Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

956 
WWUS41 KBUF 280326
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1026 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-281130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.130128T0700Z-130128T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1026 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT 
  AND AN INCH OR LESS MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 
  2 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH 
  OVERNIGHT AND UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH MONDAY...LEADING TO 
  STORM TOTALS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. HIGHS AROUND 40 
  MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. MOST OF THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL BE DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-281130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.130128T0900Z-130128T2000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
1026 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 3 PM
EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ONTARIO AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT 
  AND AN INCH OR LESS MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF AN 
  INCH OR LESS. ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH 
  OVERNIGHT AND UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH MONDAY...LEADING TO 
  STORM TOTALS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. HIGHS AROUND 40 
  MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ005>008-281130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.130128T1200Z-130129T0000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
1026 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 1 TO 3 INCHES MONDAY AND AN 
  INCH OR LESS MONDAY EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 
  4 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH MONDAY 
  AND LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH MONDAY EVENING...LEADING TO 
  STORM TOTALS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

775 
WWUS41 KBUF 280907
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
407 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
407 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM
  AND AN INCH OR LESS THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING. ICE
  ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S THROUGH 6 AM. HIGHS IN THE 
  LOWER 40S TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. MOST OF THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL BE DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T2000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
407 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ONTARIO AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM
  AND UP TO 2 INCHES TODAY. ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH
  OF AN INCH THROUGH 6 AM AND UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH TODAY
  NEAR GENEVA.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S THROUGH 6 AM. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
  40S TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ005>008-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.130128T1200Z-130129T0000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
407 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY AND AN
  INCH OR LESS TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN
  INCH TODAY AND LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SMITH

936 
WWUS41 KBUF 281617
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1117 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-281730-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1117 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA. THEREFORE...THE TREAT FOR WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN HAS
ENDED. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 



$$

NYZ003-013-281800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T1800Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO
1117 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ONTARIO AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...LINGERING FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN ICY SPOTS ON
  UNTREATED ROADS. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TEMPERATURES...WARMING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S THIS
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND
  UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND WALKWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-014-282000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T2000Z/
WAYNE-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...CANANDAIGUA
1117 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ONTARIO AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...LINGERING FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN ICY SPOTS ON
  UNTREATED ROADS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. 

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S TODAY.

* IMPACTS...A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND
  UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND WALKWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ005>008-290000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130129T0000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
1117 AM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT IN ICY
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING UP TO 2 INCHES TODAY. ICE
  ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH THIS AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

351 
WWUS41 KBUF 281758
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1258 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

NYZ003-013-281900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T1800Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO
1258 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA. THEREFORE...THE TREAT FOR WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN HAS
ENDED...AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


$$

NYZ004-014-282000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T2000Z/
WAYNE-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...CANANDAIGUA
1258 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ONTARIO AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...LINGERING FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN ICY SPOTS ON
  UNTREATED ROADS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND 
  UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ005>008-290000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130129T0000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
1258 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT IN VERY SLICK CONDITIONS
  ON UNTREATED ROADS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATING UP TO 2 INCHES THIS
  AFTERNOON. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH THIS
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...THEN A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 
  ICE ON OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND 
  WALKWAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

329 
WWUS41 KBUF 281956
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
256 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

NYZ004-014-282100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130128T2000Z/
WAYNE-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...CANANDAIGUA
256 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA. THEREFORE...THE TREAT FOR WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN HAS
ENDED...AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


$$

NYZ005>008-290000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130129T0000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
256 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT IN VERY SLICK
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF
  AN INCH. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON
  OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND WALKWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

081 
WWUS41 KBUF 282306
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
606 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

NYZ005>008-290715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130129T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
606 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN...WITH SOME SNOW AND SLEET OVER EASTERN
  JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES THIS EVENING. FREEZING DRIZZLE LATE
  TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
  PORTIONS OF LEWIS AND EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES. ICE
  ACCUMULATION OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN MANY AREAS.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS...PARKING LOTS...AND SIDEWALKS WILL BE
  EXTREMELY SLIPPERY AND TREACHEROUS.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING
RAIN. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY
IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

372 
WWUS41 KBUF 290454
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1154 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

NYZ005>008-291200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130129T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
1154 PM EST MON JAN 28 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
  INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS...PARKING LOTS...AND SIDEWALKS WILL 
  BE EXTREMELY SLIPPERY AND TREACHEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE.
WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES
THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

609 
WWUS41 KBUF 290902
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
402 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

NYZ005>008-291015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130129T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
402 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS
MORNING...HOWEVER TRAVELERS SHOULD BE ADVISED THAT TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE AREA ARE STILL WELL BELOW FREEZING AND ANY ICING OF
SURFACES THAT HAS TAKEN PLACE WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS UNTIL TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1247 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE LAKES WILL TAPER OFF
THIS MORNING LEAVING COOL AND DRY WEATHER AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVERHEAD. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ARRIVE BEGINNING MONDAY AS A
WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WARM UP WILL BRING
THE THREAT FOR SOME MIXED SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT THE
ONSET BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL RAIN FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MONDAY.
WARM AND RAINY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THEN
COLDER WEATHER WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE REGION WITH LIGHT WINDS.
THE LAST LINGERING FLURRIES ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND SOUTHERN
TIER ARE FADING. THE HIGH WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A GOOD BIT OF
SUNSHINE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY AFTERNOON...OUTSIDE OF ANY
LINGERING LAKE EFFECT CLOUDINESS. HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS...SEEN
ON IR SATELLITE OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM LIFTING NORTH OUT OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS... WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER NEW YORK FROM WEST
TO EAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE OUR LAST CHILLY DAY
BEFORE THE WARM UP ARRIVES THAT WE HAVE BEEN FORECASTING FOR
SEVERAL DAYS NOW. HIGHS TODAY WILL RISE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S
FOR MUCH OF AREA...WHILE THE NORTH COUNTY WILL LIKELY NOT BREAK
OUT OF THE TEENS.

BEGINNING TONIGHT WE START TO SEE SIGNS OF THE WARM UP AS THE
SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS TO OUR EAST AND A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS STORM SPREADS MOISTURE AND INCREASINGLY WARMER AIR
NORTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA. WITH THE CURRENT SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS IN
PLACE THE ARRIVAL OF THE WARM AIR WILL BRING A PERIOD OF MIXED
WINTER PRECIPITATION AS THE ATMOSPHERE WARMS FROM THE MID-LEVELS
DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WE HAVE BEEN HIGHLIGHTING THIS FOR MORE THAN
TWO DAYS IN OUR FORECAST GRIDS AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

INITIALLY ATMOSPHERIC COLUMNS WILL BE COMPLETELY BELOW FREEZING WHEN
MOISTURE FIRST ARRIVES. EXPECT SNOW AT THE ONSET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TIER AND SPREADING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...
GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES. THEN FORECAST SOUNDING
FROM VARIOUS MODELS STILL SHOW A PRONOUNCED WARM NOSE DEVELOPING
AS THE WARM AIR ARRIVING FROM THE SOUTHWEST LIFTS UP AND OVER THE
COLD DENSE AIR AT THE SURFACE. THIS WILL CAUSE SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN TO BEGIN TO MIX IN POSSIBLY BRINGING ICY CONDITIONS TO THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AS EARLY AS SUNRISE MONDAY. SNOWFALL...SLEET
AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS LOOK TO BE SUB-WARNING CRITERIA FOR THE
SOUTHERN TIER DUE TO THE QUICKLY ARRIVING WARM AIR AND EXPECTED
RAPID CHANGEOVER TO RAIN BY MID MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED TODAY TO COVER FOR THE
WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION ARRIVING LATE TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE
TO HIGHLIGHT THIS RISK IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THIS PERIOD WILL MARK A SIGNIFICANT TRANSITION TO MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A RETURN TO UNSETTLED WEATHER AS A WARM
FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND WESTERN/NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK WITH THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE BEING THE TIMING/LOCATION
OF MIXED PRECIPITATION AS WE TRANSITION FROM SUB-FREEZING TO WELL
ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES. AS WE OPEN THE WORK WEEK MONDAY
MORNING...WE WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK
AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE IN THE
BUFFALO-ROCHESTER METRO AREAS. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER...THINGS BECOME MESSIER CLOSER TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
PROPER AS WARM AIR ALOFT PUSHES OVERHEAD WHILE SURFACE TEMPS WILL BE
SLOWER TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING...PARTICULAR IN THE STEEPER VALLEYS
INLAND FROM THE LAKES...CREATING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SLEET/FREEZING
RAIN FOR A TIME. AS THE FRONT PUSHES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...THIS AXIS OF MIXED PRECIP WILL ALSO PUSH ACROSS THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER AND GENESEE VALLEYS TO SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE CHANGEOVER FROM SNOW TO SLEET/FREEZING RAIN THEN TO
RAIN WILL LIKELY BE RELATIVELY RAPID ALONG THE LAKE PLAINS WITH THE
GREATEST RISK OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS BEING CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN
TIER AND FINGER LAKES WHERE THE SURFACE TEMPS WILL BE SLOWER TO WARM
ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE MORNING. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS THESE AREAS...BUT WILL IN COORDINATION
WITH NEIGHBORING WFOS WILL ALLOW ONE MORE SHIFT TO PERUSE LATEST
MODEL DATA BEFORE ROLLING OUT ANY ADVISORIES. LOOK FOR
TEMPERATURES TO WARM THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK WITH
READINGS CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40 BY LATE
AFTERNOON WHILE THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL STILL BE BELOW
FREEZING...WITH SNOW FALLING.

THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY MONDAY
NIGHT WITH SNOW CHANGING OVER TO MIXED PRECIPITATION. AS WITH THE
FINGER LAKES AND SOUTHERN TIER...SLEET/FREEZING RAIN MAY BE A
PARTICULAR PROBLEM IN THE VALLEYS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE COLD
AIR MAY BE SLOWER TO SCOUR OUT WHILE ELSEWHERE PRECIP WILL BE IN THE
FOR OF RAIN SHOWERS IN A MUCH WARMER AIRMASS BEHIND THE WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. ONGOING WARM ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL OFFSET
DIURNAL COOLING RESULTING IN TEMPS THAT WILL WARM SLIGHTLY INTO THE
LOWER 40S OVERNIGHT EXCEPT ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE READINGS
WILL HOVER AROUND FREEZING EXCEPT NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.

FOR TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WE WILL SEE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
LINGERING ACROSS THE AREA AS A SURFACE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO LINGER
ACROSS THE STATE. POPS INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS
ANOTHER WAVE OF WARM AIR SURGES NORTH ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES...
ALLOWING FOR ALREADY COMPARATIVELY BALMY TEMPS TO CONTINUE TO RISE
INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S...AROUND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
AS WITH MONDAY NIGHT...EXPECT READINGS TO REMAIN STEADY OVERNIGHT
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM THROUGH THE NIGHT AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT WILL USHER IN YET ANOTHER DRAMATIC
CHANGE FOR THE MIDWEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS TO BE VERY MILD TO START OFF...WITH TEMPS
PEAKING IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S IN THE MORNING BEFORE DROPPING OFF
IN THE AFTERNOON AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES. THE GFS CONTINUES TO PUSH THE COLDER AIR ACROSS THE REGION
FASTER THAN THE REST OF THE GLOBAL MODEL SUITE...AND SO WILL
CONTINUE TO LEAN ON THE ECMWF/HPC GUIDANCE. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL OFF IN THE AFTERNOON...STILL EXPECT CONDITIONS TO REMAIN
WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL OF THE PRECIP TO FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN
SHOWERS DURING WEDNESDAY...BEFORE MIXING/WITH CHANGING TO SNOW
SHOWERS AS IT TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF WEDNESDAY'S COLD FRONT...THE MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT BROAD UPPER TROUGHING WILL
BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES TUMBLING BACK TO WELL BELOW AVERAGE
AS PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIR FLOODS EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
WHILE THE INCOMING COLDER AIRMASS DOES NOT LOOK TO BE NEARLY QUITE
AS COLD AS THE ONE THAT HAS AFFECTED OUR REGION FOR MUCH OF THIS
PAST WEEK...850 MB TEMPS STILL LOOK TO DROP TO THE VICINITY OF -18C
TO -20C...WHICH WILL BE PLENTY COLD ENOUGH TO RESULT IN DAYTIME
HIGHS FALLING BACK TO AROUND 20 BY FRIDAY...AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS DOWNWIND
OF THE LAKES.

WHILE IT IS STILL WAY TOO EARLY TO DEFINITIVELY PIN DOWN EXACTLY WHICH
AREAS THE LAKE SNOWS MIGHT FOCUS ON...EARLY INDICATIONS FROM BOTH
THE GFS/ECMWF SUGGEST THAT THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP
IN A WESTERLY FLOW REGIME LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY...THEN
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER TIME AS AN INITIALLY DRY AIRMASS MOISTENS
IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING SECONDARY SURFACE TROUGH. BOTH GUIDANCE
PACKAGES ARE THEN IN ROUGH AGREEMENT ON THIS TROUGH PUSHING THROUGH
THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND THE FIRST PART OF
FRIDAY...WITH THE PREVAILING LOW LEVEL FLOW GOING MORE NORTHWESTERLY
FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE. ALL OF THIS WOULD SUGGEST THE STRONGEST AND
MOST ORGANIZED LAKE SNOWS INITIALLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE TYPICALLY
FAVORED SOUTHERN TIER AND TUG HILL SNOWBELTS ON THURSDAY...BEFORE
SHIFTING TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY.

CONSIDERING BOTH THE ABOVE AND THE DAY 5-6 TIME FRAME...FOR NOW WILL
JUST KEEP POPS FOR THE THURSDAY-FRIDAY PERIOD IN THE CHANCE RANGE...
WHILE INDICATING SOME BROAD AREAS OF SOMEWHAT HIGHER PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES WITHIN THE FAVORED AREAS OUTLINED ABOVE. OUTSIDE OF
THE MOST FAVORED AREAS...WILL HAVE SOMEWHAT LOWER CHANCE POPS IN PLAY
BOTH TO COVER THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THE SECONDARY SURFACE
TROUGH...AND TO ALSO REFLECT THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTY IN DELINEATING
SPECIFIC AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT THIS FAR OUT.

TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE THAT
A WEAK CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROUGH
AND WORK INTO OUR REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING A MORE GENERAL CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS BACK INTO THE AREA AS IT APPROACHES...WHILE ALSO INFLUENCING
THE EVOLUTION OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD TO SOME DEGREE...WHICH IN
TURN WILL ALSO IMPACT THE ULTIMATE POSITION AND STRENGTH OF ANY LAKE
SNOWS. AS THIS TIME FRAME IS ALMOST A WEEK AWAY AND THE GUIDANCE
EXHIBITS THE USUAL DISAGREEMENTS/MODEL UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT...
FOR NOW WILL JUST TREND POPS BACK TO THE BROADBRUSH LOW CHANCE RANGE
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION AT THE PRESENT TIME. VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...ALTHOUGH SOME PATCHY 2-3K FOOT CIGS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER
AND FINGER LAKES...BUT THESE WILL ERODE BY 20Z. THE VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT WITH
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY 12Z.

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS
A WARM FRONT OVERSPREADING OUR SUB-FREEZING AREA WILL BRING A PERIOD
OF MIXED WINTRY OF PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL OF SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN. THE PRIME THREAT TIME FOR THIS WINTRY MIX AT
KJHW/KBUF/KIAG WILL BE FROM 07Z-15Z AND FOR KROC FROM 10Z-18Z.
BEYOND THESE TIME FRAMES...THE AIR MASS WILL WARM ENOUGH FOR A
CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY KART.
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
TUESDAY...MVFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MVFR/LOCALIZED IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE LAKES WILL BRING TRANQUIL
CONDITIONS FOR TODAY BEFORE A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE
LAKES TONIGHT BRINGING A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION BY MONDAY
MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BUILD WAVES ALONG THE NORTHERN LAKE
SHORES BUT EXPECT THESE REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH/TMA
SHORT TERM...WOOD
LONG TERM...JJR/WOOD
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...SMITH/WOOD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-280945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL INITIALLY SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...BUT AS THE LOW LEVELS WARM UP EXPECT A
CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BEFORE PRECIPITATION CHANGES
OVER COMPLETELY TO RAIN BEHIND THE FRONT. THE GREATEST RISK FOR
ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS OF THE SOUTHERN
TIER...THE FINGER LAKES...AND THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE COLD AIR
WILL LINGER FOR SEVERAL HOURS LONGER THAN ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS.
BY TUESDAY MORNING ALL AREAS SHOULD BE ABOVE FREEZING WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION FALLING AS RAIN.

IN ADDITION...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES THAT WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-280945-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
441 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF