Severe Thunderstorm Warning 120, NWS Cleveland, OH

226 
WWUS51 KCLE 030116
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
916 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

OHC143-173-030145-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0120.000000T0000Z-130703T0145Z/
WOOD OH-SANDUSKY OH-
916 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN SANDUSKY AND NORTHEASTERN WOOD COUNTIES...

AT 909 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR WAYNE...OR 9 MILES EAST OF BOWLING GREEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
PEMBERVILLE...LUCKEY...GIBSONBURG...WOODVILLE...LINDSEY AND MILLBURY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL EAST OF 
CYGNET IN WOOD COUNTY. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER 
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 4159 8341 4150 8341 4150 8334 4146 8333
      4146 8316 4125 8342 4134 8361 4135 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 215DEG 16KT 4135 8347

$$

KING

983 
WWUS51 KCLE 030143
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
943 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

OHC143-173-030151-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0120.000000T0000Z-130703T0145Z/
WOOD OH-SANDUSKY OH-
943 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN SANDUSKY AND
NORTHEASTERN WOOD COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 945 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY 
RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM AS IT MOVES THROUGH 
NORTHWEST SANDUSKY COUNTY AND OTTAWA COUNTY. 

LAT...LON 4159 8341 4150 8341 4150 8334 4146 8333
      4146 8316 4125 8342 4134 8361 4135 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 215DEG 16KT 4145 8338

$$

KING

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
726 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA WILL
LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN WILL BUILD SLOWLY WEST AND EXTEND A RIDGE OVER THE REGION BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE TRICKY WITH CONVEYOR BELT OF MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTH INTO THE REGION. IT TOOK ALL DAY TO GET EVEN THE
SMALLEST OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ANY WHERE NEAR THE
FORECAST AREA. AS OF NOW...A FEW ISOLATED CELLS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THESE CELLS WILL BE THE TEST
SUBJECTS TO DETERMINE WHETHER THEY EVEN SURVIVE AS THEY MOVE FURTHER
NORTH OVER THE WARM FRONTAL SURFACE.  MY ESTIMATION IS THAT THEY
WILL MOVE NORTH AND DIMINISH IN STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS
WE LOSE DAY TIME HEATING LATER THIS EVENING...THE MINIMAL THREAT IN
PLACE WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT DOWN TO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA.

SEEING THAT THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR
TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SIMILAR OR A TAD WARMER THAN THIS
MORNING FOR LOWS. CLOUD COVER HELPED TO KEEP TEMPERATURES UP THIS
MORNING AS WELL...OTHERWISE WE WOULD HAVE BEEN A BIT COOLER ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE FRONT. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE DEW POINTS WITH
THE WARM FRONT WILL ALSO HELP TO MAKE IT FEEL A BIT MUGGY TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THE EVER PRESENT LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN PRESENT THROUGH THE
DURATION OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS THE RESULT OF THE
STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES AND
ANOTHER STATIONARY HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE ATLANTIC. THIS
PLACES THE FORECAST AREA IN THE DOLDRUMS OF CLOUDS...UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT AND THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

I DECIDED TO BACK OFF ON THE POPS ACROSS THE FORECAST PERIOD
WEDNESDAY AS NO REAL STRONG PUSH OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS EVIDENT
IN THE COMPUTER MODELS. WE HAVE BEEN STUCK IN THIS PATTERN WHERE
ISOLATED AREAS GET DUMPED ON WITH HEAVY RAIN AND OTHER AREAS GET
ABSOLUTELY NOTHING.

THE CONVEYOR BELT OF WARM MOIST AIR CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA OVER PENNSYLVANIA WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK
WEST THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SHOULD INCREASE OUR CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN DURING THAT TIME...ESPECIALLY IN
THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE CONVEYOR BELT WILL
THEN BE SHUNTED SOUTHEAST AGAIN AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER
THE ATLANTIC SHIFTS EAST SLIGHTLY. HOWEVER...THIS WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS HIGH WOBBLES BACK WEST AGAIN AND YOU GUESSED IT...HERE
COMES THE CONVEYOR BELT BACK TO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. I MAY BE
UNDER DOING THE POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT BUT WANTED TO SEE HOW
EXTENSIVE AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE FOR THIS PERIOD
BEFORE GOING WITH HIGHER POPS ALL AREAS.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD AS SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE REGION IN THE WARM SECTOR.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE PATTERN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MOST OF THE
MODELS BEGIN TO DRIFT THE TROUGH ALOFT BACK TO THE EAST AS THE
PATTERN STARTS TO BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE. NOT SURE IF THIS WILL
HAPPEN BUT WE SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE EAST
SIDE OF THE TROUGH THROUGH THE PERIOD. WILL NOT ATTEMPT TO PICK OUT
SPECIFIC FEATURES THAT MAY BRING MORE OR LESS ACTIVITY EACH DAY AS
THERE IS NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE THIS FAR IN ADVANCE. WILL STICK WITH
A GENERAL DIURNAL RANGE WITH A HIGHER POP EACH AFTERNOON...THEN
LOWERING POP AT NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK AS IF THEY SHOULD
SLOWLY TREND UP...GETTING INTO THE MID 80S WITH LOWS MOSTLY 65-70.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NO BIG CHANGES ON TAP WITH MOIST UNSTABLE SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUING ACROSS THE AREA. SCATTERED...MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY WEST...WILL
WEAKEN/DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. OVERNIGHT EXPECT
STRATUS/FOG TO DEVELOP MOST PLACES TAKING CONDITIONS TO MVFR AND
IN PLACES...IFR...MAINLY AROUND SUNRISE. WEDNESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL AS
EARLY MORNING FOG THROUGH SUNDAY. THE SHOWERS/STORMS WILL LIKELY
BE MOST NUMEROUS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THE NORTHEAST WINDS ARE SLOWLY DIMINISHING ON LAKE ERIE AS LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO0 VALLEY WEAKENS AND DRIFTS WEST. THE WESTERN
BASIN ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ISLANDS AND SANDUSKY WILL REMAIN A LITTLE
CHOPPY THIS EVENING BUT THE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND BEGIN TO
VEER MORE FROM THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH ON
WEDNESDAY. LOCALIZED LAKE BREEZES ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY BUT IN
GENERAL THE LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. A SCATTERING OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED...
ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND SO MARINERS SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT AND CHECK THE FORECAST AND THE RADAR DURING THE HOLIDAY
AND HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LOMBARDY
NEAR TERM...LOMBARDY
SHORT TERM...LOMBARDY
LONG TERM...KOSARIK
AVIATION...TK
MARINE...KOSARIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
502 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-031000-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
502 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
709 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

OHZ017-022330-
HANCOCK-
709 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHWESTERN HANCOCK COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM EDT...

AT 704 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF RAWSON...OR 15 MILES WEST OF
FINDLAY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORMS IS PRODUCING
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. PERSONS IN
NORTHWEST HANCOCK COUNTY SHOULD MOVE INDOORS UNTIL THIS STORM
PASSES.

KEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
734 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

OHZ017-030015-
HANCOCK-
734 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHERN HANCOCK COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM
EDT...

AT 728 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM SOUTHWEST OF MCCOMB...OR 8 MILES WEST OF
FINDLAY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. HEAVY RAIN AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PERSONS SHOULD MOVE INDOORS UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES.

CLARK