Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Cleveland, OH

712 
WWUS51 KCLE 100030
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
830 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

OHC155-100040-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-130710T0045Z/
TRUMBULL OH-
830 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TRUMBULL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE.

LAT...LON 4113 8053 4114 8099 4113 8100 4114 8101
      4135 8100 4138 8101 4150 8100 4150 8052
      4145 8051 4121 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 257DEG 26KT 4132 8054

$$

ADAMS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
721 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
TRAVERSE THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS WILL
ARRIVE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES FROM
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE SHIFTING EAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FOR 730 PM UPDATE...HAVE MOVED HIGHER POPS FURTHER ENE AS CURRENT
CONVECTION REMAINS AHEAD OF HRRR/RUC PROJECTIONS. EVEN THROUGH
LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINS WILL GET OUT FURTHER EAST THAN THEN FLASH
FLOOD WATCH...THIS AREA FURTHER EAST HAS NOT HAD AS MUCH RAIN OVER
THE PAST FEW DAYS ON AVERAGE. ALSO...FOCUS SHOULD SHIFT BACK TO
THE WEST AND SW AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. HAVE ADDED WAYNE AND
STARK COUNTIES TO FFA. SECOND BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN SHOULD SWEEP
ACROSS THESE COUNTIES NEXT FEW HOURS SO FLOOD RISK LOOKS TO BE
GREATLY INCREASED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THERE IS JUST A LINGERING SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY
EVENING IN THE EAST AND THEN DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS COOLER AND MUCH LESS HUMID AIR OVERSPREADS THE REGION.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE EXITING THE REGION EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND
THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION. HAVE
LOWERED TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW MAV AND EXTENDED MOS GUIDANCE
ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ERIE AS A COOLER ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL.
HAVE LOWERED OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE NORMALLY COOLER INLAND
LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD. SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY WILL BE COMFORTABLE WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.  THE
SURFACE RIDGE WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST BY LATE SUNDAY.  THIS WILL
ALLOW INCREASING MOISTURE AND WARMTH.  SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL CREEP
BACK INTO THE MIDDLE 60S ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS INTO THE
UPPER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STARTING TO SEE NEW DEVELOPMENT IN THE SOUTH. IT WILL BE AN ACTIVE
PERIOD WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE AT ABOUT ANY TIME. THINK
THERE WILL BE A WAVE OF STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND THEN STEADIER PRECIP OVERNIGHT. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE...EXACT
TIMING AND DURATION OF STORMS IS TOUGH TO PIN POINT. EXPECT CIGS
TO REBOUND TO VFR ALL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN DIP BACK TO
MVFR WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS. WIDESPREAD MVFR AND POSSIBLY
IFR IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. S TO SW FLOW WILL CONTINUE EXPECT IN
THE OUTFLOW.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.  UNTIL THEN S TO SW FLOW WILL CONTINUE.  THE FLOW WILL
BECOME NW BEHIND THE FRONT BUT DON'T THINK SPEEDS WILL GET STRONG
ENOUGH TO GET SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
OVER THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.  NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BECOME
EASTERLY ON SATURDAY AS THE HIGH PASSES TO THE NORTH.  THE FLOW WILL
EVENTUALLY BECOME S TO SE ON SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE PUSHES JUST
TO THE EAST OF THE LAKE.  FOR THE MOST PART SPEEDS WILL BE UNDER 15
KNOTS THE ENTIRE PERIOD.  STRONG STORMS ARE LIKELY ON THE LAKE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR OHZ003-006>009-
     017>019-027>032-036>038-047.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KEC
NEAR TERM...ADAMS/KEC
SHORT TERM...LAPLANTE
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...KUBINA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
722 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

OHZ010>014-020>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-102330-
LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
722 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN SO LOCALIZED FLOODING COULD OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. IN
ADDITION...REPEATING STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MAKING FLOODING A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT
HAVE ALREADY SEEN HEAVY RAIN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. RAINFALL
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES IN SOME
AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED BUT REPORTS OF FLOODING AND
SEVERE WEATHER ARE APPRECIATED.

OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>032-036>038-047-102330-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
722 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...AND MAY QUICKLY PRODUCE
FLOODING. SOILS ARE ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY AREAS WITH CREEKS
AND RIVERS RUNNING WITH INCREASED FLOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT. IN ADDITION...TRAINING OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAKING FLOODING A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM FINDLAY TO MANSFIELD. RAINFALL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING MAY EXCEED 2 INCHES IN SOME AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED BUT REPORTS OF FLOODING AND
SEVERE WEATHER ARE APPRECIATED.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-102330-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
722 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
306 PM EDT TUE JUL 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLOOD            BUCYRUS                 40.80N 82.97W
07/09/2013                   CRAWFORD           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRAILER PARK ON W MANSFIELD STREET EVACUATED AS FLOOD
            WATERS INUNDATE THE DRIVEWAY.STATE ROUTE 4 NEAR THE
            HOSPITAL INUNDATED. WATER TREATMENT PLANT GROUNDS
            INUNDATED.

0440 AM     FLOOD            MOUNT GILEAD            40.55N 82.84W
07/09/2013                   MORROW             OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            60 PEOPLE EVACUATED FROM APARTMENTS, 3 FROM TRAILERS AS
            FLOOD WATERS RISE. 8 APARTMENTS FLOODED WITH A FEW INCHES
            OF WATER. FAIRGROUNDS FLOODED.

&&

SJAMISON