Alert archive / Maine / Wind Advisories in 2013
Wind Advisory 2, NWS Caribou, ME
NWS Caribou, ME issued this wind advisory at Jan 30, 2013, 3:57 PM EST for 4 counties in Maine. It took effect at Jan 31, 2013, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 25 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2013, 3:57 PM EST (20:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2013, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2013, 12:54 AM EST
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Caribou, ME
Counties Aroostook County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Somerset County, ME
The radar
The Caribou radar (KCBW), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Caribou, ME (KCAR), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 431 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 619 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 636 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
315 WWUS71 KCAR 302057 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 357 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029-030-032-310900- /O.UPG.KCAR.HW.A.0001.130131T0500Z-130201T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KCAR.HW.W.0001.130131T0500Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO... OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND... ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE... PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL... EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO... TOPSFIELD 357 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE PRIOR HIGH WIND WATCH. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 TO 60 MPH... EXCEPT UP TO 65 MPH OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF COASTAL DOWNEAST AREAS. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HIGH. WINDS WITH THAWED GROUNDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND BRANCHES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. * PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010-031-310900- /O.NEW.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.130131T0500Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...GREENVILLE... MONSON...BLANCHARD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD 357 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOW IMPACT. THAWED GROUNDS AND WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWN TREES AND...OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. EXPECT SOME DIFFICULTY DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ VJN
8 follow-up statements
746 WWUS71 KCAR 310240 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 940 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029-030-032-311100- /O.CON.KCAR.HW.W.0001.130131T0500Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO... OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND... ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE... PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL... EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO... TOPSFIELD 940 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 TO 60 MPH... EXCEPT UP TO 65 MPH OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF COASTAL DOWNEAST AREAS. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HIGH. WINDS WITH THAWED GROUNDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND BRANCHES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. * PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010-031-311100- /O.CON.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.130131T0500Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...GREENVILLE... MONSON...BLANCHARD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD 940 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOW IMPACT. THAWED GROUNDS AND WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWN TREES AND...OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. EXPECT SOME DIFFICULTY DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$
025 WWUS71 KCAR 310537 AAA NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1237 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029-030-032-311345- /O.CON.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO... OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND... ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE... PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL... EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO... TOPSFIELD 1237 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010-031-311345- /O.CON.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...GREENVILLE... MONSON...BLANCHARD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD 1237 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ HEWITT
196 WWUS71 KCAR 311007 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 507 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 MEZ010-031-311815- /O.UPG.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ /O.EXA.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD... DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD 507 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND BRANCHES TO SNAP WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY MAKE SOME ROADWAYS IMPASSABLE. SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE MAY OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029-030-032-311815- /O.CON.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO... OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND... ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE... PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL... EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO... TOPSFIELD 507 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE COAST AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-311815- /O.CON.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN 507 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ HEWITT
521 WWUS71 KCAR 311659 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1159 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 MEZ005-006-010-011-015>017-029>032-010200- /O.CON.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS- CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK- CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 1159 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010200- /O.CON.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN 1159 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ HASTINGS
761 WWUS71 KCAR 312029 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 329 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 MEZ005-006-010-011-015>017-029>032-010200- /O.CON.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS- CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK- CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND... SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST... AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS... GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON... ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS... CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH... VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 329 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010200- /O.CON.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN 329 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ HASTINGS
967 WWUS71 KCAR 312202 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 502 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 MEZ011-015>017-029>032-312315- /O.CAN.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK- CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD... BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM... EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM... MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH... BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD... DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO... TOPSFIELD 502 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BOTH BELOW WARNING AND ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THIS AREA. MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ON NORTH... SOUTH HIGHWAYS SUCH AS INTERSTATE 95 OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. $$ MEZ005-006-010-010200- /O.CON.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD 502 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES RESULTING IN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. BLOWN DOWN DEBRIS MAY BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS. STAY AWAY FROM TREES IF OUTSIDE DURING HIGH WINDS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES... MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010200- /O.CON.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN 502 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ VJN
898 WWUS71 KCAR 010025 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 725 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 MEZ005-006-010-010600- /O.CAN.KCAR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130201T0200Z/ /O.EXB.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0600Z/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD 725 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A WIND ADVISORY. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ MEZ001>004-010600- /O.EXT.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0600Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN 725 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...WINDS WILL CAUSE A FEW DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS TO SNAP WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS. BE CAUTIOUS IF DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE. IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE FLASHLIGHTS HAVE WORKING BATTERIES. && $$ VJN
086 WWUS71 KCAR 010554 NPWCAR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1254 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 MEZ001>006-010-010700- /O.CAN.KCAR.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T0600Z/ NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK- CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLAGASH...CLAYTON LAKE...MADAWASKA... FORT KENT...FRENCHVILLE...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN... MARS HILL...BAKER LAKE...BILLY-JACK DEPOT...BAXTER ST PARK... CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET... EAST MILLINOCKET...PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON... SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS...GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD 1254 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WESTERLY WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO SUBSIDE DOWN TO SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. THEREFORE, THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. $$ HEWITT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Caribou, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 30, 1:24 PM EST, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 1:24 PM EST, 2 hours 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
124 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. INTENSE LOW PRESSURE
WILL TRACK FROM WESTERN QUEBEC TOWARD LABRADOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
100 PM UPDATE: NO SIG CHGS MADE TO FCST GRIDS THIS UPDATE...XCPT
TO GO WITH OCNL LGT RN AND PCHY DZ FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
WITH THE RADAR AND MODEL ONLY INDICATING OCNL LGT REF RETURNS
UNTIL THE MAIN RN AREA WITH THE SRN S/WV APCHS THE FA FROM THE SW
LATER TNGT.
1000 AM UPDATE: WE NEEDED TO MAKE A SERIES OF ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
FCST THIS UPDATE. THE FIRST WAS FOR WINDS...WHICH WERE TO STRONG
EARLY DOWNEAST AND NOT STRONG ENOUGH IN THE N. THE SECOND WAS TO
DROP THE WNTR WX ADV AND FIX INCONSISTENCIES WITH TEXT IN THE THU
PD. LASTLY...WE EXTENDED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO COVER THRU ALL OF
THU AFTN...WHERE IT NOW APPEARS FROM LATEST MODEL DATA THAT THE
BEST MIXING POTENTIAL OF STRONG WINDS ALF WILL BE IN THE AFTN PD
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE STRONG LLVL JET E OF THE REGION THU
MORN.
650 AM UPDATE: HAVE REMOVED SOUTHERN ZONES FROM WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
AS TEMPERATURES ARE RISING RAPIDLY. HAVE ALSO ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE
GRID.
ORGNL DISC: A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH TODAY THEN
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME VERY STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPING LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE INTENSIFIES AND MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. FOR
POPS HAVE USE A BLEND OF THE GFS40...SREF AND ECMWF. THE
OPERATIONAL NAM POPS LOOK TOO LOW. WILL MAKE SOME MANUAL
ADJUSTMENTS. FOR TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT HAVE USED OPERATIONAL
NAM TO INITIALIZE GRIDS AND HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE THIS
AFTERNOON A FEW DEGREES HIGHER. FOR PRECIPITATION TYPE HAVE USED
THE THICKNESS TOOL RUN ON THE GFS. WILL USE SNOW AMOUNT FROM
THICKNESS RUN ON GFS AND FORECAST TEMPERATURES. ICE ACCUMULATION
DONE WITH OFFICE TOOL. FOR WINDS HAVE USED THE ECMWF WIND TO
INITIALIZE GRIDS SINCE IT APPEARS TO DO BEST WITH SOUTHEASTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA WHERE HIGHER WINDS EXPECTED. BASED ON BUFKIT
MIXING AND GFS WINDS ALOFT WILL EXTEND THE HIGH WIND WATCH NORTH.
THE QPF GRIDS GENERATED WITH A BLEND OF THE GFS...SREF AND ECMWF.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CHALLENGES WILL BE THE WIND/TEMPERATURES AND RAINFALL. ONCE AGAIN
THIS WILL BE LENGTHY.
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. STRONG
WINDS EXPECTED W/THE FRONT RIGHT UP THROUGH 18Z. CONCERN IS THAT
WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH AND EVEN HIGHER COULD MIX DOWN,
ESPECIALLY THE INTERIOR DOWNEAST AND THE COAST. LOCAL WIND CLIMATOLOGY
STUDY SHOWS A CASE CLOSE TO THIS UPCOMING ONE WHERE STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS CAN MIX DOWN AS FAR AS NORTHERN MAINE. SOUTHERLY
WINDS TEND TO GET FUNNELED UP THROUGH THE PENOBSCOT AND AROOSTOOK
VALLEYS AS WAS THE CASE DURING THE HIGH WIND EVENT BACK ON
NOVEMBER 29TH, 2003 WHERE WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED ALL THE WAY INTO
NORTHEASTERN MAINE. THE NAM/GFS AND GEM SOUNDINGS SUPPORT THIS TO
BE THE CASE W/THE WARM STABLE LAYER BREAKING DOWN AND THOSE STRONG
WIND GUSTS MIXING DOWN FOR A TIME. BASED ON THIS ASSESSMENT, AS
STATED IN THE NEAR SECTION, THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
FURTHER NORTH TO INCLUDE THE HOULTON AND MILLINOCKET REGIONS.
GOOD INSTABILITY ABOVE THE SFC IS SHOWN BY THE MDL SOUNDINGS W/K
INDEX HITS 30 AND TOTAL TOTALS AT 50. THE SWEAT INDEX IS FCST TO
BE WELL ABOVE 300 W/0-6KM SHEAR >65 KTS IN THE 12-18Z WINDOW. THIS
COULD MEAN THAT CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS IN HEAVY RAIN EARLY COULD ALSO
ALLOW FOR STRONGER WINDS. COORDINATED W/GYX AND DECIDED TO KEEP
THE MENTION OF THUNDER OUT OF THE FCST. USED A BLEND OF THE
NAM12/GFS FOR THE WIND/GUSTS AND ADJUSTED W/THE GUST TOOL. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE HIT EARLY W/NORTHERN AREAS SEEING UPPER 40S
TO EVEN LOWER 50S AND CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST AREAS USING A BLEND OF
THE NAM12 AND GEM. FOLLOWED CLOSER TO THE ECMWF IN ITS TIMING OF A
SLOWER COOL DOWN AND HUNG ON TO MORE RAIN THROUGH MIDDAY AND THEN A
TRANSITION TO SHOWERS. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH AFTER THE COLD
FROPA CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE COLDER AIR STARTS TO FILTER IN. AS
FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS GO, WE ARE LOOKING AT 1 TO 1.5 INCHES
STORM TOTAL WHICH ALLOW FOR SOME PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS. A
BLEND OF HPC/GFS AND NAM12 WAS USED FOR THE QPF. THIS BE ADDRESSED
FURTHER IN THE HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW.
THE UPPER FRONT IS FCST TO CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY EVENING AND
THIS IS WHERE THE COLDER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE REGION. KEPT WNW
WINDS UP FOR A WHILE EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN SHOW THEM
FALLING OFF BY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE PRES GRADIENT WEAKENS. A
DRAMATIC CHANGE FROM THURSDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE SINGLE NUMBERS ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST AND IN THE LOW TO MID
TEENS FOR THE CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST AREAS BY 12Z FRIDAY. CONTINUED
COLD ON FRIDAY W/DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOW/MID TEENS FOR THE
NORTH AND UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST AREAS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A POSSIBLE STORM BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND AS THE PATTERN COULD
BECOME MORE ACTIVE.
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE COLD W/OVERNIGHT
LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT RUNNING BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH AND IN THE
SINGLE NUMBERS FOR THE DOWNEAST AND COAST. DAYTIME HIGHS ON
SATURDAY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW/MID TEENS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
1/2 OF THE CWA AND IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S DOWNEAST AND
THE COAST. NOT MUCH FOR SNOW AS THE UPPER FLOW IS NEAR ZONAL(WESTERLY).
THIS PATTERN LOOKS LIKE IT COULD CHANGE AND I STRESS THE WORD
COULD BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL SOME DISCREPANCIES IN THE LONG RANGE
MODELS IN REGARDS TO THIS. THE LATEST OPERATIONAL GFS HAS LOW PRES
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN US ON SUNDAY. IT TAKES THIS LOW AND
INTENSIFIES IT ACROSS SOUTHERN MAINE AND THEN TOWARD THE BAY OF
FUNDY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE UPPER TROF GOES NEGATIVE
TILT. THE LATEST GFS ENSEMBLES SHOW 7 OUT THE 12 MEMBERS SHOW A
SIMILAR SETUP WHICH WOULD MEAN A SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT. THE
ECMWF DOES SHOW THE UPPER TROF GOING NEGATIVE TILT AS WELL BUT IT
SHOWS A LOW PRES SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA AND
STRENGTHENING MOVING TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA GIVING THE CWA A GLANCING
BLOW OF SNOW. THE LATEST RUN OF THE CANADIAN GLOBAL IS IN THE
MIDDLE W/THE PARENT LOW WELL E OF MAINE WHILE A 2ND WEAKER LOW
MOVES ACROSS EASTERN MAINE BRINGING SOME SNOW. ATTM, CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO PUSH THE PRECIP CHANCES INTO THE LIKELY
CATEGORY. THEREFORE ATTM, DECIDED TO KEEP CHANCE WORDING THE GRIDS
FOR SNOW LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE
HOW THE LATER MODEL RUNS HANDLE THIS POSSIBLE EVENT.
STAYED CLOSE TO THE DAYCREW'S TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
W/AT OR JUST BELOW SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR EARLY FEBRUARY.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM: IFR GOING TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY VFR FOR KBGR AND KBHB
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LLWS WILL BE CONCERN. MVFR/IFR FOR THE NORTHERN
TERMINALS EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR.
A RETURN TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR FOR THE NORTHERN TERMINALS BY
MIDDAY FRIDAY W/SOME LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS. VFR FOR KBGR AND
KBHB. ATTM...IT LOOKS LIKE VFR FOR ALL TERMINALS ON SATURDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
1000 AM UPDATE: TO AVOID CONFUSION WITH HDLNS...WE OPTD TO UPGRADE
THE STORM WATCH TO A STORM WRNG AND XTND IT INTO THU EVE FOR THE
SAME REASON WE XTNDED THE HIGH WIND WATCH MENTIONED IN THE NEAR
TERM UPDATE DISC.
ORGNL DISC: FOR WINDS: GFS LOW LEVEL JET 60+ KNOTS DOWN TO 1000
FEET AT 44027. HAVE USED THE GFS WINDS AND WILL MAKE SOME MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO SUSTAINED WINDS AND WILL INCREASE GUST SPEED TO
STORM FORCE TONIGHT. WILL ALSO ISSUE STORM WATCH FOR TONIGHT. FOR
WAVES: SOUTHERLY FETCH WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY FROM THE
GULF OF MAINE SOUTHWARD. THIS FETCH WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THEN
EXPECT IT TO BE BROKEN UP THURSDAY WITH LATE MORNING WIND SHIFT.
WILL USE THE SWAN/NAM TO INITIALIZE WAVE GRIDS SINCE 0000Z
SWAN/GFS NOT AVAILABLE YET. WILL INCREASE WAVE HEIGHT TO NEAR 20
FEET LATER TONIGHT SINCE NAM WINDS DO NOT APPEAR STRONG ENOUGH.
EXPECT LONG PERIOD WAVE FIELD TO PERSIST FOR SOME TIME BEYOND THIS
EVENT DUE TO THE LENGTH AND STRENGTH OF THIS FETCH.
SHORT TERM: STORM FORCE WINDS EARLY THURSDAY W/GUST UP TO
55 KTS. THE WINDS WILL COME DOWN TO GALE FORCE BY THE AFTERNOON AS
THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE WATERS. ADJUSTED THE SUSTAINED
WINDS USING THE NAM12 WHICH LOOKED TO BE A GOOD FIT. GUSTS
WERE BASED ON THE NAM12 AND GMOS. GALES WILL CONTINUE INTO
THURSDAY EVENING. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO COME DOWN TO SCA
LEVELS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. WAVES WILL
BE 14-17 FT AT THE HEIGHT OF THE EVENT AND THEN DROP OFF THURSDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE THAT TREND INTO FRIDAY AS THE WINDS GO
OFFSHORE W/A WESTERLY COMPONENT. SOME CONCERN FOR SOME SPLASH-OVER
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AT HIGH TIDE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT
IT WILL BE LOW AND NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT ATTM.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
THERE ARE CONCERNS FOR THE RIVERS ESPECIALLY WITH THE PISCATAQUIS
AND PENOBSCOT RIVERS WHERE UP TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF THE MILD TEMPERATURES, THE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS COULD RESULT IN THE THINNING
AND BREAKING UP OF RIVER ICE. THE SNOWPACK IN PLACE WILL INITIALLY
BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE INITIAL SLUG OF RAINFALL, BUT ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AND THE FROZEN GROUND WILL LEAD TO FURTHER RUNOFF
LEADING TO RIVER RISES AND THE POSSIBLE BREAKUP AND MOVEMENT OF
THE ICE. A RELEASE OF FROST FROM THE FROZEN BARE GROUND COULD ADD
TO PROBLEMS ESPECIALLY FOR STREETS AND ROADWAYS LEADING TO
STANDING WATER. COORDINATED W/GYX ABOUT A FLOOD WATCH AND IT WAS
AGREED THAT THE RIVERS WILL BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS RAINFALL.
RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL WOULD LEAD TO MORE OF A
PROBLEM. THIS WILL NEED TO MONITORED.
THIS EVENT COULD VERY WELL SET THE STAGE FOR A BUSY SPRING AS WAS
THE CASE BACK IN 1994 WHEN A MAJOR ICE JAM FLOOD OCCURRED ON THE
AROOSTOOK IN FORT FAIRFIELD AND FLOODED THE DOWNTOWN AREA.
ONE OTHER CONCERN IF FOR THE KENDUSKEAG STREAM WHERE THE PENOBSCOT
MEETS IT IN THE DOWNTOWN BANGOR AREA. A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW
COMING UP THE PENOBSCOT RIVER COULD PUSH WATER UP INTO THE
KENDUSKEAG CHANNEL IN DOWNTOWN BANGOR. ANY ICE IN THE RIVER OR THE
KENDUSKEAG STREAM COULD LEAD AGGRAVATE THINGS. ATTM, HIGH TIDE IS
NOT A SPRING TIDE AND LATEST PROJECTIONS SHOW THE GAGE STAYING
BELOW FS OF 11.6 FT. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029-030-032.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
ANZ050>052.
&&
NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...HEWITT
LONG TERM...HEWITT
AVIATION...VJN
MARINE...VJN/HEWITT
HYDROLOGY...Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 3:52 PM EST, 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 352 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029-030-032-312100- NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- 352 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR RIVER ICE BREAKUP AND RESULTANT ICE JAMS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SNOWMELT AND RAIN WILL RESULT IN RUNOFF INTO AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. RISES FROM THIS RUNOFF MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ICE COVER TO BREAK UP. CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WATERWAYS HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING ICE BREAKUP, BUT EVEN NORTHERN RIVERS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR BREAKUP AND JAMMING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MEZ001>004-010-031-312100- NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET- NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- 352 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR RIVER ICE BREAKUP AND RESULTANT ICE JAMS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SNOWMELT AND RAIN WILL RESULT IN RUNOFF INTO AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. RISES FROM THIS RUNOFF MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ICE COVER TO BREAK UP. CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WATERWAYS HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING ICE BREAKUP, BUT EVEN NORTHERN RIVERS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR BREAKUP AND JAMMING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ050>052-312100- COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 352 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Caribou, ME issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2:40 AM EST | Storm Watch | CAR | 7 hr | |
| Jan 30, 9:12 AM EST | Storm Warning | CAR | 32 hr | |
| Jan 30, 3:57 PM EST | High Wind Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Hancock, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Washington | 27 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.