Small Craft Advisory 68, NWS Cleveland, OH

267 
WHUS71 KCLE 070254
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
954 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013

LEZ142>149-071100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131108T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
954 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AS A COLD
  FRONT PASSES. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
  THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE DECREASING SLIGHTLY. WAVES OF 3 TO 5
  WILL BE COMMON WITH A PERIOD OF 5 TO 7 FOOT WAVES EXPECTED FOR
  THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LAKE INTO THURSDAY. WAVES WILL DIMINISH
  GRADUALLY ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

805 
WHUS71 KCLE 070903
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013

LEZ142>149-071715-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131108T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
403 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY ON LAKE
ERIE.

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL
  PERSIST INTO FRIDAY. WAVES WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 5 FEET ON THE
  WESTERN BASIN AND 4 TO 6 FEET FROM AVON POINT EAST. THE WIND AND
  WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

512 
WHUS71 KCLE 071425
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
925 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013

LEZ142>149-072230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131108T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
925 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND
  WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ON THE WESTERN BASIN AND 4 TO 6 FEET FROM
  AVON POINT EAST WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

281 
WHUS71 KCLE 072021
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
321 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013

LEZ142>149-080430-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131109T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
321 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND
  WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ON THE WESTERN BASIN AND 5 TO 7 FEET FROM
  AVON POINT EAST WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

691 
WHUS71 KCLE 080318
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1018 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013

LEZ142>144-081130-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131108T1500Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
1018 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO
  FRIDAY. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT WILL DECREASE TO 2 TO 4
  FEET BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY
  BE NEEDED AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-081130-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131109T2100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1018 PM EST THU NOV 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND
  WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. WINDS AND WAVES
  WILL DECREASE SOME LATE FRIDAY WITH WAVES FALLING INTO THE 2 TO
  5 FOOT RANGE FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE
  AGAIN ON SATURDAY INTO THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE WITH WAVES
  BUILDING AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SMALL CRAFT
  ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
  INTO SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

450 
WHUS71 KCLE 080915
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
415 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

LEZ145>149-081715-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131110T1100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
415 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR LAKE ERIE EAST OF VERMILION TO RIPLEY
NEW YORK IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL AT LEAST 6 AM SUNDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL
  BACK TO SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT. WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET WILL SLOWLY
  SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY THIS EVENING BUT THEN BUILD TO 5 TO 8
  FEET ON SATURDAY AND 6 TO 9 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-081500-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131108T1500Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
415 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH TO 5
  TO 10 KNOTS TODAY AND BECOME SOUTHWEST LATE. WAVES OF 3 TO 5
  FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
  WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS
  SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS DEVELOP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

102 
WHUS71 KCLE 081420
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
920 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

LEZ142>144-081530-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131108T1500Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
920 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. 

$$

LEZ145>149-082230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131110T1100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
920 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL
  BACK TO SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT. WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET WILL SLOWLY
  SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY THIS EVENING BUT THEN BUILD TO 5 TO 8
  FEET ON SATURDAY AND 6 TO 9 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

237 
WHUS71 KCLE 082016
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
316 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

LEZ145>149-090415-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131110T2000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
316 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL
  BECOME SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY
  AND THEN BECOME WESTERLY TO NEARLY 30 KNOTS ON SUNDAY. WAVES OF
  5 TO 8 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY THIS EVENING
  BUT THEN BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET ON SATURDAY AND 6 TO 9 FEET
  SATURDAY NIGHT. WAVES OF 6 TO 9 FEET WILL PERSIST ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

771 
WHUS71 KCLE 090311
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1011 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

LEZ145>149-091115-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-131110T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0069.131109T1100Z-131110T2100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1011 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: THE WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DECREASED BELOW SMALL
  CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...SOUTH WINDS
  WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS SATURDAY MORNING AND THEN TO 30
  KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN BECOME WEST OVERNIGHT AND
  CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THE WAVES WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET
  OVERNIGHT AND THEN INCREASE TO 5 TO 8 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING
  AND THEN TO 7 TO 10 FEET FOR SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-091115-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0069.131109T1100Z-131110T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
1011 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS BY
  DAYBREAK SATURDAY AND THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS SATURDAY
  EVENING AND THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS ON SUNDAY.
  WAVES WILL BE MAINLY 2 TO 5 FEET. LOW WATER IS POSSIBLE ON THE
  WEST END OF THE LAKE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
342 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A WEAK TROF WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES FRIDAY. A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
ON SATURDAY AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE FIRST SHOT OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WERE OVER
NW AND NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST. THE
MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING FOR DAYS THE SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE DURING THE EVENING MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE WITH THE AREA BEING IN THE
RIGHT REAR QUAD OF THE JET. THE COLD FRONT IS ON SCHEDULE...IT
WILL BE NEAR TOL AND FDY AT 00Z AND ERI BY 06Z. SOME SHOWERS COULD
ALSO OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT FOR A FEW HOURS. AT THIS TIME NOT
EXPECTING ANY THUNDER. WINDS COULD STILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY MAINLY
OVER NORTHEAST OHIO AND NW PA THIS EVENING UNTIL THE SHOWERS MOVE
IN. WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE NIGHT AND EVEN WITH
THE COLD ADVECTION WENT TOWARD THE WARMER SIDE OF GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THE THURSDAY FORECAST IS TOUGH WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW AND COLDER AIR
FLOW IN BUT SOME SURFACE RIDGING AND A SOMEWHAT DRY AIR COLUMN 1000
TO 700 MB. KEPT CHANCE POPS IN AND WITH THE COLD AIR ADDED RAIN OR
SNOW SHOWERS. FOR THE MOST PART IT SHOULD BE DRY. A BETTER SHOT OF
MOISTURE MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS. AT THIS TIME 1
TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SNOW BELT SHOULD HANDLE IT...THIS WILL
HAVE TO BE WATCHED. NORTHWEST FLOWS CAN BE TOUGH TO GET
SIGNIFICANT SNOW FALL. OTHER AREAS WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.

THE HIGH WILL BE BUILDING IN ON FRIDAY...SOME RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
COULD LINGER ON FRIDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY CAUSING SOME CLOUDS. AT THIS TIME KEPT IT DRY...THIS WILL
HAVE TO BE WATCHED MAINLY FOR NE OH AND NW PA. BACKED OFF ON THE
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR NE OH AND NW PA FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. THE SNOW BELT AREA MAY HAVE THE BEST CHANCE WITH A FLOW OFF
THE LAKE AND SOME LAKE ENHANCED SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE IT SHOULD BE
MAINLY DRY.

USED A BLEND OF GUIDANCE FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE OHIO AND
MISSISSIPPI RIVERS WILL SLIDE EAST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE LATE MONDAY.
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND TEMPS OF -10 TO -14C AT H850 WILL
ALLOW SNOW TO MIX IN WITH RAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S
WILL ALSO SUPPORT A RAIN/SNOW MIX. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET INTO
THE 40S FOR TUESDAY AS COLD AIR CONTINUES TO FUNNEL INTO THE REGION.
TUESDAY NIGHT LOWS WILL DIP BELOW FREEZING AND THE PRECIPITATION
THAT DOES FALL WILL BE FROZEN. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTH
ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOSING OFF INTO A LOW
WEDNESDAY. WENT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW FOR WEDNESDAY AS
THICKNESSES/TEMPS ALOFT WILL STILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW.
HOWEVER...THE MODELS DIFFER ON THE LOCATION OF THE LOW BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...SO KEPT THE FORECAST CONSERVATIVE CALLING FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXPECT FRONTAL PASSAGE IN TOL AROUND 01Z AND MOVE THROUGH ERI BY
07Z.

IN GENERAL WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND VEER
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST PRIOR TO PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 25 TO 30 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. OBSERVING SITES NEARER TO THE FRONT
IN INDIANA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING GUSTS IN THAT RANGE. MOSTLY LIGHT
RAIN WILL SPREAD WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TERMINALS AS THE FRONT
ADVANCES EAST. MVFR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY IN THE FEW MODERATE RAIN
SHOWERS THAT OCCUR. CEILINGS WILL DROP TO MOSTLY MVFR AS WELL...AND
PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR...ESPECIALLY AT MFD AND YNG...BEFORE GRADUALLY
IMPROVING TO VFR BEHIND THE FRONT. CEILINGS WILL BE SLOWER TO
RECOVER IN THE EAST.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY WITH FLOW OFF THE
LAKES AND MAJOR TROUGH AXIS OVERHEAD.

&&

.MARINE...
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE COLD FRONT AND INCREASE IN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT...SURFACE WINDS OVER THE LAKE HAVE GENERALLY INCREASED TO
THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE WITH PERHAPS SOME
ADDITIONAL INCREASE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
LAKE. WILL ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND CONTINUE IT INTO FRIDAY.
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE LAKE AFTER THE COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO -6C WHILE LAKE
TEMPS RUN FROM ABOUT 9C NEAR TOL TO NEAR 12C IN THE DEEPER CENTRAL
AND EASTERN BASINS. WINDS ALOFT SHOULD MIX TO THE LAKE SURFACE.

MORE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL BRIEFLY PREVAIL FRIDAY EVENING AND
EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE A STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AGAIN DEVELOPS
OVER THE LAKE WHICH WILL LIKELY REQUIRE ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KIELTYKA
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA
SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...MAYERS
AVIATION...MAYERS
MARINE...LAPLANTE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
500 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-071000-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
500 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.