Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

850 
WGUS74 KCRP 132152
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
452 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

TXC283-132345-
/O.CON.KCRP.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-131013T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LA SALLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTULLA...ENCINAL
452 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR LA
SALLE COUNTY...

AT 442 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLASH 
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF LA SALLE COUNTY. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED 2 
TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER LA SALLE COUNTY SINCE 130 
PM...AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN 
LA SALLE COUNTY OVER THE COMMUNITIES OF LOS ANGELES AND FOWLERTON. 

AT 445 PM...LA SALLE COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED 2 FEET OF WATER 
ON HIGHWAY 97 AND FM 624. 

SINCE NOON CDT...THE COTULLA ASOS HAS REPORTED 4.24 INCHES OF 
RAINFALL. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ARTESIA
WELLS...FORT EWELL SITE...FOWLERTON...GARDENDALE...LOS ANGELES AND 
MILLET. SOME CREEKS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...SAGE  
CREEK...CIBOLO CREEK...AND SALT CREEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 2806 9881 2805 9886 2803 9939 2864 9940
      2864 9880

$$

GW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
347 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...THE MCS FROM THIS
MORNING HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO OUR SOUTH HAS ALLOWED MOISTURE FROM TS
OCTAVE OVER THE PACIFIC TO STREAM INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
ALSO...850MB WINDS REMAIN SOUTHEASTERLY ALLOWING DEEPER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA. MODEL PW PROGS OF GREATER THAN 2
INCHES HAVE VERIFIED WELL TODAY AS THE 12Z CRP PW WAS 2.24 INCHES.
THIS HAS RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CWA...NOW EXTENDING INTO
LASALLE COUNTY. FOCUS OF CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO BE OVER NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY DEVELOP OVER THESE REGIONS
WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER POCKETS. WILL
FOREGO A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME AS HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT
DOES NOT APPEAR THAT WIDESPREAD. WILL MONITOR TRENDS AS THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING PROGRESSES. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MAY ATTEMPT
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH ON MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE
BETTER FOCUS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ON MONDAY WILL SHIFT WELL NORTH
OF THE REGION. KEPT SOME LOW LEVEL POPS THOUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ZONES WHERE BETTER MOISTURE WILL BE SLOWER TO DEPART.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...VORT LOBE WITHIN THE UPPER
TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...AS ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVES ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AS WELL...HOWEVER PWATS OF NEAR 1.7 INCHES
WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER AROUND ON TUESDAY. ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE...HOWEVER WILL MAINTAIN QUIET POPS FOR
NOW AS SOME WARMING OCCURS IN THE MIDLEVELS. A NEARLY ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A SLOW SAGGING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH MIDWEEK. GENERAL MODEL AGREEMENT HAS SETTLED
BRINGING THE FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA EARLY
WEDNESDAY...AND PUSHING THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS IN THE EVENING.
MOISTURE OF NEAR 1.9 INCHES REMAINS ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT H85 SHOULD ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
RAIN TO LINGER INTO THURSDAY. THE FRONT APPEARS TO STALL ACROSS THE
WATERS WITH A BRIEF RETREAT TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. THE SECOND WAVE
OF ENERGY IN THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIG DOWN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS...WHICH SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PUSH THE FRONT BACK
SOUTH OUT OF THE CWA...ENDING RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MODELS DO DIFFER ON DRYING OUT INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH GFS REMAINING
WETTER AND THE EURO DRIER. DUE TO THE CONSISTENCY WITH THE EURO
THESE PAST FEW DAYS...DECIDED UPON THE DRIER SOLUTION. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES...MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST...TRENDING ON THE COOLER SIDE DUE THE EXPECTED AMOUNT OF
CLOUD COVER AND RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    76  89  74  91  74  /  20  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          73  87  72  88  70  /  30  20  10  10  10
LAREDO            75  94  74  94  72  /  30  10  10  20  20
ALICE             75  91  72  92  71  /  20  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          77  85  77  88  75  /  20  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           73  90  72  90  70  /  50  20  10  20  30
KINGSVILLE        76  91  73  91  72  /  20  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       78  87  77  88  76  /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

TB/78...SHORT TERM
CB/85...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
512 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-141015-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
512 AM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE
PLAINS AND COASTAL BEND AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER ISOLATED STRONG
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS...WITH
SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY FROM COTULLA TO BEEVILLE TO VICTORIA
AND AREAS NORTHWARD. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LESS
THAN HALF OF AN INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TE/TMT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
227 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

TXZ229-132030-
LA SALLE-
227 PM CDT SUN OCT 13 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING LA SALLE COUNTY...

AT 224 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WOODWARD...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
COTULLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

GW