Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Cleveland, OH

929 
WWUS51 KCLE 080317
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1117 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

OHC173-080330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-130708T0330Z/
WOOD OH-
1117 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN WOOD COUNTY...

AT 1112 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR JERRY CITY...OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF BOWLING GREEN...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...NORTH
BALTIMORE...BLOOMDALE...WEST MILLGROVE AND BAIRDSTOWN.

LAT...LON 4127 8389 4143 8354 4126 8341 4117 8342
      4116 8353 4117 8358 4116 8389 4124 8390
TIME...MOT...LOC 0317Z 326DEG 18KT 4126 8360

$$

LOMBARDY

452 
WWUS51 KCLE 080330
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1130 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

OHC173-080340-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-130708T0330Z/
WOOD OH-
1130 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN WOOD COUNTY EXPIRES
AT 1130 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE.

LAT...LON 4127 8389 4143 8354 4126 8341 4117 8342
      4116 8353 4117 8358 4116 8389 4124 8390
TIME...MOT...LOC 0330Z 326DEG 18KT 4120 8355

$$

LOMBARDY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
933 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BY THE
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE UPPER LOW IS MOVING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OHIO THIS EVENING.
SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP ALTHOUGH THE
COVERAGE IS LIMITED. WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION ALOFT THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE STEEPER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SOME
ACTIVITY INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BUT THERE SHOULD BE A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE INTENSITY AND COVERAGE AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER BECOMES STABLE.

NUDGED LOW TEMPERATURES DOWN A DEGREE OR TWO IN SOME AREAS...
ESPECIALLY WHERE THE AIR WAS RAIN COOLED. LOWS MOSTLY IN THE MID
60S WITH A FEW LOWER 60S IN THE COOLER SPOTS AND SOME UPPER 60S IN
URBAN AREAS AND ALONG THE LAKESHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
NOT MUCH HOPE FOR DRY WEATHER TILL THURSDAY.  PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 2 INCHES BY MONDAY EVENING AFTER
DROPPING OFF BEHIND THE LOW OVERNIGHT.  EXPECT TO SEE ANOTHER ROUND
OF SCATTERED STORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY.  THE
ACTIVITY AT NIGHT SHOULD DROP OFF AFTER LATE EVENING.  THE BEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIP DURING THE PERIOD WILL COME ON WEDNESDAY.  A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER IN THE DAY AND
DURING THE EVENING.  THE MODELS ARE NOW IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH
THIS TIMING.  EXPECT INSTABILITY TO BUILD AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A
LINE OF SHOWERS/STORMS IS LIKELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WILL BEEF
PRECIP CHANCES UP TO LIKELY.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL AGAIN
BE OVER 2 INCHES ON WEDNESDAY SO WILL HAVE TO BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
HEAVY RAIN PRODUCERS. DEWPOINTS TILL THE FRONT ARRIVES WILL BE AT OR
NEAR 70 DEGREES SO THE TROPICAL FEELING WEATHER WILL CONTINUE.
EXPECT A DISTINCT AIR MASS CHANGE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND WILL TRY
FOR DRY WEATHER BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.   HAVE USED A BLEND OF
GUIDANCE TEMPS DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODELS COMING MORE IN LINE TO SHOW UPPER TROUGH AGAIN CUTTING OFF
JUST EAST OF THE AREA FRI INTO FRI NIGHT THEN SLOWLY RETROGRADING
BACK WEST INTO THE OH AND TN VALLEYS THRU SUN.

STILL HOLDING OUT THAT ON FRI THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH DRIER AIR OVER
THE AREA TO HOLD BACK MOST SHRA ALTHOUGH WILL BRING IN A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THE EAST. SAT THRU SUN WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE POPS EAST
TO WEST AS MOISTURE COLLECTS BACK OVER THE AREA.

TEMPS LOOK TO RUN JUST A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM QUITE EVIDENT IN THE LATEST RADAR
LOOP AS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS ROTATING COUNTER CLOCKWISE INTO
WESTERN OHIO. I THINK AS LOW MOVES EAST AND SUN SETS...ACTIVITY
WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING. EXPECTING MORE ACTIVITY AGAIN
ON MONDAY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WITH A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE
EXPECTED. WILL STILL MENTION THE VICINITY FOR TOMORROW DUE TO THE
RANDOM NATURE OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR IN SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL AS EARLY MORNING
FOG THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
SW FLOW OF ABOUT 5 TO 12 KNOTS SHOULD TEND TO PREVAIL INTO TUE THEN
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE THE WINDS A LITTLE MORE TUE
INTO WED BUT THINK WE SHOULD STAY UNDER SCA LEVELS. THE COLD FRONT
REMAINS ON TRACK TO CROSS THE LAKE WED NIGHT AND TURN THE FLOW TO NW
FOR THU AND MORE NORTH FOR FRI WHILE WIND SPEEDS DIMINISH TO 10
KNOTS OR LESS.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...KUBINA
LONG TERM...ADAMS
AVIATION...LOMBARDY
MARINE...ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1004 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-090215-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
1004 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY ON MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
ANY OF THE STORMS COULD BRING HEAVY RAIN WITH A THREAT OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION ON MONDAY BUT A BETTER CHANCE WOULD BE ON WEDNESDAY AS A
COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-090215-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1004 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY ON MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ON MONDAY BUT A
BETTER CHANCE WOULD BE ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT WILL BE
APPROACHING THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.