Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Caribou, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
257 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING VERY
SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. COOLER AND
DRIER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW AND REMAIN INTO THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO MAINE. THE COLD FRONT WILL WORK ITS WAY INTO
THE COAST WATERS TOMORROW MORNING. INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NRN ME AS THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY ACROSS SRN
QUEBEC. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO WRN MAINE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.

LOADED A BLEND OF LAMP/RUC FOR WND/SKY/POP/QPF. MAINTAINED FCSTD
SEAS FROM PREVIOUS FCST. BLENDED NAM/RUC FOR TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS QUEBEC AND THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES EARLY THIS WEEK. A FAST ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED
ACROSS EASTERN MAINE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
ANTICIPATED ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE DEPARTING
COLD FRONT. A DISTURBANCE IN THE ZONAL FLOW MAY BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE TUESDAY.

EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
TROUGH AXIS PASSES TO OUR NORTH. IT WILL BE BREEZY AS WELL WITH
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. MOSTLY CLEAR WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY
CANADIAN AIRMASS MOVES IN WITH TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR EARLY JUNE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TEMPERATURES WARM A BIT LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS A
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS. TROPICAL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE UP THE EAST COAST IN RESPONSE TO A DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO SOMEWHERE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IS ANY GIVEN SOLUTION FIVE TO SEVEN DAYS IN
ADVANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CIGS AND VSBY WILL BE REDUCED TO LIFR IN
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING PRODUCING WND GUSTS 50 KTS OR
GREATER...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY
IMPROVE TOMORROW STARTING LATE MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AT
KHUL/KBGR/KBHB MONDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AT ALL TAF SITES.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE PERIOD. BUILDING SEAS
IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL 10 FT IN THE OUTER
WATERS TOMORROW BEFORE SUBSIDING TOMORROW NIGHT.

SHORT TERM: SCA MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS
&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE VALUES ARE IN THE TOP ONE OR TWO PERCENT
IN THE PAST 100 YEARS. HEAVY RAIN IN TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS COULD
BRING ONE TO TWO INCHES OF QPF AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MAINE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR MEZ001>006.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...NORTON/OKULSKI
MARINE...NORTON/OKULSKI
HYDROLOGY...OKULSKI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
302 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

MEZ001>006-031915-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
302 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 271 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ010-011-015-031-031915-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-
302 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 271 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE AND NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ016-017-029-030-032-031915-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
302 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NORTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
525 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EAGLE LAKE              47.04N 68.59W
06/02/2013                   AROOSTOOK          ME   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREES DOWN ON SLY BROOK ROAD.

&&

CB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
547 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0226 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHIN POND               46.11N 68.56W
06/02/2013                   PENOBSCOT          ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN FROM SHIN POND TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF SHIN POND.
            THE TIME WAS ESTIMATED.

&&

CB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
553 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S GUERETTE            47.09N 68.32W
06/02/2013                   AROOSTOOK          ME   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES DOWN IN THE CROSS LAKE AREA. SOME CABINS IN THE
            AREA ARE WITHOUT POWER. THE TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON
            RADAR DATA.

&&

CB

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
616 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     EAGLE LAKE              47.04N 68.59W
06/02/2013                   AROOSTOOK          ME   PUBLIC

            A PICTURE OF A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS RECEIVED VIA FACEBOOK.

&&

CB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
629 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ESE DOVER-FOXCROFT      45.18N 69.22W
06/02/2013                   PISCATAQUIS        ME   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PISCATAQUIS COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS TREES AND WIRES DOWN
            FROM DOVER-FOXCROFT TO SANGERVILLE.

&&

CB