Severe Thunderstorm Warning 105, NWS Cleveland, OH

978 
WWUS51 KCLE 272323
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
723 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

OHC123-143-147-173-272333-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0105.000000T0000Z-130628T0000Z/
SENECA OH-WOOD OH-OTTAWA OH-SANDUSKY OH-
723 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SANDUSKY...OTTAWA...SOUTHERN
WOOD AND NORTHERN SENECA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
MOST OF THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4130 8388 4130 8342 4162 8341 4162 8310
      4156 8302 4152 8293 4155 8287 4160 8284
      4156 8278 4150 8279 4148 8282 4149 8285
      4146 8297 4143 8294 4145 8284 4117 8284
      4117 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 293DEG 20KT 4129 8318

$$

SJAMISON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
331 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER PENNSYLVANIA WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT. ANOTHER AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE AND A TROUGH IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WERE CENTERED
OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE LOW AND TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT
SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
THE FIRST SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE EAST BY EARLY TONIGHT. RAINFALL RATES
IN EXTREME NE OH/NW PA ARE DIMINISHING. THE WIDELY SCATTERED
ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OHIO
WILL DIMINISH. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE SCATTERED ACTIVITY
IN MICHIGAN ESPECIALLY THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE THUMB.
I EXPECT MOST OF IT WOULD WEAKEN THAT TRIES TO COME ACROSS LAKE
ERIE.

THE NEXT SHORT WAVE IN THE DEEPENING TROUGH ALOFT IS PROGGED TO DIVE
SOUTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP EARLY FRIDAY MORNING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. WILL
MENTION THUNDER. THE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME ELEVATED CAPE.

GUIDANCE LOW TEMPERATURES MAY BE A DEGREE OR TWO TOO COOL GIVEN THE
DEWPOINTS EXCEPT ACROSS EXTREME NE OH/NW PA WHERE IT DID NOT WARM UP
MUCH TODAY. FORECAST LOWS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE LOWER/MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
EVERYONE WILL SEE SHOWERS ON FRIDAY AS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE SWINGS
ACROSS THE AREA. AS MENTIONED BEFORE...THERE IS ENOUGH ELEVATED CAPE
THAT WE WILL MENTION THUNDER. NOT COLD ENOUGH ALOFT FOR PURE LAKE
EFFECT SHOWERS BUT WITH COLD ADVECTION...LAKE ENHANCED RAIN IS
LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...PROBABLY FROM AROUND
SANDUSKY EAST. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF WE START TO SEE AT LEAST A
MINOR FLOOD POTENTIAL AGAIN...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ERIE SINCE WE ARE
SO WET. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FLOOD WATCHES AT THIS TIME SINCE WE ARE
JUST EXPIRING ONE AND THERE IS NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN THE NEW
RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

THE TROUGH ALOFT IS PROGGED TO SWING ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY.
WILL CONTINUE WITH A FORECAST OF "SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDER". NOT SURE IF IT WILL BE CLOUDY WITH FREQUENT SHOWERS OR IF
IT WILL BE A VARIABLE SKY TYPE OF DAY WITH A FEW PEAKS OF SUN AND
COME AND GO SHOWERS. THE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO CLOSE OFF OVER THE
MIDWEST BY LATER SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS IS NOT A FAVORABLE POSITION
FOR MUCH IMPROVEMENT IN OUR WEATHER. TYPICALLY IN SUMMER WE WOULD
EXPECT A DIURNAL FLAIR UP OF SHOWERS EACH DAY AND A FEW BREAKS IN
THE CLOUDS BUT IN GENERAL A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW
NORMAL. WILL NOT GO TOO COLD ON THE LOWS (GENERALLY LOWER 60S)
SINCE DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY NOT DROP ALL THAT MUCH.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
REMAINING OVER THE AREA UNTIL LATE IN THE FORECAST.  EXPECT MOSTLY
CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH INTERMITTENT RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE PERIOD
AS SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.  WILL ALSO KEEP A
LINGERING CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON TSRA. TEMPS SHOULD JUST BE A LITTLE
BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALMOST FALL LIKE PATTERN SETTING UP WITH UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH MOVING OVER THE AREA NOW. SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS NW
OHIO THIS EVENING POTENTIAL TO KICK OFF SOME TSRA. OVERNIGHT
EXPECT MVFR/IFR IN STRATUS AND FOG. MORE RAIN TOMORROW...MAINLY IN
THE EAST AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS LAKE ERIE.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL AS
EARLY MORNING FOG THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SERIES OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS LINGER OVER THE LAKE INTO THE
WEEKEND.  WINDS AND WAVES WILL BE LIGHT BUT THERE WILL ALSO BE
INTERMITTENT RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDER.   WINDS TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT SETTING UP
CHOPPY CONDITIONS ON THE LAKE THAT WILL LAST THROUGH MONDAY.  IF
GRADIENT A LITTLE STRONGER COULD REQUIRE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...KOSARIK
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...DJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
349 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-282000-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
349 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-282000-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
349 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
342 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     HEAVY RAIN       17 SSE ASHTABULA        41.65N 80.67W
06/27/2013  M4.00 INCH       ASHTABULA          OH   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HEAVY RAIN BETWEEN 9AM AND 1PM WITH FLOODING TO ROADS,
            HOMES AND BUILDINGS IN DORSET.

&&

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
349 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CAMBRIDGE SPRINGS       41.80N 80.06W
06/27/2013  M3.46 INCH       CRAWFORD           PA   MESONET

            ROCKDALE TWP.

&&

THOMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
358 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     FLOOD            5 S ERIE                42.05N 80.09W
06/27/2013                   ERIE               PA   911 CALL CENTER

            FOOT OF WATER ON THE ROADWAY ON WESTLAKE RD. ROUTE 5 MILL
            CREEK TWP

&&

THOMPSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
530 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

OHZ003-272215-
LUCAS-
530 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR LUCAS COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 524 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES NORTH OF
OREGON TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF SYLVANIA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

A CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER SOUTHERN MICHIGAN WILL MOVE INTO LUCAS COUNTY
THROUGH 630 PM. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
PEA SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THOSE IN LUCAS COUNTY
SHOULD MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THE TOWNS OF BERKEY...OTTAWA HILLS...MAUMEE AND HARBOR VIEW ARE ALSO
IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS.

SJAMISON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
626 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             PERRYSBURG              41.55N 83.62W
06/27/2013  E1.00 INCH       WOOD               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE BRANCHES AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL OBSERVED ALONG ROUTE
            20 IN PERRYSBURG.

&&

SJAMISON