Severe Thunderstorm Warning 179, NWS Cleveland, OH

533 
WWUS51 KCLE 130638
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
238 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

PAC039-049-130700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-130813T0700Z/
CRAWFORD PA-ERIE PA-
238 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
FOR EASTERN ERIE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...

AT 235 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM WATERFORD TO UNION CITY TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF UNION CITY
TO MEADVILLE TO LINESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...
SPARTANSBURG...CORRY AND TITUSVILLE.

LAT...LON 4161 7963 4161 7982 4148 8001 4149 8052
      4158 8052 4167 8042 4186 8007 4207 8013
      4215 7976 4201 7975 4200 7960 4164 7960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 271DEG 39KT 4202 7994 4190 7983
          4185 7982 4180 7982 4168 7995 4161 8016
          4155 8048

$$

MULLEN

708 
WWUS51 KCLE 130700
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
300 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

PAC039-049-130710-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-130813T0700Z/
CRAWFORD PA-ERIE PA-
300 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ERIE AND CRAWFORD
COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA EXPIRES AT 300 AM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA...HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4161 7963 4161 7982 4148 8001 4149 8052
      4158 8052 4167 8042 4186 8007 4207 8013
      4215 7976 4201 7975 4200 7960 4164 7960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0700Z 271DEG 39KT 4201 7960 4189 7949
          4184 7948 4179 7949 4167 7962 4161 7983
          4155 8015

$$

KIELTYKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
145 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A
SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR ARRIVING ON TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND LINGER
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS REASONABLE WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANGES NEEDED.
LIKELY POPS OVERNIGHT STILL LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN THE ONGOING
CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE. IN ADDITION
THERE IS A LINE OF CONVECTION ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
FROM CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN TO NORTHERN INDIANA. WITH SUNSET THE
BOUNDARY LAYER IS BEGINNING TO STABILIZE WITH CIN INCREASING AND CAPE
DECREASING. DEEP SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS TO
AROUND 30 KNOTS WHICH SHOULD LIMIT STORM PERSISTENCE. STILL THERE
ARE A FEW NASTY STORMS OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE.

OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES MAY BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN EARLIER
INDICATED SO WILL RAISE MIN TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL BE SOUTH OF
THE AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING WITH CONSIDERABLE DRYING OF THE
COLUMN. SHORTWAVE SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SOUTH OF HUDSON BAY
WILL FORCE THE UPPER TROUGH SOUTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE...WITH A
SECONDARY PUSH OF COOL AIR SLIDING SOUTH OUT OF CANADA. MODELS
HAVE TRENDED COOLER WITH THE APPROACHING AIRMASS WHICH SEEMS VALID
GIVEN THE 12Z RAOBS ACROSS ONTARIO SHOWING 850MB TEMPS OF 1-3C
THIS MORNING. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN DIURNAL CU WITH ENHANCEMENT
FROM LAKE ERIE DURING THE AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING 850MB TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO 6C OVER LAKE ERIE WHICH
SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
SHOWERS. MORE SUN IN NW OHIO WILL HELP TEMPERATURES STILL REACH
THE LOW 70S WHILE NE OHIO/NW PA WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE MID
AND UPPER 60S.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND EAST OVER THE REGION FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A COOL NIGHT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND SUBSIDENCE RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES DIPPING
INTO THE UPPER 40S IN THE COOLER LOCATIONS WHILE THE LAKESHORE AREAS
REMAIN IN THE MID 50S. LOWERED TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER A FEW DEGREES WITH MORE
INSOLATION THURSDAY ALTHOUGH REMAINING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE NORTHEAST. WITH
THE UPPER LVL THICKNESSES RISING LATE WEEK...WILL SEE TEMPERATURES
SLOWLY WARMING EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT THEY WILL BE
AT OR BELOW NORMAL. BY THE END OF THE FCST PERIOD THE TROUGH
TRANSITIONS INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW...THE FIRST BREAK DOWN OF THE
TROUGH THAT WE HAVE SEEN IN WEEKS. AS THE SURFACE HIGH DRIFTS TO THE
EAST THERE WILL BE WEAK RETURN FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS INCREASING DEW
POINTS INTO THE 60S BY SUNDAY/MONDAY. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL
RETURN AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
COLD FRONT IS INTO NW OHIO WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF
IT. IFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. CEILINGS
WILL LOWER IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH IFR CEILINGS A GOOD BET.
CEILINGS WILL BEGIN TO RISE AS THE NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AROUND
MID MORNING. WIND GUSTS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE 2O TO 25 KNOT RANGE.

.OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT THE WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINATELY SW THEN SWITCH TO THE NW
OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH. THE INITIAL SURGE MAY
INCREASE WINDS IN THE EASTERN BASIN TO 15 KT TUESDAY. CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT WAVES WILL BUILD TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY
NIGHT AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION INCREASES WINDS TO AROUND 20KT WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE TIMING AND DURATION OF THE STRONGEST MIXING AND
CAA WILL BE REEVALUATED IN THE FORTHCOMING SHIFTS BEFORE HOISTING A
HEADLINE. AFTER TUESDAY NIGHT THE WINDS WILL DISSIPATE AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE LAKE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KEC
NEAR TERM...LAPLANTE
SHORT TERM...KEC
LONG TERM...JAMISON
AVIATION...MULLEN
MARINE...JAMISON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
400 AM EDT MON AUG 12 2013

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-130900-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
400 AM EDT MON AUG 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
838 PM EDT MON AUG 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NE SANDUSKY           41.48N 82.69W
08/12/2013  E40.00 MPH       LEZ144             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CEDAR POINT

&&

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
933 PM EDT MON AUG 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S FINDLAY             41.01N 83.64W
08/12/2013                   HANCOCK            OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AN 8 INCH DIAMETER LIMB KNOCKED DOWN AND A 12 TO 16 INCH
            DIAMETER TREE KNOCKED OVER.

&&

KIELTYKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
207 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ERIE                    42.13N 80.09W
08/13/2013                   ERIE               PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            A FEW LARGE LIMBS AND SOME POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

KIELTYKA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
209 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

OHZ014-PAZ001>003-130645-
ASHTABULA INLAND-CRAWFORD-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
209 AM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS CRAWFORD...ERIE AND SOUTHERN
ASHTABULA COUNTIES...

AT 204 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GIRARD TO ALBION TO
NEAR LINESVILLE TO ANDOVER...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE A WIND GUST OF 40 TO 45 MPH. TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH A QUICK ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES
POSSIBLE.