Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 87, NWS Buffalo, NY

September 20, 2013

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Sep 20, 2013, 3:49 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 20, 2013, 10:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2013, 3:49 PM EDT (19:49 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 20, 2013, 10:00 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 22, 2013, 10:38 PM EDT
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

566 
WHUS71 KBUF 201949
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

LOZ045-210400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.130921T0200Z-130921T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EDT SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
12 follow-up statements
612 
WHUS71 KBUF 210233
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

LOZ045-211045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130921T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1033 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
015 
WHUS71 KBUF 210837
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
437 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

LOZ045-211645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130921T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
437 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
003 
WHUS71 KBUF 211429
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1029 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

LOZ045-211800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130921T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1029 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
681 
WHUS71 KBUF 211733
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
133 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

LOZ043-044-220145-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.130922T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
133 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-220145-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.130922T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
133 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-220145-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.130921T2000Z-130922T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
133 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-220145-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
133 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...THEN NORTHWEST
  15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
884 
WHUS71 KBUF 212030
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

LOZ043-044-220430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.130922T0000Z-130923T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
430 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-220430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
430 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-220430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.130922T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
430 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-220430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130922T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
430 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
751 
WHUS71 KBUF 220222
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1022 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

LOZ045-221030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1022 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-221030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1022 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-221030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1022 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-221030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130922T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1022 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
912 
WHUS71 KBUF 221012
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
612 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

LOZ045-221815-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
612 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-221815-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
612 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-221815-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
612 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-221200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130922T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
612 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
942 
WHUS71 KBUF 221133
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

LEZ040-041-221245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130922T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
733 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$

LOZ045-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
733 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
733 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-221945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
733 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
805 
WHUS71 KBUF 221443
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1043 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

LOZ045-222245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1043 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-222245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1043 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-222245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1043 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
962 
WHUS71 KBUF 221924
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

LOZ043-044-230330-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
324 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-230000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
324 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-230300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
324 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
583 
WHUS71 KBUF 222357
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
757 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

LOZ042-230100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
757 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ045-230300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
757 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-230800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
757 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH
756 
WHUS71 KBUF 230238
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1038 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

LOZ045-230345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-130923T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1038 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$

LOZ043-044-231045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0088.000000T0000Z-130923T1700Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1038 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMITH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 20, 3:44 PM EDT, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 3:44 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
344 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
AND BRING A WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINFALL. BEHIND THE FRONT... DRY
WEATHER WILL RETURN WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK BELOW AVERAGE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AFTER THAT...DRY WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH
MOST OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO ABOVE AVERAGE
LEVELS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE LATEST SURFACE MAP SHOWS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER JAMES BAY
WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS MICHIGAN AND
INDIANA. FARTHER TO THE EAST...A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH/WARM FRONT
STRETCHES FROM LAKE HURON TO WESTERN OHIO. THIS BOUNDARY IS SERVING
AS A FOCAL POINT FOR A FAIRLY SOLID LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. REGIONAL RADARS TRENDS SHOW THE CONVECTIVE CELLS
TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST...WHILE THE GENERAL LINE OF SHOWERS MOVES
SLOWLY TO THE EAST. BASED ON THIS...IT WILL BE AWHILE BEFORE THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE SHOWERS REACHES WESTERN NEW YORK. AS A
RESULT...EXPECT MOST OF THE EVENING TO REMAIN DRY.

OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER CENTRAL
ONTARIO PROVINCE WILL DIG SOUTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION...AND WILL HELP TO SLOWLY PIVOT THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES. STRONG DEEP
LAYER FORCING WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT THANKS TO A COMBINATION OF
STRONG FRONTAL LIFT...HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT...DIFFERENTIAL CYCLONIC
VORTICITY ADVECTION...AND FORCING FROM THE RRQ OF A 140+ KT UPPER
JET STREAK...ALL OF WHICH WILL HELP TO STRONGLY LIFT THE FEED OF
RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE /PWATS OF 1.75"/ ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A NEAR CERTAINTY OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING INTO FAR WESTERN NEW YORK OVERNIGHT...THEN
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.

GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE STRONG FORCING AND RICH MOISTURE SUPPLY...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE SECOND HALF
OF TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE LATEST
NAM/GFS/GEM/ECMWF AND HPC GUIDANCE SUGGESTING TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF AS MUCH AS ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE
THIS WOULD NOT LIKELY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ISSUES WITH OUR RIVERS AND
CREEKS...THIS STILL COULD RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED MINOR POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IF ENOUGH OF THIS WERE TO FALL IN A SHORT ENOUGH
PERIOD OF TIME. WITH ALL OF THIS IN MIND...WE HAVE UPDATED THE
GRIDS/ZFP/HWO TO REFLECT THIS THINKING.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...NIGHTTIME LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE SOLIDLY
ABOVE NORMAL WITH OUR AREA SITUATED IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WITH MOST AREAS EXPERIENCING LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. ON SATURDAY...READINGS WILL NOT CLIMB THAT MUCH
GIVEN THE WIDESPREAD PRECIP AND CLOUD COVER ACCOMPANYING THE
FROPA...WITH MOST SPOTS ONLY SEEING HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE ORIENTED NORTH TO SOUTH BETWEEN WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NEW YORK SATURDAY EVENING. WEST OF THE FRONT...RAIN
SHOWERS WILL BE TAPERING OFF THROUGH THE EVENING BUT EXPECT THAT
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE
FRONT. DEEP LAYER FORCING PROVIDED BY THE SURFACE FRONT...SURFACE
LOW LIFTING NORTH ALONG THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
GREAT LAKES WILL COMBINE WITH PLENTIFUL MOISTURE LEVELS TO CONTINUE
THE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK INCLUDING THE NORTH COUNTRY.
MODEL FORECAST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.8 INCHES ARE NEAR
2SD ABOVE NORMAL. THE SPEED OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT IT INTO NEW
ENGLAND BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY WITH RAINFALL TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTY.

SUNDAY MORNING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE MAY LINGER IN UPSLOPE
FLOW AND MOISTURE JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS THEN AS
IT PASSES EAST OF NEW YORK IN THE AFTERNOON DRY AIR WILL BRING A
RETURN OF SOME SUNSHINE. DESPITE THE SUNSHINE...A VERY CHILLY
AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE AS 850MB TEMPS FALL CLOSE TO ZERO YIELDING
HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 50S F. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
A CHILLY NIGHT ON SUNDAY WHERE THE DRIER AIRMASS WILL AND CLEARING
SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO THE UPPER 30S AND LOW
40S.

ON MONDAY CANADIAN SOURCED HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS NEW YORK.
THIS WILL BRING SUN FILL SKIES BUT THE COOL AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL
KEEP ANOTHER SEASONABLY CHILLY DAY. SURFACE HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO
REACH INTO THE LOW 60S FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT FALLING BACK
TO AROUND 40. VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER WILL BE IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK COURTESY OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
INTO NEW ENGLAND. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK
TO NORMAL LATE SEPTEMBER LEVELS. MODELS SHOW A RETURN OF WARM AIR
FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTERED ALONG THE EAST
COAST. HIGHS WILL RUN IN THE 70S AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH OUR
NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN LIKELY HOLDING OFF UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OFF THE EAST COAST WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST EAST OF LAKE HURON WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST AND SHOULD STAY MAINLY WEST OF
OUR AREA THROUGH 04Z.

LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...A BAND OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS...DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT...
WILL REACH WESTERN AFTER 06Z...THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME OF THIS RAIN MAY BE
LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...AND WILL CAUSE VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING
TO LOWER TO MVFR/IFR FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING.

OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT ALL SITES AS A 40+ KT LOW LEVEL
JET SLIDES EAST ACROSS THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING FRONT.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT...LINGERING IFR/MVFR.
SUNDAY...BECOMING VFR.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH WAVES INCREASING ON THE EASTERN ENDS OF
BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND WAVES WILL
LIKELY BE REACHED ACROSS THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES...FOR WHICH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN HOISTED.
MEANWHILE ON LAKE ERIE...WINDS AND WAVES WILL ALSO INCREASE
BRIEFLY...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LITTLE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

EXPECT THE WINDS TO DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO WESTERLY FOLLOWING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON SATURDAY...BEFORE PICKING UP AGAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE CONDITIONS APPEAR TO REMAIN A BIT
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AT THIS TIME...THESE COULD STILL GET QUITE
CHOPPY FOR A PERIOD...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EDT
         SATURDAY FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 1:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
156 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-211800-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
156 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL BECOMING POSSIBLE BY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ON SATURDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...WITH
ADDITIONAL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
MAY RANGE AS HIGH AS 1 TO 1.5 INCHES...WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED AREAS OF MINOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IF THESE ARE
REALIZED WITHIN A SHORT ENOUGH PERIOD OF TIME. AT THIS
TIME...CREEK AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>008-013-014-021-211800-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
156 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ON SATURDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY RANGE AS HIGH AS 1 TO 1.5 INCHES...WHICH
COULD CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OF MINOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
IF THESE ARE REALIZED WITHIN A SHORT ENOUGH PERIOD OF TIME. AT
THIS TIME...CREEK AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-211800-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
156 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.