARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.A COLD AIRMASS HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO
FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING.
IN ADDITION...A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND MIXING WILL RESULT IN
WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION YET AGAIN TODAY.
 
KSZ085>087-021500-
/O.UPG.KDDC.HZ.A.0001.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.HZ.W.0004.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.WI.Y.0018.130502T0702Z-130503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...
MEADE...FOWLER
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT FRIDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE HARD
FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM CDT AND 7 PM CDT TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 31 DEGREES THIS MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES OF
  25 TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. STRONG
  WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON WEST TO EAST ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND
OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KSZ088-021500-
/O.UPG.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.WI.Y.0018.130502T0702Z-130503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...MINNEOLA
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM CDT AND 7 PM CDT TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 31 DEGREES THIS MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25
  TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. STRONG
  WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON WEST TO EAST ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>078-084-021500-
/O.UPG.KDDC.HZ.A.0001.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.HZ.W.0004.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-MORTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR...
HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...
RUSH CENTER...SYRACUSE...LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...
KALVESTA...JETMORE...HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...JOHNSON CITY...
ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...
DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...ELKHART...RICHFIELD
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013 /102 AM MDT THU MAY 2 2013/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ FRIDAY. THE HARD FREEZE WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 31 DEGREES THIS MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25
  TO 28 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND
OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ079-080-021500-
/O.UPG.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
EDWARDS-KIOWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINSLEY...LEWIS...GREENSBURG...HAVILAND
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 31 DEGREES THIS MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES OF
  29 TO 31 DEGREES THURSDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ089-090-021500-
/O.UPG.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.WI.Y.0018.130502T0702Z-130503T0000Z/
COMANCHE-BARBER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLDWATER...PROTECTION...
MEDICINE LODGE...KIOWA...SUN CITY
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM CDT AND 7 PM
  CDT TONIGHT. THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4
  AM CDT AND 8 AM CDT FRIDAY.

* WINDS...WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 29 TO 31 DEGREES THURSDAY
  NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. STRONG
  WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ON WEST TO EAST ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KSZ066-081-021500-
/O.UPG.KDDC.FZ.A.0002.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
STAFFORD-PRATT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON...PRATT
202 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT
FRIDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 29 TO 31 DEGREES THURSDAY
  NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

SUGDEN
602 
WWUS73 KDDC 021445
NPWDDC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

.A COLD AIRMASS HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO
BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

KSZ085>087-022245-
/O.CAN.KDDC.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-130503T0000Z/
/O.EXP.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.HZ.W.0004.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...
MEADE...FOWLER
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 TO 28 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND
OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ088-022245-
/O.CAN.KDDC.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-130503T0000Z/
/O.EXP.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...MINNEOLA
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 TO 28 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>078-084-022245-
/O.EXP.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.HZ.W.0004.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-MORTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR...
HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...
RUSH CENTER...SYRACUSE...LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...
KALVESTA...JETMORE...HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...JOHNSON CITY...
ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...
DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...ELKHART...RICHFIELD
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013 /845 AM MDT THU MAY 2 2013/

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM CDT /10 PM
MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ FRIDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THIS
MORNING...

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 25 TO 28 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND
OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ079-080-022245-
/O.EXP.KDDC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130502T1500Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
EDWARDS-KIOWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KINSLEY...LEWIS...GREENSBURG...HAVILAND
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT FRIDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 29 TO 31 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ089-090-022245-
/O.CAN.KDDC.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-130503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
COMANCHE-BARBER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLDWATER...PROTECTION...
MEDICINE LODGE...KIOWA...SUN CITY
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT FRIDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 29 TO 31 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

KSZ066-081-022245-
/O.CON.KDDC.FZ.W.0003.130503T0400Z-130503T1800Z/
STAFFORD-PRATT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON...PRATT
945 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* TIMING...THE COLDEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM 
  CDT AND 8 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES OF 29 TO 31 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE KILLED UNLESS PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

06

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this freeze warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this freeze warning went out at May 1, 11:58 AM CDT, 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 1, 11:58 AM CDT, 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1158 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

...UPDATED FOR AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 437 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

A POTENTIALLY HISTORY "MAY" WINTER STORM WAS TAKING SHAPE ACROSS THE
ROCKIES OVERNIGHT. THERE WERE TWO KEY SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES THAT
COMPRISED THE OVERALL LONGWAVE TROUGH WHICH ARE BOTH IMPORTANT IN
THE FORECAST AND SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS. THE FIRST WAVE WAS
EJECTING NORTH RAPIDLY TOWARD HUDSON BAY. THIS BROUGHT THE INITIAL
COLD AIR PUSH SOUTH WHICH WAVE NUMBER 2 WILL HAVE TO WORK WITH. WAVE
NUMBER TWO WAS ORGANIZING OVER THE ROCKIES WITH 500MB POTENTIAL
VORTICITY ANOMALY CENTERED JUST NORTH OF SALT LAKE CITY. THIS
FEATURE WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST. THE 700MB BAROCLINIC ZONE WAS VERY
IMPRESSIVE, THANKS TO WAVE NUMBER 1. THE PRIMARY 700MB BAROCLINIC
ZONE EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL COLORADO NORTHEAST THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...A LOT OF WHICH IN THE FORM OF
SNOW...WAS FOUND ALONG THIS 700MB BAROCLINIC/FRONTOGENETIC ZONE.
THERE WERE A NUMBER OF LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

THE FIRST WAVE OF CONVECTION WAS REALIZED FARTHER NORTH THAN
THOUGHT YESTERDAY THANKS TO A BIT STRONGER WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD
OF WAVE NUMBER 2. THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE,
THE CHEYENNE RIDGE AREA, AND FAR NORTHEASTERN COLORADO WAS SNOW AS
OF 08Z. THE SURFACE FRONT WAS MOVING QUITE SLOWLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...HOWEVER DENSITY GRADIENT HEAD WAS MATURING AND
PRESSURE RISES WERE INCREASING IN THE COLD AIR...SO THE FRONT AS OF
09Z WAS STARTING TO ACCELERATE THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS.  THE
TEMPERATURE AT GOODLAND JUST FELL TO 39 DEGREES NORTH OF THE FRONT
WHILE IT WAS STILL 63 HERE AT DODGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 437 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

TODAY:
THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH QUICKLY DURING THE 11-14Z TIME FRAME
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND JUST ABOUT EVERYONE WILL SEE A
15 TO 20 DEGREE FALL IN TEMPERATURE OVER ABOUT A 90 MINUTE PERIOD.
AFTER THE INITIAL SHOCK WITH THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WIND 25 TO 35
MPH...THE TEMPERATURE WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL THROUGH THE
40S...AND FINALLY REACHING THE 30S BY LATE IN THE DAY. MANY
LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS WILL SEE THE LATE AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURE 50 (YES, 50!) DEGREES COLDER THAN 24 HOURS PRIOR.
ACCOMPANYING THE COLD AIR WILL BE LOW CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY AS WARM, MOIST AIR WILL STILL BE IN EXISTENCE ABOVE THE
INITIALLY SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS.

TONIGHT:
THE METEOROLOGICAL FUN BEGINS AFTER SUNDOWN TONIGHT. AS THE COLD
AIRMASS DEEPENS, THE MID LEVEL FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL INCREASE.
THE MENTIONED 700MB BAROCLINIC/FRONTOGENETIC ZONE WILL BECOME EVEN
MORE FRONTOGENETIC THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT AND MOVE THROUGH AT A
LITTLE BIT SLOWER CLIP...SUCH THAT WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING
PRECIPITATION SHOULD EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS FROM MID
EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT TIME FRAME. INITIALLY...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE COLD RAIN SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED
THUNDER...HOWEVER IT WILL NOT TAKE LONG BEFORE ICE PELLETS BECOME
THE DOMINANT TYPE. BY MID-EVENING...ICE PELLETS WILL QUICKLY CHANGE
TO SNOW NORTHWEST OF A LIBERAL TO GARDEN CITY TO WAKEENEY LINE
(USING THE NAM12 THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE AS GUIDANCE). BY 06Z...THE
SLEET-SNOW LINE IS EXPECTED TO BE FROM ROUGHLY MEADE TO DODGE TO
LACROSSE. IT WILL NOT CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
UNTIL DAYBREAK THURSDAY...AND BY THAT TIME MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED.  AS FAR AS SNOW AND SLEET TOTALS
GO...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
COMBINED SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...AND THIS IS EVEN USING A
FAIRLY CONSERVATIVE 5:1 EVENT RATIO WHEN YOU TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SLEET
ACCUMULATION AND ALSO THE INITIAL MELTING OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION ON
A WARM SURFACE.

GROUND HEAT FLUXES FROM A WARM SUB-SURFACE WILL CERTAINLY PLAY INTO
THE MELT RATE WITH THIS EVENT... AFTER ALL IT IS NOW MAY. THE ONE
POSITIVE FOR ACCUMULATING FROZEN PRECIPITATION IS THAT MUCH OF THE
EVENT WILL BE OCCURRING DURING NOCTURNAL HOURS SO THE INSOLATION
COMPONENT FROM ABOVE WILL NOT BE THERE. ALSO, SNOWFALL RATES DURING
THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM WILL BE MUCH GREATER THAN ANY MELT RATE FROM
GROUND HEAT FLUXES).  A 1-2 INCH SNOWFALL FORECAST FOR DODGE CITY
WOULD BE AN ALL-TIME RECORD SNOWFALL FOR THE MONTH OF MAY IN DODGE
CITY (GOING BACK TO THE 1870S)... BOTH FOR DAILY AMOUNT AND MONTHLY
SINCE ALL THE RECORDED MONTHLY SNOW TOTALS WERE FROM INDIVIDUAL RARE
SNOW EVENTS (IN THIS STATION'S HISTORY, ONLY THREE DAYS HAVE
RECORDED MEASURABLE SNOW IN DODGE CITY IN MAY). THIS IS CERTAINLY AN
UNPRECEDENTED FORECAST WHICH NOW HAS A FAIRLY HIGH DEGREE OF
CONFIDENCE IS PANNING OUT.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 447 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY EVOLVE EARLY THURSDAY AS THE
SHARP BAROCLINIC ZONE AND UPPER TROUGH MOVE EAST OF MY FORECAST AREA.
HOWEVER, FURTHER AMPLIFICATION WILL TAKE PLACE (AS HAS BEEN
ADVERTISED FOR SOME TIME NOW) BUT THE RESULTANT APPARENT CLOSED
CIRCULATION MOST LIKELY WILL BE EAST OF MY FORECAST AREA.  I HAVE
ELECTED TO BRING PCPN TO AN END TRANSITIONING WEST TO EAST. BUT IF
THE CLOSED SYSTEM IS CLOSER THERE COULD STILL BE SOME THREAT OF
PCPN ACROSS MY FAR EASTERN COUNTIES. TEMPTRESS WILL BE
UNSEASONABLY COLD FOR EARLY MAY AND THE THREAT OF A KILLING FREEZE
IS FAIRLY HIGH ESPECIALLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEADLINES OF FREEZE
AND HARD FREEZE WILL EXIST FOR BOTH THURSDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY
MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL QUICKLY MELT AS THE STRONG
EARLY MAY SOLAR INSOLATION EVEN IN THE PRESENCE OF AN OVERCAST SKY
WILL TAKE A TOLL ON THE SNOW THAT FALLS.

IN LATER PERIODS (WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST OF THE WEEK) SHOULD
SEE FALLING HEIGHTS IN THE WESTERN U.S. WHICH SHOULD BRING THE
FLOW ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST OR WEST WITH AN
INCREASING OPPORTUNITY FOR PCPN.  TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME MORE SEASONABLE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1153 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

IFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL PREVAIL AT KDDC
AND KGCK AND IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS AT KHYS. STRONG SURFACE WINDS
BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE NORTHERLY AT 25-35KT DECREASING
A BIT AFTER DARK. A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS FORECAST MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET POSSIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  52  31  43  28 /  70  80  60  10
GCK  44  29  47  26 /  60  70  50  10
EHA  44  30  47  27 /  40  50  30   0
LBL  51  30  46  28 /  50  70  50   0
HYS  45  30  46  28 /  80  80  60  10
P28  65  33  43  30 /  70  80  80  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>080-084>088.

HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>078-084>087.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR KSZ030-
031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

FREEZE WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
KSZ066-079>081-088>090.

&&

SYNOPSIS...UMSCHEID
SHORT TERM...UMSCHEID
LONG TERM...HUTTON
AVIATION...KRUSE
Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 5:54 AM CDT, 6 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
554 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-021100-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
554 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013 /454 AM MDT WED MAY 1 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN
PLAINS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS STORM WILL BRING A RARE MAY
SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST KANSAS REGION TONIGHT. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
SNOW POSSIBLE NORTHEAST OF A WAKEENEY TO STAFFORD LINE. STRONG
NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH 25 TO 35 MPH WIND SUSTAINED
THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. A FREEZE IS ALSO EXPECTED BOTH
TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. MORE DETAILS ON THE WIND
ADVISORY, FREEZE AND HARD FREEZE WATCHES CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NON-PRECIPITATION HAZARD WEATHER MESSAGE (NPWDDC).

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

UMSCHEID

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 5:00 AM CDTFreeze WatchDDCClark, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Grant and 17 more8 hr
May 1, 5:00 AM CDTFreeze WatchDDCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Kiowa, Pratt and 1 more21 hr
May 1, 5:00 AM CDTHard Freeze WatchDDCEllis, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 14 more21 hr

Nearby

Freeze Warnings in Kansas, 2013Every freeze warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.