Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2013
River Flood Warning 7, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Oct 11, 2013, 4:34 AM EDT for Cumberland County, York County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Oct 11, 2013, 6:46 AM EDT. It was in force for 34 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2013, 4:34 AM EDT (08:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 11, 2013, 6:46 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 12, 2013, 5:05 PM EDT
- In force
- 34 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Cumberland County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Yellow Breeches Creek near Camp Hill (CPHP1). The gauge peaked at 11.39 ft at Oct 12, 2013, 1:00 AM EDT.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 7 ft
- Moderate stage
- 9 ft
- Major stage
- 13 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01571500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
141 WGUS41 KCTP 110834 FLWCTP BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 434 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS MORNING. && PAC041-133-112034- /O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0007.131011T1442Z-131012T1200Z/ /CPHP1.1.ER.131011T1442Z.131012T0000Z.131012T0600Z.UU/ 434 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL * FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS...5.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.4 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * AT 7.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ON THE RIGHT BANK OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK BEGIN TO FLOOD. A MOBILE HOME PARK NEAR WILLIAMS GROVE IS ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$
10 follow-up statements
449 WGUS41 KCTP 111047 FLWCTP BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 647 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING. && PAC041-133-112247- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0007.131011T1046Z-131013T1400Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0600Z.131013T0800Z.UU/ 647 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS...7.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES. $$
714 WGUS81 KCTP 111410 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 1010 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN SWATARA CREEK ABOVE MIDDLETOWN SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON. && PAC041-133-120210- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131013T1400Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0600Z.131013T0800Z.UU/ 1010 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES. $$ PAC043-075-107-120210- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0009.131011T1700Z-131012T1434Z/ /HTVP1.1.ER.131011T1700Z.131012T0000Z.131012T0834Z.NO/ 1010 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 10.0 FEET...HIGH WATER ISOLATES SEVERAL HOUSES. $$ PAC043-120210- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0010.131011T1600Z-131012T2100Z/ /MTLP1.1.ER.131011T1600Z.131012T0600Z.131012T1500Z.UU/ 1010 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK ABOVE MIDDLETOWN. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 11.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW. $$ PAC043-075-120210- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0008.131011T1500Z-131012T1500Z/ /HERP1.1.ER.131011T1500Z.131012T0000Z.131012T0900Z.NO/ 1010 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 8.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS. SEVERAL ROADS ARE AFFECTED. $$
376 WGUS81 KCTP 111926 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 326 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN SWATARA CREEK ABOVE MIDDLETOWN ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS EVENING. && PAC041-133-120726- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131013T1400Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0600Z.131013T0800Z.UU/ 326 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES. $$ PAC041-120726- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0011.131012T0600Z-131013T1000Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0600Z.131012T1500Z.131013T0400Z.NO/ 326 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 8.5 FEET BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 8.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$ PAC043-075-107-111956- /O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-131012T1434Z/ /HTVP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 326 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE SWATARA CREEK AT HARPER TAVERN. * AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8.7 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * AT 9.0 FEET...SEVERAL DRIVEWAYS AND OTHER MINOR ROADWAYS ARE AFFECTED. WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME BASEMENTS. $$ PAC043-111956- /O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-131012T2100Z/ /MTLP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 326 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE SWATARA CREEK ABOVE MIDDLETOWN. * AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10.0 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. $$ PAC043-075-120725- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131012T1500Z/ /HERP1.1.ER.131011T1435Z.131012T0000Z.131012T0900Z.NO/ 326 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY. * AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 7.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 8.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS. SEVERAL ROADS ARE AFFECTED. $$
355 WGUS81 KCTP 120152 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 952 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. && PAC041-133-121352- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131014T1400Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T1200Z.131014T0800Z.UU/ 952 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 13.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. $$ PAC041-121352- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0011.131012T0148Z-131014T1300Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0148Z.131013T0000Z.131014T0700Z.NO/ 952 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING. * AT 10.0 FEET...SOME RESIDENCES IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$ PAC043-075-121352- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131013T0800Z/ /HERP1.1.ER.131011T1435Z.131012T1200Z.131013T0200Z.NO/ 952 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY. * AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 8.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE EVENING TOMORROW. * AT 8.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR NORTH BANK OVERFLOWS. SEVERAL ROADS ARE AFFECTED. $$ PAC071-133-121352- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131012T2000Z/ /LNCP1.1.ER.131011T2336Z.131012T0600Z.131012T1400Z.NO/ 952 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER. * AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND CRESTING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER IS WILL CREST NEAR 11.4 FEET LATE TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW. * AT 11.0 FEET...GROFFTOWN ROAD WILL FLOOD. $$
856 WGUS81 KCTP 120409 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 1209 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING. && PAC041-133-121609- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131014T1400Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T1200Z.131014T0800Z.UU/ 1209 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 12 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 13.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. $$ PAC041-121609- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131014T1300Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0148Z.131013T0000Z.131014T0700Z.NO/ 1209 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * AT 12 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 10.0 FEET...SOME RESIDENCES IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$ PAC043-075-121609- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131012T1800Z/ /HERP1.1.ER.131011T1435Z.131012T0130Z.131012T1200Z.NO/ 1209 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY. * AT 12 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING. * AT 7.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR NORTH BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW. SEVERAL ROADWAYS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$ PAC071-133-120439- /O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131012T2000Z/ /LNCP1.1.ER.131011T2336Z.131012T0115Z.131012T0251Z.NO/ 1209 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CONESTOGA RIVER AT LANCASTER. * AT 11 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET AND FALLING. * THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11 PM FRIDAY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 4.7 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. * AT 11.0 FEET...GROFFTOWN ROAD WILL FLOOD. $$
497 WGUS81 KCTP 120750 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 350 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING. && PAC041-133-121950- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131014T0300Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0531Z.131013T2100Z.UU/ 350 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 3 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE CREEK HAS CRESTED WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. * AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$ PAC041-121950- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131014T1312Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0148Z.131013T0400Z.131014T0712Z.NO/ 350 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * AT 3 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE CREEK WILL CREST NEAR 9.6 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 10.0 FEET...SOME RESIDENCES IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$ PAC043-075-121500- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131012T1500Z/ /HERP1.1.ER.131011T1435Z.131012T0130Z.131012T0900Z.NO/ 350 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY. * AT 3 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING. * AT 7.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR NORTH BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW. SEVERAL ROADWAYS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$
371 WGUS81 KCTP 120904 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 503 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING. && PAC041-133-122104- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131013T1400Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0531Z.131013T0800Z.UU/ 504 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 5 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE CREEK HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$ PAC041-122104- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131014T1312Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0148Z.131013T0400Z.131014T0712Z.NO/ 504 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * AT 5 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND RISING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE CREEK WILL CREST NEAR 9.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 10.0 FEET...SOME RESIDENCES IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$ PAC043-075-121500- /O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-131012T1500Z/ /HERP1.1.ER.131011T1435Z.131012T0130Z.131012T0900Z.NO/ 504 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SWATARA CREEK NEAR HERSHEY. * AT 5 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE CREEK HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING. * AT 7.0 FEET...THE RIGHT...OR NORTH BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW. SEVERAL ROADWAYS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$
269 WGUS81 KCTP 121415 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 1015 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. && PAC041-133-130215- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131013T0600Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0531Z.131013T0000Z.UU/ 1015 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING. * AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES. $$ PAC041-130215- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131013T2200Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0148Z.131013T0000Z.131013T1600Z.NO/ 1015 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. * AT 10.0 FEET...SOME RESIDENCES IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$
605 WGUS81 KCTP 121821 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 221 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING. && PAC041-130621- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131013T1500Z/ /HGSP1.1.ER.131012T0148Z.131012T1345Z.131013T0900Z.NO/ 221 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CONODOGUINET CREEK NEAR HOGESTOWN. * AT 2 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 8.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS IN THE VICINITY OF ERB'S BRIDGE ROAD...PROWELL ROAD...STONE SPRING LANE...AND OYSTER MILL ROAD ARE FLOODED. $$ PAC041-133-130300- /O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131013T0300Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0531Z.131012T2100Z.UU/ 221 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 2 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * AT 7.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ON THE RIGHT BANK OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK BEGIN TO FLOOD. A MOBILE HOME PARK NEAR WILLIAMS GROVE IS ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$
230 WGUS81 KCTP 122105 FLSCTP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA 505 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA... YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!! THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. && PAC041-133-122135- /O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131013T0300Z/ /CPHP1.2.ER.131011T1005Z.131012T0531Z.131012T1923Z.UU/ 505 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL. * AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND FALLING. * THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 3 PM SATURDAY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 3.9 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. * AT 7.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT ON THE RIGHT BANK OF YELLOW BREECHES CREEK BEGIN TO FLOOD. A MOBILE HOME PARK NEAR WILLIAMS GROVE IS ALSO AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. $$ EVANEGO
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 11, 2:59 AM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 2:59 AM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 259 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 .SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SLOW-MOVING COASTAL STORM WILL STALL OUT JUST SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA...CHANNELING DEEP MOISTURE AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN INTO SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WEATHER FEATURE WILL SLOWLY PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST BY LATE THIS WEEKEND. UPPER LVL RIDGING IS LIKELY TO BUILD INTO PA EARLY NEXT WEEK RETURNING FAIR WEATHER. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/... FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY AND A FEW ADJACENT SCENT PA COUNTIES IN EFFECT UNTIL 00Z SAT...WHILE AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS FOR STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN CITIES AND TOWNS UNTIL AROUND 12Z TODAY. A PERSISTENT MESOSCALE AREA OF ANOMALOUS STRONG 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX /PLUS 2-3 SIGMA/...AT THE NOSE OF A -3 TO -4 SIGMA EASTERLY LLJ WILL STAY INTACT ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE WEAKENING AND SAGGING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON LINE BY 00Z SATURDAY. THIS WILL MEAN A CONTINUATION OF BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS MELDING INTO A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE SCENT MTNS AND MIDDLE/LOWER SUSQ. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EARLY THIS MORNING WILL VARY FROM PRACTICALLY NOTHING NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF ROUTE 219 IN WESTERN PENN /AND ALSO ACROSS ERN COLUMBIA AND EASTERN SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES/...TO BETWEEN 0.75-1.5 INCHES IN THE REGION BOUNDED BY KUNV...KSEG...KMDT AND KAOO. LOCALIZED 2 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 4-5 HOURS ARE POSSIBLE JUST TO THE WEST OF A KMDT TO KSEG LINE THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL AT KMDT FOR THURSDAY WAS A HEFTY /AND DAILY RECORD/ 4.02 INCHES...WITH AN EVEN MORE EXTREME 4.51 INCHES AT KCXY. SIMILAR...OR EVEN SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO COME ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY...ESP JUST WEST OF THE SUSQ RIVER. && .SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... ANOMALOUS EASTERLY LL JET/PWATS REMAIN FOCUSED OVR THE LWR SUSQ VALLEY THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...JUSTIFYING CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS THE SERN HALF OF THE CWA THIS MORNING. A BLEND OF MDL QPF /AND RADAR TRENDS/ SUGGESTS THAT TWO-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD BE AT THE HIGH END OF ENSEMBLE PLUMES BY LATE TODAY...AND SHOULD BE APPROACHING 5-6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY...ESP NEAR AND JUST TO THE WEST AND NW OF THE GREATER HARRISBURG AREA. A GENERAL 2-4 INCHES IS LIKELY ACROSS COUNTIES JUST WEST OF THE MIDDLE SUSQ MAINSTEM...AND THROUGHOUT THE LOWER AND MIDDLE JUNIATA BASIN. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN /ESPECIALLY THE HIGHER END TOTALS/ MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS...SO WE MAY CONSIDER EXPANDING THE FLOOD WATCH A FEW LAYERS OF COUNTIES TO THE NW OF THE CURRENT AREA. LITTLE IF ANY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARREN COUNTY IN THE NW MTNS...AND ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAURELS. TEMPS WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO HIT 60F TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN PA...WHERE A RAIN OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL FALL. MEANWHILE...WARMER TEMPS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NW MTNS...WHERE LACK OF RAIN AND A DOWNSLOPING EAST WIND COULD PUSH READINGS TO THE U60S ACROSS WARREN CO. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... LARGE SCALE FORCING IN PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW FINALLY BEGINS TO WANE FRI NITE AS UPPER LOW VERY GRADUALLY SHIFTS EASTWARD OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS SHOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER RAIN /IN THE SE/ TO DIMINISH. HOWEVER...A CONTINUED MOIST EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD STILL YIELD OCNL LGT RAIN/DRIZZLE...ESP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES WHERE ENSEMBLE DATA REMAINS STEADY IN ITS PLACEMENT OF ANOMALOUS EASTERLY WIND/PWAT SIGNATURE. CLOUD COVER AND ABUNDANT LOW LVL MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN A MILDER NIGHT...WITH LOWS WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF 50F. MED RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH UPPER LOW FURTHER SE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...GEFS AND EC ENSEMBLE DATA STUBBORNLY KEEP A LINGERING EASTERLY FLOW AND ASSOCIATED PLUME OF HIGHER PWATS FOCUSED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL PA THRU THE WEEKEND. SO DIDN/T CHANGE SAT/SUN FORECASTS SIGNIFICANTLY AS CHC FOR LINGERING LGT RAIN/AND ESP DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SC COUNTIES THRU SUNDAY. PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND RELATIVELY HIGH HUMIDITY SHOULD RESULT IN MILD NIGHTS...AND HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 60S THIS WEEKEND /WITH COOLEST TEMPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF WITH ABUNDANCE OF LOW CLOUDS AND EVAP COOLING FROM DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN. GRADUAL TRANSITION TO BRIGHTER AND DRIER CONDS ARE LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHEN WE FINALLY LOSE THE MOIST EASTERLY FLOW AND TRANSITION TO WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. LOWER CLOUDS LIKELY SUN NIGHT AS SUBSIDENCE INVERSION TRAPS COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...AND THESE LOWER CLOUDS MAY LINGER INTO MON BEFORE THE RIDGE FINALLY WINS OUT WITH INCREASING SUNSHINE. MODELS DIFFER BY MID LATE WEEK ON DETAILS AROUND THE DEVELOPMENT OF A DEEP TROUGH AND ASSOC COLD FRONT. BUT LOOKS LIKE NEXT CHC OF SHOWERS ARRIVES WED IN THE WEST AND THU FOR ALL. && .AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NEARLY STATIONARY MID-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE VA/WV BORDER AND SFC LOW JUST OFF THE NC/VA COAST COMBINED WITH AREA OF HIGH PRES IN NRN NEW ENGLAND/SERN CANADA WILL MAINTAIN AN ANOMALOUS EAST/NORTHEAST LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACRS THE NRN MID-ATLC. THIS WILL SUPPORT MVFR TO LIFR CONDS EARLY THIS MORNING ACRS CENTRAL PA AIRSPACE...WITH GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO VFR OR MARGINAL VFR EXPECTED BY THIS AFTN. RADAR TRENDS AND COSPA DATA SHOW THE RAIN REACHING BFD BY 09Z AND WILL NEED TO AMD THE TAF TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. CIGS ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY LOWER /IFR/ THAN FCST AT AOO/JST AND WILL ALSO MAKE ADJUSTMENTS HERE. ASIDE FROM HEAVY DOWNPOURS DROPPING VIS BLW 3SM...CIG TRENDS IN THE SE AIRFIELDS SEEM TO WANT TO HOLD AOA IFR THRESHOLDS. OUTLOOK... SAT-MON...MVFR TO IFR IN AREAS OF RAIN/DZ. TUE...VFR TO MVFR. && .CLIMATE... A RECORD DAILY RAINFALL OF 4.02 INCHES WAS SET AT HARRISBURG YESTERDAY OCTOBER 10TH 2013. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 1.50 INCHES SET BACK IN 1894. A CONTINUOUS WEATHER RECORD HAS BEEN KEPT AT HARRISBURG SINCE 1888. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR PAZ035-036-056-057-059- 063>066. && SYNOPSIS...DEVOIR/LAMBERT NEAR TERM...DANGELO/LAMBERT SHORT TERM...DANGELO/DEVOIR LONG TERM...RXR AVIATION...STEINBUGL CLIMATE...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 3:49 AM EDT, 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 349 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 PAZ026>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-120800- HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-SNYDER-PERRY-DAUPHIN- LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 349 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA TODAY...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN CITIES AND TOWNS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ012-018-019-025-034-041-045-046-049-051-052-058-120800- NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-BEDFORD- NORTHERN LYCOMING-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-SCHUYLKILL- 349 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. STEADY...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE RAINFALL SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHTER BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...AND MINOR FLOODING OF OF DRAINAGE AREAS AND ALONG SOME SMALL STREAMS IS POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ004>006-010-011-017-024-033-037-042-053-120800- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-TIOGA- SULLIVAN-COLUMBIA- 349 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LAMBERT
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 10, 10:44 PM EDT, 5 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1044 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM FLOOD MIDDLETOWN 40.20N 76.73W
10/10/2013 DAUPHIN PA SOCIAL MEDIA
BOROUGH OFFICIAL REPORTED LOTS OF STANDING WATER AND
LOW ROADS ARE FLOODED
&&
EVENT NUMBER CTP1300454
MACHLocal storm report, Oct 10, 11:00 PM EDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1100 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1054 PM FLOOD SPRING GROVE 39.88N 76.86W
10/10/2013 YORK PA PUBLIC
STREET... FIELDS AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING CONTINUES
&&
EVENT NUMBER CTP1300455
MACHLocal storm report, Oct 10, 11:05 PM EDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1105 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 PM FLOOD SHIPPENSBURG 40.05N 77.52W
10/10/2013 CUMBERLAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER
ROADS AND YARDS FLOODED ANKLE DEEP
1015 PM FLOOD MIDDLETOWN 40.20N 76.73W
10/10/2013 DAUPHIN PA SOCIAL MEDIA
BOROUGH OFFICIAL REPORTED LOTS OF STANDING WATER AND
LOW ROADS ARE FLOODED
1054 PM FLOOD SPRING GROVE 39.88N 76.86W
10/10/2013 YORK PA PUBLIC
STREET... FIELDS AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING CONTINUES
&&
EVENT NUMBER CTP1300453 CTP1300454 CTP1300455
MACHLocal storm report, Oct 11, 3:44 AM EDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
344 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 PM FLOOD SHIPPENSBURG 40.05N 77.52W
10/10/2013 CUMBERLAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER
ROADS AND YARDS FLOODED ANKLE DEEP
1015 PM FLOOD MIDDLETOWN 40.20N 76.73W
10/10/2013 DAUPHIN PA SOCIAL MEDIA
BOROUGH OFFICIAL REPORTED LOTS OF STANDING WATER AND
LOW ROADS ARE FLOODED
1031 PM FLOOD COLUMBIA 40.03N 76.50W
10/10/2013 LANCASTER PA PUBLIC
FRANKLIN DR BLUE LANE AREA FLOODED GUARDRAIL UNDER
WATER
1054 PM FLOOD SPRING GROVE 39.88N 76.86W
10/10/2013 YORK PA PUBLIC
STREET... FIELDS AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING CONTINUES
1110 PM FLOOD LEWISBERRY 40.14N 76.86W
10/10/2013 YORK PA SOCIAL MEDIA
FISHING CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS COVERING BRIDGE
1215 AM FLOOD 1 SSE SHREINERS 40.07N 76.35W
10/11/2013 LANCASTER PA SOCIAL MEDIA
CARS STUCK IN 4FT OF WATER LANDIS MILL BRIDGE SHREINER
STN AT BLUE JAY DR
0248 AM FLOOD NEWPORT 40.48N 77.13W
10/11/2013 PERRY PA PEMA
ROCK SLIDE ROAD CLOSURE U.S. 322 WB BTWN MILLERSTOWN
NEWPORT EXITS IN HOWE TWP
0300 AM FLOOD HARRISBURG 40.28N 76.88W
10/11/2013 DAUPHIN PA SOCIAL MEDIA
N CAMERON ST CLOSED BOTH EB WD NEAR U.S. 22 VIA FOX43
0300 AM FLOOD HARRISBURG 40.28N 76.88W
10/11/2013 DAUPHIN PA SOCIAL MEDIA
HWY 230 CLOSED BOTH EB WB AT SYCAMORE ST VIA FOX43
0310 AM FLOOD MANCHESTER 40.06N 76.72W
10/11/2013 YORK PA SOCIAL MEDIA
N SUSQ TRL BOTH EB WB CLOSED BTWN GWEN DR AND CHURCH
ROAD MANCHESTER TWP VIA FOX43
0310 AM FLOOD TAXVILLE 39.96N 76.81W
10/11/2013 YORK PA SOCIAL MEDIA
BAKER RD CLOSED BOTH EB WB BTWN HADLEY DR AND RT 234
DOVER TWP VIA FOX43
&&
EVENT NUMBER CTP1300453 CTP1300454 CTP1300463 CTP1300455 CTP1300456
CTP1300457 CTP1300462 CTP1300458 CTP1300459 CTP1300460 CTP1300461
STEINBUGLThe office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 8:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Columbia, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill | 3 hr |
| Oct 10, 9:04 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Sullivan | 3 hr |
| Oct 10, 9:26 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lebanon, Perry | 36 hr |
| Oct 10, 10:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Huntingdon, Juniata, Lycoming and 7 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 10, 11:04 PM EDT | Flood Watch | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon and 7 more | 21 hr |
| Oct 11, 1:37 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Bedford, Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Fulton, Huntingdon and 9 more | 14 hr |
| Oct 11, 6:52 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lebanon | 24 hr |
| Oct 11, 7:11 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin | 8 hr |
| Oct 11, 7:11 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill | 8 hr |
| Oct 11, 10:06 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | CTP | Cumberland | 47 hr |
| Oct 11, 3:30 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Centre, Columbia, Fulton, Huntingdon and 7 more | 4 hr |
| Oct 11, 5:50 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.